967 resultados para Applied Behaviour Analysis


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Background: To estimate the prevalence of and identify factors associated with physical activity in leisure, transportation, occupational, and household settings. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study aimed at investigating living and health conditions among the population of São Paulo, Brazil. Data on 1318 adults aged 18 to 65 years were used. To assess physical activity, the long version of the International Physical Activity Questionnaire was applied. Multivariate analysis was conducted using a hierarchical model. Results: The greatest prevalence of insufficient activity related to transportation (91.7%), followed by leisure (77.5%), occupational (68.9%), and household settings (56.7%). The variables associated with insufficient levels of physical activity in leisure were female sex, older age, low education level, nonwhite skin color, smoking, and self-reported poor health; in occupational settings were female sex, white skin color, high education level, self-reported poor health, nonsmoking, and obesity; in transportation settings were female sex; and in household settings, with male sex, separated, or widowed status and high education level. Conclusion: Physical activity in transportation and leisure settings should be encouraged. This study will serve as a reference point in monitoring different types of physical activities and implementing public physical activity policies in developing countries

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Background: To estimate the prevalence of and identify factors associated with physical activity in leisure, transportation, occupational, and household settings. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study aimed at investigating living and health conditions among the population of So Paulo, Brazil. Data on 1318 adults aged 18 to 65 years were used. To assess physical activity, the long version of the International Physical Activity Questionnaire was applied. Multivariate analysis was conducted using a hierarchical model. Results: The greatest prevalence of insufficient activity related to transportation (91.7%), followed by leisure (77.5%), occupational (68.9%), and household settings (56.7%). The variables associated with insufficient levels of physical activity in leisure were female sex, older age, low education level, nonwhite skin color, smoking, and self-reported poor health; in occupational settings were female sex, white skin color, high education level, self-reported poor health, nonsmoking, and obesity; in transportation settings were female sex; and in household settings, with male sex, separated, or widowed status and high education level. Conclusion: Physical activity in transportation and leisure settings should be encouraged. This study will serve as a reference point in monitoring different types of physical activities and implementing public physical activity policies in developing countries.

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Background: A major goal in the post-genomic era is to identify and characterise disease susceptibility genes and to apply this knowledge to disease prevention and treatment. Rodents and humans have remarkably similar genomes and share closely related biochemical, physiological and pathological pathways. In this work we utilised the latest information on the mouse transcriptome as revealed by the RIKEN FANTOM2 project to identify novel human disease-related candidate genes. We define a new term patholog to mean a homolog of a human disease-related gene encoding a product ( transcript, anti-sense or protein) potentially relevant to disease. Rather than just focus on Mendelian inheritance, we applied the analysis to all potential pathologs regardless of their inheritance pattern. Results: Bioinformatic analysis and human curation of 60,770 RIKEN full-length mouse cDNA clones produced 2,578 sequences that showed similarity ( 70 - 85% identity) to known human-disease genes. Using a newly developed biological information extraction and annotation tool ( FACTS) in parallel with human expert analysis of 17,051 MEDLINE scientific abstracts we identified 182 novel potential pathologs. Of these, 36 were identified by computational tools only, 49 by human expert analysis only and 97 by both methods. These pathologs were related to neoplastic ( 53%), hereditary ( 24%), immunological ( 5%), cardio-vascular (4%), or other (14%), disorders. Conclusions: Large scale genome projects continue to produce a vast amount of data with potential application to the study of human disease. For this potential to be realised we need intelligent strategies for data categorisation and the ability to link sequence data with relevant literature. This paper demonstrates the power of combining human expert annotation with FACTS, a newly developed bioinformatics tool, to identify novel pathologs from within large-scale mouse transcript datasets.

