西太平洋—印度洋—青藏高原气候系统在南海夏季风爆发过程中的作用

本文利用美国国家环境预测中心和国家大气研究中心(NCEP/NCAR—National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research)的位势高度、气温、风速等大气资料、欧洲中期天气预报中心 （ECMWF—European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts—ERA-40）的雪深资料、美国国家海洋大气管理局（NOAA—National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration）的海表温度（SST）资料、美国Scripps海洋研究所的上层海洋热含量资料等，采取相关分析、合成分析、经验正交函数分析、小波分析和小波交叉谱分析等统计分析方法，系统深入地讨论了西太平洋—印度洋—青藏高原气候系统在南海夏季风爆发过程中的作用。得到的主要结论如下： 1. 西太平洋和印度洋在南海夏季风爆发过程中起着关键作用 利用1951－1998年多种大气海洋资料，分析研究结果表明，西太平洋（暖池热含量）、印度洋（纬向风）在南海夏季风爆发中起关键的调控作用：以1970年为界，1970年之前，印度洋起主要作用，1970年之后西太平洋起主要作用，这主要是1970前后北极涛动有明显跃变的原因，这种跃变决定了印度洋在南海夏季风爆发中是否起决定作用（西风异常或东风异常），进而，决定了有利于或不利于南海夏季风的爆发。 1970年之前，北极涛动指数为负值，海陆温差（海上气温减大陆气温）是负值，大陆气温偏高，印度洋气温相对偏低，印度洋出现西风异常，有利于南海夏季风早爆发。在此期间，与印度洋SST密切相关的南印度洋偶极子的变化也与南海夏季风的爆发紧密相联。当南印度洋为正偶极子（西南印度洋SST为正异常，印度洋其他区域的SST为负异常）时，北印度洋为西风异常，南海夏季风爆发偏早；南印度洋为负偶极子（西南印度洋SST为负异常，印度洋其他地区的SST为正异常）时，北印度洋为东风异常，南海夏季风爆发偏晚。 1970年之后，北极涛动指数为正值，海陆气温差为正值，印度洋的状态不利于南海季风爆发；在这种情况下，西太平洋暖池的热含量则成为控制南海夏季风爆发的主要原因：暖池变暖的年份，即 La Niña 年，南海夏季风爆发早（强），反之，当暖池变冷的年份，即El Niño年，南海季风爆发晚（弱），即，南海夏季风爆发的早（强）晚（弱）与ENSO事件密切相关。 2.青藏高原春季积雪对南海夏季风爆发有重要的影响 1958-2003年青藏高原3月积雪厚度与南海夏季风爆发时间存在着很好的正相关。青藏高原3月积雪厚度偏厚时，其500毫巴以上的气温偏低，上层海陆之间的气温差是正值，南亚高压向西北方向的移动速度变慢，上层东风偏弱，西太平洋地区的上层辐散和下层辐合变弱，西太平洋暖池热含量偏少，南海夏季风爆发偏晚（弱）。同时，下层850毫巴东印度洋异常大气是东风和跨赤道反气旋对，南海被东风异常所控制，这种大气环流形势不利于南海夏季风的爆发；青藏高原3月积雪厚度偏薄时，其500毫巴以上的气温偏高，上层海陆之间的气温差是负值，上层南亚高压在南亚地区建立较早，上层东风偏强，西太平洋地区的上层辐散和下层辐合偏强，西太平洋暖池热含量偏多，南海夏季风爆发偏早（强）。同时，下层850毫巴东印度洋低层大气是西风异常和跨赤道气旋对，南海被西南风异常所控制，有利于南海夏季风的爆发。 研究结果还表明，青藏高原春季的积雪与厄尔尼诺事件存在着密切的关系。在厄尔尼诺鼎盛期的冬季，各种条件都有利于青藏高原的降雪，从而，来年春天的积雪则变厚，不利于南海季风的爆发。 3. 南海夏季风爆发的预测 1970年之后，西太平洋暖池的热含量与南海夏季风的爆发早晚有非常好的负相关。据此，我们可以通过西太平洋暖池热含量的变化来预测南海夏季风的爆发。通过暖池区海洋上层400米热含量的分析研究，我们找到了西太平洋暖池热含量变化的代表站点（以3N，138E为中心的1°×1°范围），其热含量变化能很好代表整个西太平洋暖池热含量的变化（相关系数大于0.85）。在此基础上，文章用1993-2007年热带大气海洋浮标列阵（TAO-Tropical Atmosphere Ocean-array）中最靠近该站点的浮标（2N, 137E）资料验证了上述选择站点的代表性和相应的预测能力。1993-2004年TAO浮标（2N, 137E）3月上层400米和500米海洋热含量与南海夏季风爆发时间的相关系数分别是-0.75，-0.73，置信度均超过99%；用1993-2007年4月份TAO浮标（2N, 137E）上层400米和500米海洋热含量与南海夏季风爆发时间作相关则相关系数均为-0.83，置信度超过99%。因此，我们可以通过3月或者4月份该TAO浮标（2N, 137E）的热含量来预测当年南海夏季风爆发的早（强）晚（弱）。 总之，南海夏季风爆发以1970年为界存在明显的年代际变化，1970年之前，主要受印度洋控制，1970年之后，南海夏季风爆发主要受控于太平洋（西太平洋暖池），这种变化是由北极涛动年代际变化引起的，。青藏高原春季积雪也对南海夏季风有重要影响，但主要受ENSO控制。因此，我们认为西太平洋—印度洋—青藏高原气候系统在南海夏季风爆发中起着重要的调控作用：西太平洋的作用当属第一位，印度洋的作用居第二，青藏高原的作用最弱。

