Analysis of the Market Potential of Syrian Organic Fruit and Vegetables for Exports to Germany

Syria has been a major producer and exporter of fresh fruit and vegetables (FFV) in the Arabic region. Prior to 2011, Syrian FFV were mainly exported to the neighbouring countries, the Gulf States and Northern Africa as well as to Eastern European countries. Although the EU is potentially one of the most profitable markets of high quality FFV (such as organic ones) in the world, Syrian exports of FFV to Western European countries like Germany have been small. It could be a lucrative opportunity for Syrian growers and exporters of FFV to export organic products to markets such as Germany, where national production is limited to a few months due to climatic conditions. Yet, the organic sector in Syria is comparatively young and only a very small area of FFV is certified according to EU organic regulations. Up to the author’s knowledge, little was known about Syrian farmers’ attitudes towards organic FFV production. There was also no study so far that explored and analysed the determining factors for organic FFV adoption among Syrian farmers as well as the exports of these products to the EU markets. The overarching aim of the present dissertation focused on exploring and identifying the market potential of Syrian exports of organic FFV to Germany. The dissertation was therefore concerned with three main objectives: (i) to explore if German importers and wholesalers of organic FFV see market opportunities for Syrian organic products and what requirements in terms of quality and quantity they have, (ii) to determine the obstacles Syrian producers and exporters face when exporting agricultural products to Germany, and (iii) to investigate whether Syrian farmers of FFV can imagine converting their farms to organic production as well as the underlying reasons why they do so or not. A twofold methodological approach with expert interviews and a farmer survey were used in this dissertation to address the abovementioned objectives. While expert interviews were conducted with German and Syrian wholesalers of (organic) FFV in 2011 (9 interviews each), the farmer survey was administrated with 266 Syrian farmers of FFV in the main region for the production of FFV (i.e. the coastal region) from November 2012 till May 2013. For modelling farmers’ decisions to adopt organic farming, the Theory of Planned Behaviour as theoretical framework and Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modelling as the main method for data analysis were used in this study. The findings of this dissertation yield implications for the different stakeholders (governmental institutions and NGOs, farmers, exporters, wholesalers, etc.) who are interested in prompting the Syrian export of organic products. Based on the empirical results and a literature review, an action plan to promote Syrian production and export of organic products was developed which can help in the post-war period in Syria at improving the organic sector.

Modellierung und Validierung des landwirtschaftlichen Ertrages der Grünlandflächen Südtirols

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Lithostratigraphische, technologische und geochemische Untersuchungen Im Muschelkalk des Osnabrücker Berglandes

Im niedersächsischen Teil des Osnabrücker Berglands wurde der Muschelkalk lithostratigraphisch untersucht und sein Gesteinsinventar im Hinblick auf dessen Eignung für die Herstellung von Straßenbaumaterial sowie andere Nutzungsmöglichkeiten überprüft. Die methodischen Schwerpunkte lagen bei der Aufschluß-Bearbeitung, der Ermittlung technologischer Kennwerte nach den einschlägigen Prüf-Vorschriften für Straßenbaustoffe und der Bestimmung der durchschnittlichen geochemischen Zusammensetzung von Teilschichtfolgen mittels RFA-Analysen. Durch geologische Aufnahme und Korrelation von zahlreichen Tagesaufschlüssen und zwei Kernbohrungen gelang es, eine detaillierte lithostratigraphische Regionalgliederung des ca. 80 m mächtigen Unteren Muschelkalks für den Raum Osnabrück zu erarbeiten. Eine von DUCHROW & GROETZNER (1984) publizierte lithostratigraphische Gliederung des Oberen Muschelkalks (ca. 60 m mächtig) im Arbeitsgebiet erwies sich als nachvollziehbar und wird auch in Gamma- Ray-Logs aus Bohrungen deutlich. Die Interpretation der geologischen Befunde ergab, daß die 1ithofaziellen Voraussetzungen für den Hartsteinabbau im Oberen Muschelkalk am günstigsten im Raum SW Osnabrücks sind. Nach den Ergebnissen der technologischen Untersuchungen sind nicht nur die zur Zeit bereits im Abbau stehenden, dickbankigen, sehr karbonatreichen Einschaltungen in den Oberen Muschelkalk (Haupt-Trochitenkalk, Terebratelkalk) für die Herstellung von Straßenbaumaterial geeignet, sondern mit einigen Einschränkungen auch der hierfür bisher nicht genutzte Untere Muschelkalk und die Gelben Basisschichten (Oberer Muschelkalk). Der Abbau und Einsatz dieses Gesteinsmaterials im Straßen- und Wegebau kann einen wichtigen Beitrag zur Streckung der nur noch geringen Vorräte an hochwertigem Kalkstein liefern. Die Gesteine des Unteren Muschelkalks und der Gelben Basisschichten (Oberer Muschelkalk) sind darüber hinaus aufgrund ihrer geochemischen Zusammensetzung ein gutes Rohmaterial für die Herstellung von "Kohlensaurem Kalk" und "Kohlensaurem Magnesiumkalk". Diese Produkte werden in zunehmendem Maße in der Forst- und Landwirtschaft eingesetzt, um durch saure Niederschläge hervorgerufene Vegetationsschäden zu begrenzen.

