Spatial predictions of land-use transitions and associated threats to biodiversity: the case of forest regrowth in mountain grasslands

Question Can we predict where forest regrowth caused by abandonment of agricultural activities is likely to occur? Can we assess how it may conflict with grassland diversity hotspots? Location Western Swiss Alps (4003210m a.s.l.). Methods We used statistical models to predict the location of land abandonment by farmers that is followed by forest regrowth in semi-natural grasslands of the Western Swiss Alps. Six modelling methods (GAM, GBM, GLM, RF, MDA, MARS) allowing binomial distribution were tested on two successive transitions occurring between three time periods. Models were calibrated using data on land-use change occurring between 1979 and 1992 as response, and environmental, accessibility and socio-economic variables as predictors, and these were validated for their capacity to predict the changes observed from 1992 to 2004. Projected probabilities of land-use change from an ensemble forecast of the six models were combined with a model of plant species richness based on a field inventory, allowing identification of critical grassland areas for the preservation of biodiversity. Results Models calibrated over the first land-use transition period predicted the second transition with reasonable accuracy. Forest regrowth occurs where cultivation costs are high and yield potential is low, i.e. on steeper slopes and at higher elevations. Overlaying species richness with land-use change predictions, we identified priority areas for the management and conservation of biodiversity at intermediate elevations. Conclusions Combining land-use change and biodiversity projections, we propose applied management measures for targeted/identified locations to limit the loss of biodiversity that could otherwise occur through loss of open habitats. The same approach could be applied to other types of land-use changes occurring in other ecosystems.

Novel use of a whole cell E. coli bioreporter as a urinary exposure biomarker.

Bacterial bioreporters have substantial potential for contaminant assessment but their real world application is currently impaired by a lack of sensitivity. Here, we exploit the bioconcentration of chemicals in the urine of animals to facilitate pollutant detection. The shore crab Carcinus maenas was exposed to the organic contaminant 2-hydroxybiphenyl, and urine was screened using an Escherichia coli-based luciferase gene (luxAB) reporter assay specific to this compound. Bioassay measurements differentiated between the original contaminant and its metabolites, quantifying bioconcentration factors of up to one hundred-fold in crab urine. Our results reveal the substantial potential of using bacterial bioreporter assays in real-time monitoring of biological matricesto determine exposure histories, with wide ranging potential for the in situ measurement of xenobiotics in risk assessments and epidemiology.

Performance analysis of software run-time behaviour using 3D-visualisation

Monimutkaisen tietokonejärjestelmän suorituskykyoptimointi edellyttää järjestelmän ajonaikaisen käyttäytymisen ymmärtämistä. Ohjelmiston koon ja monimutkaisuuden kasvun myötä suorituskykyoptimointi tulee yhä tärkeämmäksi osaksi tuotekehitysprosessia. Tehokkaampien prosessorien käytön myötä myös energiankulutus ja lämmöntuotto ovat nousseet yhä suuremmiksi ongelmiksi, erityisesti pienissä, kannettavissa laitteissa. Lämpö- ja energiaongelmien rajoittamiseksi on kehitetty suorituskyvyn skaalausmenetelmiä, jotka edelleen lisäävät järjestelmän kompleksisuutta ja suorituskykyoptimoinnin tarvetta. Tässä työssä kehitettiin visualisointi- ja analysointityökalu ajonaikaisen käyttäytymisen ymmärtämisen helpottamiseksi. Lisäksi kehitettiin suorituskyvyn mitta, joka mahdollistaa erilaisten skaalausmenetelmien vertailun ja arvioimisen suoritusympäristöstä riippumatta, perustuen joko suoritustallenteen tai teoreettiseen analyysiin. Työkalu esittää ajonaikaisesti kerätyn tallenteen helposti ymmärrettävällä tavalla. Se näyttää mm. prosessit, prosessorikuorman, skaalausmenetelmien toiminnan sekä energiankulutuksen kolmiulotteista grafiikkaa käyttäen. Työkalu tuottaa myös käyttäjän valitsemasta osasta suorituskuvaa numeerista tietoa, joka sisältää useita oleellisia suorituskykyarvoja ja tilastotietoa. Työkalun sovellettavuutta tarkasteltiin todellisesta laitteesta saatua suoritustallennetta sekä suorituskyvyn skaalauksen simulointia analysoimalla. Skaalausmekanismin parametrien vaikutus simuloidun laitteen suorituskykyyn analysoitiin.

