Drivers of Dengue Within-Host Dynamics and Virulence Evolution

Dengue is an important vector-borne virus that infects on the order of 400 million individuals per year. Infection with one of the virus's four serotypes (denoted DENV-1 to 4) may be silent, result in symptomatic dengue 'breakbone' fever, or develop into the more severe dengue hemorrhagic fever/dengue shock syndrome (DHF/DSS). Extensive research has therefore focused on identifying factors that influence dengue infection outcomes. It has been well-documented through epidemiological studies that DHF is most likely to result from a secondary heterologous infection, and that individuals experiencing a DENV-2 or DENV-3 infection typically are more likely to present with more severe dengue disease than those individuals experiencing a DENV-1 or DENV-4 infection. However, a mechanistic understanding of how these risk factors affect disease outcomes, and further, how the virus's ability to evolve these mechanisms will affect disease severity patterns over time, is lacking. In the second chapter of my dissertation, I formulate mechanistic mathematical models of primary and secondary dengue infections that describe how the dengue virus interacts with the immune response and the results of this interaction on the risk of developing severe dengue disease. I show that only the innate immune response is needed to reproduce characteristic features of a primary infection whereas the adaptive immune response is needed to reproduce characteristic features of a secondary dengue infection. I then add to these models a quantitative measure of disease severity that assumes immunopathology, and analyze the effectiveness of virological indicators of disease severity. In the third chapter of my dissertation, I then statistically fit these mathematical models to viral load data of dengue patients to understand the mechanisms that drive variation in viral load. I specifically consider the roles that immune status, clinical disease manifestation, and serotype may play in explaining viral load variation observed across the patients. With this analysis, I show that there is statistical support for the theory of antibody dependent enhancement in the development of severe disease in secondary dengue infections and that there is statistical support for serotype-specific differences in viral infectivity rates, with infectivity rates of DENV-2 and DENV-3 exceeding those of DENV-1. In the fourth chapter of my dissertation, I integrate these within-host models with a vector-borne epidemiological model to understand the potential for virulence evolution in dengue. Critically, I show that dengue is expected to evolve towards intermediate virulence, and that the optimal virulence of the virus depends strongly on the number of serotypes that co-circulate. Together, these dissertation chapters show that dengue viral load dynamics provide insight into the within-host mechanisms driving differences in dengue disease patterns and that these mechanisms have important implications for dengue virulence evolution.

Leptin directly promotes T-cell glycolytic metabolism to drive effector T-cell differentiation in a mouse model of autoimmunity.

Upon activation, T cells require energy for growth, proliferation, and function. Effector T (Teff) cells, such as Th1 and Th17 cells, utilize high levels of glycolytic metabolism to fuel proliferation and function. In contrast, Treg cells require oxidative metabolism to fuel suppressive function. It remains unknown how Teff/Treg-cell metabolism is altered when nutrients are limited and leptin levels are low. We therefore examined the role of malnutrition and associated hypoleptinemia on Teff versus Treg cells. We found that both malnutrition-associated hypoleptinemia and T cell-specific leptin receptor knockout suppressed Teff-cell number, function, and glucose metabolism, but did not alter Treg-cell metabolism or suppressive function. Using the autoimmune mouse model EAE, we confirmed that fasting-induced hypoleptinemia altered Teff-cell, but not Treg-cell, glucose metabolism, and function in vivo, leading to decreased disease severity. To explore potential mechanisms, we examined HIF-1α, a key regulator of Th17 differentiation and Teff-cell glucose metabolism, and found HIF-1α expression was decreased in T cell-specific leptin receptor knockout Th17 cells, and in Teff cells from fasted EAE mice, but was unchanged in Treg cells. Altogether, these data demonstrate a selective, cell-intrinsic requirement for leptin to upregulate glucose metabolism and maintain function in Teff, but not Treg cells.

