The predicting power of models for eutrophication

Restoration of water-bodies from eutrophication has proved to be extremely difficult. Mathematical models have been used extensively to provide guidance for management decisions. The aim of this paper is to elucidate important problems of using models for predicting environmental changes. First, the necessity for a proper uncertainty assessment of the model, upon calibration, has not been widely recognized. Predictions must not be a single time trajectory; they should be a band, expressing system uncertainty and natural variability. Availability of this information may alter the decision to be taken. Second, even with well-calibrated models, there is no guarantee they will give correct projections in situations where the model is used to predict the effects of measures designed to bring the system into an entirely different ”operating point”, as is typically the case in eutrophication abatement. The concept of educated speculation is introduced to partially overcome this difficulty. Lake Veluwe is used as a case to illustrate the point. Third, as questions become more detailed, such as ”what about expected algal composition”, there is a greater probability of running into fundamental problems that are associated with predicting the behaviour of complex non-linear systems. Some of these systems show extreme initial condition sensitivity and even, perhaps, chaotic behaviour, and are therefore fundamentally unpredictable.

Physical measures to inhibit planktonic cyanobacteriae

In a small lake, intermittent destratification was installed after several other physico-chemical and physical in-lake therapy measures (phosphorus immobilization, permanent destratification) had been tested without great success. If an aerobic sediment-water interface can be maintained, intermittent destratification removes cyanobacteria and prevents optimal development of other members of the photoautotrophic plankton. During growing seasons, increasing abundances of small-bodied herbivores (Bosmina) and Daphnia may have accounted for relatively low phytoplankton biomass as well. Intermittent destratification is a very fast-working in-lake measure and seems to be applicable even in relatively shallow lakes (< 15 m), in which permanent destratification seems to be risky.

Impacto das motocicletas na qualidade do ar das grandes cidades

O crescimento do número de motocicletas nas grandes cidades, em função de fatores como o baixo custo e a alta mobilidade nos centros urbanos, tem sido considerado um importante fator de deterioração da qualidade do ar. Nesse contexto, o monitoramento das emissões gasosas provenientes do escapamento desses veículos é fundamental para o conhecimento da contribuição dessa classe de transporte no agravamento da poluição atmosférica. A partir dessas informações tornam-se possíveis o monitoramento e o controle da qualidade do ar. Para tanto, amostras das emissões de diferentes motocicletas foram coletadas, por meio de dinamômetro, e analisadas por cromatografia gasosa. As emissões das motocicletas foram utilizadas em conjunto com dados meteorológicos utilizando o modelo de trajetória OZIPR e o mecanismo químico SAPRC para demonstrar o impacto na formação do ozônio troposférico na região. As simulações indicam que a concentração de ozônio na troposfera poderá ultrapassar o padrão nacional estabelecido pela Resolução CONAMA 03/90 em até três anos. Além disso, acrescenta-se que as taxas de emissões de compostos legislados emitidos pelas motocicletas utilizadas neste estudo (HC, CO e NOx) já atendem aos níveis preconizados em todas as fases do PROMOT. Assim, além da adoção do PROMOT, se fazem necessárias medidas adicionais para o gerenciamento da emissão de poluentes provindos de fontes móveis. A alteração do tipo de combustível ou até mesmo da fonte de energia, elétrica, por exemplo, seria uma alternativa para o controle da poluição atmosférica

Análisis y definición de una serie de soluciones de fachada de madera.

[ES]La evolución de la tecnología durante el último siglo ha hecho aumentar considerablemente las emisiones de contaminantes a la atmosfera. Este aumento ha provocado un deterioro notable en la salud del planeta y durante los últimos años esto se ha convertido en una preocupación a nivel mundial. Entre otras tantas medidas, la rehabilitación de fachadas es una importante contribución a ayudar al medioambiente. El objetivo de este trabajo es encontrar una solución en madera para realizar rehabilitaciones de fachadas en distintos lugares. Se adecuarán estas soluciones a las normas establecidas por la ley, se analizará el ahorro económico que tiene implantar una de estas rehabilitaciones y por último se estudiará si la instalación de las soluciones seleccionadas tiene un impacto real en la emisión de gases de efecto invernadero.

Near infrared broadband emission from bismuth-dysprosium codoped chalcohalide glasses

We investigate the broadband infrared emission of bismuth doped and bismuth/dysprosium codoped chalcohalide glasses. It is found that the bismuth/dysprosium codoping can drastically enhance the fluorescence as compared with either bismuth or dysprosium doped glasses. Meanwhile, the full width at half maximum of bismuth/dysprosium codoped glasses is over 170 nm, which is the largest value among all the reported rare-earth doped chalcohalide glasses. An ideal way for energy consumption between bismuth and dysprosium ions is supposed. Such improved gain spectra of both bismuth and dysprosium ions may have potential applications in developing broadband fibre amplifiers.

Broadband near-infrared emission from transparent Ni2+-doped silicate glass ceramics

Transparent Ni2+-doped MgO-Al2O3-TiO2-SiO2 glass ceramics were prepared, and the optical properties of Ni2+-doped glass ceramics were investigated. Broadband emission centered at 1320 nm was observed by 980 nm excitation. The longer wavelength luminescence compared with Ni2+-doped Li2O-Ga2O3-SiO2 glass ceramics is ascribed to the low crystal field hold by Ni2+ in MgO-Al2O3-TiO2-SiO2 glass ceramics. The change in optical signals at the telecommunication bands with or without 980 nm excitation was also measured when the seed beam passes through the bulk gain host.(C) 2007 American Institute of Physics.