南海北部陆缘深水区构造演化及其资源效应

南海北部陆缘深水区（水深>300m）蕴藏着丰富的资源，我国对深水区的地质研究刚刚起步，但相关领域已成为科研热点。深水油气盆地的构造演化是油气勘探中最重要的基础性研究之一，因此针对我国南海北部陆缘深水区开展构造演化及其资源效应的研究具有重要的理论意义和实际意义。 本文利用钻井和地震资料并结合区域地质资料，重点研究了珠江口盆地深水区的结构和构造演化，取得如下创新性成果：1）首次利用半地堑分析方法系统解剖了研究区的结构、各构造单元发育特征，在此基础上指出五个有利油气运聚带；2）采用回剥法并利用最新资料进行校正，得到了研究区更为可靠的构造沉降曲线，重新划分了裂陷期和裂后期的分界，认为32Ma南海海底扩张之后裂陷作用仍在持续，直到23Ma左右才开始大规模裂后热沉降，并进一步解释了裂陷期延迟的形成机制；3）应用非连续拉张模型计算拉张系数的方程计算了研究区的壳幔拉张系数，指出了深水区地幔相对于地壳的优势伸展作用；首次运用平衡剖面技术重建了研究区的构造发育史，计算了各构造期的拉张率和沉积速率，指出研究区新生代整体呈现持续拉张，拉张系数在1.1-1.24之间；4）精细刻画了水合物钻采区的地质构造特征，建立了该区天然气水合物成藏的概念模式；建立了一套根据地震叠加速度计算流体势的方法，为水合物成藏规律的研究提供了新的思路。

南海北部陆坡区深水水道沉积体系研究

被动陆缘陆坡深水区因蕴藏大量的油气及天然气水合物资源而受到石油行业的关注。峡谷水道作为重力流沉积物从陆缘向陆坡盆区搬运的主要通道，是现今海洋科学研究的热点，是“由源到汇”研究的重要内容。峡谷水道可以作为粗粒沉积物的最终沉积场所，已被钻探证实可作为良好的油气储集体。本文选择陆坡水道为研究目标具有科学和实际意义。 本文借助1979年至2007年采集的2D（部分）、3D地震数据，参考部分钻井资料，以层序地层分析为基础，以多种地球物理属性为手段，以南海北部深水陆坡区为研究区，进行层序地层分析，并对陆坡水道的发育进行研究。层序特征分析发现琼东南南部陆坡具有不同于北部陆坡的物源供给模式，断陷期以北部华南地块和西南方向中南半岛为主要物源，也有部分来自西沙隆起的物源；拗陷期西南方向的中南半岛为主要物源区。 通过大量2D地震资料研究，本文首次系统地研究了发育在南海北部陆坡的大型水道，该水道起源于莺歌海盆地东部、横跨琼东南盆地、西沙海槽，终结于南海西北次海盆西部，我们把该水道命名为“琼东南中央水道”。琼东南中央水道长约570km，宽4－8km不等，发育在上新统地层中，该水道的产生与中新世以来红河对莺歌海盆地充足的物源供给，中新世末的海平面下降以及5Ma左右红河断裂带的反转诱发的滑塌有关。 基于新采集的3D地震资料和地球物理技术，本文首次在琼东南盆地南部陆坡深水区识别出深水水道，该期水道发育在更新统地层中，形态各异，有类似曲流河的曲流水道，也有典型的低弯曲侧向迁移水道。振幅特征显示该期水道主要以弱振幅细粒泥质充填为主，部分位置有强振充填反射，可能为粗粒充填。根据地震剖面和相干时间切片时空分析，认为该水道主要有3期侵蚀和3期充填过程。从展布特征来看，该期水道的形成与更新世（中）末次盛冰期海平面的下降，地震诱发中南半岛中部小型山脉河流的复苏对南海西部的供给有关。

南海北部珠江口近海地质风险

南海是我国海洋灾害地质条件最为复杂、潜在地质灾害危险性最大的海区。南海北部尤其是珠江口地区的地理位置尤为重要，是我国经济开发的门户地区。本文使用GeoSwath Plus多波束系统对南海北部珠江口外海面进行了水深测量，通过系统配套软件对多波束数据的精细处理，得出高密度的水深数据以及旁扫声纳数据，经过对数据以及相关成图图件的分析，利用对灾害地貌的加权统计模型对该地区的地质灾害进行定量评定。目前国内使用的多波束型号较多，根据其频率的不同可分为浅水、中水、深水多波束系统。根据波束形成原理（数控法和相干法）的不同可分为传统多波束和具有相干特点的多波束系统，这两种多波束系统由于其原理的差异，在各种性能表现上都存在不同之处，本文从原理及其各种不同的性能表现上对该多波束系统与传统多波束系统进行了详细对比论证。 在对调查区区域地质、第四纪地质充分调研的基础上，通过对调查区地形的概况和相关影响因素的论述（诸如水动力条件、构造特征等），结合水深图、地形图和多条地形剖面的分析，得出该海域在工程施工方面海底地形上的影响因素。 通过对本区所发现的地貌类型，结合海洋地质灾害类型分析，通过对相关地质灾害类型的统计说明，得出该地区地质灾害的影响因素及其潜在危害程度。通过提取南海北部的灾害地质因素和对调查区灾害地质环境的充分研究，以灾害地质因素为评价因子，采用加权统计模型对研究区的海底稳定性进行分区定量评价。利用评价结果，确定了调查区基于地貌类型区划的海底稳定性级别。