Assessing the immune phenotype of cardiac syndrome x: a prospective study of biomarkers

Cardiac Syndrome X (CSX), the presence of angina pectoris with objective signs of myocardial ischaemia despite angiographically normal epicardial coronary arteries, appears to be due to coronary microvascular dysfunction and is known to be associated with an elevation of several inflammatory biomarkers, suggesting a possible role for inflammation in its pathogenesis. We aimed to further characterise this relationship by prospectively analysing a wide variety of molecular biomarkers in a cohort of CSX patients thereby charting the changes in biomarkers throughout the natural history of CSX from its initial diagnosis to eventual disease quiescence. We found that CSX patients, when compared to healthy controls, have a persistent low-grade systemic inflammatory response characterised by an elevation of Tumour Necrosis Factor and Interferon-gamma, regardless of the presence of contemporaneous signs or symptoms of disease activity. Interleukin-6 and C-reactive Protein (CRP) are only elevated when patients have clinical evidence of disease activity and may be state markers in CSX. Moreover, CRP levels appear to correlate with signals of disease severity such as the time taken to develop symptoms during exercise stress testing. We have also demonstrated that the enzyme Indoleamine-2,3- dioxygenase is upregulated in active disease thus providing a possible explanation for the increased burden of psychological disease encountered in CSX. Analysis of the microRNA transcriptome showed that miR-143 is significantly under-expressed in CSX patients. This could allow phenotype switching in vascular smooth muscle cells with the resultant vascular remodelling causing reduced vessel responsiveness to local rheological stimuli and reduced luminal diameter with consequent increased microvascular resistance during times of increased myocardial oxygen demand, thereby limiting maximal hyperaemia during exercise. Our findings corroborate many previous hypotheses regarding the role of inflammation in CSX, generate new insights into possible pathogenic mechanisms and offer new therapeutic targets for the future management of this important cardiological condition.

Lack of Association Between Haptoglobin Phenotype and Cystic Fibrosis Outcomes

Haptoglobin (Hp), a heme-Iron chelator, has different isoforms which are associated with variable tendency toward infections: Hp 1-1, Hp 2-1, and Hp 2-2. Cystic fibrosis (CF) outcomes are variable and influenced by genetic and environmental factors. The aim of this study was to determine whether Hp phenotype influenced disease severity in CF. One hundred forty-two CF patients from two centers were analyzed for Haptoglobin phenotype using gel electrophoresis of hemoglobin enriched serum. Clinical and microbiological data including bacterial colonization status, lung function, presence of CF-related diabetes and liver disease, rate of exacerbation, and mortality were compared between Hp phenotype groups. We found a trend toward less mucoid PA among Hp 2-2 (20.4 %) compared with Hp 1-1 and Hp 2-1 individuals (33.3 %), p = 0.317. Hp 2-2 individuals also had less antibiotic courses, and lower inflammatory markers without statistical significance. Haptoglobin phenotype is unlikely to be an important modifier of CF phenotype.

Polypharmacy and inappropriate medication use in patients with dementia: an underresearched problem

Multimorbidity and polypharmacy are increasingly prevalent across healthcare systems and settings as global demographic trends shift towards increased proportions of older people in populations. Numerous studies have demonstrated an association between polypharmacy and potentially inappropriate prescribing (PIP), and have reported high prevalence of PIP across settings of care in Europe and North America and, as a consequence, increased risk of adverse drug reactions, healthcare utilisation, morbidity and mortality. These studies have not focused specifically on people with dementia, despite the high risk of adverse drug reactions and PIP in this patient cohort. This narrative review considers the evidence currently available in the area, including studies examining prevalence of PIP in older people with dementia, how appropriateness of prescribing is assessed, the medications most commonly implicated, the clinical consequences, and research priorities to optimise prescribing for this vulnerable patient group. Although there has been considerable research effort to develop criteria to assess medication appropriateness in older people in recent years, the majority of tools do not focus on people with dementia. Of the limited number of tools available, most focus on the advanced stages of dementia in which life-expectancy is limited. The development of tools to assess medication appropriateness in people with mild-to-moderate dementia or across the full spectrum of disease severity represents an important gap in the research literature and is beginning to attract research interest, with recent studies considering the medication regimen as a whole, or misprescribing, overprescribing or underprescribing of certain medications/medication classes including anticholinergics, psychotropics, antibiotics and analgesics. Further work is required in development and validation of criteria to assess prescribing appropriateness in this vulnerable patient population, to determine prevalence of PIP in large cohorts of people with the full spectrum of dementia variants and severities and to examine the impact of PIP on health outcomes.

