Algoritmi per il calcolo parametrico delle curve a "V" e delle curve di "Capability" delle macchine sincrone

Nell'elaborato, dopo una breve descrizione di come vengono suddivise le macchine elettriche a seconda che vi siano o meno parti in movimento al loro interno, vengono esaminati inizialmente gli aspetti teorici che riguardano le macchine sincrone a poli lisci ed a poli salienti prendendo in esame anche quelli che sono i provvedimenti necessari a ridurre il contributo dei campi armonici di ordine superiore. Per questo tipo di macchine, spesso utilizzate in centrale per la pruduzione dell'energia elettrica, risultano di fondamentale importanza le curve a "V" e le curve di "Capability". Esse sono strumenti che permettono di valutare le prestazioni di tali macchine una volta che siano noti i dati di targa delle stesse. Lo scopo della tesi è pertanto quello di sviluppare un software in ambiente Matlab che permetta il calcolo automatico e parametrico di tali curve al fine di poter ottimizzare la scelta di una macchina a seconda delle esigenze. Nel corso dell'eleaborato vengono altresì proposti dei confronti su come varino tali curve, e pertanto i limiti di funzionamento ad esse associati, al variare di alcuni parametri fondamentali come il fattore di potenza, la reattanza sincrona o, nel caso di macchine a poli salienti, il rapporto di riluttanza. Le curve di cui sopra sono state costruite a partire da considerazioni fatte sul diagramma di Behn-Eschemburg per le macchine isotrope o sul diagramma di Arnold e Blondel per le macchine anisotrope.

Effetto di olio essenziale di Satureja Montana ed estratto di Cotinus coggygria sulle curve di morte termica di Listeria monocytogenes e Saccharomyces cerevisiae

Negli ultimi anni, è aumentato notevolmente l'interesse per piante e prodotti vegetali, e composti da essi derivati od estratti, in alternativa ai conservanti chimici per prevenire o ritardare lo sviluppo microbico negli alimenti. Questo deriva dalla percezione negativa, ormai diffusa a livello pubblico, nei confronti di sostanze di sintesi che sono ampiamente utilizzate come conservanti nell’industria alimentare. Sono stati effettuati diversi studi sull’attività antimicrobica di questi composti negli alimenti, anche se il loro utilizzo a livello industriale è limitato. Ciò dipende dalla difficile standardizzazione di queste sostanze, dovuta alla variabilità della matrice alimentare che ne può alterarne l’attività antimicrobica. In questa sperimentazione si sono utilizzati l’olio essenziale di Sateureja montana e l’estratto di Cotinus coggygria e sono state fatte delle prove preliminari, determinandone le componenti volatili tramite gas-cromatografia abbinata a microestrazione in fase solida. Sono stati selezionati un ceppo di Listeria monocytogenes (Scott A) e uno di Saccharomyces cerevisiae (SPA), e sono stati utilizzati per realizzare curve di morte termica in sistema modello e in sistema reale. Dai risultati ottenuti si può affermare che Satureja montana e Cotinus coggygria possono essere presi in considerazione come antimicrobici naturali da impiegare per la stabilizzazione di alimenti, nonché per ridurre l’entità dei trattamenti termici atti a salvaguardare le proprietà nutrizionali ed organolettiche di alimenti, come ad esempio succhi di frutta, garantendone la sicurezza e qualità microbiologica.

Minimally invasive video-assisted thyroid surgery: how can we improve the learning curve?

Objective. Minimally invasive video-assisted thyroidectomy (MIVAT) is a technically demanding procedure and requires a surgical team skilled in both endocrine and endoscopic surgery. A time consuming learning and training period is mandatory at the beginning of the experience. The aim of our report is to focus some aspects of the learning curve of the surgeon who practices video-assisted thyroid procedures for the first time, through the analysis of our preliminary series of 36 cases. Patients and methods. From September 2004 to April 2005 we selected 36 patients for minimally invasive video-assisted surgery of the thyroid. The patients were considered eligible if they presented with a nodule not exceeding 35mm in maximum diameter; total thyroid volume within normal range; absence of biochemical and echographic signs of thyroiditis. We analyzed surgical results, conversion rate, operating time, post-operative complications, hospital stay, cosmetic outcome of the series. Results. We performed 36 total thyroidectomy. The procedure was successfully carried out in 33/36 cases. Post-operative complications included 3 transient recurrent nerve palsies and 2 transient hypocalcemias; no definitive hypoparathyroidism was registered. All patients were discharged 2 days after operation. The cosmetic result was considered excellent by most patients. Conclusions. Advances in skills and technology have enabled surgeons to reproduce most open surgical techniques with video-assistance or laparoscopically. Training is essential to acquire any new surgical technique and it should be organized in detail to exploit it completely.