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A escola é o centro de convergência que justifica e fundamenta os recursos alocados ao sistema educativo. Durante o normal funcionamento das escolas, as condições de segurança, salubridade dos edifícios e equipamentos devem ser previstas e mantidas para garantir a salvaguarda da saúde e bem-estar dos seus ocupantes. A responsabilidade sobre estas questões encontra-se transferida para os Órgãos de Gestão dos estabelecimentos educativos. Neste âmbito efectuou-se um estudo que objectivou caracterizar a organização e a gestão escolar, no contexto da segurança, higiene e saúde; conhecer a forma da organização e da gestão da emergência nos estabelecimentos de ensino e o grau de satisfação dos gestores escolares relativamente aspectos relacionados com a Segurança, Higiene e Saúde. Neste sentido, foi aplicado um inquérito por questionário on-line, dirigido aos directores dos agrupamentos de escolas e escolas únicas da Região Norte de Portugal. Na generalidade os resultados obtidos demonstraram que ao nível da organização e gestão da emergência é evidenciada alguma preocupação, constatando-se no entanto, que nem todas as escolas possuam delegado de segurança, algumas não possuem plano de segurança, apenas metade evidenciou a existência de projectos educativos em áreas relacionadas com a temática e não existe ainda uma participação efectiva no seio escolar por parte da comunidade. Os gestores escolares, relativamente ao grau de satisfação, referiram as condições das infra-estruturas e estado de conservação dos estabelecimentos escolares, como factores de maior descontentamento. Percepcionou-se que a gestão escolar é centrada nos problemas do quotidiano, não existindo uma planificação ou um programa legitimado de segurança, higiene e saúde a longo prazo. A análise à actuação do gestor escolar face à segurança e higiene, não pode efectuar-se alheia e separadamente do actual regime de autonomia, administração e gestão dos estabelecimentos públicos da educação pré-escolar e dos ensinos básico e secundário, porque o desempenho dos diferentes actores no processo educativo é por si condicionada. Cabe ao gestor escolar, na figura do Director(a) consagrar a segurança, higiene e saúde integradas na dinâmica escolar, promovendo um ambiente escolar mais saudável e seguro.

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No trabalho realizado nesta tese, procedeu-se ao estudo hidrodinâmico de uma coluna de borbulhamento de recirculação externa do líquido (CREL), que permitiu ampliar o conhecimento já existente sobre este tipo de colunas. Para realizar este estudo utilizaram-se líquidos viscosos Newtonianos, nomeadamente soluções aquosas de glicerina com viscosidades entre 0,007 e 0,522 Pa.s. Para a gama de caudais de ar injectados, 1,5x10-5 até 1,35x10-4 m3/s, o ar ascendia ao longo da coluna de borbulhamento sob a forma de bolhas tubulares. Após a realização dos ensaios, verificou-se que o regime de escoamento do líquido entre bolhas tubulares variou desde o tipo laminar até transição (1,9

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Mestrado em Contabilidade Analítica e Financeira

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Dissertação de Mestrado, Gestão do Turismo Internacional, 3 de Dezembro de 2015, Universidade dos Açores.

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Paracetamol is among the most worldwide consumed pharmaceuticals. Although its occurrence in the environment is well documented, data about the presence of its metabolites and transformation products is very scarce. The present work describes the development of an analytical method for the simultaneous determination of paracetamol, its principal metabolite (paracetamol-glucuronide) and its main transformation product (p-aminophenol) based on solid phase extraction (SPE) and high performance liquid chromatography coupled to diode array detection (HPLC-DAD). The method was applied to analysis of river waters, showing to be suitable to be used in routine analysis. Different SPE sorbents were compared and the use of two Oasis WAX cartridges in tandem proved to be the most adequate approach for sample clean up and pre-concentration. Under optimized conditions, limits of detection in the range 40–67 ng/L were obtained, as well as mean recoveries between 60 and 110% with relative standard deviations (RSD) below 6%. Finally, the developed SPE-HPLC/DAD method was successfully applied to the analysis of the selected compounds in samples from seven rivers located in the north of Portugal. Nevertheless all the compounds were detected, it was the first time that paracetamol-glucuronide was found in river water at concentrations up to 3.57 μg/L.