Spatio-temporal patterns of herbage availability and livestock movements: A cross-border analysis in the Chinese-Mongolian Altay

Due to increasing population and the recent implementation of policies to intensify the use of land and water resources, the transhumant pastoral systems in the Chinese-Mongolian Altay-Dzungarian region are rapidly changing, leading to modifications of herd size, herd composition and spatial distribution of livestock grazing. This may have major consequences for the supply and quality of rangeland biomass. Despite similar topographic settings, the socio-political framework for Chinese and Mongolian pastoralists differs significantly, leading to differences in rangeland utilization. To substantiate these claims, the long-distance transhumance routes, frequency of pasture changes, daily grazing itineraries and size of pastures were recorded by means of GPS tracking of cattle and goats on 1,535 (China) and 1,396 (Mongolia) observation days. The status quo of the main seasonal pastures was captured by measuring the herbage offer and its nutritive value in 869 sampling spots. In the Altay-Dzungarian region, small ruminant herds covered up to 412 km (Mongolia) and grazed on up to nine pastures per year (China). In Mongolia, the herds’ average duration of stay at an individual pasture was longer than in China, particularly in spring and autumn. Herbage allowance at the onset of a grazing period (kg dry matter per sheep unit and day) ranged from 34/17 to 91/95 (China/Mongolia). Comparing crude protein and phosphorous concentrations of herbage, in China, the highest concentrations were measured for spring and summer pastures, whereas in Mongolia, the highest concentrations were determined for autumn and winter pastures. Based on our data, we conclude that regulation of animal numbers and access to pastures seemingly maintained pasture productivity in China, especially at high altitudes. However, this policy may prohibit flexible adaptation to sudden environmental constraints. In contrast, high stocking densities and grazing of pastures before flowering of herbaceous plants negatively affected rangeland productivity in Mongolia, especially for spring and summer pastures.

Evaluation of breeding strategies for polledness in dairy cattle using a newly developed simulation framework for quantitative and Mendelian traits

