O impacto das energias renováveis na economia dos países emergentes: o caso de Cabo Verde

A elevada dependência dos combustíveis fósseis é uma das principais dificuldades sentidas no actual sistema energético de Cabo Verde. O preço dos combustíveis constitui um peso significativo, representando cerca de 70%, da estrutura de custos do preço de energia eléctrica. Com este trabalho, pretende-se analisar o impacto das energias renováveis no sistema energético e na economia de Cabo Verde, destacando a sua contribuição para a formação do PIB, no Preço, na Balança de Pagamentos, no Emprego, e no Serviço da Dívida, e estabelecer uma comparação com as ilhas da Macaronésia, em particular a Região Autónoma dos Açores. Contribuindo assim, para a discussão que poderá demonstrar que o potencial de renováveis por explorar, trará benefícios económicos para o país, pois a expectativa é superar os 50% de taxa de penetração de Energias Renováveis na produção de electricidade em Cabo Verde até 2020. Prevê-se que o consumo de electricidade que em 2010 era de 335 MWh, duplique até o ano de 2020, atingindo os 670 GWh. Segundo estudos efectuados, o país possui um potencial estimado de 2.600 MW de Energias Renováveis, tendo sido analisados mais de 650 MW em projectos concretos com custos de produção possivelmente inferiores aos dos combustíveis fósseis. Cabo Verde goza de boas condições para o aproveitamento de Energias Renováveis, mas a contribuição desse potencial, sobretudo eólica e solar, continuam muito limitado, pelo que o país deverá apostar no incremento da utilização dessas formas de energia para reduzir a dependência externa em matéria de energia. The high dependence on fossil fuels is one of the main difficulties in the current energy system in Cape Verde. The price of fuel is a significant, accounting for about 70%, and the cost structure of the price of electricity. With this work, seeks to analyze the impact of renewable energy in the energy system and the economy of Cape Verde, highlighting their contribution to the formation of BIP, in the Balance of Payments, in Employment, and the Service of Debt, and to draw a comparison with the islands of Macaronésia, in particular the Autonomous Region of Azores. Thus contributing to the discussion that may show that the potential of renewable energy by exploring will bring economic benefits to the country, because the expectation is to exceed the 50% penetration rate of Renewable Energy in the production of electricity in Cape Verde until 2020. It is estimated that the consumption of electricity in 2010 was 335 MWh, will double by the year 2020, reaching the 670 GWh. According to studies carried out, the country has an estimated potential of 2,600 MW of Renewable Energy, having been analyzed more than 650 MW in concrete projects with production costs possibly less than the fossil fuels. Cape Verde enjoys good conditions for the use of renewable energy, but the contribution of this potential, especially wind and solar, are still very limited, so that the country should invest in increasing the use of these forms of energy to reduce the dependence on foreign sources of energy.

Os Determinantes da Política de Distribuição de Dividendos

No presente trabalho estudam-se os determinantes da política de dividendos. A temática dos dividendos até hoje abarca várias questões sem respostas. O objectivo aqui traçado foi o de estudar os determinantes dos dividendos distribuídos pelas empresas não financeiras que constituem o Índice PSI-20 (Portuguese Stock Index), em particular tentar identificar quais os factores que levam essas empresas a atribuírem dividendos, tendo em conta o que é sugerido pela literatura. Foi adoptado uma metodologia baseada no modelo de regressão linear multivariada estimado pelo método dos mínimos quadrados ordinários através da técnica de dados em painel, balanceados e com efeitos fixos. A amostra foi constituída por 12 empresas não financeiras do índice PSI-20 entre o período de 2002 e 2009. A política de dividendos foi medida pela variável dependente denominada de rácio de distribuição de dividendos. Ao testar quais as variáveis explicativas que têm um impacto significativo (positivo ou negativo) nesse rácio conforme os sinais observados na literatura, bem como, se os sectores de actividade em que se enquadram cada empresa podem condicionar a referida política, chegou-se às seguintes conclusões: o Market to Book ratio, o Debt to Equity ratio e o Size apresentam evidências de serem factores determinantes dos dividendos enquanto a Rendibilidade das Vendas, o Price to Earnings ratio, a Liquidez, o Float e o Beta não apresentaram evidências de serem determinantes da política de dividendos das empresas analisadas. Os resultados sugerem ainda que os sectores em que se enquadram cada empresa estudada podem ser vistos como sectores cujas empresas têm a tendência de pagar menos dividendos.