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The World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) defines Eco-Efficiency as follows: ‘Eco- Efficiency is achieved by the delivery of competitively priced-goods and services that satisfy human needs and bring quality of life, while progressively reducing ecological impacts and resource intensity throughout the life-cycle to a level at least in line with the earth’s estimated carrying capacity’. Eco-Efficiency is under this point of view a key concept for sustainable development, bringing together economic and ecological progress. Measuring the Eco-Efficiency of a company, factory or business, is a complex process that involves the measurement and control of several and relevant parameters or indicators, globally applied to all companies in general, or specific according to the nature and specificities of the business itself. In this study, an attempt was made in order to measure and evaluate the eco-efficiency of a pultruded composite processing company. For this purpose the recommendations of WBCSD [1] and the directives of ISO 14301 standard [2] were followed and applied. The analysis was restricted to the main business branch of the company: the production and sale of standard GFRP pultrusion profiles. The main general indicators of eco-efficiency, as well as the specific indicators, were defined and determined according to ISO 14031 recommendations. With basis on indicators’ figures, the value profile, the environmental profile, and the pertinent eco-efficiency’s ratios were established and analyzed. In order to evaluate potential improvements on company eco-performance, new indicators values and ecoefficiency ratios were estimated taking into account the implementation of new proceedings and procedures, both in upstream and downstream of the production process, namely: a) Adoption of new heating system for pultrusion die in the manufacturing process, more effective and with minor heat losses; b) Implementation of new software for stock management (raw materials and final products) that minimize production failures and delivery delays to final consumer; c) Recycling approach, with partial waste reuse of scrap material derived from manufacturing, cutting and assembly processes of GFRP profiles. In particular, the last approach seems to significantly improve the eco-efficient performance of the company. Currently, by-products and wastes generated in the manufacturing process of GFRP profiles are landfilled, with supplementary added costs to this company traduced by transport of scrap, landfill taxes and required test analysis to waste materials. However, mechanical recycling of GFRP waste materials, with reduction to powdered and fibrous particulates, constitutes a recycling process that can be easily attained on heavy-duty cutting mills. The posterior reuse of obtained recyclates, either into a close-looping process, as filler replacement of resin matrix of GFRP profiles, or as reinforcement of other composite materials produced by the company, will drive to both costs reduction in raw materials and landfill process, and minimization of waste landfill. These features lead to significant improvements on the sequent assessed eco-efficiency ratios of the present case study, yielding to a more sustainable product and manufacturing process of pultruded GFRP profiles.

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Objetivo: Este estudo avaliou os efeitos da implementação de um programa de autorregulação no aumento da autonomia de um aluno com Perturbação do Espetro do Autismo, em contexto de sala de aula, no segmento letivo de Português. Método: A metodologia adotada foi quantitativa e experimental, num desenho de investigação de sujeito único, dividido em três fases de investigação: linha de base, início do programa de intervenção e um mês depois. Os registos dos vídeos, e a construção e implementação do programa de intervenção em conjunto com a professora, tiveram como base os princípios e procedimentos da Análise Comportamental Aplica. Resultados / Discussão: Após a implementação do programa de intervenção observou-se um acentuado aumento do envolvimento do aluno e das suas respostas às instruções académicas da professora, essencialmente ao nível das instruções de grupo que, na linha de base, apresentavam valores baixos. A eficácia da intervenção reforça a importância de se capacitar professores na aplicação de técnicas comportamentais dado que, neste estudo e à semelhança de outros, a professora aprendeu rapidamente a implementar práticas que facilmente se ajustam à sala de aula, levando à melhoria sistemática do comportamento do aluno com PEA numa sala de aula inclusiva.

