A categorical data analysis approach to estimation of demographic characteristics for Texas county populations

The need for timely population data for health planning and Indicators of need has Increased the demand for population estimates. The data required to produce estimates is difficult to obtain and the process is time consuming. Estimation methods that require less effort and fewer data are needed. The structure preserving estimator (SPREE) is a promising technique not previously used to estimate county population characteristics. This study first uses traditional regression estimation techniques to produce estimates of county population totals. Then the structure preserving estimator, using the results produced in the first phase as constraints, is evaluated.^ Regression methods are among the most frequently used demographic methods for estimating populations. These methods use symptomatic indicators to predict population change. This research evaluates three regression methods to determine which will produce the best estimates based on the 1970 to 1980 indicators of population change. Strategies for stratifying data to improve the ability of the methods to predict change were tested. Difference-correlation using PMSA strata produced the equation which fit the data the best. Regression diagnostics were used to evaluate the residuals.^ The second phase of this study is to evaluate use of the structure preserving estimator in making estimates of population characteristics. The SPREE estimation approach uses existing data (the association structure) to establish the relationship between the variable of interest and the associated variable(s) at the county level. Marginals at the state level (the allocation structure) supply the current relationship between the variables. The full allocation structure model uses current estimates of county population totals to limit the magnitude of county estimates. The limited full allocation structure model has no constraints on county size. The 1970 county census age - gender population provides the association structure, the allocation structure is the 1980 state age - gender distribution.^ The full allocation model produces good estimates of the 1980 county age - gender populations. An unanticipated finding of this research is that the limited full allocation model produces estimates of county population totals that are superior to those produced by the regression methods. The full allocation model is used to produce estimates of 1986 county population characteristics. ^

Health status of Saudi women, the case of Yanbu al-Sinaiya

Detailed data on the health status of Saudi women are lacking. This cross sectional study attempts to provide a comprehensive description of the health status of Saudi females between the ages of 15-45 residing in Yanbu Al-Siniyah. The purpose is to assess women's needs for health services. The health status indicators are chronic tracer conditions, reported symptoms and multidimensional functioning levels. The generic functioning instrument of the Medical Outcome Study was used to estimate physical, social, and role functioning; degree of pain and health perceptions. The information was obtained by interviewing subjects and abstracting facts from their medical records. The results show functioning scores are in the "well health" range for physical, social, role and pain. Crowding and education have an equal or stronger effect of reducing functioning levels than the diagnosed tracer conditions. The highest prevalence conditions having a definite functional impact and diagnosed adequately in primary care are anemia, urinary tract infection, hemorrhoids, rheumatoid arthritis, caries and gingivitis. Reported symptoms strongly reducing function levels in this study are dyspnea, heart pain, incontinence, eye and skin problems, and joint ache. The impact of the reliability and validity of the measures used and other limitations of the results are discussed. Finally, some policy implications and suggestions for future study are presented. ^

Infant breastfeeding patterns by sex: Do males feed more?

Background: Most studies have looked at breastfeeding practices from the point of view of the maternal behavior only, however in counseling women who choose to breastfeed it is important to be aware of general infant feeding patterns in order to adequately provide information about what to expect. Available literature on the differences in infant breastfeeding behavior by sex is minimal and therefore requires further investigation. Objectives: This study determined if at the age of 2 months there were differences in the amount of breast milk consumed, duration of breastfeeding, and infant satiety by infant sex. It also assessed whether infant sex is an independent predictor of initiation of breastfeeding. Methods: This is a secondary analysis of data obtained from the Infant Feeding Practices Survey II (IFPS II) which was a longitudinal study carried out from May 2005 through June 2007 by the Food and Drug Administration and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The questionnaires asked about demography, prenatal care, mode of delivery, birth weight, infant sex, and breastfeeding patterns. A total of 3,033 and 2,552 mothers completed the neonatal and post-neonatal questionnaires respectively. ^ Results: There was no significant difference in the initiation of breastfeeding by infant sex. About 85% of the male infants initiated breastfeeding compared with 84% of female infants. The odds ratio of ever initiating breastfeeding by male infants was 0.93 but the difference was not significant with a p-value of 0.49. None of the other infant feeding patterns differed by infant gender. ^ Conclusion: This study found no evidence that male infants feed more or that their mothers are more likely to initiate breastfeeding. Each baby is an individual and therefore will have a unique feeding pattern. Based on these findings, the major determining factors for breastfeeding continue to be maternal factors therefore more effort should be invested in promoting breastfeeding among mothers of all ethnic groups and social classes.^

Considering Social Factors and Potential Moderation Effects in Children’s Health Research

In light of dramatic changes in American family demography in recent decades, there is a growing recognition that family structure is one of a host of important social factors contributing to children’s health and well-being. The article by Augustine and Kimbro contributes to a growing body of research linking children’s family structure and health outcomes, focusing specifically on the association between family living arrangements and children’s risk of obesity. Their analyses are especially helpful in suggesting that family scholars should pay more attention to potential heterogeneity in relationships between family structure and children’s outcomes.

