Cooperatives and Contracting in Agriculture: The Case of West Liberty Foods, October 2005

The West Liberty Foods turkey cooperative was formed in 1996 to purchase the assets and assume operations of Louis Rich Foods (an investor-owned processing rm), which, at the time, announced the imminent shutdown of its West Liberty, Iowa, processing facility. We study the creation and performance of this �new generation� cooperative using eld interviews with grower members and company management. We describe changes, before and after the buyout, in the contractual apparatus used for procuring live turkeys, and in the communication requirements, work expectations, and nancial positions of growers. During the private ownership period, most of the inputs (except labor and facilities) were provided by the rm; there was substantial supervision of the growers' actions; growers faced little price and production risk; and growers' equity was due largely to ownership of land and other farm assets. Our interviews reveal that, after cooperative formation, growers were exposed to considerable additional risk; monitoring of growers by the rm was less intensive; grower time and effort commitments to turkey production increased substantially; and a signicant fraction of rm (cooperative) equity came from growers' willingness to leverage their farm and personal assets (and hence indirectly their existing relationships with local lenders). We argue that some of these changes are consistent with a nancial contract where asset pledging and its corollary risk generate higher work effort by growers and a reduction in agency rents. These economies likely compensate for an organizational deadweight loss traditionally associated with cooperative governance.

Visual functions in the healthy and schizophrenic brain : from stimulus control to illusory perceptions using electrical neuroimaging

ABSTRACT (FRENCH)Ce travail de thèse basé sur le système visuel chez les sujets sains et chez les patients schizophrènes, s'articule autour de trois articles scientifiques publiés ou en cours de publication. Ces articles traitent des sujets suivants : le premier article présente une nouvelle méthode de traitement des composantes physiques des stimuli (luminance et fréquence spatiale). Le second article montre, à l'aide d'analyses de données EEG, un déficit de la voie magnocellulaire dans le traitement visuel des illusions chez les patients schizophrènes. Ceci est démontré par l'absence de modulation de la composante PI chez les patients schizophrènes contrairement aux sujets sains. Cette absence est induite par des stimuli de type illusion Kanizsa de différentes excentricités. Finalement, le troisième article, également à l'aide de méthodes de neuroimagerie électrique (EEG), montre que le traitement des contours illusoires se trouve dans le complexe latéro-occipital (LOC), à l'aide d'illusion « misaligned gratings ». De plus il révèle que les activités démontrées précédemment dans les aires visuelles primaires sont dues à des inférences « top- down ».Afin de permettre la compréhension de ces trois articles, l'introduction de ce manuscrit présente les concepts essentiels. De plus des méthodes d'analyses de temps-fréquence sont présentées. L'introduction est divisée en quatre parties : la première présente le système visuel depuis les cellules retino-corticales aux deux voix du traitement de l'information en passant par les régions composant le système visuel. La deuxième partie présente la schizophrénie par son diagnostic, ces déficits de bas niveau de traitement des stimuli visuel et ces déficits cognitifs. La troisième partie présente le traitement des contours illusoires et les trois modèles utilisés dans le dernier article. Finalement, les méthodes de traitement des données EEG seront explicitées, y compris les méthodes de temps-fréquences.Les résultats des trois articles sont présentés dans le chapitre éponyme (du même nom). De plus ce chapitre comprendra les résultats obtenus à l'aide des méthodes de temps-fréquenceFinalement, la discussion sera orientée selon trois axes : les méthodes de temps-fréquence ainsi qu'une proposition de traitement de ces données par une méthode statistique indépendante de la référence. La discussion du premier article en montrera la qualité du traitement de ces stimuli. La discussion des deux articles neurophysiologiques, proposera de nouvelles d'expériences afin d'affiner les résultats actuels sur les déficits des schizophrènes. Ceci pourrait permettre d'établir un marqueur biologique fiable de la schizophrénie.ABSTRACT (ENGLISH)This thesis focuses on the visual system in healthy subjects and schizophrenic patients. To address this research, advanced methods of analysis of electroencephalographic (EEG) data were used and developed. This manuscript is comprised of three scientific articles. The first article showed a novel method to control the physical features of visual stimuli (luminance and spatial frequencies). The second article showed, using electrical neuroimaging of EEG, a deficit in spatial processing associated with the dorsal pathway in chronic schizophrenic patients. This deficit was elicited by an absent modulation of the PI component in terms of response strength and topography as well as source estimations. This deficit was orthogonal to the preserved ability to process Kanizsa-type illusory contours. Finally, the third article resolved ongoing debates concerning the neural mechanism mediating illusory contour sensitivity by using electrical neuroimaging to show that the first differentiation of illusory contour presence vs. absence is localized within the lateral occipital complex. This effect was subsequent to modulations due to the orientation of misaligned grating stimuli. Collectively, these results support a model where effects in V1/V2 are mediated by "top-down" modulation from the LOC.To understand these three articles, the Introduction of this thesis presents the major concepts used in these articles. Additionally, a section is devoted to time-frequency analysis methods not presented in the articles themselves. The introduction is divided in four parts. The first part presents three aspects of the visual system: cellular, regional, and its functional interactions. The second part presents an overview of schizophrenia and its sensoiy-cognitive deficits. The third part presents an overview of illusory contour processing and the three models examined in the third article. Finally, advanced analysis methods for EEG are presented, including time- frequency methodology.The Introduction is followed by a synopsis of the main results in the articles as well as those obtained from the time-frequency analyses.Finally, the Discussion chapter is divided along three axes. The first axis discusses the time frequency analysis and proposes a novel statistical approach that is independent of the reference. The second axis contextualizes the first article and discusses the quality of the stimulus control and direction for further improvements. Finally, both neurophysiologic articles are contextualized by proposing future experiments and hypotheses that may serve to improve our understanding of schizophrenia on the one hand and visual functions more generally.

