Uncertainty Quantification Of A Semi-Supervised Support Vector Regression Reservoir Model

Uncertainty quantification of petroleum reservoir models is one of the present challenges, which is usually approached with a wide range of geostatistical tools linked with statistical optimisation or/and inference algorithms. Recent advances in machine learning offer a novel approach to model spatial distribution of petrophysical properties in complex reservoirs alternative to geostatistics. The approach is based of semisupervised learning, which handles both ?labelled? observed data and ?unlabelled? data, which have no measured value but describe prior knowledge and other relevant data in forms of manifolds in the input space where the modelled property is continuous. Proposed semi-supervised Support Vector Regression (SVR) model has demonstrated its capability to represent realistic geological features and describe stochastic variability and non-uniqueness of spatial properties. On the other hand, it is able to capture and preserve key spatial dependencies such as connectivity of high permeability geo-bodies, which is often difficult in contemporary petroleum reservoir studies. Semi-supervised SVR as a data driven algorithm is designed to integrate various kind of conditioning information and learn dependences from it. The semi-supervised SVR model is able to balance signal/noise levels and control the prior belief in available data. In this work, stochastic semi-supervised SVR geomodel is integrated into Bayesian framework to quantify uncertainty of reservoir production with multiple models fitted to past dynamic observations (production history). Multiple history matched models are obtained using stochastic sampling and/or MCMC-based inference algorithms, which evaluate posterior probability distribution. Uncertainty of the model is described by posterior probability of the model parameters that represent key geological properties: spatial correlation size, continuity strength, smoothness/variability of spatial property distribution. The developed approach is illustrated with a fluvial reservoir case. The resulting probabilistic production forecasts are described by uncertainty envelopes. The paper compares the performance of the models with different combinations of unknown parameters and discusses sensitivity issues.

Identificació de paisatges funcionals mitjançant anàlisi cluster

El terme paisatge i les seves aplicacions són cada dia més utilitzats per les administracions i altres entitats com a eina de gestió del territori. Aprofitant la gran quantitat de dades en bases compatibles amb SIG (Sistemes d’Informació Geogràfica) existents a Catalunya s’ha desenvolupat una síntesi cartogràfica on s’identifiquen els Paisatges Funcionals (PF) de Catalunya, concepte que fa referència al comportament fisico-ecològic del terreny a partir de variables topogràfiques i climàtiques convenientment transformades i agregades. S’ha utilitzat un mètode semiautomàtic i iteratiu de classificació no supervisada (clustering) que permet la creació d’una llegenda jeràrquica o nivells de generalització. S’ha obtingut com a resultat el Mapa de Paisatges Funcionals de Catalunya (MPFC) amb una llegenda de 26 categories de paisatges i 5 nivells de generalització amb una resolució espacial de 180 m. Paral·lelament, s’han realitzat validacions indirectes sobre el mapa obtingut a partir dels coneixements naturalistes i la cartografia existent, així com també d’un mapa d’incertesa (aplicant lògica difusa) que aporten informació de la fiabilitat de la classificació realitzada. Els Paisatges Funcionals obtinguts permeten relacionar zones de condicions topo-climàtiques homogènies i dividir el territori en zones caracteritzades ambientalment i no políticament amb la intenció que sigui d’utilitat a l’hora de millorar la gestió dels recursos naturals i la planificació d’actuacions humanes.

On spectral approximation, Folner sequences and crossed products

In this article we review first some of the possibilities in which the notions of Fo lner sequences and quasidiagonality have been applied to spectral approximation problems. We construct then a canonical Fo lner sequence for the crossed product of a concrete C* -algebra and a discrete amenable group. We apply our results to the rotation algebra (which contains interesting operators like almost Mathieu operators or periodic magnetic Schrödinger operators on graphs) and the C* -algebra generated by bounded Jacobi operators.