大气季节内振荡对东亚夏季风活动的影响研究

利用ERA40逐日再分析资料、NCEP/NCAR2逐日再分析资料、中国740个测站日降水资料、上海台风研究所提供的西太平洋热带气旋资料、Kaplan等重建的月平均SSTA资料、NOAA逐日长波辐射（OLR）等资料，应用离散功率谱分析、带通滤波、EOF分析等统计方法，研究了东亚夏季风(EASM）的移动特征、东亚地区季节内振荡(ISO)的基本特征、季节内振荡对东亚夏季风活动的影响、季节内振荡对东亚夏季风异常活动的影响机理。主要结论如下： （1）综合动力和热力因素定义了可动态描述东亚夏季风移动和强度的指数，并利用该指数研究了东亚夏季风的爆发和移动的季节内变化及其年际和年代际变化特征。研究发现，气候平均东亚夏季风前沿分别在28候、33候、36候、38候、40候、44候出现了明显的跳跃。东亚夏季风活动具有显著的年际变率，主要由于季风前沿在某些区域异常停滞和突然跨越北跳或南撤引起，造成中国东部旱涝灾害频繁发生。东亚夏季风的活动具有明显的年代际变化，在1965年、1980年、1994年发生了突变，造成中国东部降水由“南旱北涝”向“南涝北旱”的转变。 （2）东亚季风区季节内变化具有10~25d和30~60d两个波段的季节内振荡周期，以30-60d为主。存在三个主要低频模态，第一模态主要表征了EASM在长江中下游和华北地区活动期间的低频形势；第二模态印度洋-菲律宾由低频气旋式环流控制，主要表现了ISO在EASM爆发期间的低频形势；第三模态主要出现在EASM在华南和淮河活动期间的低频形势。第一模态和第三模态是代表东亚夏季风活动异常的主要低频形势。 （3）热带和副热带地区ISO总是沿垂直切变风的垂直方向传播。因此，在南海-菲律宾东北风垂直切变和副热带西太平洋北风垂直切变下，大气热源激发菲律宾附近交替出现的低频气旋和低频反气旋不断向西北传播，副热带西太平洋ISO以向西传播为主。中高纬度地区，乌拉尔山附近ISO以向东、向南移动或局地振荡为主；北太平洋中部ISO在某些情况下向南、向西传播。 （4）季风爆发期，伴随着热带东印度洋到菲律宾一系列低频气旋和低频反气旋， 冷空气向南输送，10~25天和30~60天季节内振荡低频气旋同时传入南海加快了南海夏季风的爆发。在气候态下，ISO活动表现的欧亚- 太平洋（EAP）以及太平洋-北美（PNA）低频波列分布特征(本文提出的EAP和PNA低频波列与传统意义上的二维定点相关得到的波列不同)。这种低频分布形式使得欧亚和太平洋中高纬度的槽、脊及太平洋副热带高压稳定、加强，东亚地区的低频波列则成为热带和中高纬度ISO相互作用影响东亚夏季风活动的纽带。不同的阶段表现不同的低频模态，30~60d低频模态的转变加快了EASM推进过程中跳跃性；30-60d低频模态的维持使得EASM前沿相对停滞。 （5）30-60d滤波场，菲律宾海域交替出现的低频气旋和低频反气旋不断向西北传播到南海-西太平洋一带。当南海-西太平洋地区低频气旋活跃时，季风槽加强、东伸，季风槽内热带气旋（TC）频数增加；当南海-西太平洋低频反气旋活跃时，季风槽减弱、西退，TC处于间歇期，生成位置不集中。 （6）在El Nino态下，大气季节内振荡偏弱，北传特征不明显，但ISO由中高纬度北太平洋中部向南和副热带西太平洋向西的传播特征显著，东亚地区ISO活动以第三模态为主，EASM集中停滞在华南和淮河流域，常伴随着持续性区域暴雨的出现，易造成华南和江淮流域洪涝灾害，长江和华北持续干旱。在La Nina态下，大气季节内振荡活跃，且具有明显的向北传播特征，PNA低频波列显著，东亚地区ISO活动以第一模态单峰为主；EASM主要停滞在长江中下游和华北地区，这些地区出现异常持续强降水，华南和淮河流域多干旱；在El Nino态向La Nina态转换期，ISO活动以第一模态双峰为主，长江中下游常常出现二度梅。