Präoperative Azidose und Entwicklung von Säuglingen nach Operation angeborener Herzfehler Preoperative acidosis and infant development following surgery for congenital heart disease.

OBJECTIVE: Prenatal diagnosis has been shown to decrease pre-operative acidosis and might prevent the occurrence of disturbed developmental outcome. The aim of this study is to evaluate parameters for acidosis and their predictive value on developmental outcome in newborns with congenital heart disease. METHODS: A total of 117 patients requiring surgery for structural heart disease in the first 31 days of life were included. Diagnosis was established either pre- or postnatally. Preoperative values of lactate, pH and base excess levels were compared to the occurrence of disturbed developmental outcome, i.e. an underperformance of more than 10% on the P90 of a standardized Dutch developmental scale. Patients were divided into groups according to blood levels of acidosis parameters, using receiver operating characteristics curves to determine cut-off values for pH, base excess and lactate. RESULTS: No significant difference in developmental outcome was found using values for pH or base excess as a cut-off level. Preoperative lactate values exceeding 6.1 mmol/l resulted in a significant increase in impaired development compared to infants with a pre-operative lactate lower than 6.1 mmol/l: 40.9% vs 15.1% in (p=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Pre-operative lactate values might have a prognostic value on developmental outcome in newborns with congenital heart disease. The limited prognostic value of pH can be explained by the fact that pH can be easily corrected, while lactate better reflects the total oxygen debt experienced by these patients.

Importância da Gestão de Créditos na gestão da Tesouraria das Empresas

A gestão de Crédito é um tema que vem chamando a atenção dos administradores, já que é considerado um instrumento de gestão muito importante no processo competitivo e para o equilíbrio das empresas. O estudo em causa tem como objectivo principal analisar a importância e os impactos da Gestão de Crédito na Tesouraria das empresas, através de um estudo de caso da empresa Electra, SA. Os resultados do estudo mostram que os problemas de tesouraria podem ser de natureza estrutural e conjuntural. A gestão de tesouraria de curto prazo é o mais importante instrumento de gestão financeira que avalia e controla a actividade corrente das empresas, permitindo em tempo oportuno a tomada de decisões, perspectivando uma gestão eficiente, o equilíbrio financeiro e a eficácia organizacional. O tema em estudo pretende realçar a importância que a gestão de créditos tem na gestão da tesouraria de curto prazo, já que este tem como principal função para além da gestão do realizável (créditos), a gestão do disponível, do stock, das dívidas a terceiros a curto prazo. Uma boa gestão de crédito (realizável) permite de uma forma directa ganhos de eficiência a nível da gestão do disponível, na gestão dos stocks e de forma indirecta influencia as decisões a nível da gestão das dívidas a terceiros de curto prazo. Credit management is a subject that has been growing in the administrator’s attention, as it’s considered to be a somewhat important management tool on the competitive process as well as on the company’s balance. The present case study on Electra S.A, aims for the importance and impact analysis of Credit Management on the company’s cashier. The study results demonstrate that the cashier issues can be structure and conjuncture related. The short term cashier management is the most important financial management tool, which assesses and controls the company’s current activity, enabling timely decision making process, foreseeing an efficient management, the financial equilibrium and the organization efficiency. This paper’s main goal is to enhance the credit management importance on the short term cashier management, as the latter’s main goal, apart from the credit management is to administer the availability, the stock and short term third party debts. A good credit management enables a direct efficiency improvement at the availability management level, on the stock management and indirectly influences the decisions taken at the short term third party debt management level.