Financial Markets and Real Ecinomy: Four Essays in International Trade

Financial markets play an important role in an economy performing various functions like mobilizing and pooling savings, producing information about investment opportunities, screening and monitoring investments, implementation of corporate governance, diversification and management of risk. These functions influence saving rates, investment decisions, technological innovation and, therefore, have important implications for welfare. In my PhD dissertation I examine the interplay of financial and product markets by looking at different channels through which financial markets may influence an economy.My dissertation consists of four chapters. The first chapter is a co-authored work with Martin Strieborny, a PhD student from the University of Lausanne. The second chapter is a co-authored work with Melise Jaud, a PhD student from the Paris School of Economics. The third chapter is co-authored with both Melise Jaud and Martin Strieborny. The last chapter of my PhD dissertation is a single author paper.Chapter 1 of my PhD thesis analyzes the effect of financial development on growth of contract intensive industries. These industries intensively use intermediate inputs that neither can be sold on organized exchange, nor are reference-priced (Levchenko, 2007; Nunn, 2007). A typical example of a contract intensive industry would be an industry where an upstream supplier has to make investments in order to customize a product for needs of a downstream buyer. After the investment is made and the product is adjusted, the buyer may refuse to meet a commitment and trigger ex post renegotiation. Since the product is customized to the buyer's needs, the supplier cannot sell the product to a different buyer at the original price. This is referred in the literature as the holdup problem. As a consequence, the individually rational suppliers will underinvest into relationship-specific assets, hurting the downstream firms with negative consequences for aggregate growth. The standard way to mitigate the hold up problem is to write a binding contract and to rely on the legal enforcement by the state. However, even the most effective contract enforcement might fail to protect the supplier in tough times when the buyer lacks a reliable source of external financing. This suggests the potential role of financial intermediaries, banks in particular, in mitigating the incomplete contract problem. First, financial products like letters of credit and letters of guarantee can substantially decrease a risk and transaction costs of parties. Second, a bank loan can serve as a signal about a buyer's true financial situation, an upstream firm will be more willing undertake relationship-specific investment knowing that the business partner is creditworthy and will abstain from myopic behavior (Fama, 1985; von Thadden, 1995). Therefore, a well-developed financial (especially banking) system should disproportionately benefit contract intensive industries.The empirical test confirms this hypothesis. Indeed, contract intensive industries seem to grow faster in countries with a well developed financial system. Furthermore, this effect comes from a more developed banking sector rather than from a deeper stock market. These results are reaffirmed examining the effect of US bank deregulation on the growth of contract intensive industries in different states. Beyond an overall pro-growth effect, the bank deregulation seems to disproportionately benefit the industries requiring relationship-specific investments from their suppliers.Chapter 2 of my PhD focuses on the role of the financial sector in promoting exports of developing countries. In particular, it investigates how credit constraints affect the ability of firms operating in agri-food sectors of developing countries to keep exporting to foreign markets.Trade in high-value agri-food products from developing countries has expanded enormously over the last two decades offering opportunities for development. However, trade in agri-food is governed by a growing array of standards. Sanitary and Phytosanitary standards (SPS) and technical regulations impose additional sunk, fixed and operating costs along the firms' export life. Such costs may be detrimental to firms' survival, "pricing out" producers that cannot comply. The existence of these costs suggests a potential role of credit constraints in shaping the duration of trade relationships on foreign markets. A well-developed financial system provides the funds to exporters necessary to adjust production processes in order to meet quality and quantity requirements in foreign markets and to maintain long-standing trade relationships. The products with higher needs for financing should benefit the most from a well functioning financial system. This differential effect calls for a difference-in-difference approach initially proposed by Rajan and Zingales (1998). As a proxy for demand for financing of agri-food products, the sanitary risk index developed by Jaud et al. (2009) is used. The empirical literature on standards and norms show high costs of compliance, both variable and fixed, for high-value food products (Garcia-Martinez and Poole, 2004; Maskus et al., 2005). The sanitary risk index reflects the propensity of products to fail health and safety controls on the European Union (EU) market. Given the high costs of compliance, the sanitary risk index captures the demand for external financing to comply with such regulations.The prediction is empirically tested examining the export