Background: Intensified selection of polled individuals has recently gained importance in predominantly horned dairy cattle breeds as an alternative to routine dehorning. The status quo of the current polled breeding pool of genetically-closely related artificial insemination sires with lower breeding values for performance traits raises questions regarding the effects of intensified selection based on this founder pool. Methods: We developed a stochastic simulation framework that combines the stochastic simulation software QMSim and a self-designed R program named QUALsim that acts as an external extension. Two traits were simulated in a dairy cattle population for 25 generations: one quantitative (QMSim) and one qualitative trait with Mendelian inheritance (i.e. polledness, QUALsim). The assignment scheme for qualitative trait genotypes initiated realistic initial breeding situations regarding allele frequencies, true breeding values for the quantitative trait and genetic relatedness. Intensified selection for polled cattle was achieved using an approach that weights estimated breeding values in the animal best linear unbiased prediction model for the quantitative trait depending on genotypes or phenotypes for the polled trait with a user-defined weighting factor. Results: Selection response for the polled trait was highest in the selection scheme based on genotypes. Selection based on phenotypes led to significantly lower allele frequencies for polled. The male selection path played a significantly greater role for a fast dissemination of polled alleles compared to female selection strategies. Fixation of the polled allele implies selection based on polled genotypes among males. In comparison to a base breeding scenario that does not take polledness into account, intensive selection for polled substantially reduced genetic gain for this quantitative trait after 25 generations. Reducing selection intensity for polled males while maintaining strong selection intensity among females, simultaneously decreased losses in genetic gain and achieved a final allele frequency of 0.93 for polled. Conclusions: A fast transition to a completely polled population through intensified selection for polled was in contradiction to the preservation of high genetic gain for the quantitative trait. Selection on male polled genotypes with moderate weighting, and selection on female polled phenotypes with high weighting, could be a suitable compromise regarding all important breeding aspects.

Socio-economic characterisation of date palm (Phoenix dactylifera L.) growers and date value chains in Pakistan

Increasing food production to feed its rapidly growing population is a major policy goal of Pakistan. The production of traditional staples such as rice (Oryza sativa L.) and bread wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) has been intensified in many regions, but not in remote, drought-ridden areas. In these arid, marginal environments dates and their by-products are an option to complement staples given their high nutritive value and storability. To fill knowledge gaps about the role of date palm in the household (HH) income of rural communities and the structure of date value chains, this project studied date palm production across six districts in four provinces of Pakistan. During 2012–2013 a total of 170 HHs were interviewed with a structured questionnaire using a snowball sampling approach. The results showed that most of the HH were headed by males (99 %) who were married (74 %) and often illiterate (40 %). Agriculture was the main occupation of date palm growers (56 %), while a few coupled agricultural activities with business (17 %) or extra-farm employment opportunities (government 9 %; private sector 8 %). Date sales contributed >50 % to the total income of 39 % of HH and 90–100 % to 24 % of HH. Overall farmers grew a total of 39 date palm cultivars and cultivated an average of 409 ± 559 mature date palms. The majority of the respondents sold dates to commission agents (35 %), contractors (22 %) and wholesalers (21 %), while 28 % of HH cultivated date palms only for self-consumption. Date palm growers had only limited knowledge about high quality date cultivars, optimized farm management and about effective post-harvest conservation. Changes in extension and marketing efforts are needed to allow farmers to better exploit value chains in date thereby reaping higher benefits from improved market access to secure their often marginal income.

Applying Least Absolute Shrinkage Selection Operator and Akaike Information Criterion Analysis to Find the Best Multiple Linear Regression Models between Climate Indices and Components of Cow’s Milk

This study focuses on multiple linear regression models relating six climate indices (temperature humidity THI, environmental stress ESI, equivalent temperature index ETI, heat load HLI, modified HLI (HLI new), and respiratory rate predictor RRP) with three main components of cow’s milk (yield, fat, and protein) for cows in Iran. The least absolute shrinkage selection operator (LASSO) and the Akaike information criterion (AIC) techniques are applied to select the best model for milk predictands with the smallest number of climate predictors. Uncertainty estimation is employed by applying bootstrapping through resampling. Cross validation is used to avoid over-fitting. Climatic parameters are calculated from the NASA-MERRA global atmospheric reanalysis. Milk data for the months from April to September, 2002 to 2010 are used. The best linear regression models are found in spring between milk yield as the predictand and THI, ESI, ETI, HLI, and RRP as predictors with p-value < 0.001 and R2 (0.50, 0.49) respectively. In summer, milk yield with independent variables of THI, ETI, and ESI show the highest relation (p-value < 0.001) with R2 (0.69). For fat and protein the results are only marginal. This method is suggested for the impact studies of climate variability/change on agriculture and food science fields when short-time series or data with large uncertainty are available.