OS DETERMINANTES DA POLÍTICA DE DISTRIBUIÇÃO DE DIVIDENDOS: O CASO DAS EMPRESAS NÃO FINANCEIRAS DO ÍNDICE PSI-20

No presente trabalho estudam-se os determinantes da política de dividendos. A temática dos dividendos até hoje abarca várias questões sem respostas. O objectivo aqui traçado foi o de estudar os determinantes dos dividendos distribuídos pelas empresas não financeiras que constituem o Índice PSI-20 (Portuguese Stock Index), em particular tentar identificar quais os factores que levam essas empresas a atribuírem dividendos, tendo em conta o que é sugerido pela literatura. Foi adoptado uma metodologia baseada no modelo de regressão linear multivariada estimado pelo método dos mínimos quadrados ordinários através da técnica de dados em painel, balanceados e com efeitos fixos. A amostra foi constituída por 12 empresas não financeiras do índice PSI-20 entre o período de 2002 e 2009. A política de dividendos foi medida pela variável dependente denominada de rácio de distribuição de dividendos. Ao testar quais as variáveis explicativas que têm um impacto significativo (positivo ou negativo) nesse rácio conforme os sinais observados na literatura, bem como, se os sectores de actividade em que se enquadram cada empresa podem condicionar a referida política, chegou-se às seguintes conclusões: o Market to Book ratio, o Debt to Equity ratio e o Size apresentam evidências de serem factores determinantes dos dividendos enquanto a Rendibilidade das Vendas, o Price to Earnings ratio, a Liquidez, o Float e o Beta não apresentaram evidências de serem determinantes da política de dividendos das empresas analisadas. Os resultados sugerem ainda que os sectores em que se enquadram cada empresa estudada podem ser vistos como sectores cujas empresas têm a tendência de pagar menos dividendos.

Financial protection of patients through compensation of providers: the impact of health equity funds in Cambodia

Public providers have no financial incentive to respect their legal obligation to exempt the poor from user fees. Health Equity Funds (HEFs) aim to make exemptions effective by giving NGOs responsibility for assessing eligibility and compensating providers for lost revenue. We use the geographic spread of HEFs in Cambodia to identify their impact on out-of-pocket (OOP) payments. Among households with some OOP payment, HEFs reduce the amount by 29%, on average. The effect is larger for households that are poorer, mainly use public health care and live closer to a district hospital. HEFs are more effective in reducing OOP payments when they are operated by a NGO, rather than the government, and when they operate in conjunction with the contracting of public health services. HEFs reduce households' health-related debt by around 25%, on average. There is no significant impact on non-medical consumption and health care utilisation

Globalization and risk sharing

We study the effects of globalization on risk sharing and welfare. Like previous literature, weassume that countries cannot commit to repay their debts. Unlike previous literature, we assumethat countries cannot discriminate between domestic and foreign creditors when repaying theirdebts. This creates novel interactions between domestic and international trade in assets. (i)Increases in domestic trade raise the bene.ts of enforcement and facilitate international trade.In fact, in our setup countries can obtain international risk sharing even in the absence of defaultpenalties. (ii) Increases in foreign trade .i.e. globalization.raise the costs of enforcement andhamper domestic trade. As a result, globalization may worsen domestic risk sharing and lowerwelfare. We show how these e¤ects depend on various characteristics of tradable goods andexplore the roles of borrowing limits, debt renegotiations, and trade policy.

Equities and inequality

Most US credit card holders revolve high-interest debt, often combined with substantial (i) asset accumulation by retirement, and (ii) low-rate liquid assets. Hyperbolic discounting can resolve only the former puzzle (Laibson et al., 2003). Bertaut and Haliassos (2002) proposed an 'accountant-shopper'framework for the latter. The current paper builds, solves, and simulates a fully-specified accountant-shopper model, to show that this framework canactually generate both types of co-existence, as well as target credit card utilization rates consistent with Gross and Souleles (2002). The benchmark model is compared to setups without self-control problems, with alternative mechanisms, and with impatient but fully rational shoppers.

A model of shadow banking

We present a model of shadow banking in which financial intermediaries originate and trade loans, assemble these loans into diversified portfolios, and then finance these portfolios externally with riskless debt. In this model: i) outside investor wealth drives the demand for riskless debt and indirectly for securitization, ii) intermediary assets and leverage move together as in Adrian and Shin (2010), and iii) intermediaries increase their exposure to systematic risk as they reduce their idiosyncratic risk through diversification, as in Acharya, Schnabl, and Suarez (2010). Under rational expectations, the shadow banking system is stable and improves welfare. When investors and intermediaries neglect tail risks, however, the expansion of risky lending and the concentration of risks in the intermediaries create financial fragility and fluctuations in liquidity over time.

Fiscal policy, pricing frictions and monetary accommodation

We investigate the theoretical conditions for effectiveness of government consumptionexpenditure expansions using US, Euro area and UK data. Fiscal expansions taking placewhen monetary policy is accommodative lead to large output multipliers in normal times.The 2009-2010 packages need not produce significant output multipliers, may havemoderate debt effects, and only generate temporary inflation. Expenditure expansionsaccompanied by deficit/debt consolidations schemes may lead to short run output gains buttheir success depends on how monetary policy and expectations behave. Trade opennessand the cyclicality of the labor wedge explain cross-country differences in the magnitude ofthe multipliers.