南海北部陆坡-洋陆边界特提斯痕迹探讨

特提斯构造域是除冈瓦纳构造域、欧亚大陆构造域、太平洋构造域之外的又一全球范围的大构造域。其形成是特提斯洋在赤道附近的低纬度分分合合造就的，特提斯洋这个独特的、呈喇叭状向东张开的低纬度多岛洋对全球地质构造演化历史产生了非常巨大的影响。在冈瓦纳大陆与北方欧亚大陆相分离的时候，产生一系列的小洋盆，新的小洋盆的产生伴随着之前小洋盆的消亡，如此循环，就在赤道低纬度地区产生了一个大的构造带。这条大的构造带—特提斯构造域地跨欧、亚、非、南美和北美五大洲，对研究全球地质演化历史有着非常大的作用；而其丰富的油气资源也吸引着石油地质学家和油气实业家的极大关注。在特提斯构造域中，有多个大型油气田，随着特提斯构造域在全球的分布，这些大型油气田也随之在全球低纬度区域展布。其中最著名的含油气盆地应当是西亚阿拉伯地区的波斯湾盆地。可以这样说，在特提斯构造域中发现的油气田基本上都是储量丰富的大型油气田。在这些油气田中，标志性的含油气地层是赤道封闭型浅海相碳酸盐岩礁为主夹少量页岩的沉积主体，有机质类型为Ⅰ、Ⅱ型，盖层为蒸发岩，这种沉积特征有着丰富的油气资源前景。 我国的特提斯研究也进行了多年，但是南海区域的特提斯研究也随着研究者对其的研究争论了多年，争论的核心问题是南海区域有或是没有特提斯构造域。在随着我国特提斯域陆地上的部分被研究得比较细致后，通过地球物理方法的发展，对南海及其邻区的特提斯构造域有了进一步的了解。南海邻区的红河断裂带在构造属性上属于特提斯构造域，是特提斯洋残留的缝合带，这条红河断裂带北起青藏高原，穿越云南及越南北部，向东南延伸进入南海，全长近1 000km。通过追索这条红河断裂带在南海的延伸情况，研究者们作了大量的工作，在资料日趋丰富之后，现在研究者们对南海特提斯构造域争论的焦点便成了红河断裂带进入南海后，是沿着越东断裂向南延伸还是经过海南岛南部与西沙海槽相连向东延伸。本人希望选取一个特提斯构造域中的缝合带的模型，分析特提斯缝合带的构造特征和地球物理表现，然后通过结合南海北部陆坡的一些OBS及深反射地震数据，来得到整体的南海北部陆坡的地层及构造结构，通过建立重力模型来反演南海北部陆坡的地层结构，在宏观上了解南海北部陆坡可能存在的特提斯构造域，进而计算剖面热流值，进一步探讨南海北部陆坡的特提斯构造痕迹，即红河断裂带进入南海后向东延伸段。

南海西北部陆架海域内孤立波特征及机理研究

关于南海北部内孤立波的研究，现在是一个国际性研究热点，以往对南海北部海域的内孤立波的研究大都集中于南海东北部，即东沙-吕宋海峡海域。对于南海西北部文昌海域的内波现场调查研究几乎是空白。2005年4-10月中科院海洋所对南海西北部陆架海域进行了现场内波观测，获得了到目前为止国内连续观测时间最长、高分辨率、高质量的温度及流场数据。本文使用此次观测所获得的海流和温度资料，主要针对观测海域内孤立波特征及机理进行分析研究，取得了若干有重要科学意义的成果,主要为: 该海域是内孤立波多发地区，其中从2005年4月中旬到6月孤立波频繁出现且振幅较大，而6月中旬到9月中旬，内孤立波的发生频率明显下降，振幅也相对较小; 内孤立波的极性也表现出明显的季节性变化特征。研究发现内孤立波的季节性变化特征是与跃层的深浅和强弱密切相关的。 在2005年9月期间观测到了一系列的大振幅内孤立波，其中在同一测站的不同天内分别发现上凸型和下凹型内孤立波。研究表明这些内孤立波极有可能是由陆架坡折处的内潮因非线性和频散效应而局地产生的。这是首次通过现场观测确认南海西北部存在上凸型并且其为局地生成的内孤立波。 进一步分析发现在2005年8月21-23日，观测到了第二模态的内孤立波，这些内孤立波是与第二模态的内潮同步发生的，在连续两天内几乎相同的时刻分别观测到第二模态的内孤立波说明这些孤立波是潮致的。 在2005年4月22-28日发现长时间的强海流现象，强海流现象发生在当地的天文潮小潮期间，沿岸方向的流速明显大于垂直于岸方向的流速，通过分析表明强海流是由当地的内潮流引起的。 根据观测的温、流数据分析了内波场对台风的响应过程及内波谱特征，发现台风对观测站位的温度场和流场结构均有显著的影响。 这些在南海西北部的新发现和新认识对推动内孤立波的产生机制和应用技术的研究具有重要的学术价值。