Urban Agriculture Oriented towards Self-Supply, Social and Commercial Purpose: A Typology

Urban agriculture, a dynamic multifunctional phenomenon, affects the spatial diversification of urban land use, its valorization and its governance. Literature acknowledges its contribution to the development of sustainable cities. The dimension and extent of this contribution depends significantly on the particular form and function of urban agriculture. However, the complexity of interests and dimensions is insufficiently covered by theory. This paper proposes a typology for urban agriculture, supporting both theory building and practical decision processes. We reviewed and mapped the diversity of the types of agriculture found along three beneficial dimensions (self-supply, socio-cultural, commercial) for product distribution scale and actors. We distinguish between ideal types, subtypes and mixed types. Our intention is to include a dynamic perspective in the typology of urban agricultural land use because transition processes between types are observable due to the existence of complex motivations and influences. In a pilot study of 52 urban agriculture initiatives in Germany, we tested the validity of the typology and discussed it with stakeholders, proving novelty and relevance for profiling discussions.

A Survey of the Relationship between Climatic Heat Stress Indices and Fundamental Milk Components Considering Uncertainty

The main purpose of this study is to assess the relationship between four bioclimatic indices for cattle (environmental stress, heat load, modified heat load, and respiratory rate predictor indices) and three main milk components (fat, protein, and milk yield) considering uncertainty. The climate parameters used to calculate the climate indices were taken from the NASA-Modern Era Retrospective-Analysis for Research and Applications (NASA-MERRA) reanalysis from 2002 to 2010. Cow milk data were considered for the same period from April to September when the cows use the natural pasture. The study is based on a linear regression analysis using correlations as a summarizing diagnostic. Bootstrapping is used to represent uncertainty information in the confidence intervals. The main results identify an interesting relationship between the milk compounds and climate indices under all climate conditions. During spring, there are reasonably high correlations between the fat and protein concentrations vs. the climate indices, whereas there are insignificant dependencies between the milk yield and climate indices. During summer, the correlation between the fat and protein concentrations with the climate indices decreased in comparison with the spring results, whereas the correlation for the milk yield increased. This methodology is suggested for studies investigating the impacts of climate variability/change on food and agriculture using short term data considering uncertainty.

Towards an assessment of on-farm niches for improved forages in Sud-Kivu, DR Congo

Inadequate quantity and quality of livestock feed is a persistent constraint to productivity for mixed crop-livestock farming in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo. To assess on-farm niches of improved forages, demonstration trials and participatory on-farm research were conducted in four different sites. Forage legumes included Canavalia brasiliensis (CIAT 17009), Stylosanthes guianensis (CIAT 11995) and Desmodium uncinatum (cv. Silverleaf), while grasses were Guatemala grass (Tripsacum andersonii), Napier grass (Pennisetum purpureum) French Cameroon, and a local Napier line. Within the first six months, forage legumes adapted differently to the four sites with little differences among varieties, while forage grasses displayed higher variability in biomass production among varieties than among sites. Farmers’ ranking largely corresponded to herbage yield from the first cut, preferring Canavalia, Silverleaf desmodium and Napier French Cameroon. Choice of forages and integration into farming systems depended on land availability, soil erosion prevalence and livestock husbandry system. In erosion prone sites, 55–60% of farmers planted grasses on field edges and 16–30% as hedgerows for erosion control. 43% of farmers grew forages as intercrop with food crops such as maize and cassava, pointing to land scarcity. Only in the site with lower land pressure, 71% of farmers grew legumes as pure stand. When land tenure was not secured and livestock freely roaming, 75% of farmers preferred to grow annual forage legumes instead of perennial grasses. Future research should develop robust decision support for spatial and temporal integration of forage technologies into diverse smallholder cropping systems and agro-ecologies.