Therapeutic switching: from antidermatophytic essential oils to new leishmanicidal products

This study examined whether the antidermatophytic activity of essential oils (EOs) can be used as an indicator for the discovery of active natural products against Leishmania amazonensis. The aerial parts of seven plants were hydrodistilled. Using broth microdilution techniques, the obtained EOs were tested against three strains of dermatophytes (Trichophyton mentagrophytes, Microsporum gypseum and Microsporum canis). To compare the EOs antifungal and antiparasitic effects, the EOs activities against axenic amastigotes of L. amazonensis were concurrently evaluated. For the most promising EOs, their antileishmanial activities against parasites infecting peritoneal macrophages of BALB/c mice were measured. The most interesting antifungal candidates were the EOs from Cymbopogon citratus, Otacanthus azureus and Protium heptaphyllum, whereas O. azureus, Piper hispidum and P. heptaphyllum EOs exhibited the lowest 50% inhibitory concentration (IC50) values against axenic amastigotes, thus revealing a certain correspondence between both activities. The P. hispidum EO was identified as the most promising product in the results from the infected macrophages model (IC50: 4.7 µg/mL, safety index: 8). The most abundant compounds found in this EO were sesquiterpenes, notably curzerene and furanodiene. Eventually, the evaluation of the antidermatophytic activity of EOs appears to be an efficient method for identifying new potential drugs for the treatment of L. amazonensis.

Molecular and immunological evaluation of the expression of cancer/testis gene products in human colorectal cancer.

Tumor-specific gene products, such as cancer/testis (CT) antigens, constitute promising targets for the development of T cell vaccines. Whereas CT antigens are frequently expressed in melanoma, their expression in colorectal cancers (CRC) remains poorly characterized. Here, we have studied the expression of the CT antigens MAGE-A3, MAGE-A4, MAGE-A10, NY-ESO-1 and SSX2 in CRC because of the presence of well-described HLA-A2-restricted epitopes in their sequences. Our analyses of 41 primary CRC and 14 metastatic liver lesions confirmed the low frequency of expression of these CT antigens. No increased expression frequencies were observed in metastatic tumors compared to primary tumors. Histological analyses of CRC samples revealed heterogeneous expression of individual CT antigens. Finally, evidence of a naturally acquired CT antigen-specific CD8(+) T cell response could be demonstrated. These results show that the expression of CT antigens in a subset of CRC patients induces readily detectable T cell responses.

Discovering similarities in the time use patterns of the Spanish Autonomous Communities by Fuzzy techniques

In 2000 the European Statistical Office published the guidelines for developing theHarmonized European Time Use Surveys system. Under such a unified framework,the first Time Use Survey of national scope was conducted in Spain during 2002–03. The aim of these surveys is to understand human behavior and the lifestyle ofpeople. Time allocation data are of compositional nature in origin, that is, they aresubject to non-negativity and constant-sum constraints. Thus, standard multivariatetechniques cannot be directly applied to analyze them. The goal of this work is toidentify homogeneous Spanish Autonomous Communities with regard to the typicalactivity pattern of their respective populations. To this end, fuzzy clustering approachis followed. Rather than the hard partitioning of classical clustering, where objects areallocated to only a single group, fuzzy method identify overlapping groups of objectsby allowing them to belong to more than one group. Concretely, the probabilistic fuzzyc-means algorithm is conveniently adapted to deal with the Spanish Time Use Surveymicrodata. As a result, a map distinguishing Autonomous Communities with similaractivity pattern is drawn.Key words: Time use data, Fuzzy clustering; FCM; simplex space; Aitchison distance

Ciclo de vida organizacional pautado no modelo de Lester, Parnell e Carraher (2003) e na lógica fuzzy: classificação de empresas de um segmento industrial de Santa Catarina

Neste estudo, objetiva-se identificar os estágios do ciclo de vida organizacional pautados no modelo de Lester, Parnell e Carraher (2003) das empresas do segmento industrial de máquinas, aparelhos e materiais elétricos do estado de Santa Catarina. Pesquisa descritiva, com abordagem quantitativa, foi realizada por meio de levantamento com aplicação de questionário aos gestores das empresas. A população constituiu-se das 264 empresas desse segmento econômico, listadas na Secretaria da Fazenda do Estado de Santa Catarina, e a amostra não aleatória das 40 empresas que responderam a pesquisa. As variáveis de identificação dos estágios de ciclo de vida utilizadas no questionário foram extraídas de Lester, Parnell e Carraher (2003). Os dados da pesquisa foram submetidos à técnica estatística denominada lógica fuzzy. Os resultados da pesquisa demonstraram que 57,5% das empresas foram classificadas no estágio do nascimento, 15% do, 7,5% da Maturidade, 10% do rejuvenescimento e 10% do declínio. Concluiu-se que determinados estágios do ciclo de vida organizacional estão próximos uns dos outros e que não se pode perceber claramente uma progressão determinista nas fases do ciclo de vida, como uma sequência única, definitiva e irreversível, no sentido tradicional biológico.