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O presente relatório refere-se ao trabalho desenvolvido durante o período de estágio curricular enquadrado no ciclo de estudos do Mestrado em Engenharia Civil do ISEP, Instituto Superior de Engenharia do Porto. O estágio desenvolveu-se ao longo de seis meses, desde Fevereiro até Julho de 2015, na empresa FASE S.A., em ambiente de gabinete, para a obtenção do grau de mestre em Engenharia Civil. Durante o período de estágio foram desenvolvidos projetos de estabilidade de estruturas metálicas e de betão armado, desde a fase de conceção, pré-dimensionamento, modelação numérica e análise de resultados, dimensionamento final, até à produção das peças desenhas e escritas constituintes de um projeto de estruturas. Foi possível analisar e dimensionar estruturas através de programas de cálculo automático e ferramentas de cálculo que serão referidas no presente relatório. Neste relatório será descrita pormenorizadamente a elaboração de um projeto em betão armado em todas as suas vertentes. Apresentam-se também as metodologias de cálculo empregues. No culminar, enunciam-se algumas conclusões de carácter geral decorrentes do trabalho desenvolvido.

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RESUMO: O envelhecimento populacional saudável ocupa parte da agenda do processo do envelhecimento humano, retratando uma preocupação social com repercussões nas economias societárias. O processo de envelhecimento, quando abordado fora do paradigma do envelhecimento saudável, desconsidera socialmente o potencial humano das pessoas idosas, promovendo a segregação e motivando atitudes de preconceito e discriminação, além de desperdiçar a experiência, o saber, a cultura e a capacidade de participação da pessoa idosa como contributo para a sociedade a que ela está inserida. O foco central da Política Nacional de Saúde do Idoso brasileira se inscreve na promoção de um envelhecimento saudável, nomeadamente por meio da manutenção da capacidade funcional ao valorizar a autonomia, a independência física e a integridade mental da pessoa idosa. O desafio para a viabilização do processo de envelhecimento ativo e bem-sucedido consiste na maximização das capacidades, potencialidades e recursos pessoais, comunitários e políticos. Pressupõe, também, uma concepção ampliada de viver, contextualizada no contínuo da vida, capaz de externar a preocupação com a saúde e o bem-estar, integrando as pessoas em fase de envelhecimento no contexto do ciclo de vida. Diante do exposto, a presente investigação objetivou conhecer os determinantes de envelhecimento ativo e bem-sucedido, numa população em processo de envelhecimento e relacioná-los com as ―práticas/conteúdos‖ e representações / significados‖ sobre o envelhecimento, as atividades físicas e a capacidade funcional. A investigação foi estruturada em três estudos: no primeiro foi criado e testado o instrumento ―Envelhecimento ativo, capacidade funcional e atividade física‖, na cidade de Lisboa, Portugal, e posteriormente realizada sua adaptação cultural e linguística do português de Portugal para o do Brasil. No segundo foi feita uma pesquisa observacional do tipo survey, descritiva e exploratória com o objetivo de conhecer as relações esteabelecidas entre o envelhecimento bem-sucedido, ativo, a atividade física e a capacidade funcional de uma população em processo de envelhecimento; e no terceiro momento foi realizado um estudo de cariz qualitativo com o objetivo de captar as percepções e comportamentos dos entrevistados diante do fato de se sentirem ou não pessoas idosas ou envelhecidas. Foram adotados os seguintes referenciais teóricos: envelhecimento ativo, envelhecimento bem sucedido, concepção muldidimensional do processual do envelhecimento (determinantes pessoais, familiares, sociais, psicocomunicacionais, econômicos e de saúde), atividade física e capacidade funcional e abordados à luz do perfil demográfico e da experiência das realidades européias, americana e brasileira. Foram triagulados métodos e técnicas (entrevista individual gravada, mensurações e questionário). Participaram pessoas com 60 anos de idade ou mais vinculadas que frequentam dois programas públicos destinados às pessoas idosas na cidade de Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais, Brasil e foram excluidas as participações de pessoas com dependência para atividades da vida diária, para as atividades instrumentais da vida diária e com alteração do nível de consciência. Amostra aleatória estratificada composta por 326 participantes na qual foram realizadas mensurações e amostra por tipicidade construída a partir da base amostral composta de 87 participantes na qual foi realizada entrevista individual gravada. Atendidos todos os requisitos éticos e legais de pesquisa envolvendo seres humanos, segundo legislação brasileira. Aplicada Análise Fatorial e selecionados 11 fatores com 31 variáveis que contemplaram os determinantes do processo de envelhecimento ativo. Realizado reajustamento da análise fatorial,por questão de coerência conceptual, sendo selecionado oito fatores nomeados de acordo com o referencial