Estimating the demand curve for sustainable use of pesticides from contingent-valuation data

Stated-preference valuation techniques are often used to assess consumers' willingness-to-pay for food items produced in farming systems that adopt a sustainable use of pesticides (SUP). We propose an innovative valuation methodology in which dichotomous-choice contingent valuation is used to estimate the demand curve (price-quantity relationship) for such food items where price means price premium for the SUP output, quantity is the probability of choosing SUP and the conventional food product is kept available in the market at the current market price. This methodology can be used to evaluate market differentiation as a policy option to promote the SUP. The methodology is tested with data from a sample of urban consumers of fruits and vegetables in Portugal. The estimated demand curve is used to define the price level maximizing the total premium revenue for the SUP sector as a whole. This optimal level of the price premium is €77.55 (or 163% of the value of the monthly basket of fruits and vegetables at current prices). Adopting the optimal price premium will decrease the number of consumers of SUP food by 54%. The reduction is even higher for low income consumers (80%) leaving them more exposed to the risks of pesticide use.

Improving the use of G-CSF during chemotherapy using physiological mathematical modelling : a quantitative systems pharmacology approach

La diminution des doses administrées ou même la cessation complète d'un traitement chimiothérapeutique est souvent la conséquence de la réduction du nombre de neutrophiles, qui sont les globules blancs les plus fréquents dans le sang. Cette réduction dans le nombre absolu des neutrophiles, aussi connue sous le nom de myélosuppression, est précipitée par les effets létaux non spécifiques des médicaments anti-cancéreux, qui, parallèlement à leur effet thérapeutique, produisent aussi des effets toxiques sur les cellules saines. Dans le but d'atténuer cet impact myélosuppresseur, on administre aux patients un facteur de stimulation des colonies de granulocytes recombinant humain (rhG-CSF), une forme exogène du G-CSF, l'hormone responsable de la stimulation de la production des neutrophiles et de leurs libération dans la circulation sanguine. Bien que les bienfaits d'un traitement prophylactique avec le G-CSF pendant la chimiothérapie soient bien établis, les protocoles d'administration demeurent mal définis et sont fréquemment déterminés ad libitum par les cliniciens. Avec l'optique d'améliorer le dosage thérapeutique et rationaliser l'utilisation du rhG-CSF pendant le traitement chimiothérapeutique, nous avons développé un modèle physiologique du processus de granulopoïèse, qui incorpore les connaissances actuelles de pointe relatives à la production des neutrophiles des cellules souches hématopoïétiques dans la moelle osseuse. À ce modèle physiologique, nous avons intégré des modèles pharmacocinétiques/pharmacodynamiques (PK/PD) de deux médicaments: le PM00104 (Zalypsis®), un médicament anti-cancéreux, et le rhG-CSF (filgrastim). En se servant des principes fondamentaux sous-jacents à la physiologie, nous avons estimé les paramètres de manière exhaustive sans devoir recourir à l'ajustement des données, ce qui nous a permis de prédire des données cliniques provenant de 172 patients soumis au protocol CHOP14 (6 cycles de chimiothérapie avec une période de 14 jours où l'administration du rhG-CSF se fait du jour 4 au jour 13 post-chimiothérapie). En utilisant ce modèle physio-PK/PD, nous avons démontré que le nombre d'administrations du rhG-CSF pourrait être réduit de dix (pratique actuelle) à quatre ou même trois administrations, à condition de retarder le début du traitement prophylactique par le rhG-CSF. Dans un souci d'applicabilité clinique de notre approche de modélisation, nous avons investigué l'impact de la variabilité PK présente dans une population de patients, sur les prédictions du modèle, en intégrant des modèles PK de population (Pop-PK) des deux médicaments. En considérant des cohortes de 500 patients in silico pour chacun des cinq scénarios de variabilité plausibles et en utilisant trois marqueurs cliniques, soient le temps au nadir des neutrophiles, la valeur du nadir, ainsi que l'aire sous la courbe concentration-effet, nous avons établi qu'il n'y avait aucune différence significative dans les prédictions du modèle entre le patient-type et la population. Ceci démontre la robustesse de l'approche que nous avons développée et qui s'apparente à une approche de pharmacologie quantitative des systèmes (QSP). Motivés par l'utilisation du rhG-CSF dans le traitement d'autres maladies, comme des pathologies périodiques telles que la neutropénie cyclique, nous avons ensuite soumis l'étude du modèle au contexte des maladies dynamiques. En mettant en évidence la non validité du paradigme de la rétroaction des cytokines pour l'administration exogène des mimétiques du G-CSF, nous avons développé un modèle physiologique PK/PD novateur comprenant les concentrations libres et liées du G-CSF. Ce nouveau modèle PK a aussi nécessité des changements dans le modèle PD puisqu’il nous a permis de retracer les concentrations du G-CSF lié aux neutrophiles. Nous avons démontré que l'hypothèse sous-jacente de l'équilibre entre la concentration libre et liée, selon la loi d'action de masse, n'est plus valide pour le G-CSF aux concentrations endogènes et mènerait en fait à la surestimation de la clairance rénale du médicament. En procédant ainsi, nous avons réussi à reproduire des données cliniques obtenues dans diverses conditions (l'administration exogène du G-CSF, l'administration du PM00104, CHOP14). Nous avons aussi fourni une explication logique des mécanismes responsables de la réponse physiologique aux deux médicaments. Finalement, afin de mettre en exergue l’approche intégrative en pharmacologie adoptée dans cette thèse, nous avons démontré sa valeur inestimable pour la mise en lumière et la reconstruction des systèmes vivants complexes, en faisant le parallèle avec d’autres disciplines scientifiques telles que la paléontologie et la forensique, où une approche semblable a largement fait ses preuves. Nous avons aussi discuté du potentiel de la pharmacologie quantitative des systèmes appliquées au développement du médicament et à la médecine translationnelle, en se servant du modèle physio-PK/PD que nous avons mis au point.