The association between need for touch and desire for unique products and consumer (inter)dependent problem-solving

Some people cannot buy products without first touching them, believing that doing so will create more assurance and information and reduce uncertainty. The international consumer marketing literature suggests an instrument to measure consumers' necessity for pohysical contact, called Need for Touch (NFT). This paper analyzes whether the Need for Touch structure is empirically consistent. Based on a literature review, we suggest six hypotheses in order to assess the nomological, convergent, and discriminant validity of the phenomenon. Departing from these, data supported four assumptions in the predicted direction. Need for Touch was associated with Need for Input and with Need for Cognition. Need for Touch was not associated with traditional marketing channels. The results also showed the dual characterization of Need for Touch as a bi-dimensional construct. The moderator effect indicated that when the consumer has a higher (vs. lower) Need for Touch autotelic score, the experiential motivation for shopping played a more (vs. less) important role in impulsive motivation. Our Study 3 supports the NFT structure and shows new associations with the need for unique products and dependent decisions.

Generació semi-automàtica de façanes procedurals

L’objectiu d’aquest PFC és desenvolupar una eina d’edició de façanes procedural apartir d’una imatge d’una façana real. L’aplicació generarà les regles procedurals de lafaçana a partir de dades adquirides del model que es vol representar, com unafotografia. L’usuari de l’aplicació generarà de forma semi-automàtica i interactiva lesregles de subdivisió i repetició, especificant també la inserció de elementsarquitectònics (portes, finestres), que podran ser instanciats a partir d’una llibreria. Uncop generades, les regles s’escriuran en el format del sistema BuildingEngine perintegrar-se completament dins el procés de modelatge urbà.Aquest projecte es desenvoluparà en Matlab

Adequació de la infraestructura de l'Hospital Universitari Arnau de Vilanova per a la implantació de S.A.P. (System Application & Products)

En aquesta memòria s'explica com, per la implantació de SAP en l'Hospital Universitari Arnau de Vilanova s'ha de realitzar una adequació tant de xarxa, com de parc d'ordinadors i impressores, instal·lació d'un nou cpd. Es fa un anàlisi previ de la situació i s'expliqen quins canvis es fan i perquè.

Products and Services Purchased From Iowa Prison Industries, Iowa Departation of Transportation, October 29, 2002

Items purchased from Iowa Prison Industries for Iowa Departation of Transportation

Ocorrência e significado do toque entre profissionais de enfermagem e pacientes de uma UTI e Unidade Semi-intensiva cirúrgica

Este trabalho tem como objetivos identificar a utilização, pelos profissionais de Enfermagem, do toque instrumental e/ou afetivo e suas características, na comunicação não-verbal com os pacientes da UTI e unidade semi-intensiva cirúrgica do HU-USP; e os sentimentos e percepções dos profissionais de Enfermagem e dos pacientes em relação aos toques experimentados. O estudo foi desenvolvido com 19 profissionais e 19 pacientes, no período de outubro a novembro de 2000, através de observação direta das interações e entrevista individual. Os sentimentos e percepções relatados foram categorizados e percebemos que a maioria dos toques é instrumental-afetivo.

Conseqüências dos erros de medicação em unidades de terapia intensiva e semi-intensiva

O estudo objetivou caracterizar erros de medicação e avaliar conseqüências na gravidade dos pacientes e carga de trabalho de enfermagem em duas Unidades de Terapia Intensiva (UTI) e duas Semi-Intensiva (USI) de duas instituições hospitalares do município de São Paulo. A amostra foi constituída por 50 pacientes e os dados obtidos por meio do registro de ocorrências e prontuários, retrospectivamente. A gravidade e carga de trabalho de enfermagem foram avaliadas antes e após o erro. Do total de 52 erros, 12 (23,08%) ocorreram por omissão de dose, 11 (21,15%) e 9 (17,31%) por medicamento e dose erradas, respectivamente. Não houve mudança na gravidade dos pacientes (p=0,316), porém houve aumento na carga de trabalho de enfermagem (p=0,009). Quanto ao grupo de medicamentos envolvidos, potencialmente perigosos e não potencialmente perigosos, não houve diferenças estatisticamente significantes na gravidade (p=0,456) e na carga de trabalho de enfermagem (p=0,264), após o erro de medicação.