Use of anisotropic modelling in electrical impedance tomography: description of method and preliminary assessment of utility in imaging brain function in the adult human head.

Electrical Impedance Tomography (EIT) is an imaging method which enables a volume conductivity map of a subject to be produced from multiple impedance measurements. It has the potential to become a portable non-invasive imaging technique of particular use in imaging brain function. Accurate numerical forward models may be used to improve image reconstruction but, until now, have employed an assumption of isotropic tissue conductivity. This may be expected to introduce inaccuracy, as body tissues, especially those such as white matter and the skull in head imaging, are highly anisotropic. The purpose of this study was, for the first time, to develop a method for incorporating anisotropy in a forward numerical model for EIT of the head and assess the resulting improvement in image quality in the case of linear reconstruction of one example of the human head. A realistic Finite Element Model (FEM) of an adult human head with segments for the scalp, skull, CSF, and brain was produced from a structural MRI. Anisotropy of the brain was estimated from a diffusion tensor-MRI of the same subject and anisotropy of the skull was approximated from the structural information. A method for incorporation of anisotropy in the forward model and its use in image reconstruction was produced. The improvement in reconstructed image quality was assessed in computer simulation by producing forward data, and then linear reconstruction using a sensitivity matrix approach. The mean boundary data difference between anisotropic and isotropic forward models for a reference conductivity was 50%. Use of the correct anisotropic FEM in image reconstruction, as opposed to an isotropic one, corrected an error of 24 mm in imaging a 10% conductivity decrease located in the hippocampus, improved localisation for conductivity changes deep in the brain and due to epilepsy by 4-17 mm, and, overall, led to a substantial improvement on image quality. This suggests that incorporation of anisotropy in numerical models used for image reconstruction is likely to improve EIT image quality.

Comparison of central macular thickness (CMT) measurement between time domain and spectral domain (SD) optical coherence tomography (OCT) and reproducibility of SD OCT in active neovascular AMD

Purpose: To evaluate the reproducibility of Cirrus-SD OCT measurements and to compare central macular thickness (CMT) measurements between TD-Stratus and SD-Cirrus OCT in patients with active exudative AMD. Methods: Consecutive case series of patients with active exudative AMD seen in the Medical Retina Department. Patients underwent 1 scan with Stratus (macular thickness map protocol) and 5 scans with Cirrus (Macular Cube protocol) at the same visit by the same experienced examiner. To be included, patients best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) had to be >20/200 while all scans had to be of sufficient quality, well-centered and at least one Cirrus scan with CMT >300 microns. The repeatability of the SD Cirrus was estimated by using all 5 CMT measurements and the mean of the Cirrus measurements was compared with the CMT obtained by TD Stratus. Results: Cirrus OCT demonstrated high intraobserver repeatability at the central foveal region (ICC 96%). The mean of the CMT measurements was 321microns for Stratus and 387 microns for Cirrus. The average difference was 65m (SD=30). The coefficient of concordance between Stratus and Cirrus CMT measurements was rho=0,749 with a high precision and a moderate accuracy. The equation of the line of regression between Stratus and meanCirrus is given by the following: M_stratus = 0,848 x m_cirrus - 4,496 (1).Conclusions: The Cirrus macular cube protocol allows reproducible CMT measurements in patients with active exudative AMD. In cases of upgrading from TD to SD use and vice versa, there is the possibility to predict the measurements by using the equation (1). These real life data and conclusions can help in improving our clinical management of patients with neovascular AMD.