Associations of perceived body image and subjective social status with levels of physical activity in Mexican American adolescents

The current study is a secondary data analysis of a prospective cohort study that examined demographic and psychosocial variables and their associations with physical activity levels in Mexican-American adolescents in Houston, Texas. Body image, subjective social status, and anxiety were the main variables of interest. The sample included 952 unrelated Mexican-American adolescents in Houston, Texas. The majority (84.2%) of the study population did not meet physical activity standards prescribed by the CDC.^ In a multivariate model controlling for age, socioeconomic status, gender, general body image, preferred body image, subjective social status, and anxiety, gender and subjective social status were found to be the strongest determinants of physical activity levels. Males and those with a high subjective social status were more likely to participate in physical activity than those with low subjective status. Lower levels of anxiety and a more positive body image were also found to be associated with higher levels of physical activity. In multivariate analyses gender and subjective social status showed the strongest associations with physical activity.^

El orden político "liberal conservador" en la Argentina de la generación del '80

En Argentina, el liberalismo y el conservadorismo, constituyen el trasfondo ideológico del sistema político de la generación de 1880. A partir de 1880 se consolidan las instituciones políticas y se definen los rasgos centrales de la sociedad argentina, la que sufrirá profundas transformaciones al influjo del crecimiento económico, demográfico y de las políticas de educación pública. La empresa política es protagonizada por los hombres del "80", quienes constituyen la primera "generación argentina" que concreta ese nuevo espíritu que surge en el "53": coexistencia de amplias libertades civiles y económicas junto a una estructura con rasgos centralizadores, con claro predominio del órgano ejecutivo como reaseguro contra las tendencias anárquicas.

Mean cover and frequencies of vascular plant species during three decades around Abisko Scientific Research Station

Plant species distributions are expected to shift and diversity is expected to decline as a result of global climate change, particularly in the Arctic where climate warming is amplified. We have recorded the changes in richness and abundance of vascular plants at Abisko, sub-Arctic Sweden, by re-sampling five studies consisting of seven datasets; one in the mountain birch forest and six at open sites. The oldest study was initiated in 1977-1979 and the latest in 1992. Total species number increased at all sites except for the birch forest site where richness decreased. We found no general pattern in how composition of vascular plants has changed over time. Three species, Calamagrostis lapponica, Carex vaginata and Salix reticulata, showed an overall increase in cover/frequency, while two Equisetum taxa decreased. Instead, we showed that the magnitude and direction of changes in species richness and composition differ among sites.

Intercambio científico tecnológico : un proyecto concretado

En el marco del Programa de Cooperación Internacional con UFZ de Leipzig-Halle, Alemania y el apoyo de SECYT, UNCuyo, el CIFOT realiza (1998) el “ Atlas Socioeconómico y Demográfico de los Departamentos del Gran Mendoza" , titulado "Atlas Social de la Ciudad de Leipzig" en Alemania. Tienen como objetivo la generación de Bancos de Datos (tecnología GIS) para el análisis estadístico de indicadores seleccionados y elaboración de Cartografía base y temática. Para su elaboración se forma un equipo de trabajo interdisciplinario que apartan al sistema diferentes visiones del mismo tema. Consta de 3 partes: introducción con características de las zonas en estudio, otra parte con incorporación de mapas y una tercera que es la traducción al inglés del texto. Ambos Atlas resultaron ser elementos de gran utilidad en la planificación territorial de un área como el Gran Mendoza, de fuerte presencia frente al Mercosur, y de Liepzig, ciudad europea en transformación desde 1990.