Understanding COPD: A Vision on Phenotypes, Comorbidities and Treatment Approach

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) phenotypes have become increasingly recognized as important for grouping patients with similar presentation and/or behavior, within the heterogeneity of the disease. The primary aim of identifying phenotypes is to provide patients with the best health care possible, tailoring the therapeutic approach to each patient. However, the identification of specific phenotypes has been hindered by several factors such as which specific attributes are relevant, which discriminant features should be used for assigning patients to specific phenotypes, and how relevant are they to the therapeutic approach, prognostic and clinical outcome. Moreover, the definition of phenotype is still not consensual. Comorbidities, risk factors, modifiable risk factors and disease severity, although not phenotypes, have impact across all COPD phenotypes. Although there are some identified phenotypes that are fairly consensual, many others have been proposed, but currently lack validation. The on-going debate about which instruments and tests should be used in the identification and definition of phenotypes has contributed to this uncertainty. In this paper, the authors review present knowledge regarding COPD phenotyping, discuss the role of phenotypes and comorbidities on the severity of COPD, propose new phenotypes and suggest a phenotype-based pharmacological therapeutic approach. The authors conclude that a patient-tailored treatment approach, which takes into account each patient's specific attributes and specificities, should be pursued.

Variation in susceptibility among macadamia genotypes and species to Phytophthora root decay caused by Phytophthora cinnamomi

Phytophthora cinnamomi is a major pathogen of cultivated macadamia (Macadamia integrifolia, Macadamia tetraphylla and their hybrids) worldwide. The susceptibility of the two non-edible Macadamia species (Macadamia ternifolia and Macadamia jansenii) to P. cinnamomi is not well-understood. Commercial macadamia trees are established on grafted seedling (seed propagation) or own-rooted cutting (vegetative propagation) rootstocks of hybrids of the cultivated species. There is little information to support the preferential use of rootstock propagated by either seedling or own-rooted cutting methods in macadamia. In this study we assessed roots of macadamia plants of the four species and their hybrids, derived from the two methods of propagation, for their susceptibility to P. cinnamomi infection. The roots of inoculated plant from which P. cinnamomi was recovered showed blackening symptoms. The non-cultivated species, M. ternifolia and M. jansenii and their hybrids were the most susceptible germplasm compared with M. tetraphylla and M. integrifolia. Of these two species, M. tetraphylla was less susceptible than M. integrifolia. Significant differences were observed among the accessions of their hybrids. A strong association (R2 > 0.75) was recorded between symptomatic roots and disease severity. Root density reduced with increasing disease severity rating in both own-rooted cuttings (R2 = 0.65) and germinated seedlings (R2 = 0.55). P. cinnamomi severity data were not significantly (P > 0.05) different between the two methods of plant propagation. The significance of this study to macadamia breeding and selection of disease resistant rootstocks is discussed.

Investigation into various fungicides and alternative solutions for controlling postharvest diseases in papaya fruit

In Australia, Sportak® (a.i., prochloraz) has been registered since the early 1980's for the postharvest control of both anthracnose and stem-end rots in papaya fruit, despite the persistence of fruit breakdown due to disease during transit and at market destinations. Consequently, the Australian papaya industry has been concerned over the efficacy of prochloraz and whether substitute or alternative solutions were available for better disease control, particularly during times of peak disease pressure. This study therefore investigated the effects of various postharvest treatments for disease control in papaya. Fruit were harvested at colour break from coastal farms in Far North Queensland and treated with commercial rates of various fungicides, including prochloraz, imazalil, thiabendazole and fludioxonil. Additional solutions known to inhibit disease were examined, including chitosan and carnauba wax both with and without ammonium carbonate (AC). Following treatment, fruit were ripened and assessed for quality over their shelf life. Fludioxonil when applied as a hot dip was found to be a more efficacious treatment for control of disease in papaya than prochloraz. The other fungicides were moderately effective, as both thiabendazol and prochloraz exhibited an intermediate response and imazalil was the least effective. Disease severity was lowest in fruit treated with AC followed by chitosan, whilst chitosan delayed degreening. Overall, the study found that hot fludioxonil provided an effective replacement of the currently registered chemical prochloraz, and that alternate solutions such chitosan and AC may also be beneficial, particularly for low chemical input farming systems.

