¿Muchos migrantes o muchas migraciones?: las migraciones repetidas en España

Comunicación presentada en la XXXIII Reunión de Estudios Regionales, “Competitividad, cohesión y desarrollo regional sostenible”, León, 15-16 noviembre 2007.

¿Son fiables los datos de migraciones del censo de 2001?

El trabajo se centra en explicar las diferencias mostradas por la Estadística de Variaciones Residenciales (EVR) y el Censo de Población de 2001 en la captación de la movilidad de la población española entre 1991 y 2001. Encontramos que las migraciones recogidas en el Censo se han alejado espectacularmente de las declaradas en las variaciones residenciales. Tras analizar en profundidad ambas fuentes estadísticas, pensamos que el Censo de 2001 presenta para esta variable importantes problemas de coherencia y de falta de respuesta, por lo que no resulta una fuente estadística fiable con la que contrastar los actuales niveles de movilidad de la población.

Algunas lecciones acerca de cómo medir el flujo migratorio: el caso de España

Comunicación presentada en el XIII Encuentro de Economía Aplicada, Sevilla, 10-11 junio 2010.

El bienestar en España: una perspectiva de largo plazo, 1850-1991

Los historiadores económicos han estimado tradicionalmente el bienestar en términos de renta por persona. Durante la última década se han publicado, sin embargo, diversos trabajos que utilizan otros indicadores. Siguiendo esta línea de investigación, el artículo contrasta cuatro indicadores del bienestar en España (renta per capita, índice de Desarrollo Humano, Índice Físico de Calidad de Vida y estatura), dos de los cuales son inéditos (IDH e IFCV). Los resultados complican el objeto de estudio, pero sirven para proponer algunas hipótesis que deben ser ratificadas o desmentidas por futuras investigaciones.

Diferencias provinciales de bienestar en la España del siglo XX

Comunicación presentada en el Primer Encuentro Anual de la Asociación Española de Historia Económica (AEHE), Barcelona, 9 septiembre 2009.

La evolución de la estructura salarial en España (2002-2010)

Comunicación presentada en el XVI Encuentro de Economía Aplicada, Granada, 6-7 junio 2013.

An evolutive approach for the delineation of local labour markets

This paper presents a new approach to the delineation of local labour markets based on evolutionary computation. The main objective is the regionalisation of a given territory into functional regions based on commuting flows. According to the relevant literature, such regions are defined so that (a) their boundaries are rarely crossed in daily journeys to work, and (b) a high degree of intra-area movement exists. This proposal merges municipalities into functional regions by maximizing a fitness function that measures aggregate intra-region interaction under constraints of inter-region separation and minimum size. Real results are presented based on the latest database from the Census of Population in the Region of Valencia. Comparison between the results obtained through the official method which currently is most widely used (that of British Travel-to-Work Areas) and those from our approach is also presented, showing important improvements in terms of both the number of different market areas identified that meet the statistical criteria and the degree of aggregate intra-market interaction.

La migración de retirados europeos al mercado de viviendas español: una evidencia sobre sus efectos

La migración internacional de retirados no es un fenómeno nuevo entre los países de la Unión Europea. Hay un buen número de sociólogos que han descrito el proceso y sus implicaciones en las formas de vida, especialmente en los casos de migración de los hogares de jóvenes retirados desde los países del norte de Europa hacia los soleados del sur. Muchos de estos movimientos afectan al mercado de viviendas desde el mismo momento de la llegada al país de destino y, en muchos casos, los flujos de población generados por esta migración contribuyen al cambio en las tendencias de edificación en los casos en que los destinos tienen bajos niveles de renta. Estos flujos tienen también implicaciones futuras como la necesidad de aumentar los servicios de atención a la tercera edad o en salud lo que, hoy por hoy, implican un elevado gasto público para el sistema español. Este artículo se interesa por las implicaciones en el corto plazo, así como en indagar en el fenómeno en sí. A través de la explotación de parte de los resultados de un proyecto de investigación denominado REVIcVAL (Retirados y vivienda en la Comunidad Valenciana), el artículo muestra algunas características de este flujo migratorio así como la racionalidad a la hora de tomar la decisión de comprar una vivienda. El ejercicio empírico utiliza información primaria recogida a través de un cuestionario recopilando información de retirados ingleses y alemanes en la costa de Alicante durante los años 2005 y 2006, con una base municipal, y estima la racionalidad en la toma de decisión de compra de viviendas.