Use of field measurements in fatigue analysis of forestry cranes

Tässä työssä on esitetty väsyttävän kuormituksen mittaamiseen ja mittausdatan jälkikäsittelyyn sekä väsymismitoitukseen liittyviä menetelmiä. Menetelmien sovelluskohteena oli metsäkoneen kuormain, joka on väsyttävästi kuormitettu hitsattu rakenne. Teoriaosassa on kuvattu väsymisilmiötä ja väsymismitoitusmenetelmiä sekä kuormitusten tunnistamiseen ja mittausten jälkikäsittelyyn liittyviä menetelmiä. Yleisimmin käytettyjen väsymismitoitusmenetelmien rinnalle on esitetty luotettavuuteen perustuvaa väsymismitoitusmenetelmää. Kuormainten suunnittelussa on keveys- j a kestoikävaatimusten takia erityisen suuri merkitys väsymisen huomioimisella. Rakenteille on ominaista tietyt toiminnan kannalta välttämättömät hitsatut yksityiskohdat, jotka usein määräävät koko rakenteen kestoiän. Koska nämä ongelmakohdat pystytään useimmiten tunnistamaan jo suunnitteluvaiheessa, voidaan yksityiskohtien muotoilulla usein parantaa huomattavasti koko rakenteen kestoikää. Näiden yksityiskohtien optimointi on osittain mahdollista toteuttaa ilman kuormituskertymätietoa, mutta useimmiten kuormitusten tunnistaminen on edellytys parhaan ratkaisun löytymiselle. Tällöin toistaiseksi paras keino todellisen väsyttävän kuormituksen tunnistamiseksi on pitkäaikaiset kenttämittaukset. Kenttämittauksilla selvitetään rakenteeseen kohdistuvat kuormitukset venymäliuskojen avulla. Kuormitusten tunnistamisella on erityisen suuri merkitys kun halutaan määrittää rakenteen kestoikä. Väsyminen ja väsyttävä kuormitus ovat kuitenkin tilastollisia muuttujia j a yksittäiselle rakenteelle ei ole mahdollista määrittää tarkkaa k estoikää. Tilastollisia menetelmiä käyttäen on kuitenkin mahdollista määrittää rakenteen vaurioitumisriski. Laskettaessa vaurioitumisriskiä suurelle määrälle yksittäisiä rakenteita voidaan muodostaa tarkkojakin ennusteita mahdollisten vaurioiden lukumäärästä. Tällöin kuormituskertymätiedosta voi olla tavanomaisen suunnittelun lisäksi laajempaa hyötyä esimerkiksi takuukäsittelyssä. Tässä työssä on sovellettu esitettyjä teorioita käytännössä metsäkoneen harvesterin puomiston väsymistarkasteluun. Kyseisen rakenteen kuormituksia mitattiin kahden viikon aikana yhteensä 35 tuntia, jonka perusteella laskettiin väsyttävän kuormituksen tilastollinen jakauma esimerkkitapaukselle. Mittauksen perusteella ei voitu tehdä kuitenkaan johtopäätöksiä tuotteen koko elinkaaren kuormituksista eikä muiden samanlaisten tuotteiden kuormituksista, koska mitattu otos oli suhteellisen lyhyt ja rajoittui vain yhteen käyttäjään ja muutamaan käyttökohteeseen. Menetelmien testaamiseksi kyseinen otos oli kuitenkin riittävä. Kuormituskertymätietoa käytettiin hyväksi myös laatumääritysten muodostamisessaesimerkkitapaukselle. Murtumismekaniikkaan perustuvalla menetelmällä arvioitiinharvesteripilarin valun mahdollisten valuvirheiden suurin sallittu koko. Luotettavuuteen pohjautuvan mitoitusmenettelyn tarve näyttää olevanlisääntymässä, joten pitkäaikaisten kenttämittausten tehokas hyödyntäminen tulee olemaan keskeinen osa väsymismitoitusta lähitulevaisuudessa. Menetelmiä olisi mahdollista tehostaa yhdistämällä kuormituskertymään erilaisia kuormitusten suhteen riippuvia tunnettuja suureita kuten käsiteltävän puun halkaisija. Todellisettuotekohtaiset tilastolliset jakaumat kuormituksista voitaisiin muodostaa mahdollisesti tehokkaammin, jos esimerkiksi kuormitusten riippuvuus metsätyypistä pystyttäisiin ensin määrittämään.

Real-time monitoring of protein conformational changes using a nano-mechanical sensor.