Balancing the demands of two tasks: an investigation of cognitive-motor dual-tasking in relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis

Background: People with relapsing remitting MS (PwRRMS) suffer disproportionate decrements in gait under dual-task conditions, when walking and a cognitive task are combined. There has been much less investigation of the impact of cognitive demands on balance. This study investigated whether: (1) PwRRMS show disproportionate decrements in postural stability under dual-task conditions compared to healthy controls; (2) dual-task decrements are associated with everyday dual-tasking difficulties. In addition, the impact of mood, fatigue and disease severity on dual-tasking were also examined. Methods: 34 PwRRMS and 34 matched controls completed cognitive (digit span) and balance (movement of centre of pressure on a Biosway, on stable and unstable surfaces) tasks under single and dual-task conditions. Everyday dual-tasking was measured using the DTQ. Mood was measured by the HADS. Fatigue was measured via the MFIS. Results: No differences in age, gender, years of education, estimated pre-morbid IQ or baseline digit span between the groups. Compared to healthy controls, PwRRMS showed a significantly greater decrement in postural stability under dual-task conditions on an unstable surface (p=0.007), but not a stable surface (p=0.679). PwRRMS reported higher levels of everyday dual-tasking difficulties (p<0.001). Balance decrement scores were not correlated with everyday dual-tasking difficulties, or with fatigue. Stable surface balance decrement scores were significantly associated with levels of anxiety (rho=0.527, p=0.001) and depression (rho=0.451, p=0.007). Conclusion: RRMS causes difficulties with dual-tasking, impacting balance, particularly under challenging conditions, which may contribute to an increased risk of gait difficulties and falls. The striking relationship between anxiety/depression and dual-task decrement suggests that worry may be contributing to dual-task difficulties.

