Evaluating methods for estimating rare events with zero-heavy data: a simulation model estimating sea turtle bycatch in the pelagic longline fishery

Estimating rare events from zero-heavy data (data with many zero values) is a common challenge in fisheries science and ecology. For example, loggerhead sea turtles (Caretta caretta) and leatherback sea turtles (Dermochelys coriacea) account for less than 1% of total catch in the U.S. Atlantic pelagic longline fishery. Nevertheless, the Southeast Fisheries Science Center (SEFSC) of the National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) is charged with assessing the effect of this fishery on these federally protected species. Annual estimates of loggerhead and leatherback bycatch in a fishery can affect fishery management and species conservation decisions. However, current estimates have wide confidence intervals, and their accuracy is unknown. We evaluate 3 estimation methods, each at 2 spatiotemporal scales, in simulations of 5 spatial scenarios representing incidental capture of sea turtles by the U.S. Atlantic pelagic longline fishery. The delta-log normal method of estimating bycatch for calendar quarter and fishing area strata was the least biased estimation method in the spatial scenarios believed to be most realistic. This result supports the current estimation procedure used by the SEFSC.

Degradação de corante por partículas de ferro zero suportadas em sílica

A água é um bem essencial a todos os seres vivos. Porém, o homem não tem dado o valor e atenção necessários para a preservação dessa riqueza. Por mais que o ser humano não faça a água desaparecer do planeta, ele tem contribuído e muito para o decréscimo de sua qualidade. Dentre as várias atividades antropogênicas, que tem contribuído para a poluição das águas, destaca-se a atividade industrial. A indústria têxtil, por exemplo, libera enormes volumes de dejetos, destacando-se os corantes, além deles prejudicarem a ocorrência de fotossíntese, apresentam elevada toxicidade ao meio marinho. Com isso, este trabalho visa estudar a degradação do corante Alaranjado de Metila via catálise heterogênea. Neste estudo, foram realizadas a preparação e a caracterização de partículas metálicas estabilizadas em sílica, sendo essas partículas com diferentes teores de ferro (50 %wt, 25 %wt e 5 %wt) aderido ao suporte. Após o preparo dos catalisadores realizou-se o estudo de sua eficiência frente a diferentes parâmetros como: quantidade de catalisador, temperatura e pH. Por meio dos testes realizados foi possível observar que a quantidade do catalisador influência a reação de redução do corante Alaranjado de Metila. Porém, quando se atinge o ponto de saturação, mesmo que se adicione mais catalisador não é possível aumentar a degradação. Através da variação da temperatura, observou-se que quanto maior a temperatura maior a degradação do corante. Isso pode ser explicado devido o aumento do número de colisões entre os sítios ativos do catalisador e as moléculas do corante. E por meio da variação de pH, concluiu-se que pHs ácidos permitem que a reação de redução do corante ocorra mais rápido e pHs elevados tornam a reação de degradação do corante mais lenta, porém ainda assim ocorrem de forma satisfatória. O catalisador pôde ser reutilizado por até 3 vezes, sem nenhum tratamento prévio. Os catalisadores a 50 %wt, assim como, a 25 %wt foram capazes de degradar o corante de forma eficiente, porém o catalisador a 5 %wt não se mostrou ser eficaz. Foram realizados testes sob radiação microondas e a reação de redução ocorreu de forma muito eficaz, apresentando 100% de degradação em apenas 2 minutos. Além disso, realizou-se o estudo cinético, onde segundo dados experimentais, as reações foram classificadas como sendo de primeira ordem

Reference area as a factor affecting potential yield estimates of coral reef fishes

A compilation of 48 estimates of Caribbean and Pacific coral reef fish catches, ranging from 0.1 to 23.7 t km super(-2) year super(-1), obtained from coral reef areas ranging from 0.1 to nearly 4-10 super(5) km super(2), are used to show that observed catches, and hence potential yield estimates, depend strongly on the reference area. The implications for coral reef fisheries assessments are discussed.

The von Bertalanffy growth curve: when a good fit is not good enough

The von Bertalanffy growth function is used for length based analysis of growth and mortality patterns for management of fisheries. However, certain fish have growth patterns that the VBGF may not be able to describe adequately.e.g. the Acanthurus lineatus in Samoa. In such cases a two phase VBGF may be a useful approach.

Estimating the maximum sustainable yield of bonito (Sarda chiliensis, Scombridae) of northern Chile from monthly catch data

Monthly catch data of bonito Sarda chiliensis from northern Chile, from 1976 to 1989, were used to obtain a series of estimates of the Z-G parameter (i.e., total mortality minus the growth coefficient in weight). This series was then used to estimate a maximum sustainable yield of 4,500 t/year through a modified version of the surplus production model of J. Csirke and J. Caddy. The status of the fishery is discussed.

Estimation of deepwater snapper yield from Tongan seamounts

The data from two years' monitoring of the Tongan seamount fishery were analyzed the two main export species are Pristipomoides filamentosus and Etelis coruscans. K.R. Allen's model was used to obtain estimates of catchability and recruitment and of a surplus production of 737 kg per nautical mile (nm) of 200 m contour. This compared reasonably well to total landings. Using this estimate, the annual surplus production for Tonga's 294 nm of 200 m contour is 217 t. The level of fishing mortality was found to be 0.3/year.

Growth, mortality and yield-per-recruit of the poor cod, Trisopterus minutus capelanus, from the Strait of Sicily

Length-based methods (LBMs) were used to study the growth of Trisopterus minutus capelanus in the Strait of Sicily (Messina Strait). A total of 16,304 'merluzzetto' or poor cod collected by experimental trawling off the southern coast of Sicily during spring, summer, autumn 1986 and winter 1987 were measured in order to estimate the length structure of the population. Length-frequency distribution were analyzed and normal components were discriminated. Von Bertalanffy growth parameters were derived from the mean length of the normal components. The growth parameters obtained by weighted non-linear regression were: K=0.462 (yr super(1)), L sub( infinity )=222.3 (TL,mm) and t sub(o)=-0.679 yr. The resulting growth performance index ( Phi ') was 4.36, a value slightly lower than those derived for Western Mediterranean (mean Phi '=4.45) and Adriatic ( Phi '=4.58) populations and slightly higher than that derived for Hellenic waters ( Phi '=4.27). On the basis of the von Bertalanffy parameters estimated, an array of age-specific instantaneous natural mortality rate (M sub(t)=0.5-1.1) and an average value of total natural mortality rate (Z=2.1 yr super(1)) were estimated and used in the Thompson and Bell yield per recruit (Y/R) analysis in order to evaluate the status of the fishery and forecast the effects of changes in the fishing pattern. Results indicate that this resource is overexploited and that Y/R could be increased by postponing the age at first capture from 0.5 to 1.0 yr. Even a slight reduction in fishing mortality could improve the performance of the fishery. At the present level of exploitation, and assuming a constant recruitment, the spawning stock biomass per recruit (SPR) is well below the conservative threshold of 30% of the pristine or unexploited SPR.