survival of different agri-food products from firms operating in Ghana, Mali, Malawi, Senegal and Tanzania. The results suggest that agri-food products that require more financing to keep up with food safety regulation of the destination market, indeed sustain longer in foreign market, when they are exported from countries with better developed financial markets.Chapter 3 analyzes the link between financial markets and efficiency of resource allocation in an economy. Producing and exporting products inconsistent with a country's factor endowments constitutes a serious misallocation of funds, which undermines competitiveness of the economy and inhibits its long term growth. In this chapter, inefficient exporting patterns are analyzed through the lens of the agency theories from the corporate finance literature. Managers may pursue projects with negative net present values because their perquisites or even their job might depend on them. Exporting activities are particularly prone to this problem. Business related to foreign markets involves both high levels of additional spending and strong incentives for managers to overinvest. Rational managers might have incentives to push for exports that use country's scarce factors which is suboptimal from a social point of view. Export subsidies might further skew the incentives towards inefficient exporting. Management can divert the export subsidies into investments promoting inefficient exporting.Corporate finance literature stresses the disciplining role of outside debt in counteracting the internal pressures to divert such "free cash flow" into unprofitable investments. Managers can lose both their reputation and the control of "their" firm if the unpaid external debt triggers a bankruptcy procedure. The threat of possible failure to satisfy debt service payments pushes the managers toward an efficient use of available resources (Jensen, 1986; Stulz, 1990; Hart and Moore, 1995). The main sources of debt financing in the most countries are banks. The disciplining role of banks might be especially important in the countries suffering from insufficient judicial quality. Banks, in pursuing their rights, rely on comparatively simple legal interventions that can be implemented even by mediocre courts. In addition to their disciplining role, banks can promote efficient exporting patterns in a more direct way by relaxing credit constraints of producers, through screening, identifying and investing in the most profitable investment projects. Therefore, a well-developed domestic financial system, and particular banking system, would help to push a country's exports towards products congruent with its comparative advantage.This prediction is tested looking at the survival of different product categories exported to US market. Products are identified according to the Euclidian distance between their revealed factor intensity and the country's factor endowments. The results suggest that products suffering from a comparative disadvantage (labour-intensive products from capital-abundant countries) survive less on the competitive US market. This pattern is stronger if the exporting country has a well-developed banking system. Thus, a strong banking sector promotes exports consistent with a country comparative advantage.Chapter 4 of my PhD thesis further examines the role of financial markets in fostering efficient resource allocation in an economy. In particular, the allocative efficiency hypothesis is investigated in the context of equity market liberalization.Many empirical studies document a positive and significant effect of financial liberalization on growth (Levchenko et al. 2009; Quinn and Toyoda 2009; Bekaert et al., 2005). However, the decrease in the cost of capital and the associated growth in investment appears rather modest in comparison to the large GDP growth effect (Bekaert and Harvey, 2005; Henry, 2000, 2003). Therefore, financial liberalization may have a positive impact on growth through its effect on the allocation of funds across firms and sectors.Free access to international capital markets allows the largest and most profitable domestic firms to borrow funds in foreign markets (Rajan and Zingales, 2003). As domestic banks loose some of their best clients, they reoptimize their lending practices seeking new clients among small and younger industrial firms. These firms are likely to be more risky than large and established companies. Screening of customers becomes prevalent as the return to screening rises. Banks, ceteris paribus, tend to focus on firms operating in comparative-advantage sectors because they are better risks. Firms in comparative-disadvantage sectors finding it harder to finance their entry into or survival in export markets either exit or refrain from entering export markets. On aggregate, one should therefore expect to see less entry, more exit, and shorter survival on export markets in those sectors after financial liberalization.The paper investigates the effect of financial liberalization on a country's export pattern by comparing the dynamics of entry and exit of different products in a country export portfolio before and after financial liberalization.The results suggest that products that lie far from the country's comparative advantage set tend to disappear relatively faster from the country's export portfolio following the liberalization of financial markets. In other words, financial liberalization tends to rebalance the composition of a country's export portfolio towards the products that intensively use the economy's abundant factors.