Programa Nacional de Vigilância da Gripe: relatório da época 2015/2016

O vírus da gripe é uma das maiores causas de morbilidade e mortalidade em todo o mundo, afetando um elevado número de indivíduos em cada ano. Em Portugal a vigilância epidemiológica da gripe é assegurada pelo Programa Nacional de Vigilância da Gripe (PNVG), através da integração da informação das componentes clínica e virológica, gerando informação detalhada relativamente à atividade gripal. A componente clínica é suportada pela Rede Médicos-Sentinela e tem um papel especialmente relevante por possibilitar o cálculo de taxas de incidência permitindo descrever a intensidade e evolução da epidemia de gripe. A componente virológica tem por base o diagnóstico laboratorial do vírus da gripe e tem como objetivos a deteção e caraterização dos vírus da gripe em circulação. Para o estudo mais completo da etiologia da síndrome gripal foi efectuado o diagnóstico diferencial de outros vírus respiratórios: vírus sincicial respiratório tipo A (RSV A) e B (RSV B), o rhinovírus humano (hRV), o vírus parainfluenza humano tipo 1 (PIV1), 2 (PIV2) e 3 (PIV3), o coronavírus humano (hCoV), o adenovírus (AdV) e o metapneumovirus humano (hMPV). Desde 2009 a vigilância da gripe conta também com a Rede Portuguesa de Laboratórios para o Diagnóstico da Gripe que atualmente é constituída por 15 hospitais onde se realiza o diagnóstico laboratorial da gripe. A informação obtida nesta Rede Laboratorial adiciona ao PNVG dados relativos a casos de doença respiratória mais severa com necessidade de internamento. Em 2011/2012, foi lançado um estudo piloto para vigiar os casos graves de gripe admitidos em Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos (UCI) que deu origem à atual Rede de vigilância da gripe em UCI constituída em 2015/2016 por 31 UCI (324 camas). Esta componente tem como objetivo a monitorização de novos casos de gripe confirmados laboratorialmente e admitidos em UCI, permitindo a avaliação da gravidade da doença associada à infeção pelo vírus da gripe. O Sistema da Vigilância Diária da Mortalidade constitui uma componente do PNVG que permite monitorizar a mortalidade semanal por “todas as causas” durante a época de gripe. É um sistema de vigilância epidemiológica que pretende detetar e estimar de forma rápida os impactos de eventos ambientais ou epidémicos relacionados com excessos de mortalidade. A notificação de casos de Síndrome Gripal (SG) e a colheita de amostras biológicas foi realizada em diferentes redes participantes do PNVG: Rede de Médicos-Sentinela, Rede de Serviços de Urgência/Obstetrícia, médicos do Projeto EuroEVA, Rede Portuguesa de Laboratórios para o Diagnóstico da Gripe e Rede vigilância da gripe em UCI. Na época de vigilância da gripe de 2015/2016 foram notificados 1.273 casos de SG, 87% dos quais acompanhados de um exsudado da nasofaringe para diagnóstico laboratorial. No inverno de 2015/2016 observou-se uma atividade gripal de baixa intensidade. O período epidémico ocorreu entre a semana 53/2015 e a semana 8/2016 e o valor mais elevado da taxa de incidência semanal de SG (72,0/100000) foi observado na semana 53/2015. De acordo com os casos notificados à Rede Médicos-Sentinela, o grupo etário dos 15 aos 64 anos foi o que apresentou uma incidência cumulativa mais elevada. O vírus da gripe foi detetado em 41,0% dos exsudados da nasofaringe recebidos tendo sido detetados outros vírus respiratórios em 24% destes. O vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09 foi o predominantemente detetado em 90,4% dos casos de gripe. Foram também detetados outros vírus da gripe, o vírus B - linhagem Victoria (8%), o vírus A(H3) (1,3%) e o vírus B- linhagem Yamagata (0,5%). A análise antigénica dos vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09 mostrou a sua semelhança com a estirpe vacinal 2015/2016 (A/California/7/2009), a maioria dos vírus pertencem ao novo grupo genético 6B.1, que foi o predominantemente detetado em circulação na Europa. Os vírus do tipo B apesar de detetados em número bastante mais reduzido comparativamente com o subtipo A(H1)pdm09, foram na sua maioria da linhagem Victoria que antigenicamente se distinguem da estirpe vacinal de 2015/2016 (B/Phuket/3073/2013). Esta situação foi igualmente verificada nos restantes países da Europa, Estados Unidos da América e Canadá. Os vírus do subtipo A(H3) assemelham-se antigenicamente à estirpe selecionada para a vacina de 2016/2017 (A/Hong Kong/4801/2014). Geneticamente a maioria dos vírus caraterizados pertencem ao grupo 3C.2a, e são semelhantes à estirpe vacinal para a época de 2016/2017. A avaliação da resistência aos antivirais inibidores da neuraminidase, não revelou a circulação de estirpes com diminuição da suscetibilidade aos inibidores da neuraminidase (oseltamivir e zanamivir). A situação verificada em Portugal é semelhante à observada a nível europeu. A percentagem mais elevada de casos de gripe foi verificada nos indivíduos com idade inferior a 45 anos. A febre, as cefaleias, o mal-estar geral, as mialgias, a tosse e os calafrios mostraram apresentar uma forte associação à confirmação laboratorial de um caso de gripe. Foi nos doentes com imunodeficiência congénita ou adquirida que a proporção de casos de gripe foi mais elevada, seguidos dos doentes com diabetes e obesidade. A percentagem total de casos de gripe em mulheres grávidas foi semelhante à observada nas mulheres em idade fértil não grávidas. No entanto, o vírus da gripe do tipo A(H1)pdm09 foi detetado em maior proporção nas mulheres grávidas quando comparado as mulheres não grávidas. A vacina como a principal forma de prevenção da gripe é especialmente recomendada em indivíduos com idade igual