A Parameter Estimation and Identifiability Analysis Methodology Applied to a Street Canyon Air Pollution Model

Mathematical models are increasingly used in environmental science thus increasing the importance of uncertainty and sensitivity analyses. In the present study, an iterative parameter estimation and identifiability analysis methodology is applied to an atmospheric model – the Operational Street Pollution Model (OSPMr). To assess the predictive validity of the model, the data is split into an estimation and a prediction data set using two data splitting approaches and data preparation techniques (clustering and outlier detection) are analysed. The sensitivity analysis, being part of the identifiability analysis, showed that some model parameters were significantly more sensitive than others. The application of the determined optimal parameter values was shown to succesfully equilibrate the model biases among the individual streets and species. It was as well shown that the frequentist approach applied for the uncertainty calculations underestimated the parameter uncertainties. The model parameter uncertainty was qualitatively assessed to be significant, and reduction strategies were identified.

The Southern Ischia canyon system: examples of deep sea depositional systems on the continental slope off Campania (Italy)

The Southern Ischia canyon system has been investigated in detail through Multibeam bathymetry and Sparker seismic data and has been put in the geological framework of the deep sea depositional systems off the Campania region. The geological and geomorphological characteristics of the canyon system have been also compared with the characters of the Mediterranean submarine canyons and with the deep sea depositional systems of the Tyrrhenian sea. The Southern Ischia canyon system engraves a narrow continental shelf from Punta Imperatore to Punta San Pancrazio, being limited southwestwards from the relict volcanic edifice of the Ischia Bank. It consists of twenty-two drainage axes, whose planimetric trending has been reconstructed in a sketch morphological map realized through the geological interpretation of Multibeam bathymetry. While the eastern boundary of the canyon system is controlled by extensional tectonics, being limited by a NE-SW trending (anti-Apenninic) normal fault, its western boundary is controlled by volcanism, due to the growth of the Ischia volcanic bank. Submarine gravitational instabilities also acted in relationships to the canyon system, allowing for the individuation of large-scale creeping at the sea bottom and hummocky deposits already interpreted as debris avalanche deposits. Quaternary marine seismic sequences have been reconstructed through a densely spaced seismic grid recorded through a Sparker multitip seismic source, allowing for a detailed observation of steep erosional slopes occurring on the southern flank of the island and related deep sea depositional systems. Important implications of this study will regard the coastal monitoring and beach nourishment of the southern flank of the island, being involved by a strong erosion of marine and coastal systems.

Dise?o de situaciones que permitan el desarrollo del pensamiento espacial a trav?s de la actividad cognitiva de construcci?n para los estudiantes del grado sexto del Colegio Jefferson

Este trabajo es producto de un esfuerzo conjunto por generar una propuesta en la ense?anza de la geometr?a, apoyada en la teor?a semi?tica cognitiva de Duval y que es puesta en escena en el contexto de un experimento de ense?anza. La propuesta hace ?nfasis en la actividad cognitiva de la construcci?n, se espera que ayude a los estudiantes a superar los problemas de visualizaci?n de figuras geom?tricas, y con ello se pueda reflejar mejoras en su desempe?o. En este trabajo tambi?n, se resumen los logros alcanzados mediante un an?lisis de los resultados obtenidos, esperados o no, que son importantes por la informaci?n que arrojan en el estudio de las relaciones entre construcci?n y visualizaci?n en geometr?a. Contiene tres cap?tulos en los que se da cuenta de todo el proceso de construcci?n de la propuesta, sus referentes te?ricos, el contexto en el que es puesta en marcha, la descripci?n de la misma, los resultados obtenidos, el an?lisis y selecci?n de los mismos que permiten hacer las conclusiones del trabajo.

An Integrated approach to street canyon pollution modelling.

An integrated method for the prediction of the spatial pollution distribution within a street canyon directly from a microscopic traffic simulation model is outlined. The traffic simulation package Paramics is used to model the flow of vehicles in realistic traffic conditions on a real road network. This produces details of the amount of pollutant produced by each vehicle at any given time. The authors calculate the dispersion of the pollutant using a particle tracking diffusion method which is superimposed on a known velocity and turbulence field. This paper shows how these individual components may be integrated to provide a practical street canyon pollution model. The resulting street canyon pollution model provides isoconcentrations of pollutant within the road topography.