Using a CGE Model to Identify the Policy Trade-Off between Unemployment and Inflation: The Efficient Phillips Curve

This paper provides a new reading of a classical economic relation: the short-run Phillips curve. Our point is that, when dealing with inflation and unemployment, policy-making can be understood as a multicriteria decisionmaking problem. Hence, we use so-called multiobjective programming in connection with a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to determine the combinations of policy instruments that provide efficient combinations of inflation and unemployment. This approach results in an alternative version of the Phillips curve labelled as efficient Phillips curve. Our aim is to present an application of CGE models to a new area of research that can be especially useful when addressing policy exercises with real data. We apply our methodological proposal within a particular regional economy, Andalusia, in the south of Spain. This tool can give some keys for policy advice and policy implementation in the fight against unemployment and inflation.

Economic development and Environmental quality: The environmental Kuznets curve for water pollution

The main aim of this study was to analyze evidence of an environmental Kuznets curve for water pollution in the developing and developed countries. The study was conducted based on a panel data set of 54 countries – that were categorized into six groups of “developed countries”, “developing countries”, “developed countries with low income”, “developed countries with high income” and “coastal countries”- between the years 1995 to 2006. The results do not confirm the inverted U-shape of EKC curve for the developed countries with low income. Based on the estimated turning points and the average GDP per capita, the study revealed at which point of the EKC the countries are. Furthermore, impacts of capital-and-labor ratio as well as trade openness are drawn by estimating different models for the EKC. The magnitude role of each explanatory variable on BOD was calculated by estimating the associated elasticity.

Mathematical analysis of maximum power generated by photovoltaic systems and fitting curves for standard test conditions

The rural electrification is characterized by geographical dispersion of the population, low consumption, high investment by consumers and high cost. Moreover, solar radiation constitutes an inexhaustible source of energy and in its conversion into electricity photovoltaic panels are used. In this study, equations were adjusted to field conditions presented by the manufacturer for current and power of small photovoltaic systems. The mathematical analysis was performed on the photovoltaic rural system I- 100 from ISOFOTON, with power 300 Wp, located at the Experimental Farm Lageado of FCA/UNESP. For the development of such equations, the circuitry of photovoltaic cells has been studied to apply iterative numerical methods for the determination of electrical parameters and possible errors in the appropriate equations in the literature to reality. Therefore, a simulation of a photovoltaic panel was proposed through mathematical equations that were adjusted according to the data of local radiation. The results have presented equations that provide real answers to the user and may assist in the design of these systems, once calculated that the maximum power limit ensures a supply of energy generated. This real sizing helps establishing the possible applications of solar energy to the rural producer and informing the real possibilities of generating electricity from the sun.