ou superior a 65 anos, doentes crónicos e imunodeprimidos, grávidas e profissionais de saúde. A vacinação antigripal foi referida em 13% dos casos notificados. A deteção do vírus da gripe ocorreu em 25% dos casos vacinados e sujeitos a diagnóstico laboratorial estando essencialmente associados ao vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09, o predominante na época de 2015/2016. Esta situação foi mais frequentemente verificada em indivíduos com idade compreendida entre os 15 e 45 anos. A confirmação de gripe em indivíduos vacinados poderá estar relacionada com uma moderada efetividade da vacina antigripal na população em geral. A informação relativa à terapêutica antiviral foi indicada em 67% casos de SG notificados, proporção superior ao verificado em anos anteriores. Os antivirais foram prescritos a um número reduzido de doentes (9,0%) dos quais 45.0% referiam pelo menos a presença de uma doença crónica ou gravidez. O antiviral mais prescrito foi o oseltamivir. A pesquisa de outros vírus respiratórios nos casos de SG negativos para o vírus da gripe, veio revelar a circulação e o envolvimento de outros agentes virais respiratórios em casos de SG. Os vírus respiratórios foram detetados durante todo o período de vigilância da gripe, entre a semana 40/2015 e a semana 20/2016. O hRV, o hCoV e o RSV foram os agentes mais frequentemente detetados, para além do vírus da gripe, estando o RSV essencialmente associado a crianças com idade inferior a 4 anos de idade e o hRV e o hCoV aos adultos e população mais idosa (≥ 65 anos). A Rede Portuguesa de Laboratórios para o Diagnóstico da Gripe, efetuou o diagnóstico da gripe em 7443 casos de infeção respiratória sendo o vírus da gripe detetado em 1458 destes casos. Em 71% dos casos de gripe foi detetado o vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09. Os vírus da gripe do tipo A(H3) foram detetados esporadicamente e em número muito reduzido (2%), e em 11% o vírus da gripe A (não subtipado). O vírus da gripe do tipo B foi detetado em 16% dos casos. A frequência de cada tipo e subtipo do vírus da gripe identificados na Rede Hospitalar assemelha-se ao observado nos cuidados de saúde primários (Rede Médicos-Sentinela e Serviços de Urgência). Foi nos indivíduos adultos, entre os 45-64 anos, que o vírus A(H1)pdm09 representou uma maior proporção dos casos de gripe incluindo igualmente a maior proporção de doentes que necessitaram de internamento hospitalar em unidades de cuidados intensivos. O vírus da gripe do tipo B esteve associado a casos de gripe confirmados nas crianças entre os 5 e 14 anos. Outros vírus respiratórios foram igualmente detetados sendo o RSV e os picornavírus (hRV, hEV e picornavírus) os mais frequentes e em co circulação com o vírus da gripe. Durante a época de vigilância da gripe, 2015/2016, não se observaram excessos de mortalidade semanais. Nas UCI verificou-se uma franca dominância do vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09 (90%) e a circulação simultânea do vírus da gripe B (3%). A taxa de admissão em UCI oscilou entre 5,8% e 4,7% entre as semanas 53 e 12 tendo o valor máximo sido registado na semana 8 de 2016 (8,1%). Cerca de metade dos doentes tinha entre 45 e 64 anos. Os mais idosos (65+ anos) foram apenas 20% dos casos, o que não será de estranhar, considerando que o vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09 circulou como vírus dominante. Aproximadamente 70% dos doentes tinham doença crónica subjacente, tendo a obesidade sido a mais frequente (37%). Comparativamente com a pandemia, em que circulou também o A(H1)pdm09, a obesidade, em 2015/2016, foi cerca de 4 vezes mais frequente (9,8%). Apenas 8% dos doentes tinha feito a vacina contra a gripe sazonal, apesar de mais de 70% ter doença crónica subjacente e de haver recomendações da DGS nesse sentido. A taxa de letalidade foi estimada em 29,3%, mais elevada do que na época anterior (23,7%). Cerca de 80% dos óbitos ocorreram em indivíduos com doença crónica subjacente que poderá ter agravado o quadro e contribuído para o óbito. Salienta-se a ausência de dados históricos publicados sobre letalidade em UCI, para comparação. Note-se que esta estimativa se refere a óbitos ocorridos apenas durante a hospitalização na UCI e que poderão ter ocorrido mais óbitos após a alta da UCI para outros serviços/enfermarias. Este sistema de vigilância da gripe sazonal em UCI poderá ser aperfeiçoado nas próximas épocas reduzindo a subnotificação e melhorando o preenchimento dos campos necessários ao estudo da doença. A época de vigilância da gripe 2015/2016 foi em muitas caraterísticas comparável ao descrito na maioria dos países europeus. A situação em Portugal destacou-se pela baixa intensidade da atividade gripal, pelo predomínio do vírus da gripe do subtipo A(H1)pdm09 acompanhada pela deteção de vírus do tipo B (linhagem Victoria) essencialmente no final da época gripal. A mortalidade por todas as causas durante a epidemia da gripe manteve-se dentro do esperado, não tendo sido observados excessos de mortalidade. Os vírus da gripe do subtipo predominante na época 2015/2016, A(H1)pdm09, revelaram-se antigénicamente semelhantes à estirpe vacinal. Os vírus da gripe do tipo B detetados distinguem-se da estirpe vacinal de 2015/2016. Este facto conduziu à atualização da composição da vacina antigripal para a época 2016/2017. A monitorização contínua da epidemia da gripe a nível nacional e mundial permite a cada inverno avaliar o impacto da gripe na saúde da população, monitorizar a evolução dos vírus da gripe e atuar de forma a prevenir e implementar medidas eficazes de tratamento da doença, especialmente quando esta se apresenta acompanhada de complicações graves.

