928 resultados para Antony Downs


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The design and planning of settlements in arid Australia has long been wrought with difficulties because they are positioned in the extremes of environmental and social contexts. Historically many mining-related settlements in Western Australia (WA), South Australia (SA), Northern Territory (NT) and Queensland have struggled or failed in realising a quality design and plan, but also to sustain a robust and vibrant community who do not wish to escape to mainstream suburbia or simply operate as a fly-in fly-out employer commuter from this suburbia. Places like Mt Isa, Theodore, Moranbah, Broken Hill, Radium Hill, Leigh Creek, Roxby Downs, Paraburdoo, Shay Gap, Karratha are typical of these circumstances.

This paper reviews the design and planning origins of the villages at Olympic Dam, and critiques the future designs embedded in the Olympic Dam Expansion Environmental Impact Statement [EIS] (2009). These villages consist of Olympic dam village ( a fly-in fly-out dong-go containerised community accommodating some 500 workers) and Roxby Downs (a mixed Adelaide-template suburb with temporary village and caravan park insertions accommodation some 4,500 ‘permanent’ residents and some 200 fly-in fly-out ‘workers’). The scenario presented in the EIS is to demolish the former and establish a new village for some 10,000 workers, and expand Roxby Downs from 4,500 to near 20,000 although whether this later figure will occur is unclear but certainly the infrastructure and facilities have to be increased as well as increasing residential accommodation units).

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The principles and knowledge about arid planning and design have much applicability to contemporary Australian planning discourses because of climate change evidence and policy shifts that sketch a hotter and more unreliable future climate with an emphasis upon a semi-arid environment for Australia. Despite this merit and intent, we appear to have learnt little from the past and are failing to draw upon the pioneering planning and design knowledge that underpinned community development and scaffolding in numerous Australian arid and semi-arid communities, and to bring this knowledge into our future planning processes and strategies.

This paper considers the essential attributes and variables of three Australian arid planning and design, drawing upon historical practice and research that have been explored in the planning of semi-arid and arid places including Port Pirie, Whyalla, Monarto, Broken Hill, Port Augusta, Leigh Creek, Andamooka, Olympic Dam Village and Roxby Downs. It specifically reviews Woomera Village (1940s) Shay Gap (1970s) and the proposed extensions to Roxby Downs (2010s) as models of how to better plan and design communities in arid environments. Instrumental in these innovations is the use of landscape-responsive urban design strategies, water harvesting and irregular rainfall capture, arid horticulture, building design, colour and materiality, orientation and shading strategies, and social community construction under difficult isolationist circumstances. The paper points to key strategies that need to be incorporated in future climate change responsive community developments and policy making.

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O teste de condutividade elétrica tem sido excelente ferramenta para avaliar a qualidade de sementes de diversas espécies e, mais recentemente, estudos têm sido conduzidos visando verificar sua aplicabilidade em sementes florestais. Assim este trabalho objetivou estabelecer metodologia específica do teste de condutividade elétrica para sementes de branquilho. Foram usados três lotes de sementes resultantes do armazenamento em embalagens de vidro (Lote I), pano (Lote II) e papel (Lote III), em câmara fria (10ºC e 60% UR), por cinco meses, os quais foram submetidos ao teste de germinação, avaliando-se a porcentagem e o índice de velocidade de germinação. No teste de condutividade elétrica foram estudadas três quantidades de sementes por repetição (25, 50 e 75 sementes), três volumes de água deionizada (50, 75 e 100mL) e 11 tempos de embebição das sementes (2, 4, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, 36, 42, 48 e 72h), a 25ºC. O lote I apresentou maior porcentagem e velocidade de germinação. O teste de condutividade elétrica possibilitou a mesma discriminação dos lotes que o teste de germinação, em combinações variadas dos fatores estudados. Foi possível separar o lote de melhor qualidade fisiológica (Lote I) dos demais lotes, já a partir de 2 horas de embebição, utilizando-se amostras de 75 sementes embebidas em 50, 75 ou 100mL de água; ou amostras de 50 sementes embebidas em 50mL de água, a partir de 18 horas de embebição. Desta forma, pode-se recomendar o uso de 75 sementes, embebidas em 75mL de água, por 24 horas à temperatura de 25ºC, para a condução do teste de condutividade elétrica.

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Sebastiania commersoniana (Euphorbiaceae) is a tree species of riparian forests in Brazil. Seeds of this species released from mature fruits have heteromorphy in coat colour: dark (dark-brown to black), striated (dark with light-grey stria) and clear (light-grey to whitish). In this work two experiments were carried out in order to study the effect of temperature on seed germination in interaction with coat colour. Germination final percentage and speed index were evaluated. In the first experiment seeds of the three colours were submitted to constant (30°C) and alternating (20-35°C) temperatures. For all the seed colours, best results were obtained at alternating temperature. Physiological quality of striated seeds was greater than those clear seeds and dark seeds were intermediate. In the second experiment striated and clear seeds were submitted to three amplitudes of alternating temperature: 5°C (20-25°C and 25-30°C), 10°C (20-30°C and 25-35°C) and 15°C (20-35°C). Both germination percentage and speed were higher in striated seeds and for the two seed colours, best results were obtained at 20-30°C and 20-35°C. These temperatures are recommended for the germination test.