An evolutionary approach to the delineation of functional areas based on travel-to-work flows

This paper presents a new approach to the delineation of local labor markets based on evolutionary computation. The aim of the exercise is the division of a given territory into functional regions based on travel-to-work flows. Such regions are defined so that a high degree of inter-regional separation and of intra-regional integration in both cases in terms of commuting flows is guaranteed. Additional requirements include the absence of overlap between delineated regions and the exhaustive coverage of the whole territory. The procedure is based on the maximization of a fitness function that measures aggregate intra-region interaction under constraints of inter-region separation and minimum size. In the experimentation stage, two variations of the fitness function are used, and the process is also applied as a final stage for the optimization of the results from one of the most successful existing methods, which are used by the British authorities for the delineation of travel-to-work areas (TTWAs). The empirical exercise is conducted using real data for a sufficiently large territory that is considered to be representative given the density and variety of travel-to-work patterns that it embraces. The paper includes the quantitative comparison with alternative traditional methods, the assessment of the performance of the set of operators which has been specifically designed to handle the regionalization problem and the evaluation of the convergence process. The robustness of the solutions, something crucial in a research and policy-making context, is also discussed in the paper.

A memetic algorithm for the delineation of local labour markets

Given a territory composed of basic geographical units, the delineation of local labour market areas (LLMAs) can be seen as a problem in which those units are grouped subject to multiple constraints. In previous research, standard genetic algorithms were not able to find valid solutions, and a specific evolutionary algorithm was developed. The inclusion of multiple ad hoc operators allowed the algorithm to find better solutions than those of a widely-used greedy method. However, the percentage of invalid solutions was still very high. In this paper we improve that evolutionary algorithm through the inclusion of (i) a reparation process, that allows every invalid individual to fulfil the constraints and contribute to the evolution, and (ii) a hillclimbing optimisation procedure for each generated individual by means of an appropriate reassignment of some of its constituent units. We compare the results of both techniques against the previous results and a greedy method.

Late life second move housing choices of international retiree migrants

Purpose – Many international retirement migrants are amenity movers undertaking the first move in the late life course model of migration. The purpose of this paper is to examine second moves within the retirement destination community to test whether the model of late life course migration accurately portrays the motivations and housing choices local movers make after retiring to another country. Design/methodology/approach – The paper combines secondary data and survey results to examine the composition of the retiree migrant population in the Alicante province of Spain. The socioeconomic characteristics and housing choices of those who have made a second move since retiring to Spain are compared with those who have not moved through a series of t-tests and chi-square tests. Findings – The paper finds that those who have made a second move within Spain are somewhat typical of second movers in the late life course. They are likely to cite mobility or health problems as a reason for moving and appear to recognize the need for a home that provides living area on one floor. Yet, they are choosing to move within an area that does not provide them with access to informal family care givers. Research limitations/implications – The data are restricted to retirees of two nationalities in one province of Spain. Further research is suggested in other locations and with retirees of other nationalities for comparison. Practical implications – Because many international retirees do not plan to return to their countries of origin, they will create demand for formal in-home care services and supportive retiree housing in the near future in their retirement destination countries. Originality/value – This paper provides understanding of a growing consumer housing segment in retirement destinations.

Examining retirement housing preferences among international retiree migrants

Housing demand models based on individual consumer’s utility function reflect preferences about the structure and lot, neighborhood, and location as related to socioeconomic characteristics of the occupants. As a growing proportion of aging residents in many countries are undertaking late life moves, their preferences will have an influence on destination housing markets. We examine the characteristics, attitudes and preferences about retirement housing among immigrant retirees currently living in traditional housing in a retirement destination in Alicante, Spain. Using results from a survey of German and British retirees living in the region, we find through logistic regression that preference for retirement housing is associated with aging and gaining access to in-home support services.

Una aproximación difusa a la delimitación y configuración del sistema metropolitano español a través de la movilidad residencia-trabajo

Comunicación presentada en el X Coloquio y Jornadas de Campo de Geografía Urbana, Asturias, Cantabria y País Vasco, 28 junio-3 julio 2010.