中国近海和西北太平洋温跃层时空变化分析、模拟及预报

温度跃层是反映海洋温度场的重要物理特性指标，对水下通讯、潜艇活动及渔业养殖、捕捞等有重要影响。本文利用中国科学院海洋研究所“中国海洋科学数据库”在中国近海及西北太平洋（110ºE-140ºE,10ºN-40ºN）的多年历史资料（1930-2002年，510143站次），基于一种改进的温跃层判定方法，分析了该海域温跃层特征量的时空分布状况。同时利用Princeton Ocean Model(POM)，对中国近海，特别是东南沿海的水文结构进行了模拟，研究了海洋水文环境对逆温跃层的影响。最后根据历史海温观测资料，利用EOF分解统计技术，提出了一种适于我国近海及毗邻海域，基于现场有限层实测海温数据，快速重构海洋水温垂直结构的统计预报方法，以达到对现场温跃层的快速估计。 历史资料分析结果表明，受太阳辐射和风应力的影响，20°N以北研究海域，温跃层季节变化明显，夏季温跃层最浅、最强，冬季相反，温跃层厚度的相位明显滞后于其他变量，其在春季最薄、秋季最厚。12月份到翌年3月份，渤、黄及东海西岸，呈无跃层结构，西北太平洋部分海域从1月到3月份，也基本无跃层结构。在黄海西和东岸以及台湾海峡附近的浅滩海域，由于风力搅拌和潮混合作用，温跃层出现概率常年较低。夏季，海水层化现象在近海陆架海域得到了加强，陆架海域温跃层强度季节性变化幅度(0.31°C/m)明显大于深水区(约0.05°C/m)，而前者温跃层深度和厚度的季节性变化幅度小于后者。20°N以南研究海域，温跃层季节变化不明显。逆温跃层主要出现在冬、春季节（10月-翌年5月）。受长江冲淡水和台湾暖流的影响，东南沿海区域逆温跃层持续时间最长，出现概率最大，而在山东半岛北及东沿岸、朝鲜半岛西及北岸，逆温跃层消长过程似乎和黄海暖流有关。多温跃层结构常年出现于北赤道流及对马暖流区。在黑潮入侵黄、东、南海的区域，多温跃层呈现明显不同的季节变化。在黄海中部，春季多温跃层发生概率高于夏季和秋季，在东海西部，多跃层主要出现在夏季，在南海北部，冬季和春季多温跃层发生概率大于夏季和秋季。这些变化可能主要受海表面温度变化和风力驱动的表层流的影响。 利用Princeton Ocean Model(POM)，对中国东南沿海逆温跃层结构进行了模拟，模拟结果显示，长江冲淡水的季节性变化以及夏季转向与实际结果符合较好，基本再现了渤、黄、东海海域主要的环流、温盐场以及逆温跃层的分布特征和季节变化。通过数值实验发现，若无长江、黄河淡水输入，则在整个研究海域基本无逆温跃层出现，因此陆源淡水可能是河口附近逆温跃层出现的基本因素之一。长江以及暖流（黑潮和台湾暖流）流量的增加，均可在不同程度上使逆温跃层出现概率及强度、深度和厚度增加，且暖流的影响更加明显。长江对东南沿海逆温跃层的出现，特别是秋季到冬季初期，有明显的影响，使长江口海域逆温跃层位置偏向东南。暖流对于中国东南沿海的逆温跃层结构，特别是初春时期，有较大影响，使长江口海域的逆温跃层位置向东北偏移。 通过对温跃层长期变化分析得出，黄海冷水团区域，夏季温跃层强度存在3.8年左右的年际变化及18.9年左右的年代际变化，此变化可能主要表现为对当年夏季和前冬东亚地区大气气温的热力响应。东海冷涡区域，夏季温跃层强度存在3.7年的年际变化，在El Nino年为正的强度异常，其可能主要受局地气旋式大气环流变异所影响。谱分析同时表明，该海域夏季温跃层强度还存在33.2年的年代际变化，上世纪70年代中期，温跃层强度由弱转强，而此变化可能与黑潮流量的年代际变化有关。 海洋水温垂直结构的统计预报结果显示，EOF分解的前四个主分量即能够解释原空间点温度距平总方差的95%以上，以海洋表层附近观测资料求解的特征系数推断温度垂直结构分布的结果最稳定。利用东海陆架区、南海深水区和台湾周边海域三个不同区域的实测CTD样本廓线资料，对重构模型的检验结果表明，重构与实测廓线的相关程度超过95%的置信水平。三个区重构与实测温度廓线值的平均误差分别为0.69℃，0.52℃，1.18℃，平均重构廓线误差小于平均气候偏差，统计模式可以很好的估算温度廓线垂直结构。东海陆架海区温度垂直重构廓线与CTD观测廓线获得的温跃层结果对比表明，重构温跃层上界、下界深度和强度的平均绝对误差分别为1.51m、1.36m和0.17℃/m，它们的平均相对误差分别为24.7%、8.9%和22.6%，虽然温跃层深度和强度的平均相对误差较大，但其绝对误差量值较小。而在南海海区，模型重构温跃层上界、下界和强度的平均绝对预报误差分别为4.1m、27.7m和0.007℃/m，它们的平均相对误差分别为16.1%、16.8%和9.5%，重构温跃层各特征值的平均相对误差都在20%以内。虽然南海区温跃层下界深度平均绝对预报误差较大，但相对于温跃层下界深度的空间尺度变化而言（平均温跃层下界深度为168m），平均相对误差仅为16.8%。因此说模型重构的温度廓线可以达到对我国陆架海域、深水区温跃层的较好估算。 基于对历史水文温度廓线观测资料的分析及自主温跃层统计预报模型，研制了实时可利用微机简单、快捷地进行温跃层估算及查询的可视化系统，这是迄今进行大范围海域温跃层统计与实时预报研究的较系统成果。

Estuarine nutrient loading affects phytoplankton growth and microzooplankton grazing at two contrasting sites in Hong Kong coastal waters

To investigate the effects of enhanced nutrient loading in estuarine waters on phytoplankton growth and microzooplankton grazing, we conducted monthly dilution experiments at 2 stations in Hong Kong coastal waters with contrasting trophic conditions. The western estuarine station (WE) near the Pearl River estuary is strongly influenced by freshwater discharge, while the eastern oceanic station (EO) is mostly affected by the South China Sea. Growth rates of phytoplankton were often limited by nutrients at EO, while nutrient limitation of phytoplankton growth seldom Occurred at WE due to the high level of nutrients delivered by the Pearl River, especially in the summer rainy season. Higher chlorophyll a, microzooplankton biomass, phytoplankton growth and microzooplankton grazing rates were found at WE than at EO. However, the increase in chlorophyll greatly exceeded the increase in phytoplankton growth rate, reflecting different response relationships to nutrient availability. Strong seasonality was observed at both stations, with temperature being an important factor affecting both phytoplankton growth and microzooplankton grazing rates. Picophytoplankton, especially Synechococcus, also exhibited great seasonality at EO, with summer abundances being 2 or 3 orders of magnitude higher than those during winter, Our results confirm that in eutrophic coastal environments, microzooplankton grazing is a dominant loss pathway for phytoplankton, accounting for the utilization of >50%, of primary production on average.