Contractual resolutions of financial distress

In a financial contracting model, we study the optimal debt structure to resolve financial distress. Weshow that a debt structure where two distinct debt classes co-exist - one class fully concentrated andwith control rights upon default, the other dispersed and without control rights - removes the controllingcreditor's liquidation bias when investor protection is strong. These results rationalize the use and theperformance of floating charge financing, debt financing where the controlling creditor takes the entirebusiness as collateral, in countries with strong investor protection. Our theory predicts that the efficiency ofcontractual resolutions of financial distress should increase with investor protection.

Iowa Comprehensive Annual Financial Report, 2006

In accordance with Iowa Code Section 8A.502(8) we are pleased to submit the Comprehensive Annual Financial Report (CAFR) for the State of Iowa for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2006. As required by State statute, this report has been prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) for governments as promulgated by the Governmental Accounting Standards Board (GASB). The report is presented in three sections as follows: • The Introductory Section includes this transmittal letter, the Government Finance Officers Association (GFOA) Certificate of Achievement for the fiscal year 2005 CAFR, an organizational chart of State government, and a list of principal State officials. • The Financial Section contains the independent auditor’s report on the Basic Financial Statements, Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A), the Basic Financial Statements, and Notes to the Financial Statements. The Financial Section also contains Required Supplementary Information (RSI), other than the MD&A, and supplementary information in the form of combining financial statements and schedules. • The Statistical Section includes financial trend information, revenue capacity information, debt capacity information, demographic and economic information, and operating information. The Department of Administrative Services is responsible for both the accuracy of the presented data, and the completeness and fairness of the presentation. We believe the information presented is accurate in all material respects and the necessary disclosures have been made which enable the reader to obtain an understanding of the State’s financial activity.

Interbank liquidity crunch and the firm credit crunch: Evidence from the 2007-2009 crisis

We study the credit supply effects of the unexpected freeze of the Europeaninterbank market, using exhaustive Portuguese loan-level data. We find thatbanks that rely more on interbank borrowing before the crisis decrease theircredit supply more during the crisis. The credit supply reduction is stronger forfirms that are smaller, with weaker banking relationships. Small firms cannotcompensate the credit crunch with other sources of debt. Furthermore, theimpact of illiquidity on the credit crunch is stronger for less solvent banks.Finally, there are no overall positive effects of central bank liquidity, but higherhoarding of liquidity.

Crises and growth: A re-evaluation

We address the question of whether growth and welfare can be higher in crisis prone economies. First, we show that there is a robust empirical link between per-capita GDP growth and negative skewness of credit growth across countries with active financial markets. That is, countries that have experienced occasional crises have grown on average faster than countries with smooth credit conditions. We then present a two-sector endogenous growth model in which financial crises can occur, and analyze the relationship between financial fragility and growth. The underlying credit market imperfections generateborrowing constraints, bottlenecks and low growth. We show that under certain conditions endogenous real exchange rate risk arises and firms find it optimal to take on credit risk in the form of currency mismatch. Along such a risky path average growth is higher, but self-fulfilling crises occur occasionally. Furthermore, we establish conditions under which the adoption of credit risk is welfare improving and brings the allocation nearer to the Pareto optimal level. The design of the model is motivated by several features of recent crises: credit risk in the form of foreign currency denominated debt; costly crises that generate firesales and widespread bankruptcies; and asymmetric sectorial responses, wherethe nontradables sector falls more than the tradables sector in the wake of crises.

Financing constraints, irreversibility and investment dynamics

We develop a model of an industry with many heterogeneous firms that face both financingconstraints and irreversibility constraints. The financing constraint implies that firmscannot borrow unless the debt is secured by collateral; the irreversibility constraint thatthey can only sell their fixed capital by selling their business. We use this model to examinethe cyclical behavior of aggregate fixed investment, variable capital investment, and outputin the presence of persistent idiosyncratic and aggregate shocks. Our model yields threemain results. First, the effect of the irreversibility constraint on fixed capital investmentis reinforced by the financing constraint. Second, the effect of the financing constraint onvariable capital investment is reinforced by the irreversibility constraint. Finally, the interactionbetween the two constraints is key for explaining why input inventories and materialdeliveries of US manufacturing firms are so volatile and procyclical, and also why they arehighly asymmetrical over the business cycle.