Proteins can switch between different conformations in response to stimuli, such as pH or temperature variations, or to the binding of ligands. Such plasticity and its kinetics can have a crucial functional role, and their characterization has taken center stage in protein research. As an example, Topoisomerases are particularly interesting enzymes capable of managing tangled and supercoiled double-stranded DNA, thus facilitating many physiological processes. In this work, we describe the use of a cantilever-based nanomotion sensor to characterize the dynamics of human topoisomerase II (Topo II) enzymes and their response to different kinds of ligands, such as ATP, which enhance the conformational dynamics. The sensitivity and time resolution of this sensor allow determining quantitatively the correlation between the ATP concentration and the rate of Topo II conformational changes. Furthermore, we show how to rationalize the experimental results in a comprehensive model that takes into account both the physics of the cantilever and the dynamics of the ATPase cycle of the enzyme, shedding light on the kinetics of the process. Finally, we study the effect of aclarubicin, an anticancer drug, demonstrating that it affects directly the Topo II molecule inhibiting its conformational changes. These results pave the way to a new way of studying the intrinsic dynamics of proteins and of protein complexes allowing new applications ranging from fundamental proteomics to drug discovery and development and possibly to clinical practice.

The use of positional scanning synthetic combinatorial libraries (PS-SCL) to study T Lympohcyte specificity and degeneracy

Les cellules CD8? T cytolytiques (CTL) sont les principaux effecteurs du système immunitaire adaptatif contre les infections et les tumeurs. La récente identification d?antigènes tumoraux humains reconnus par des cellules T cytolytiques est la base pour le, développement des vaccins antigène spécifiques contre le cancer. Le nombre d?antigènes tumoraux reconnus par des CTL que puisse être utilisé comme cible pour la vaccination des patients atteints du cancer est encore limité. Une nouvelle technique, simple et rapide, vient d?être proposée pour l?identification d?antigènes reconnus par des CTL. Elle se base sur l?utilisation de librairies combinatoriales de peptides arrangées en un format de "scanning" ou balayage par position (PS-SCL). La première partie de cette étude a consisté à valider cette nouvelle technique par une analyse détaillée de la reconnaissance des PS-SCL par différents clones de CTL spécifiques pour des antigènes associés à la tumeur (TAA) connus ainsi que par des clones de spécificité inconnue. Les résultats de ces analyses révèlent que pour tous les clones, la plupart des acides aminés qui composent la séquence du peptide antigénique naturel ont été identifiés par l?utilisation des PS-SCL. Les résultats obtenus ont permis d?identifier des peptides analogues ayant une antigènicité augmentée par rapport au peptide naturel, ainsi que des peptides comportant de multiples modifications de séquence, mais présentant la même réactivité que le peptide naturel. La deuxième partie de cette étude a consisté à effectuer des analyses biométriques des résultats complexes générés par la PS-SCL. Cette approche a permis l?identification des séquences correspondant aux épitopes naturels à partir de bases de données de peptides publiques. Parmi des milliers de peptides, les séquences naturelles se trouvent comprises dans les 30 séquences ayant les scores potentiels de stimulation les plus élevés pour chaque TAA étudié. Mais plus important encore, l?utilisation des PS-SCL avec un clone réactif contre des cellules tumorales mais de spécificité inconnue nous a permis d?identifier I?epitope reconnu par ce clone. Les données présentées ici encouragent l?utilisation des PS-SCL pour l?identification et l?optimisation d?épitopes pour des CTL réactifs anti-tumoraux, ainsi que pour l?étude de la reconnaissance dégénérée d?antigènes par les CTL.