teórico adotado que resultou em 25 variáveis que abordaram a participação em atividades e acesso aos serviços de saúde; à atividade física; à convivência, interação e avaliação do contato social; à escolaridade e renda; à saúde percebida e ao voluntariado. Utilizado como marcador para a atividade aeróbia o perfil da sobrecarga da atividade física semanal em consonância com diretrizes e recomendações de atividades aeróbias de intensidade moderada para as pessoas idosas. Identificado que 60,7% dos entrevistados realizam atividade física insuficiente. Os indicadores antropométricos utilizados evidenciaram índices de sobrepeso e de obesidade tanto entre os homens quanto entre as mulheres. Houve correlação do índice de massa corporal (IMC) com as medidas efetuadas segundo as faixas etárias. A análise inferencial possibilitou relacionar os determinantes do envelhecimento ativo, as medidas antropométricas e as variáveis sociodemográficas (escolaridade e idade), sendo obtidos os seguintes destaques: 1) à medida em que a idade aumenta, diminuem os níveis de prática da atividade física, dos contatos com as pessoas para conversar (das relações de convivência), dos trabalhos de voluntariado e das relações familiares e intergeracionais; 2) foi identificado um alinhamento conceptual dos diferentes determinantes concorrentes para um envelhecimento ativo à luz da prática da atividade física com a convivência e interação com os familiares e com auto-avaliação positiva da saúde percebida e atividade física; 3) quanto maior a idade menor os anos de escolaridade; 4) a diminuição da área transversa do braço e do IMC à medida que a idade aumenta, retratou diminuição da adiposidade corporal que está associada à perda da massa magra. A categorização do discurso dos 87 entrevistados permitiu captar a percepção do processo de envelhecimento por dois critérios antagônicos: preservação da autonomia e presença da deterioração. Foi caracterizado o sistema de crenças dos participantes com 1090 emissões de crenças. Houve tendência do sistema de crenças à centralidade com 638 (58,6%) crenças retratando concepções e situações difíceis de serem modificadas por processos educacionais. Os resultados obtidos diagnosticaram e reiteraram a tendência de incremento numérico de pessoas com 60 anos de idade ou mais na cidade brasileira de Juiz de Fora. Embora o estatuto do idoso esteja alicerçado em princípios do envelhecimento saudável e ativo ficou evidenciado a necessidade de estratégias para implementá-la com vistas a impactos sociais, econômicas e de saúde na perspectiva da prática de atividade física e da preservação da capacidade funcional. Constituem contribuição da presente investigação: 1) fundamentos teóricos e informação sobre juiz-foranos com 60 anos de idade ou mais segundo dimensões social, econômica, cultural e espiritual numa concepção ampliada de saúde; 2) abordagem do envelhecimento de forma processual e integrada, multidimensional e articulada com o ciclo da vida; 3) diagnóstico do grau de autonomia dos participantes permitindo subsidiar decisões para melhorar a capacidade funcional dos mesmos; 4) processo investigativo utilizando modelos teóricos que permitiram estabelecer um diagnóstico local e contextualizar o processo de envelhecimento para os participantes e 5) sobrecarga semanal de atividade física e os indicadores antropométricos dos participantes a ponto de subsidiar parâmetros de indicação terapêutica para manutenção da capacidade funcional.-------- ABSTRACT: The populational healthy aging holds part of the process of the human aging agenda, portraying a social concern with the repercussion in societary economies. The aging process when addressed out of the healthy aging paradigm socially disregard the human potential of the elderly, promoting segregation and motivating acts of prejudice and discrimination, in addition to the waste of experience, knowledge, culture and the participatory capacity of an older person in contributting to the society they are a part of. The Brazilian National Health Policy for the Elderly has its main focus in promoting the healthy aging, namely through the maintenance of the functional capacity by valuing the autonomy, physical independence and the mental integrity of the elderly person. The challenge of enabling the process of a successful and active aging lays in maximazing the capabilities, potencialities and personal, communitary and political resources. It infers additionaly a broad view of living, contextualized in the continuum of life, able to express concern with health and well-being, integrating the people in aging phase to the context of the life cycle. Hence, this research aimed to learn the determinants of active and successful aging in a population in aging process and relate them with the "practices/contents" and "representations/meanings" about aging, the physical activities and functional capacity. The investigation was structured in three studies: in the first it was developed and tested the instrument "Active Aging, Functional Capacity and Physical Activity" in the city of Lisboa, Portugal, and afterwards it was culturally and