Sea-level control on the connection between shelf-edge deltas and the Bourcart canyon head (western Mediterranean) during the last glacial/interglacial cycle

A dense grid of high- and very high resolution seismic data, together with piston cores and borehole data providing time constraints, enables us to reconstruct the history of the Bourcart canyon head in the western Mediterranean Sea during the last glacial/interglacial cycle. The canyon fill is composed of confined channel–levee systems fed by a series of successively active shelf fluvial systems, originating from the west and north. Most of the preserved infill corresponds to the interval between Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 3 and the early deglacial (19 cal ka BP). Its deposition was strongly controlled by a relative sea level that impacted the direct fluvial/canyon connection. During a period of around 100 kyr between MIS 6 and MIS 2, the canyon “prograded” by about 3 km. More precisely, several parasequences can be identified within the canyon fill. They correspond to forced-regressed parasequences (linked to punctuated sea-level falls) topped by a progradational-aggradational parasequence (linked to a hypothetical 19-ka meltwater pulse (MWP)). The bounding surfaces between forced-regressed parasequences are condensed intervals formed during intervals of relative sediment starvation due to flooding episodes. The meandering pattern of the axial incision visible within the canyon head, which can be traced landward up to the Agly paleo-river, is interpreted as the result of hyperpycnal flows initiated in the river mouth in a context of increased rainfall and mountain glacier flushing during the early deglacial.

A Hydrogeologic Evaluation of the Waterloo Area in the Upper Jefferson River Valley, Montana

The Upper Jefferson River is one of the most dewatered rivers in Montana. The river exists in an intermontane basin filled with sediment transported from the Highland Mountains to the west, the Tobacco Root Mountains to the east, and the Jefferson River from the south. The Upper Jefferson River Valley is highly dependent on the Jefferson River as the main industry in the valley is agriculture. A majority of the valley is irrigated and used to grow crops, and a good portion is also used for cattle grazing. The residents of the Upper Jefferson River Valley use the aquifer as the main source of potable water. The Jefferson River is also widely used for recreation. This study took place in the Waterloo area of the Upper Jefferson River Valley, approximately 20 miles south of Whitehall, Montana. The Waterloo area provides significant groundwater base flow to the Jefferson River, which is particularly important during the late irrigation season when the river is severely dewatered, and elevated surface-water temperatures occur, creating irrigation water shortages and poor trout habitat. This area contains two springfed streams, Willow Springs and Parson’s Slough, which discharge to the Jefferson River providing cool water in the late season as well as providing the most important trout spawning habitat in the valley. The area is bordered on both the east and west by irrigation ditches, and about 60% of the study area is irrigated. Tile drains were installed in the study area in close proximity to Parsons Slough causing some concern by neighboring residents. This study evaluated relationships between surface water, groundwater, and irrigation practices so that water managers and others can make informed management decisions about the Upper Jefferson River. Data was collected via a network of groundwater wells and surface-water sites. Additionally, water-quality samples were taken and an aquifer test was conducted to determine aquifer properties. The field data were analyzed and a groundwater budget was created in order to evaluate the aquifer. Results of the groundwater budget show that seepage from the irrigation canals and irrigation recharge have the biggest influence on recharge of the aquifer. There is significant groundwater outflow from the aquifer in the spring-fed streams as well as discharge to the Jefferson River. In comparing previous study results to this study’s results, there is no evidence of the water table decreasing due to irrigation practice changes or tile drain installation. However, given the amount of recharge irrigation practices contribute to the aquifer, if significant changes were made, they may affect groundwater elevations. Also lining the irrigation ditches would have a significant impact on the aquifer, as the amount of seepage would be greatly reduced.

Fluid dynamic analysis of trees influence in dispersion of pollutant in urban street canyon

degli elementi vegetali nella dinamica e nella dispersione degli inquinanti nello street canyon urbano. In particolare, è stato analizzata la risposta fluidodinamica di cespugli con altezze diverse e di alberi con porosità e altezza del tronco varianti. Il modello analizzato consiste in due edifici di altezza e larghezza pari ad H e lunghezza di 10H, tra i quali corre una strada in cui sono stati modellizati una sorgente rappresentativa del traffico veicolare e, ai lati, due linee di componenti vegetali. Le simulazioni sono state fatte con ANSYS Fluent, un software di "Computational Fluid Dynamics"(CFD) che ha permesso di modellizare la dinamica dei flussi e di simulare le concentrazioni emesse dalla sorgente di CO posta lungo la strada. Per la simulazione è stato impiegato un modello RANS a chiusura k-epsilon, che permette di parametrizzare i momenti secondi nell'equazione di Navier Stokes per permettere una loro più facile risoluzione. I risultati sono stati espressi in termini di profili di velocità e concentrazione molare di CO, unitamente al calcolo della exchange velocity per quantificare gli scambi tra lo street canyon e l'esterno. Per quanto riguarda l'influenza dell'altezza dei tronchi è stata riscontrata una tendenza non lineare tra di essi e la exchange velocity. Analizzando invece la altezza dei cespugli è stato visto che all'aumentare della loro altezza esiste una relazione univoca con l'abbassamento della exchange velocity. Infine, andando a variare la permeabilità delle chiome degli alberi è stata trovatta una variazione non monotonica che correla la exchange velocity con il parametro C_2, che è stata interpretata attraverso i diversi andamenti dei profili sopravento e sottovento. In conclusione, allo stadio attuale della ricerca presentata in questa tesi, non è ancora possibile correlare direttamente la exchange velocity con alcun parametro analizzato.