<br/><br/>CD8+ cytolytic T lymphocytes (CTL) are the main effector cells of the adaptive immune system against infection and tumors. The recent identification of moleculariy defined human tumor Ags recognized by autologous CTL has opened new opportunities for the development of Ag-specific cancer vaccines. Despite extensive work, however, the number of CTL-defined tumor Ags that are suitable targets for the vaccination of cancer patients is still limited, especially because of the laborious and time consuming nature of the procedures currentiy used for their identification. The use of combinatorial peptide libraries in positionai scanning format (Positional Scanning Synthetic Combinatorial Libraries, PS-SCL)' has recently been proposed as an alternative approach for the identification of these epitopes. To validate this approach, we analyzed in detail the recognition of PS-SCL by tumor-reactive CTL clones specific for multiple well-defined tumor-associated Ags (TAA) as well as by tumor-reactive CTL clones of unknown specificity. The results of these analyses revealed that for all the TAA-specific clones studied most of the amino acids composing the native antigenic peptide sequences could be identified through the use of PS-SCL. Based on the data obtained from the screening of PS-SCL, we could design peptide analogs of increased antigenicity as well as cross-reactive analog peptides containing multiple amino acid substitutions. In addition, the resuits of PS-SCL-screening combined with a recently developed biometric data analysis (PS-SCL-based biometric database analysis) allowed the identification of the native peptides in public protein databases among the 30 most active sequences, and this was the case for all the TAA studied. More importantiy, the screening of PS- SCL with a tumor-reactive CTL clone of unknown specificity resulted in the identification of the actual epitope. Overall, these data encourage the use of PS-SCL not oniy for the identification and optimization of tumor-associated CTL epitopes, but also for the analysis of degeneracy in T lymphocyte receptor (TCR) recognition of tumor Ags.<br/><br/>Les cellules T CD8? cytolytiques font partie des globules blancs du sang et sont les principales responsables de la lutte contre les infections et les tumeurs. Les immunologistes cherchent depuis des années à identifier des molécules exprimées et présentées à la surface des tumeurs qui puissent être reconnues par des cellules T CD8? cytolytiques capables ensuite de tuer ces tumeurs de façon spécifique. Ce type de molécules représente la base pour le développement de vaccins contre le cancer puisqu?elles pourraient être injectées aux patients afin d?induire une réponse anti- tumorale. A présent, il y a très peu de molécules capables de stimuler le système immunitaire contre les tumeurs qui sont connues parce que les techniques développées à ce jour pour leur identification sont complexes et longues. Une nouvelle technique vient d?être proposée pour l?identification de ce type de molécules qui se base sur l?utilisation de librairies de peptides. Ces librairies représentent toutes les combinaisons possibles des composants de base des molécules recherchées. La première partie de cette étude a consisté à valider cette nouvelle technique en utilisant des cellules T CD8? cytolytiques capables de tuer des cellules tumorales en reconnaissant une molécule connue présente à leur surface. On a démontré que l?utilisation des librairies permet d?identifier la plupart des composants de base de la molécule reconnue par les cellules T CD8? cytolytiques utilisées. La deuxième partie de cette étude a consisté à effectuer une recherche des molécules potentiellement actives dans des protéines présentes dans des bases des données en utilisant un programme informatique qui permet de classer les molécules sur la base de leur activité biologique. Parmi des milliers de molécules de la base de données, celles reconnues par nos cellules T CD8? cytolytiques ont été trouvées parmi les plus actives. Plus intéressant encore, la combinaison de ces deux techniques nous a permis d?identifier la molécule reconnue par une population de cellules T CD8? cytolytiques ayant une activité anti-tumorale, mais pour laquelle on ne connaissait pas la spécificité. Nos résultats encouragent l?utilisation des librairies pour trouver et optimiser des molécules reconnues spécifiquement par des cellules T CD8? cytolytiques capables de tuer des tumeurs.