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This paper aims to evaluate the physiological quality of Sebastiania commersoniana seeds stored in cloth bag, plastic bag and glass container and kept in two conditions: laboratory workbench and cold chamber (4 ± 2°C e 80% relative humidity - RH) for 531 days. Periodically, samples were taken in order to determine the moisture content and to perform germination tests. The experimental design was completely randomized, in factorial scheme of 3 × 2 (wrappings × conditions), for each period of storage evaluated (0, 158, 271, 389 and 531 days of storage). Supplementary, a polynomial regression was adjusted in order to describe the physiological quality of the seeds for the different conditions during the experimental period. The results lead to the following considerations: a) storage under variable temperature and air humidity (laboratory workbench) can be used for periods of over five and a half months, with the seeds stored in cloth bag, plastic bag or glass container; b) the physiological quality of the seeds was not hardly altered when stored in cold chamber in cloth bag, plastic bag and glass container for over 18 months.

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The objective of this work was to evaluate the efficiency of different vigor tests to assess S. commersoniana seeds physiological quality during storage. Therefore, seeds were stored in cloth bags, plastic bags and glass containers for 531 days, both at room temperature and in a cold chamber. Periodically samples were taken and the following tests were conducted: standard germination, germination speed index, first count after germination, seedlings fresh and dry matter, electrical conductivity (imbibitions for 2 and 24 hours) and accelerated aging, in order to monitoring the seeds physiologic quality. Data were submitted to polynomial regression analysis, for each of the combination of packaging/storage condition. The results obtained led to the following considerations: a) the speed germination index and the accelerated aging test permitted a good evaluation of the seed-lots quality; b) the first count of germination did not allow any prediction about seed lots vigor; c) seedling fresh and dry matter did not discriminate among seed lots; d) electrical conductivity test after 2 h imbibitions was not adequate to evaluate the seed lots vigor and e) the electric conductivity test with 24 h imbibitions was more adequate to differentiate among seed lots, but with little efficiency to discriminate among seed lots with intermediate vigor or with low quality differences.

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This edition of the FAL Bulletin analyses the maritime cycle and its impact on the overall business cycle. In particular, it considers the financial and economic crisis which shook the world from 2008 onwards, affecting both world trade and levels of economic activity, with serious consequences for maritime transport.

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This article seeks to contribute to the illumination of the so-called 'paradox of voting' using the German Bundestag elections of 1998 as an empirical case. Downs' model of voter participation will be extended to include elements of the theory of subjective expected utility (SEU). This will allow a theoretical and empirical exploration of the crucial mechanisms of individual voters' decisions to participate, or abstain from voting, in the German general election of 1998. It will be argued that the infinitely low probability of an individual citizen's vote to decide the election outcome will not necessarily reduce the probability of electoral participation. The empirical analysis is largely based on data from the ALLBUS 1998. It confirms the predictions derived from SEU theory. The voters' expected benefits and their subjective expectation to be able to influence government policy by voting are the crucial mechanisms to explain participation. By contrast, the explanatory contribution of perceived information and opportunity costs is low.

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Seit der richtungweisenden wie einflußreichen Arbeit von Downs (1957) wird in der empirischen Wahlforschung das „Paradox der Wahlbeteiligung“ kontrovers diskutiert. Kritiker des ökonomischen Ansatzes führen gerade dieses Paradox an, um die Grenzen von Rational-Choice-Theorien aufzuzeigen (z.B. Green und Shapiro 1994). Ausgangspunkt dieser Debatte ist zunächst der Versuch von Downs, die Beteiligung von Individuen an politischen Wahlen mit der Theorie rationaler Entscheidung zu erklären: Demnach beteiligen sich Wahlberechtigte an Wahlen, wenn aus ihrer Sicht der erwartete Nutzen der Wahlbeteiligung (etwa persönliche Vorteile nach dem Wahlsieg der präferierten Partei) die anfallenden Kosten der Wahlbeteiligung (etwa zeitlicher Aufwand für Beschaffung, Auswertung und Analyse von Informationen über das Politikangebot) übersteigt. Wahlberechtigte diskontieren den zu maximierenden Nutzen aus ihrer Wahlbeteiligung mit der Wahrscheinlichkeit, daß ihre eigene Stimme der präferierten Partei zum Wahlsieg verhilft. Allerdings tendiert diese Wahrscheinlichkeit, den Wahlausgang alleine zu entscheiden, mit der anwachsenden Größe des Elektorats gegen Null. Da aber aus Sicht des einzelnen Wählers die eigene Stimme so gut wie keinen entscheidenden Einfluß auf den Wahlausgang hat, aber mit Sicherheit Informations-, Opportunitäts- und Teilnahmekosten anfallen, die dann immer größer als die mit der Erfolgswahrscheinlichkeit gewichteten Nutzeneinkommen sind, ist es höchst unwahrscheinlich, daß sich ein instrumentell rationaler Akteur an politischen Wahlen beteiligt (Downs 1957: 244–245). Jedoch sind in modernen Demokratien die Beteiligungen an politischen Wahlen mitunter beträchtlich, und diese empirische Beobachtung widerspricht der ökonomischen Theorie des Wählens von Downs (1957)1. Es stellt sich also die Frage, warum sich Wahlberechtigte an politischen Wahlen beteiligen und warum die Wahlbeteiligungen zumeist recht hoch sind (vgl. Palfrey und Rosenthal 1993).

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Text von Rudolf Lothar. Musik von Eugen d'Albert

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Signatur des Originals: S 36/F08331

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Signatur des Originals: S 36/G03271