Alternate furrow irrigation of four fresh-market tomato cultivars under semi-arid condition of Ethiopia – Part I: Effect on fruit yield and quality

Scarcity of freshwater due to recurrent drought threatens the sustainable crop production in semi-arid regions of Ethiopia. Deficit irrigation is thought to be one of the promising strategies to increase water use efficiency (WUE) under scarce water resources. A study was carried out to investigate the effect of alternate furrow irrigation (AFI), deficit irrigation (DI) and full irrigation (FI) on marketable fruit yield, WUE and physio-chemical quality of four fresh-market tomato cultivars (Fetan, Chali, Cochoro and ARP Tomato d2) in 2013 and 2014. The results showed that marketable yield, numbers of fruits per plant and fruit size were not significantly affected by AFI and DI irrigations. WUE under AFI and DI increased by 36.7% and 26.1%, respectively with close to 30% irrigation water savings achieved. A different response of cultivars to irrigation treatments was found for marketable yield, number of fruits and fruit size, WUE, total soluble solids (TSS) of the fruit juice, titratable acids (TA) and skin thickness. Cochoro and Fetan performed well under both deficit irrigation treatments exhibited by bigger fruit size which led to higher WUE. ARP Tomato d2 showed good yields under well-watered conditions. Chali had consistently lower marketable fruit yield and WUE. TSS and TA tended to increase under deficit irrigation; however, the overall variations were more explained by irrigation treatments than by cultivars. It was shown that AFI is a suitable deficit irrigation practice to increase fresh yield, WUE and quality of tomato in areas with low water availability. However, AFI requires suitable cultivars in order to exploit its water saving potential.

Alternate furrow irrigation of four fresh-market tomato cultivars under semi-arid condition of Ethiopia – Part II: Physiological response

Understanding the variation in physiological response to deficit irrigation together with better knowledge on physiological characteristics of different genotypes that contribute to drought adaptation mechanisms would be helpful in transferring different irrigation technologies to farmers. A field experiment was carried to investigate the physiological response of four tomato cultivars (Fetan, Chali, Cochoro and ARP Tomato d2) to moderate water deficit induced by alternate furrow irrigation (AFI) and deficit irrigation (DI) under semi-arid condition of Ethiopia during 2013 and 2014. The study also aimed at identifying physiological attributes to the fruit yield of tomato under different deficit irrigation techniques. A factorial combination of irrigation treatments and cultivar were arranged in a complete randomized design with three replicates. Results showed that stomatal conductance (g_s) was significantly reduced while photosynthetic performance measured as chlorophyll fluorescence (Fv’/Fm’), relative water content (RWC) and leaf ash content remained unaffected under deficit irrigations. Significant differences among cultivars were found for water use efficiency (WUE), g_s, chlorophyll content (Chl_SPAD), normal difference vegetation index (NDVI), leaf ash content and fruit growth rate. However, cultivar differences in WUE were more accounted for by the regulation of g_s, therefore, g_s could be useful for breeders for screening large numbers of genotypes with higher WUE under deficit irrigation condition. The study result also demonstrated that cultivar with traits that contribute to achieve higher yields under deficit irrigation strategies has the potential to increase WUE.

Dörfliche Freiraumkultur im 19. und frühen 20. Jahrhundert - dargestellt am südlichen Sauerland