Welding time models for cost calculations in the early stages of the design process

It is generally accepted that between 70 and 80% of manufacturing costs can be attributed to design. Nevertheless, it is difficult for the designer to estimate manufacturing costs accurately, especially when alternative constructions are compared at the conceptual design phase, because of the lack of cost information and appropriate tools. In general, previous reports concerning optimisation of a welded structure have used the mass of the product as the basis for the cost comparison. However, it can easily be shown using a simple example that the use of product mass as the sole manufacturing cost estimator is unsatisfactory. This study describes a method of formulating welding time models for cost calculation, and presents the results of the models for particular sections, based on typical costs in Finland. This was achieved by collecting information concerning welded products from different companies. The data included 71 different welded assemblies taken from the mechanical engineering and construction industries. The welded assemblies contained in total 1 589 welded parts, 4 257 separate welds, and a total welded length of 3 188 metres. The data were modelled for statistical calculations, and models of welding time were derived by using linear regression analysis. Themodels were tested by using appropriate statistical methods, and were found to be accurate. General welding time models have been developed, valid for welding in Finland, as well as specific, more accurate models for particular companies. The models are presented in such a form that they can be used easily by a designer, enabling the cost calculation to be automated.

Dissemination of periodic mammography and patterns of use, by birth cohort, in Catalonia (Spain)

Background: In Catalonia (Spain) breast cancer mortality has declined since the beginning of the 1990s. The dissemination of early detection by mammography and the introduction of adjuvant treatments are among the possible causes of this decrease, and both were almost coincident in time. Thus, understanding how these procedures were incorporated into use in the general population and in women diagnosed with breast cancer is very important for assessing their contribution to the reduction in breast cancer mortality. In this work we have modeled the dissemination of periodic mammography and described repeat mammography behavior in Catalonia from 1975 to 2006. Methods: Cross-sectional data from three Catalan Health Surveys for the calendar years 1994, 2002 and 2006 was used. The dissemination of mammography by birth cohort was modeled using a mixed effects model and repeat mammography behavior was described by age and survey year. Results: For women born from 1938 to 1952, mammography clearly had a period effect, meaning that they started to have periodic mammograms at the same calendar years but at different ages. The age at which approximately 50% of the women were receiving periodic mammograms went from 57.8 years of age for women born in 1938–1942 to 37.3 years of age for women born in 1963–1967. Women in all age groups experienced an increase in periodic mammography use over time, although women in the 50–69 age group have experienced the highest increase. Currently, the target population of the Catalan Breast Cancer Screening Program, 50–69 years of age, is the group that self-reports the highest utilization of periodic mammograms, followed by the 40–49 age group. A higher proportion of women of all age groups have annual mammograms rather than biennial or irregular ones. Conclusion: Mammography in Catalonia became more widely implemented during the 1990s. We estimated when cohorts initiated periodic mammograms and how frequently women are receiving them. These two pieces of information will be entered into a cost-effectiveness model of early detection in Catalonia.

Deposits of the sandy braided South Saskatchewan River: Implications for the use of modern analogs in reconstructing channel dimensions in reservoir characterization

Estimation of the dimensions of fluvial geobodies from core data is a notoriously difficult problem in reservoir modeling. To try and improve such estimates and, hence, reduce uncertainty in geomodels, data on dunes, unit bars, cross-bar channels, and compound bars and their associated deposits are presented herein from the sand-bed braided South Saskatchewan River, Canada. These data are used to test models that relate the scale of the formative bed forms to the dimensions of the preserved deposits and, therefore, provide an insight as to how such deposits may be preserved over geologic time. The preservation of bed-form geometry is quantified by comparing the Alluvial architecture above and below the maximum erosion depth of the modem channel deposits. This comparison shows that there is no significant difference in the mean set thickness of dune cross-strata above and below the basal erosion surface of the contemporary channel, thus suggesting that dimensional relationships between dune deposits and the formative bed-form dimensions are likely to be valid from both recent and older deposits. The data show that estimates of mean bankfull flow depth derived from dune, unit bar, and cross-bar channel deposits are all very similar. Thus, the use of all these metrics together can provide a useful check that all components and scales of the alluvial architecture have been identified correctly when building reservoir models. The data also highlight several practical issues with identifying and applying data relating to cross-strata. For example, the deposits of unit bars were found to be severely truncated in length and width, with only approximately 10% of the mean bar-form length remaining, and thus making identification in section difficult. For similar reasons, the deposits of compound bars were found to be especially difficult to recognize, and hence, estimates of channel depth based on this method may be problematic. Where only core data are available (i.e., no outcrop data exist), formative flow depths are suggested to be best reconstructed using cross-strata formed by dunes. However, theoretical relationships between the distribution of set thicknesses and formative dune height are found to result in slight overestimates of the latter and, hence, mean bankfull flow depths derived from these measurements. This article illustrates that the preservation of fluvial cross-strata and, thus, the paleohydraulic inferences that can be drawn from them, are a function of the ratio of the size and migration rate of bed forms and the time scale of aggradation and channel migration. These factors must thus be considered when deciding on appropriate length:thickness ratios for the purposes of object-based modeling in reservoir characterization.

Is the relationship between major depressive disorder and self-reported alcohol use disorder an artificial one ?