Pollen profiles from 8 sediment cores from the Degersee, Southern Germany

The discovery of a neolithic pile field in the shallow water near the eastern shore of the Degersee confirmed earlier palynological and sedimentological studies stating that early man was active in the region since more than 6000 years. The already available off-site data were freshly assessed, completed by additional data from old and new cores and the interpretations revised. A common time scale for the off-site data and the on-site data was obtained by AMS dating of terrestrial macro remains of the neolithic section of off-site core De_I+De_H. The ages can thus be parallelled with AMS ages of construction timber on-site. Pollen analyses from all cores provide a further time scale. The continuously and densely sampled pollen profile of the profundal zone embracing the entire Late glacial and Holocene serves as a reference. From the Boreal onwards the relative ages are transformed by AMS ages and varve counts into calibrated and absolute. A transect cored close to the neolithic pile field across the lake marl-platform demonstrates its geological architecture in the shallow water since the Lateglacial. Studies of the microfabric of thin sections of drilled cores and of box cores from the excavations demonstrate that neolithic settlements now at 2-3,5 m water depth had been erected on lake marl freshly fallen dry, thus indicating earlier lake levels dropped by 1.5-2 m. The neolithic section of the highly resolved off-site profile in the lake=s profundal zone has laminated and calcareous zones alternating with massive ones. Assemblages of diatoms and concentrations of trace elements changing simultaneously characterise the calcareous sections as deposits of low lake levels that lasted between some 40 and more than 300 years. The ages of discovered lake shore dwellings fall into calcareous segments with low lake levels. From the end of the Upper Atlantic period (F VII) appear Secondary Forest Cycles in the beech forest, a man-made sequence of repeated vegetational development with an identical pattern: With a decrease of beech pollen appear pollen of grasses, herbs and cultural indicators. These are suppressed by the light demanding hazel and birch, those again by ash, and finally by the shade demanding beech forming a new pollen peak. Seven main Forest Cycles are identified In the upper Neolithic period each comprising some 250, 450 or 800 years. They are subdivided into subcycles that can be broken down by very dense sampling in even shorter cycles of decadal length. Farming settlers have caused minor patchy clearances of the beech-mixed-forest with the use of fire. The phases of clearance coincide with peaks of charcoal and low stands of the lake levels. The Secondary Forest Cycles and the continuous occurrence of charcoal prove a continued occupation of the region. Together with the repeated restoration of the beech climax forest they point to pulsating occupation probably associated with dynamic demography. The synchronism of the many palynological, sedimentological and archaeological data point to an external forcing as the climate that affects comprehensively all these proxies. The fluctuations of the activity of the sun as manifested in the residual d14C go largely along with the proxies. The initial clearances at the begin of the forest cycles are linked to low lake levels and negative values of d14C that point to dry and warm phases of a more continental climate type. The subcycles exist independent from climatic changes, indicating that early man acted largely independent from external forces.

Concepción, guerra y frontera paraguaya con el Mato Grosso, y la política económica de Carlos A. López. Entre la diplomacia y la guerra

El artículo se propone analizar la política que Carlos A.López instrumentó en particular en la frontera de Concepción con el Mato Grosso para explicar que la desamortización de todos los bienes del fisco, la consecuente enajenación de estos recursos al capital internacional y las leyes sobre la inviolabilidad de la propiedad privada y sobre venta de tierras, produjo la concentración en manos de unos pocos, situación que se consolidó después de la Guerra del Paraguay. El espacio, la demografía, la producción, el sistema de tenencia de tierras son abordados para develar el funcionamiento de la Comandancia de Concepción entre la diplomacia y la guerra como frontera estratégica con el Imperio del Brasil.

Conflicto político, demografía y modo de producción en la Antigua Roma, siglos II-I a.C

Este trabajo se propone analizar críticamente algunas teorías recientes sobre las consecuencias sociales de la Segunda Guerra Púnica (218-201 a. C.) en la antigua sociedadáromana. Mientras que laáinterpretación clásica había subrayado el efecto dañino que las guerras de expansión supusieronápara el campesinado romano, los nuevos enfoques en boga se caracterizan por dejar de lado las contradicciones del proceso histórico, adoptando una interpretación malthusiana en la cual laápoblación simplementeáhabría crecido mucho más que los recursos para sostenerla. Considerando que la demografía no es una variable independiente sino que se encuentra enmarcada en un modo de producción específico, se propone estudiar algunasálimitaciones de los enfoques mencionados paraáluego abordar el problema desde una óptica que enfatice en la dinámica contradictoria de la sociedad romana

Ni crisol de razas, ni pluralismo cultural : Pluralismo social. Migraciones y pautas matrimoniales en una ciudad patagónica (Neuquén, 1960-1990)

Este trabajo pretende aproximarse al problema de la integración de los migrantes en sociedades de crecimiento explosivo. Para ello, centra sus reflexiones en un caso particular: la ciudad de Neuquén (Patagonia, Argentina) en el periodo comprendido entre 1960 y 1990. Tomando en consideración los comportamientos matrimoniales de migrantes de diferentes orígenes, tanto intra e interprovinciales como trasandinos, el texto intentará discutir los alcances de categorías como las de melting pot, pluralismo cultural y pluralismo social. El trabajo analiza un corpus documental compuesto por cerca de tres millares de actas matrimoniales extraídas del Archivo de la Dirección Provincial de Registro Civil de Neuquén