Fitting phase type distribution to service process with sequential phases

The work of this thesis is concerned with fitting Hypo-exponential and Erlang phase type distributions for modeling real life processes with non-exponential service time. There exist situations where exponential distributions cannot explain the distribution of service time properly. This thesis presents the application of two traditional statistical estimation techniques to approximate the service distributions of processes with coefficient of variation less than one. It also presents an algorithm to fit Hypo-exponential distribution for complex situations which can’t be handled properly with traditional estimation techniques. The result shows the effect of variation of sample size and other parameters on the efficiency of the estimation techniques by comparing their respective outputs. Furthermore it checks how accurately the proposed algorithm approximates a given distribution.

Breaking the curve with candels: a Bayesian approach to reveal the non-universality of the dust-attenuation law at high redshift

Dust attenuation affects nearly all observational aspects of galaxy evolution, yet very little is known about the form of the dust-attenuation law in the distant universe. Here, we model the spectral energy distributions of galaxies at z ~ 1.5–3 from CANDELS with rest-frame UV to near-IR imaging under different assumptions about the dust law, and compare the amount of inferred attenuated light with the observed infrared (IR) luminosities. Some individual galaxies show strong Bayesian evidence in preference of one dust law over another, and this preference agrees with their observed location on the plane of infrared excess (IRX, L_TIR/L_UV) and UV slope (β). We generalize the shape of the dust law with an empirical model, A_ λ,σ =E(B-V)k_ λ (λ / λ v)^ σ where k_λ is the dust law of Calzetti et al., and show that there exists a correlation between the color excess E(B-V) and tilt δ with δ =(0.62±0.05)log(E(B-V))+(0.26±0.02). Galaxies with high color excess have a shallower, starburst-like law, and those with low color excess have a steeper, SMC-like law. Surprisingly, the galaxies in our sample show no correlation between the shape of the dust law and stellar mass, star formation rate, or β. The change in the dust law with color excess is consistent with a model where attenuation is caused by scattering, a mixed star–dust geometry, and/or trends with stellar population age, metallicity, and dust grain size. This rest-frame UV-to-near-IR method shows potential to constrain the dust law at even higher redshifts (z>3).

Vector Fitting based Automatic Circuit Identification

This paper describes a method to automatically obtain, from a set of impedance measurements at different frequencies, an equivalent circuit composed of lumped elements based on the vector fitting algorithm. The method starts from the impedance measurement of the circuit and then, through the recursive use of vector fitting, identifies the circuit topology and the component values of lumped elements. The method can be expanded to include other components usually used in impedance spectroscopy. The method is firstly described and then two examples highlight the robustness of the method and showcase its applicability.

Evaluation and management of demersal stocks in the Adriatic: the case of common sole (Solea solea, L.) in the northern and central Adriatic Sea

This PhD thesis aimed to assess the status of common sole, one of the main commercial stocks in the Adriatic Sea, using a mix of conventional and innovative techniques to provide more reliable estimates of stock status compared to past advice. First, a meta-analysis was carried out using data-poor assessment model to analyze the whole catch assemblage of rapido fishery. The outcomes were used to estimate rebuilding time and forecast catches under different harvest control rule scenarios, with a reduction of 20% of fishing effort being suggested as a way to allow most of the species to recover to sustainable levels. Secondly, an ensemble of data-rich assessment models was developed to better incorporate uncertainty by using alternative hypotheses of main parameters. This was the first time an ensemble of models has been used in the Mediterranean to provide management advice. Consistent with data-poor analysis results, the ensemble outcomes indicated that the common sole stock was showing a recovering trend probably due to the effective management actions underway in the area rather than the moderate effort reduction according to the actual management plan. Moreover, back-calculation measurements were used to fit and compare monophasic and biphasic growth curves through the use of non-linear mixed effects models. The analyses revealed that the fitting of the biphasic curve was superior, confirming the theory that growth in size would decrease as a consequence of reproductive effort. A stock assessment simulation showed how the use of the monophasic pattern would result in a critical overestimation of biomass that could lead to a greater risk of overfishing. As a final step, a simulation-testing procedure was applied to determine the best performing reference points using stock-specific characteristic. The procedure could be routinely adopted to increase transparency in reference points calculation enhancing the credibility of scientific advice.