Randomised controlled trial of short bursts of a potent topical corticosteroid versus prolonged use of a mild preparation for children with mild or moderate atopic eczema

Objective To determine whether a three day burst of a potent corticosteroid is more effective than a mild preparation used for seven days in children with mild or moderate atopic eczema. Design Randomised, double blind, parallel group study of 18 weeks' duration. Setting 13 general practices and a teaching hospital in the Nottingham area. Participants 174 children with mild or moderate atopic eczema recruited from general practices and 33 from a hospital outpatient clinic. Interventions 0.1% betamethasone valerate applied for three days followed by the base ointment for four days versus 1% hydrocortisone applied for seven days. Main outcome measures Primary outcomes were total number of scratch­free days and number of relapses. Secondary outcomes were median duration of relapses, number of undisturbed nights, disease severity (six area, six sign atopic dermatitis severity scale), scores on two quality of life measures (children's life quality index and dermatitis family impact questionnaire), and number of patients in whom treatment failed in each arm. Results No differences were found between the two groups. This was consistent for all outcomes. The median number of scratch­free days was 118.0 for the mild group and 117.5 for the potent group (difference 0.5, 95% confidence interval - 2.0 to 4.0, P = 0.53). The median number of relapses for both groups was 1.0. Both groups showed clinically important improvements in disease severity and quality of life compared with baseline. Conclusion A short burst of a potent topical corticosteroid is just as effective as prolonged use of a milder preparation for controlling mild or moderate atopic eczema in children.

Primary dengue virus infections induce differential cytokine production in Mexican patients

Severe dengue pathogenesis is not fully understood, but high levels of proinflammatory cytokines have been associated with dengue disease severity. In this study, the cytokine levels in 171 sera from Mexican patients with primary dengue fever (DF) and dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF) from dengue virus (DENV) 1 (n = 116) or 2 (n = 55) were compared. DF and DHF were defined according to the patient’s clinical condition, the primary infections as indicated by IgG enzymatic immunoassay negative results, and the infecting serotype as assessed by real-time reverse transcriptionpolymerase chain reaction. Samples were analysed for circulating levels of interleukin (IL)-12p70, interferon (IFN)-γ, tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-α, IL-6, and IL-8 using a commercial cytometric bead array. Significantly higher IFN-γ levels were found in patients with DHF than those with DF. However, significantly higher IL-12p70, TNF-α, and IL-6 levels were associated with DHF only in patients who were infected with DENV2 but not with DENV1. Moreover, patients with DF who were infected with DENV1 showed higher levels of IL-12p70, TNF-α, and IL-6 than patients with DHF early after-fever onset. The IL-8 levels were similar in all cases regardless of the clinical condition or infection serotype. These results suggest that the association between high proinflammatory cytokine levels and dengue disease severity does not always stand, and it once again highlights the complex nature of DHF pathogenesis.

Does therapeutic writing help people with long-term conditions? Systematic review, realist synthesis and economic considerations