南海大陆边缘地壳结构与盆地形成机制--以珠江口－琼东南盆地为例

South China Sea is located in the convergence of Eurasian plate, the Pacific Ocean plate and Indian Ocean-Australia plate. The total area is about 3,500,000 km2, the geologic structure is complicated, and the structure line cut off reciprocal is the marginal sea taking form by that the seafloor spreads during the middle Oligocene. South China Sea continental margin have developed more than 10 large oil-gas bearing basins and a number of medium-small sized basins. These basins contain abundant mineral resources such as oil & gas. The marginal deepwater area in the north part of South China Sea has become our country’s strategic energy prospecting frontier. The deepwater area of Zhujiangkou and Qiongdongnan basins is the research target in this thesis. The thesis studied deep structure and the earth dynamics of the north part of South China Sea margin, and these researches provide scientific basis for oil-gas resources strategic investigation and valuation in deepwater sea area of north part slope of South China Sea. In order to develop the research of rebuilding velocities and density architecture of earth shell in region of interest, in marginal deepwater area in the north part of South China, we adopted 14 long-cable seismic reflection profile data of 3556.41 kilometers in total, the gravity measurement data along profiles (3851.44 kilometers in total), the magnetic observation along profiles (3838.4 kilometers in total) and depth measurement along profile, the logging data of 11 wells in project, the interpreted fault parameter and preexisting geologic and geophysical research achievement. This thesis has carried out concretely studying research as follows: 1. Overlay-velocity data sampling and analysis, interval velocity calculation, time-depth conversion, model building of earth shell velocity and layering character of earth shell are studied on 14 deep sections. Velocity structure in region of interest has revealed: Changchang is the sag with thinnest crust in Qiongdongnan basin; the sedimentary thickness lowers gradually from north to south, and the thickness change from west to east is milder. The sags’ sedimentary velocities in Qiongdongnan basin have obvious demarcation. The velocity of the 8000 meters sedimentary rocks is 4700 m/s in Shunde sag and Baiyun sag, and is the lowest; at that depth, the velocity very different in Liwan sag and Baiyun sag, which is about 800m/s. 2. Extracting gravity data and building of initial crust density model along the section; With Bouguer gravity anomaly data as constraint, revising density distributes of initial model, and building the crust density model. 3. With crust velocity and density as constraint, correcting the effect of thermobaric field and constructing constitution structure of rock in region of interest. By this research, we known that rocks in Zhujiangkou upper crustal layer are chiefly granite-gneiss, quartzite, granodiorite and basalt, however, rocks in Qiongdongnan basin upper earth shell are chiefly composed of granite-gneiss, quartzite, granodiorite, diorite and basalt. 4. Synthetically crust velocity and density structure, gaining expanding factor on crust and entire crust along section. The result is indicated: the expanding factor in every sag rises from northwest to southeast, which have reflected thinning characteristic of crust from continent to ocean. Intra-crustal deformation degree in Changchang and Ledong-Lingshui sag is bigger than that in Songnan-Baodao sag. Entire crust extension factor in Changchang and Songnan-Baodao sag is greater than that in Ledong-Lingshui sag, which can make an explanation of frequently event and longer heating process in middle-east of Qiongdongnan basin. 5. Synthesize multidisciplinary information to discuss the earth dynamics significance of discordogenic seismic profile in deepwater area of Zhujiangkou and Qiongdongnan basins.

湖南、广西泥盆纪硅岩地球化学与沉积构造背景

During the Devonian, a complicated carbonate platform-basin configuration was created through transtensional rifting in the context of opening of Devonian South China Sea; extensive bedded chert, commonly interbedded with tuffaceous beds, occurred in the narrow, elongate interplatform basins (or troughs) in South China, where they occurred earlier (Early Devonian) in southern Guangxi and later (early Late Devonian) in northern Guangxi-south central Hunan. In order to unravel the origin and distribution of the bedded chert successions, and their relationships to basement faulting activities during the opening of the Devonian South China Sea, studies of element (major, minor and REE) geochemistry and Rb-Sr, Sm-Nd isotopic systematics are carried out upon the chert deposits. These chert deposits commonly have high SiO2 contents and (average 94.01%) and low TFe2O3 (average 0.55%), together with other geochemical parameters, suggestive of both biogenic and hydrothermal origins. However, Fe/Ti ratio are high along the elongate interplatform basins(troughs) to the northwest along Wuxiangling-Zhaisha-Chengbu, and to the southeast along Xiaodong-Mugui-Xinpu, suggesting relatively intense hydrothermal activities there. They generally contain very low total REE contents (∑REE average 31.21ug/g) with mediate negative Ce anomalies (mean Ce/Ce*=0.83) and low Lan/Cen values (average 1.64), indicating an overall continental margin basin where they precipitated. The northward increases in Ce/Ce* values, particularly along the elongate troughs bounded both to the east and west of the Guangxi-Huanan rift basin, suggest a northward enhancement of terrigenous influences, thereby reflecting a gradual northward propagation of open marine setting. Generally low positive Eu anomalies in the chert, except for the apparently high Eu anomalies in the chert from Chengbu (Eu/Eu* up to 4.6), suggest mild hydrothermal venting activities in general, except for those at Chengbu. The initial 87Sr/86Sr (0) ratios of chert generally vary from 0.712000 to 0.73000 , suggesting influences both from terrigenous influx and seawater. The Nd isotopic model ages (tDM or t2DM) and initial εNd (0) values of chert vary mostly from 1.5 to 2.1 Ga, and from –16 to –21, respectively, implying that the silica sources were derived from the provenances of the Palaeoproterozoic crust relics at depth. The high εNd (0) values of chert (-0.22 to 14.7) in some localities, mostly along the elongate troughs, suggest that silica sources may have been derived from deeper-seated mantle, being channeled through the interplate boundary fault zones extending downwards to the mantle. At Wuxiangling, Nanning, chert occurs extensively from the Emsian through the Frasnian strata, both U/Th ratios and tDM ages of chert reached up to a maximum in the early Frasnian corresponding to the extensive development of chert in South China, pointing to a maximum extensional stage of Devonian South China basin, which is supported by the Ce/Ce* values as is opposed to the previous datasets as the coeval minimum values.