Modellazione assistita di curve di probabilità (POD) per il rilevamento di difetti strutturali mediante fibre ottiche

I sensori a fibre ottiche rappresentano una delle tecnologie più promettenti per il monitoraggio di varie strutture ingegneristiche. Tali sensori, dopo che sono stati incollati su differenti tipologie di strutture grazie a un dispositivo optoelettronico, restituiscono il profilo di deformazione del materiale ospite. Tuttavia, risulta piuttosto complicato ottenere queste curve, in quanto sono necessari numerosi provini che richiedono spese onerose e molto tempo per i singoli esperimenti. In più, si deve tenere in considerazione che i provini non sono mai completamente identici e che l’operatore può commettere errori. In questo studio si genera un programma attraverso cui si simulano diversi andamenti di deformazione, cercando di riprodurre al meglio i vari casi sperimentali. Infine, utilizzando un codice già esistente, si ricavano le curve di probabilità di rilevamento del danno in funzione della lunghezza di cricca. Una volta creato il codice, si modificano alcuni parametri, in particolare si alterano lo shear lag e alcune caratteristiche meccaniche della fibra ottica, ovvero il raggio e il modulo di Young, per vedere l’influenza che hanno sulle curve di probabilità. I risultati hanno dimostrato che lo shear lag della fibra ottica deve essere il più possibile alto e di conseguenza il raggio e il modulo di Young della fibra devono essere bassi, in quanto quest’ultimi si trovano a denominatore della formula usata per calcolare lo shear lag.

Analisi di curve di luce del pianeta XO-2b tramite la tecnica della variazione dei tempi di transito.

La ricerca di esopianeti è un ambito astrofisico in continua evoluzione. Nuovi metodi vengono proposti con l’obiettivo di individuare pianeti con una varietà di caratteristiche sempre più ampia, per poter definire al meglio la storia di formazione ed evoluzione dei sistemi planetari. Un metodo recente in grado di caratterizzare pianeti di piccola massa è lo studio della variazione del tempo di transito (TTV), basato sulla modulazione del periodo orbitale di un pianeta noto causata dalla perturbazione di un corpo aggiuntivo. In questo lavoro proponiamo l’analisi delle curve di luce del pianeta XO-2Nb al fine di individuare TTV. Questo sistema è di particolare rilevanza poiché ospitato dalla prima stella binaria wide in cui entrambe le componenti presentano un proprio sistema planetario. Tra le due stelle solo XO-2N presenta un pianeta transitante, requisito per l’applicazione del metodo proposto. L’analisi dei dati è stata svolta utilizzando il metodo della fotometria differenziale di apertura, normalizzando la curva di luce del target ad altre due stelle di riferimento presenti nel campo di vista dello strumento. I risultati ottenuti evidenziano l’assenza di variazioni di periodo orbitale per XO-2Nb e sono consistenti con un’effemeride lineare. La nuova effemeride calcolata risulta tre volte più precisa rispetto al più recente studio in letteratura, e permetterà di predire futuri transiti con una precisione migliore di un minuto fino al 2035. Abbiamo stabilito un limite superiore all’ampiezza del TTV permessa dai nostri dati, ricavando il valore massimo della massa di un eventuale pianeta perturbatore, pari a 0.15 masse terrestri. Abbiamo ricavato in maniera indipendente i parametri fisici ed orbitali di XO-2Nb, confermando e raffinando i valori presenti in letteratura. I risultati ottenuti suggeriscono che, in determinati casi, l’analisi fotometrica eseguita utilizzando telescopi medio-piccoli da terra può essere competitiva con i più avanzati telescopi spaziali.

Mechanisms Predisposing Penile Fracture And Long-term Outcomes On Erectile And Voiding Functions.

Purpose. To determine the mechanisms predisposing penile fracture as well as the rate of long-term penile deformity and erectile and voiding functions. Methods. All fractures were repaired on an emergency basis via subcoronal incision and absorbable suture with simultaneous repair of eventual urethral lesion. Patients' status before fracture and voiding and erectile functions at long term were assessed by periodic follow-up and phone call. Detailed history included cause, symptoms, and single-question self-report of erectile and voiding functions. Results. Among the 44 suspicious cases, 42 (95.4%) were confirmed, mean age was 34.5 years (range: 18-60), mean follow-up 59.3 months (range 9-155). Half presented the classical triad of audible crack, detumescence, and pain. Heterosexual intercourse was the most common cause (28 patients, 66.7%), followed by penile manipulation (6 patients, 14.3%), and homosexual intercourse (4 patients, 9.5%). Woman on top was the most common heterosexual position (n = 14, 50%), followed by doggy style (n = 8, 28.6%). Four patients (9.5%) maintained the cause unclear. Six (14.3%) patients had urethral injury and two (4.8%) had erectile dysfunction, treated by penile prosthesis and PDE-5i. No patient showed urethral fistula, voiding deterioration, penile nodule/curve or pain. Conclusions. Woman on top was the potentially riskiest sexual position (50%). Immediate surgical treatment warrants long-term very low morbidity.