linguistically adapted from Portugal Portuguese to Brazilian Portuguese. The second study was an observational research with survey, descriptive and exploratory methods which aimed to learn the relations established between the successful aging, active aging, the physical activity and the functional capacity of a population in aging process; and the third comprised a qualitative study with the objective to collect the understanding and behavior of the interviewees based on the fact of either they saw themselves as elder or aged person or not. As theoretical framework were explored: active aging, successful aging, multidimensional concept of aging process (personal, familial, social, psycho-communicational, economic determinants), physical activity and functional capacity and explored based in demographic profile and in the European, American a Brazilian realities. Performed triangulation of methods and tecniques (recorded individual interviews, measurements and questionnaires). Participants were aged 60 or older included in two public services for the elderly population in the city of Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais, Brazil and were excluded persons with dependency in both daily activities and instrumental daily activities and the persons with altered level of conciousness. Stratified ramdon sample of 326 participants in which were performed the measurements and typicality sample constructed from the sample basis of 87 participants whereupon the recorded individual interview was performed. Conforming to all the ethical and legal requirements of research with human beings according to the Brazilian legislation. Applied Factor Analysis and selected 11 factors and 31 variables that convey the determinants of the active aging process. Executed reajustment of factor analysis, for conceptual coherence, being selected eight factors named accordingly to the theoretical framework that resulted in 25 variables which approached the participation in activities and access to health care services; to physical activity; to coexistence, interaction and evaluation of social contact; to scholarity and income; to perceived health and volunteering. Used as marker to aerobic activity the profile of weekly physical activity overload in accordance with guidelines and reccomendations for moderate-intensity aerobic activities for older people. Identified that 60,7% of interviewees practice enough physical activity. Anthropometric markers evidence overweight and obesity levels both within men and women. There was correlation between body mass index (BMI) and measures carried out according to age ranges. The inferential analysis allowed relating the active aging determinants, the anthropometric measurements and sociodemographic variables (scholarity and age), obtaining the following highlights: 1) to the extent that age increases, lowers the levels of physical activity practice, of contact with people to talk to (social relationships), of volunteering work and familial and intergenerational relationships; 2) it was identified a conceptual alignment of diferent determinants concurrent to an active aging in light of the physical activity practice with the relationship and interaction of family and with positive self-assessment of perceived health and physical activity; 3) the older the person, lower are scholarity levels; 4) the decrease of the cross-sectional area of the arm and BMI as the age increases portrayed decreased adiposity of the body that is associated with loss of lean body mass. The categorization of the speech of 87 interviewees allowed to collect the understanding of the aging process by two opposite criteria: preservation of autonomy and existance of decline. It marked the belief system of participants with 1090 beliefs expressed. With tendency of the belief system to centrality with 638(58,6%) beliefs showing concepts and dificult situations to be changed through educational processes. The results diagnosed and reiterated the tendency of increase in the number of people aged 60 or older in the Brazilian city of Juiz de Fora. Although the elderly statute is built upon principles of healthy and active aging it was evident the need of strategies to implement it aiming at social, economic and health impacts in the perspective of physical education and preservation of the functional capacity. Constitute contributions of this study: 1) theoretical fundaments and data about Juiz de Fora citizens aged 60 or more according to social, economic, cultural and spiritual dimensions in a broad concept of health; 2) approach of aging in a procedural and integrative, multidimensional manner, articulated with the life cycle; 3) diagnosis of degree of autonomy of participants enabling decisions on how to improve their functional capacities; 4) investigative process using theoretical models which permit to stablish a local diagnosis and contextualize the aging process of participants and 5) weekly overload of physical activity and anthropometric indexes of participants as to subsidize parameters to therapeutic indication to the maintainence of functional capacity.