AIMS: Many studies have suggested a close relationship between alcohol use disorder (AUD) and major depressive disorder (MDD). This study aimed to test whether the relationship between self-reported AUD and MDD was artificially strengthened by the diagnosis of MDD. This association was tested comparing relationships between alcohol use and AUD for depressive people and non-depressive people. METHODS: As part of the Cohort Study on Substance Use Risk Factors, 4352 male Swiss alcohol users in their early twenties answered questions concerning their alcohol use, AUD and MDD at two time points. Generalized linear models for cross-sectional and longitudinal associations were calculated. RESULTS: For cross-sectional associations, depressive participants reported a higher number of AUD symptoms (β = 0.743, P < 0.001) than non-depressive participants. Moreover, there was an interaction (β = -0.204, P = 0.001): the relationship between alcohol use and AUD was weaker for depressive participants rather than non-depressive participants. For longitudinal associations, there were almost no significant relationships between MDD at baseline and AUD at follow-up, but the interaction was still significant (β = -0.249, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: MDD thus appeared to be a confounding variable in the relationship between alcohol use and AUD, and self-reported measures of AUD seemed to be overestimated by depressive people. This result brings into question the accuracy of self-reported measures of substance use disorders. Furthermore, it adds to the emerging debate about the usefulness of substance use disorder as a concept, when heavy substance use itself appears to be a sensitive and reliable indicator.

Gender inequalities in the response to combination antiretroviral therapy over time: the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Gender-specific data on the outcome of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) are a subject of controversy. We aimed to compare treatment responses between genders in a setting of equal access to cART over a 14-year period. METHODS: Analyses included treatment-naïve participants in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study starting cART between 1998 and 2011 and were restricted to patients infected by heterosexual contacts or injecting drug use, excluding men who have sex with men. RESULTS: A total of 3925 patients (1984 men and 1941 women) were included in the analysis. Women were younger and had higher CD4 cell counts and lower HIV RNA at baseline than men. Women were less likely to achieve virological suppression < 50 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL at 1 year (75.2% versus 78.1% of men; P = 0.029) and at 2 years (77.5% versus 81.1%, respectively; P = 0.008), whereas no difference between sexes was observed at 5 years (81.3% versus 80.5%, respectively; P = 0.635). The probability of virological suppression increased in both genders over time (test for trend, P < 0.001). The median increase in CD4 cell count at 1, 2 and 5 years was generally higher in women during the whole study period, but it gradually improved over time in both sexes (P < 0.001). Women also were more likely to switch or stop treatment during the first year of cART, and stops were only partly driven by pregnancy. In multivariate analysis, after adjustment for sociodemographic factors, HIV-related factors, cART and calendar period, female gender was no longer associated with lower odds of virological suppression. CONCLUSIONS: Gender inequalities in the response to cART are mainly explained by the different prevalence of socioeconomic characteristics in women compared with men.

The potential use of microcalorimetry in rapid differentiation between septic arthritis and other causes of arthritis.

Current diagnostic methods in differentiating septic from non-septic arthritis are time-consuming (culture) or have limited sensitivity (Gram stain). Microcalorimetry is a novel method that can rapidly detect microorganisms by their heat production. We investigated the accuracy and time to detection of septic arthritis by using microcalorimetry. Patients older than 18 years of age with acute arthritis of native joints were prospectively included. Synovial fluid was aspirated and investigated by Gram stain, culture and microcalorimetry. The diagnosis of septic arthritis and non-septic arthritis were made by experienced rheumatologists or orthopaedic surgeons. Septic arthritis was diagnosed by considering the finding of acute arthritis together with findings such as positive Gram stain or positive culture of synovial fluid or positive blood culture. The sensitivity and specificity for diagnosing septic arthritis and the time to positivity of microcalorimetry were determined. Of 90 patients (mean age 64 years), nine had septic arthritis, of whom four (44 %) had positive Gram stain, six (67 %) positive synovial fluid culture and four (44 %) had positive blood culture. The sensitivity of microcalorimetry was 89 %, the specificity was 99 % and the mean detection time was 5.0 h (range, 2.2-8.0 h). Microcalorimetry is an accurate and rapid method for the diagnosis of septic arthritis. It has potential to be used in clinical practice in diagnosing septic arthritis.