Entgegengesetzt zur sich ausweitenden Unwirtlichkeit der Dörfer ist unter den Publikumszeitschriften ein neues Land-Genre entstanden mit dem Trendsetter LandLust (mittlerweile 1 Mio. Auflage) und einer unübersehbaren Flut von Nachahmer-Zeitschriften im Gefolge. Die sich hier spiegelnde Idyllisierung des Ländlich-Dörflichen gab den Anstoß für die Dissertation. Den gängigen Klischees vom „alten Dorf“ mit Bauerngarten und Obstwiesenkranz, Dorflinde und Dorfteich sollte eine differenzierende Aufarbeitung der Geschichte dörflicher Freiräume und Freiraumkultur entgegengesetzt und der Nachweis einer räumlichen, zeitlichen und gesellschaftlichen Variabilität erbracht werden. Dabei wurde das Thema auf den Zeitraum 19. bis frühes 20. Jahrhundert und auf das südliche Sauerland als Untersuchungsregion eingegrenzt. Es kam ein Bündel von Methoden zum Einsatz, die zu sich ergänzenden Ergebnissen führten: Literaturarbeit, Akten-, Karten- und Bildauswertung, Interviews und Spurensuche vor Ort. Am Anfang der Untersuchung stand die Analyse der preußischen Urhandrisse aus den 1830er Jahren. Die identifizierten Freiräume wurden klassifiziert. Es konnte nachgewiesen werden, dass natürliche Voraussetzungen wie Boden, Relief und Klima, dazu Erbrechtstradition und Ortsgröße die jeweiligen Freiraummuster deutlich bestimmten und örtlich differenzierten. Entlang von drei wesentlichen Entwicklungssträngen wurde anschließend der Wandel dörflicher Freiräume und Freiraumkultur untersucht: Die Veränderungen in der Landwirtschaft, die Entwicklungen im Garten- und Obstbau sowie das Aufkommen der Freizeit am Ende des 19. Jahrhunderts. Bereits im frühen 19. Jahrhundert wirkten agrarreformerische Aktivitäten auf die dörflichen Freiräume, etwa durch die Förderung neuer Anbaufrüchte. Staatliche landeskulturelle Verfahren machten es in der Folgezeit möglich, dichte Siedlungsbereiche aufzulockern und die Ortsentwicklung zu lenken; durch Umlegungen konnten Flächen für den Gemeinschaftsbedarf, z.B. Bleichplätze, ausgewiesen oder gesichert werden. Die Entwicklungen im Garten- und Obstbau wurden zunächst vor allem über die Förderung der Schulgärten vorangetrieben. Daneben wirkten populäre Garten-Lehrbücher, im Sauerland nachweislich das der Autorin Henriette Davidis (1801–1876). In der zweiten Hälfte des 19. Jahrhunderts professionalisierte sich der Gartenbau zunehmend: Im östlichen, bergigen Teil des Südsauerlandes entwickelte sich ein überregional bedeutsames Baumschulgebiet, das auch die Gehölzverwendung in der Region diversifizierte. Nach der Eröffnung der ersten Eisenbahnlinie 1861 bildete sich in den Bahnhofsdörfern ein ausreichender Kundenstamm für die Kunst- und Landschaftsgärtnerei: Hier verbürgerlichte die Gartenkultur. Der Industrialisierungsschub entlang der Bahnlinie löste eine Fülle weiterer Veränderungen aus. Dazu gehörte das Aufkommen der „freien Zeit“ bei der nicht landwirtschaftlich beschäftigten Bevölkerung. Dörfliche Freiräume im Südsauerland wandelten sich ab dem späten 19. Jahrhundert, weil die hier lebenden und arbeitenden Menschen ihren Bedürfnissen nach Erholung und Gemeinschaft auf neuartige Weisen nachgingen. Erholen, Spielen und Sporttreiben ließen völlig neue Freiraumtypen entstehen. Dabei fand eine Auffächerung statt, in der sich die diversifizierende ländliche Gesellschaft widerspiegelte. Auch neue Formen der Geselligkeit brachten neuartige Freiraumnutzungen mit sich: Umzüge und Feierlichkeiten unter freiem Himmel, die weder familiäre noch kirchliche Anlässe hatten – allen voran das Schützenfest. Seit dem späten 19. Jahrhundert motivierten positive Landschaftsbeschreibungen, die werbenden und strukturierenden Maßnahmen des Sauerländischen Gebirgsvereins (SGV) sowie die gute Erschließung durch die Eisenbahn die Menschen in den Ballungsräumen an Rhein und Ruhr, das Sauerland touristisch zu entdecken. Es entstanden Gartenwirtschaften und Aussichtstürme, Schwimmbäder und Kurparks. Sommerfrischler verbrachten mehrwöchige Urlaube auf dem Bauernhof. Viele landwirtschaftliche Betriebe gestalteten ihre Hofräume zu Vorgärten mit Blumenbeeten und Gartenlaube um, Obstwiesen wurden zu Liegewiesen für Luft- und Sonnenbäder. Die Untersuchung entlang der drei benannten Entwicklungsstränge mündet in eine Klassifizierung derjenigen dörflichen Freiräume, die zum Ende des Untersuchungs-zeitraumes, also um 1930, für das Südsauerland identifiziert werden konnten. Den aktuell verbreiteten Klischees vom „alten Dorf“ und seinen Freiräumen konnte so die entdeckte Differenziertheit gegenüber gestellt werden.