南海北部陆缘深水区构造－热演化与烃源岩成熟度史研究

Abstract In order to provide basic data for evaluation of the petroleum potential in the deep water area of the northern margin of the South China Sea (SCS), present-day thermal regime and basin tectonothermal evolution are reconstructed and the maturation history of the Cenozoic major source rocks in the study area is derived. The present-day geothermal regime in the deep water area of the northern margin of SCS is defined according to the geothermal gradient, thermal properties and heat flow data. Tectonic subsidence history is reconstructed based on borehole and seismic data, and accordingly the stretching episodes are determined from the subsidence pattern. Heat flow history in the deep water area of the northern margin of SCS is estimated on a finite time, laterally non-uniform and multi-episode stretching model. Maturation history of the main source rocks in the study area is estimated through EASYRo% kinetic model and thermal history, and the potential of petroleum in the deep water area of the northern margin of SCS is evaluated based on the data above. The results show that the present-day geothermal regime in the deep water area of the northern margin of SCS is characterized by “hot basin” with high geothermal gradient (39.1±7.4℃/km) and high heat flow (77.5±14.8 mW/m2), and that the Qiongdongnan Basin (QDNB) underwent three stretching episodes and consequently suffered three heating episodes (Eocene, Oligocene and Pliocene time) with highest paleo-heat flow of 65～90 mW/m2 at the end of the Pliocene, that the Pearl River Mouth Basin (PRMB) two stretching and two heating episodes (Eocene, Oligocene time) with highest paleo-heat flow of 60～70 mW/m2 at the end of the Oligocene, and that the source rocks matured drastically responding to the heating episodes. There are four hydrocarbon generation kitchens in the deep water area of the northern margin of SCS which are favor of its bright petroleum perspective. Tectonothermal analysis indicates that the present-day geothermal regime which is characterized with “hot basin” in the deep water area of the PRMB resulted mainly from the Cenozoic stretching as well as faulting and magmatic activities during the Neotectonic period, and that the Pliocene heating episode of the QDNB is coupled with the transition from sinistral to dextral gliding of the Red Rive fault, and that the deep water basins in the northern margin of SCS are typical of multiple rifting which caused multi-episode heating process.

泥河湾盆地大长梁剖面岩石磁学和环境磁学研究

The fluvio-lacustrine sequence in the Nihewan Basin is an important archive of late Pliocene-Pleistocene climate and environment changes in temperate northern China, which provides excellent sources of early human settlements in high latitude East Asia. The recent years have witnessed a considerable progress in the paleomagnetic dating of its stratigraphy, which has notably increased our understanding of a series of important issues such as the early human occupation in the Old World, the infilling history of the Nihewan Basin, and the chronological sequence of the Nihewan faunas. Up to now, the long-term paleoenvironmental changes directly retrieved from this basin, which might influence the evolution and expansion of early humans in the Nihewan Basin, are still poorly constrained, although several paleoclimatic records have been retrieved from this area. In this study, a combined mineral-magnetic and geochemical investigation was carried out on the fluvio-lacustrine sequence from the Dachangliang section at the eastern margin of the basin in order to reveal its rock magnetic and environmental magnetic characteristics and its implications for early human evolution in East Asia. The major findings and conclusions are listed as the following: First, there is an increased cooling coupled with an intensified aridification recorded in the fluvio-lacustrine sequence of the Dachangliang section. The cooling is related to an up-section decrease in propensity to chemical weathering as inferred from an increase in low-field susceptibility after cycling to 700 °C. Close to 700 °C, reacting chlorite is providing the iron source for newly formed very fine-grained ferrimagnetic minerals which enhances the susceptibility signal. The reactivity of chlorite after annealing at temperatures above 600 °C is documented with X-ray diffraction. Second, degrees of chemical weathering in the Nihewan Basin are further estimated by clay mineralogy (i.e. chlorite and illite contents and chlorite/illite ratio) and a series of major element proxies (i.e. Na2O/Al2O3 versus K2O/Al2O3 diagram, Al2O3-(CaO + Na2O)-K2O ternary diagram (A-CN-K), chemical index of alteration (CIA), (CaO + Na2O + MgO)/TiO2, (CaO + Na2O + MgO + K2O)/(TiO2 + Al2O3), CaO/Al2O3 and CaO/TiO2). The up-section decrease in propensity to chemical weathering suggested by the aforementioned rock mangetic measurement is further confirmed by these geochemical analyses. Combining the chemical weathering records from the Nihewan Basin, Chinese Loess Plateau, South China Sea and eastern China, we find that the consecutive decreasing trend in chemical weathering intensity during the late Cenozoic is ubiquitous across China. This pattern may result from a long-term decreasing East Asian summer monsoon and increasing East Asian winter monsoon, and thus a consecutive increasing of aridification and cooling in Asia during the Quaternary. Furthermore, the chemical weathering intensity increased from South China to North China during the Quaternary, in line with the decreasing East Asian summer monsoon and increasing East Asian winter monsoon and thus the gradually intensified aridification and cooling from South China to North China. Third, a combined mineral-magnetic and geochemical investigation provides evidences that the large-amplitude alterations of concentration of magnetic minerals mainly result from preservation/dissolution cycles of detrital magnetic minerals in alternately oxic and anoxic depositional environments. The preservation/dissolution model implies that the high-magnetic and low-magnetic cycles of this sedimentary sequence represent glacial and interglacial climate cycles, respectively. This contribute significnatly to our understanding of the link between climate and magnetic properties. Finally, the paleoclimatic implications of these rock magnetic and geochemical characteristics significantly increase our understanding of the general setting of early humans in high northern latitude in East Asia. We propose that the cold and dry climate may have contributed significantly to the expansion and adaptation of early humans, rather than bringing hardship, as is often thought. The relationship between magnetic properties and climate possibly provides valuable information on the climatic context of the Paleolithic sites in the basin, especially whether the occupation occurred during an interglacial or glacial period.