Background Writing therapy to improve physical or mental health can take many forms. The most researched model of therapeutic writing (TW) is unfacilitated, individual expressive writing (written emotional disclosure). Facilitated writing activities are less widely researched. Data sources Databases including: MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsychINFO, Linguistics and Language Behavior Abstracts, AMED, and CINHAL were searched from inception to March 2013. Review methods Four TW practitioners provided expert advice. Study procedures were conducted by one reviewer and checked by a second. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and non-randomised comparative studies were included. Quality was appraised using the Cochrane risk of bias tool. Unfacilitated and facilitated TW studies were analysed separately under ICD-10 chapter headings. Meta-analyses were performed where possible using Revman 5.2. Costs were estimated from an NHS perspective and three cost-consequence case studies were prepared. Realist synthesis followed RAMESES guidelines. Objectives To review the clinical and cost-effectiveness of TW for people with long-term health conditions (LTCs) compared to no writing, or other controls, reporting any relevant clinical outcomes. To conduct a realist synthesis to understand how TW might work, and for whom. Results From 14,658 unique citations, 284 full text papers were reviewed and 64 studies (58 RCTs) were included in the final effectiveness reviews. Five studies examined facilitated TW, these were extremely heterogeneous with unclear or high risk of bias, but suggested that facilitated TW interventions may be beneficial in individual LTCs. Unfacilitated expressive writing was examined in 59 studies of variable, or unreported, quality. Overall there was very little or no evidence of any benefit reported in the following conditions (number of studies): HIV (six); breast cancer (eight); gynaecological and genitourinary cancers (five); mental health (five); asthma (four); psoriasis (three); chronic pain (four). In inflammatory arthropathies (six) there was a reduction in disease severity (n= 191, standardised mean difference (SMD) - 0.61 [95% confidence intervals (95% CI) -0.96, -0.26]) in the short term on meta-analysis of four studies. For all other LTCs there was either no, or sparse, data with no, or inconsistent, evidence of benefit. Meta-analyses conducted across all the LTCs provided no evidence that unfacilitated EW had any effect on depression at short term (n= 1,563, SMD -0.06, 95% CI -0.29 to 0.17, substantial heterogeneity), or long term (n= 778, SMD-0.04 95% CI -0.18 to 0.10, little heterogeneity) follow up, or on anxiety, physiological or biomarker-based outcomes. One study reported costs, none reported cost-effectiveness, twelve reported resource use; meta-analysis suggested reduced medication use but no impact on health centre visits. Estimated costs of intervention were low, but there was insufficient evidence to judge cost-effectiveness. Realist review findings suggested that facilitated TW is a complex intervention and group interaction contributes to the perception of benefit. It was unclear from the available data who might benefit most from facilitated TW. Limitations Difficulties with developing realist review programme theory meant that mechanisms operating during TW remain obscure. Conclusions Overall there is little evidence to support the effectiveness or cost-effectiveness of unfacilitated expressive writing interventions in people with LTCs. Further research focussed on facilitated TW in people with LTCs could be informative.

A systematic review of observational studies on oxidative/nitrosative stress involvement in dengue pathogenesis

Objective: Our objective was to systematically review the published observational research related to the role of oxidative-nitrosative stress in pathogenesis of dengue. Methods: We searched electronic databases (PubMed, EMBASE, The COCHRANE library, ScienceDirect, Scopus, SciELO, LILACS via Virtual Health Library, Google Scholar) using the term: dengue, dengue virus, severe dengue, oxidative stress, nitrosative stress, antioxidants, oxidants, free radicals, oxidized lipid products, lipid peroxides, nitric oxide, and nitric oxide synthase. Articles were selected for review by title and abstract excluding letter, review, in vivo and in vitro studies, and duplicates studies. Selected articles were reviewed for study design, original purposes, sample size, main outcomes, methods, and oxidative-nitrosative stress markers values. Results: In total, 4,331 non-duplicates articles were identified from electronic databases searches, of which 16 were eligible for full text searching. Data from the observational studies originate from Asian countries (50%; 8/16), South American countries (31.2%; 5/16), and Central America and the Caribbean countries (18.8%; 3/16). Casecontrol study was the type of design most common in researches reviewed. The 1997 World Health Organization (WHO) dengue case classification criteria were used in all studies included in this review. Conclusions: Based on published data found in peer-reviewed literature, oxidative and nitrosative stress are demonstrated by changes in plasma levels of nitric oxide, antioxidants, lipid peroxidation and protein oxidation markers in patients with dengue infection. Additionally, elevated serum protein carbonyls and malondialdehyde levels appear to be associated with dengue disease severity.

Do we really ponder about necessity of intravenous hydration in acute bronchiolitis?

Objective: The goal was to establish the role of intravenous hydration therapy on mild bronchiolitis. Methods: This was a retrospective case control study. Infants between 1 month and 2 years of age admitted to our general pediatrics ward between June 2012 and June 2013 with a diagnosis of uncomplicated acute bronchiolitis were enrolled to the study. Hospital medical files were reviewed to get information about children personal history, symptoms of the disease, disease severity scores and their management. Patients were classified into 4 groups according to the management; nebulized short-acting β2-agonist (salbutamol) +hydration; nebulized short-acting β2-agonist (salbutamol); hydration and neither bronchodilator nor hydration. We examined length of stay in the hospital as an outcome measure. Results: A total of 94 infants were studied. There was no significant difference between groups in terms of length of stay in hospital. Conclusions: IV hydration is not effective on length of stay in hospital in mild acute bronchiolitis patients.