Performing meta-analysis with incomplete statistical information in clinical trials

Background: Results from clinical trials are usually summarized in the form of sampling distributions. When full information (mean, SEM) about these distributions is given, performing meta-analysis is straightforward. However, when some of the sampling distributions only have mean values, a challenging issue is to decide how to use such distributions in meta-analysis. Currently, the most common approaches are either ignoring such trials or for each trial with a missing SEM, finding a similar trial and taking its SEM value as the missing SEM. Both approaches have drawbacks. As an alternative, this paper develops and tests two new methods, the first being the prognostic method and the second being the interval method, to estimate any missing SEMs from a set of sampling distributions with full information. A merging method is also proposed to handle clinical trials with partial information to simulate meta-analysis.

A statistical framework for the design of microarray experiments and effective detection of differential gene expression

Motivation: Microarray experiments generate a high data volume. However, often due to financial or experimental considerations, e.g. lack of sample, there is little or no replication of the experiments or hybridizations. These factors combined with the intrinsic variability associated with the measurement of gene expression can result in an unsatisfactory detection rate of differential gene expression (DGE). Our motivation was to provide an easy to use measure of the success rate of DGE detection that could find routine use in the design of microarray experiments or in post-experiment assessment.

Statistical-based monitoring of multivariate non-Gaussian systems

The monitoring of multivariate systems that exhibit non-Gaussian behavior is addressed. Existing work advocates the use of independent component analysis (ICA) to extract the underlying non-Gaussian data structure. Since some of the source signals may be Gaussian, the use of principal component analysis (PCA) is proposed to capture the Gaussian and non-Gaussian source signals. A subsequent application of ICA then allows the extraction of non-Gaussian components from the retained principal components (PCs). A further contribution is the utilization of a support vector data description to determine a confidence limit for the non-Gaussian components. Finally, a statistical test is developed for determining how many non-Gaussian components are encapsulated within the retained PCs, and associated monitoring statistics are defined. The utility of the proposed scheme is demonstrated by a simulation example, and the analysis of recorded data from an industrial melter.

Statistical theory of finite Fermi systems with chaotic excited eigenstates

A theory of strongly interacting Fermi systems of a few particles is developed. At high excit at ion energies (a few times the single-parti cle level spacing) these systems are characterized by an extreme degree of complexity due to strong mixing of the shell-model-based many-part icle basis st at es by the residual two- body interaction. This regime can be described as many-body quantum chaos. Practically, it occurs when the excitation energy of the system is greater than a few single-particle level spacings near the Fermi energy. Physical examples of such systems are compound nuclei, heavy open shell atoms (e.g. rare earths) and multicharged ions, molecules, clusters and quantum dots in solids. The main quantity of the theory is the strength function which describes spreading of the eigenstates over many-part icle basis states (determinants) constructed using the shell-model orbital basis. A nonlinear equation for the strength function is derived, which enables one to describe the eigenstates without diagonalization of the Hamiltonian matrix. We show how to use this approach to calculate mean orbital occupation numbers and matrix elements between chaotic eigenstates and introduce typically statistical variable s such as t emperature in an isolated microscopic Fermi system of a few particles.