南海张裂大陆边缘数值模拟研究

The South China Sea (SCS) is one of the largest marginal seas in the western Pacific, which is located at the junction of Eurasian plate, Pacific plate and Indian-Australian plate. It was formed by continent breakup and sea-floor spreading in Cenozoic. The complicated interaction among the three major plates made tectonic movement complex and geological phenomena very rich in this area. The SCS is an ideal place to study the formation and evolution of rifted continental margin and sea-floor spreading since it is old enough to have experienced the major stages of the basin evolution but still young enough to have preserved its original nature. As the demand for energy grows day by day in our country, the deep water region of the northern continental margin in the SCS has become a focus of oil and gas exploration because of its huge hydrocarbon potential. Therefore, to study the rifted continental margin of the SCS not only can improve our understanding of the formation and evolution processes of rifted continental margin, but also can provide theoretical support for hydrocarbon exploration in rifted continental margin. This dissertation mainly includes five topics as follows: (1) Various classic lithosphere stretching models are reviewed, and the continuous non-uniform stretching model is modified to make it suitable for the case where the extension of lithopheric mantle exceeds that of the crust. Then simple/pure shear flexural cantilever model is applied to model the basement geometries of SO49-18 profile in the northern continental margin of the SCS. By fitting the basements obtained by using 2DMove software with modeling results, it is found that the reasonable effective elastic thickness is less than 5km in this region. According to this result, it is assumed that there is weak lower crust in the northern continental margin in the SCS. (2) We research on the methods for stretching factor estimation based on various lithosphere stretching models, and apply the method based on multiple finite rifting model to estimate the stretching factors of several wells and profiles in the northern continental margin of the SCS. (3) We improve one-dimension strain rate inversion method with conjugate gradient method, and apply it to invert the strain rate of several wells in the northern continental margin of the SCS. Two-dimension strain rate forward modeling is carried out, and the modeling results show that effective elastic thickness is a key parameter to control basin’s geometry. (4) We simulate divergent upwelling mantle flow model using finite difference method, and apply this newly developed model to examine the formation mechanism of the northwest and central sub-basin in the SCS. (5) We inverse plate thickness and basal temperature of oceanic lithosphere using sea-floor ages and bathymetries of the North Pacific and the North Atlantic based on varied-parameters plate model, in which the heat conductivity, heat capacity and coefficient of thermal expansion depend on temperature or depth. A new empirical formula is put forward based the inversed parameters, which depicts the relation among sea-floor age, bathymetry and heat flow. Then various similar empirical formulae, including the newly developed one, are applied to examine the sea-floor spread issue in the SCS based on the heat flow and bathymetry data of the abyssal sub-basin.

南海北部大陆边缘盆地深部地热特征用地球动力学演化

This report is a conclusion of the major research outcome during my post-doctoral residence of research and work. Its content covers the researches of the deep thermal characteristic and dynamics evolution beneath the northern margin basin of South China Sea. In this report, the each other action and effect between lithosphere ad mantle convection were regarded by the combine of deep and shallow study, subdivision from whole to part, and pay equal attention to determine the nature and fixed quantity. The investigative method we used in this report is geothermal and gravity methods. By the help of geological model and geophysics modeling, we calculated lithosphere thermal structure, rheology structure and mantle convection. Firstly, the report introduces concisely the purpose and the previous achievement to this research. Then, it analyzed the characteristic of heat flow on South China Sea. The structure of deep temperature and thermal has been calculated in some models of heat generation and conduction. The rock rheology structure also was computed by the relationship between temperature and viscosity. All these calculations were finished under the guidelines of combine with geology and geophysics. Meanwhile, the fields both deep mantle convection and small scale upper mantle convection are computed. Beside, the density and temperature disorder resulted by mantle convection were also computed with the convection field. After these, the report bring the contribution of local field of mantle convection, thermal construct and effective viscosity beneath the northern margin basin of South China Sea. And, base on the tectonic background and evolution feature, this report discussion the evolution mechanism of south China Sea and its northern margin basin. The end of this report, the main conclusion of this research was summarized and brings out.