The Individualized Genetic Barrier Predicts Treatment Response in a Large Cohort of HIV-1 Infected Patients

The success of combination antiretroviral therapy is limited by the evolutionary escape dynamics of HIV-1. We used Isotonic Conjunctive Bayesian Networks (I-CBNs), a class of probabilistic graphical models, to describe this process. We employed partial order constraints among viral resistance mutations, which give rise to a limited set of mutational pathways, and we modeled phenotypic drug resistance as monotonically increasing along any escape pathway. Using this model, the individualized genetic barrier (IGB) to each drug is derived as the probability of the virus not acquiring additional mutations that confer resistance. Drug-specific IGBs were combined to obtain the IGB to an entire regimen, which quantifies the virus' genetic potential for developing drug resistance under combination therapy. The IGB was tested as a predictor of therapeutic outcome using between 2,185 and 2,631 treatment change episodes of subtype B infected patients from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study Database, a large observational cohort. Using logistic regression, significant univariate predictors included most of the 18 drugs and single-drug IGBs, the IGB to the entire regimen, the expert rules-based genotypic susceptibility score (GSS), several individual mutations, and the peak viral load before treatment change. In the multivariate analysis, the only genotype-derived variables that remained significantly associated with virological success were GSS and, with 10-fold stronger association, IGB to regimen. When predicting suppression of viral load below 400 cps/ml, IGB outperformed GSS and also improved GSS-containing predictors significantly, but the difference was not significant for suppression below 50 cps/ml. Thus, the IGB to regimen is a novel data-derived predictor of treatment outcome that has potential to improve the interpretation of genotypic drug resistance tests.

Regulation of Spec genes in aboral ectoderm cells of sea urchin {\it Strongylocentrotus purpuratus}

The Spec genes of the sea urchin Stronylocentrotus purpuratus serves as an excellent model for studying cell type-specific gene expression during early embryogenesis. The Spec1/Spec2 genes encode cytosolic calcium-binding proteins related to the calmodulin/troponin C/myosin light chain superfamily. Members of the Spec gene family are activated shortly after the sixth cleavage as the lineage-specific founder cells giving rise to aboral ectoderm are established, and the accumulation of the Spec mRNAs is limited exclusively to aboral ectoderm cell lineages. In this dissertation, the transcriptional regulation of the Spec genes was studied. Sequence comparisons of the Spec gene 5$\sp\prime$ flanking regions showed that a DNA block of approximately 800 bp from the 3$\sp\prime$ end of the first exon to the 5$\sp\prime$ end of a repetitive DNA element, termed RSR, was highly conserved. In Spec2a, the conserved region was a continuous stretch of DNA, but in Spec1 and Spec2c, DNA insertions interrupt the conserved sequence block and alter the relative placement of the RSR element and other 5$\sp\prime$ flanking DNA. Thus, drastic rearrangements have occurred within the putative control regions of the Spec genes. In vivo expression experiments using the sea urchin embryo gene-transfer system showed that while the 5$\sp\prime$ flanking regions of all three Spec genes conferred proper temporal activation to the reporter CAT gene, only the Spec2a 5$\sp\prime$ flanking region could restrict lacZ gene expression to aboral ectoderm cells. However, the Spec2a conserved region alone was not sufficient to confer proper spatial expression, suggesting that negative spatial elements are also associated with the proper activation of Spec2a. A major positive regulatory region, defined as the RSR enhancer, was identified between base pairs $-$631 and $-$443 on Spec2a. The RSR enhancer was essential for maximal activity and conferred preferential aboral ectoderm expression to a lacZ reporter gene. DNaseI footprinting and band-shift analysis of the RSR enhancer revealed multiple DNA-elements. One of the elements, an A/T-rich sequence called the A/T palindrome was studied in detail. This element binds a single 45-kDa nuclear protein, the A/T palindrome binding protein (A/TBP), whose DNA-binding specificity suggests a possible relationship with the bicoid-class homeodomain proteins. Mutated A/T palindromes are incapable of binding the 45-kDa protein and lower promoter activity by 8-fold. DNA-binding activity for A/TBP is low in unfertilized eggs, increases by the 16-cell stage and continues rising in blastulae. These data suggest that A/TBP plays a major role in the activation of the Spec2a gene in aboral ectoderm cells. ^