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Applied Policy Analysis major

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As a part of the HIV behavioural surveillance system in Switzerland, repeated cross-sectional surveys were conducted in 1993, 1994, 1996, 2000 and 2006 among attenders of all low threshold facilities (LTFs) with needle exchange programmes and/or supervised drug consumption rooms for injection or inhalation in Switzerland. Data were collected in each LTF over five consecutive days, using a questionnaire that was partly completed by an interviewer and partly self administered. The questionnaire was structured around three topics: socio-demographic characteristics, drug consumption, health and risk/preventive behaviour. Analysis was restricted to attenders who had injected drugs during their lifetime (IDUs). Between 1993 and 2006, the median age of IDUs rose by 10 years. IDUs are severely marginalised and their social situation has improved little. The borrowing of used injection equipment (syringe or needle already used by other person) in the last six months decreased (16.5% in 1993, 8.9% in 2006) but stayed stable at around 10% over the past three surveys. Other risk behaviour, such as sharing spoons, cotton or water, was reported more frequently, although also showed a decreasing trend. The reported prevalence of HIV remained fairly stable at around 10% between 1993 and 2006; reported levels of hepatitis C virus (HCV) prevalence were high (56.4% in 2006). In conclusion, the overall decrease in the practice of injection has reduced the potential for transmission of infections. However as HCV prevalence is high this is of particular concern, as the current behaviour of IDUs indicates a potential for further spreading of the infection. Another noteworthy trend is the significant decrease in condom use in the case of paid sex.

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Debris flow hazard modelling at medium (regional) scale has been subject of various studies in recent years. In this study, hazard zonation was carried out, incorporating information about debris flow initiation probability (spatial and temporal), and the delimitation of the potential runout areas. Debris flow hazard zonation was carried out in the area of the Consortium of Mountain Municipalities of Valtellina di Tirano (Central Alps, Italy). The complexity of the phenomenon, the scale of the study, the variability of local conditioning factors, and the lacking data limited the use of process-based models for the runout zone delimitation. Firstly, a map of hazard initiation probabilities was prepared for the study area, based on the available susceptibility zoning information, and the analysis of two sets of aerial photographs for the temporal probability estimation. Afterwards, the hazard initiation map was used as one of the inputs for an empirical GIS-based model (Flow-R), developed at the University of Lausanne (Switzerland). An estimation of the debris flow magnitude was neglected as the main aim of the analysis was to prepare a debris flow hazard map at medium scale. A digital elevation model, with a 10 m resolution, was used together with landuse, geology and debris flow hazard initiation maps as inputs of the Flow-R model to restrict potential areas within each hazard initiation probability class to locations where debris flows are most likely to initiate. Afterwards, runout areas were calculated using multiple flow direction and energy based algorithms. Maximum probable runout zones were calibrated using documented past events and aerial photographs. Finally, two debris flow hazard maps were prepared. The first simply delimits five hazard zones, while the second incorporates the information about debris flow spreading direction probabilities, showing areas more likely to be affected by future debris flows. Limitations of the modelling arise mainly from the models applied and analysis scale, which are neglecting local controlling factors of debris flow hazard. The presented approach of debris flow hazard analysis, associating automatic detection of the source areas and a simple assessment of the debris flow spreading, provided results for consequent hazard and risk studies. However, for the validation and transferability of the parameters and results to other study areas, more testing is needed.