The Effect of Climate Variability on Main Components of Cow Milk in Iran

The main purpose of this study is to assess the relationship between six bioclimatic indices for cattle (temperature humidity (THI), environmental stress (ESI), equivalent temperature (ESI), heat load (HLI), modified heat load (HLInew) and respiratory rate predictor(RRP)) and fundamental milk components (fat, protein, and milk yield) considering uncertainty. The climate parameters used to calculate the climate indices were taken from the NASA-Modern Era Retrospective-Analysis for Research and Applications (NASA-MERRA) reanalysis from 2002 to 2010. Cow milk data were considered for the same period from April to September when cows use natural pasture, with possibility for cows to choose to stay in the barn or to graze on the pasture in the pasturing system. The study is based on a linear regression analysis using correlations as a summarizing diagnostic. Bootstrapping is used to represent uncertainty estimation through resampling in the confidence intervals. To find the relationships between climate indices (THI, ETI, HLI, HLInew, ESI and RRP) and main components of cow milk (fat, protein and yield), multiple liner regression is applied. The least absolute shrinkage selection operator (LASSO) and the Akaike information criterion (AIC) techniques are applied to select the best model for milk predictands with the smallest number of climate predictors. Cross validation is used to avoid over-fitting. Based on results of investigation the effect of heat stress indices on milk compounds separately, we suggest the use of ESI and RRP in the summer and ESI in the spring. THI and HLInew are suggested for fat content and HLInew also is suggested for protein content in the spring season. The best linear models are found in spring between milk yield as predictands and THI, ESI,HLI, ETI and RRP as predictors with p-value < 0.001 and R2 0.50, 0.49. In summer, milk yield with independent variables of THI, ETI and ESI show the highest relation (p-value < 0.001) with R2 (0.69). For fat and protein the results are only marginal. It is strongly suggested that new and significant indices are needed to control critical heat stress conditions that consider more predictors of the effect of climate variability on animal products, such as sunshine duration, quality of pasture, the number of days of stress (NDS), the color of skin with attention to large black spots, and categorical predictors such as breed, welfare facility, and management system. This methodology is suggested for studies investigating the impacts of climate variability/change on food quality/security, animal science and agriculture using short term data considering uncertainty or data collection is expensive, difficult, or data with gaps.

Crop-Specific EU Aid and Smallholder Food Security in Sierra Leone

The article analyses the viability of promoting crop-specific programs as a mean to improve smallholder net farm income and food security. The case study explores the relevance of European Union Stabilisation of Export Earnings (STABEX) funds in supporting Sierra Leone’s agricultural development agenda. By analysing the drivers of food security for a number of targeted smallholders in the two most important agricultural zones of Sierra Leone, it is possible to compare the suitability of crop-specific support (in rice, cocoa and coffee) versus general aid programs (public infrastructure, on and off farm diversification opportunities, sustainable practices, access to productive assets, etc.). The results indicate that crop diversification strategies are widespread and closely related to risk minimisation and enhanced food security among smallholders. Similarly, crop-specific programs mainly focusing on commercialisation tend to overlook important constraints associated to self-consumption and productivity.