Molecular and cellular analysis of genodermatoses

Summary Skin is the essential interface between our body and its environment; not only does it prevent water loss and protect us from external insults it also plays an essential role in the central nervous system acting as a major sense organ primarily for touch and pain. The main cell type present in skin, keratinocyte, undergoes a differentiation process leading to the formation of this protecting barrier. This work is intended to contribute to the understanding of how keratinocyte differentiates and skin functions. To do this, we studied two genetic skin diseases: Erythrokeratodermia variabilis and Mal de Meleda. Our approach was to examine the expression and localization of proteins implicated in these two pathologies in normal and diseased tissues and to determine the influence of mutant proteins at the molecular and cellular levels. Connexins are major components of gap junctions, channels allowing direct communication between cells. Our laboratory has identified mutations in both connexin 30.3 (Cx30.3) and 31 (Cx31) to be causally involved in erythrokeratodermia variabilis (EKV), an autosomal dominant disorder of keratinization. In the first chapter, we show a new mutation of Cx31, L209P-Cx31, in 3 EKV patients, extending the field of EKV-causing mutations although the mechanism by which connexin mutations lead to the disease is unclear. In the second chapter, we studied the effect of F137L-Cx30.3 on expression, trafficking and localization of cotransfected Cx31 and Cx30.3 in connexin-deficient HeLa cells. The F137 amino acid, highly conserved in connexin family, is oriented towards the channel pore and F137L mutation in either Cx30.3 or Cx31 lead to EKV. As two genes can lead to EKV when mutated, our hypothesis was that Cx31 and Cx30.3 might cooperate at a molecular level. We were able to demonstrate a physical interaction between Cx31 and Cx30.3. The presence of F137L-Cx30.3 disturbed the trafficking of both connexins, less connexins were integrated into gap junctions and thus, the coupling between cell was diminished. Connexins formed in the presence of F137L-Cx30.3 are degraded at their exit from the endoplasmic reticulum. In conclusion, our results indicate that the genetic heterogeneity of EKV is due to mutations in two interacting proteins. F137L-Cx30.3 has a dominant negative effect and affects Cx31, disturbing cellular communication in epidermal cells. Mal de Meleda is an autosomal recessive inflammatory and a keratotic palmoplantar skin disorder due to mutations in SLURP1 (secreted LY6/PLAUR-related protein 1). SLURP1 belongs to the LY6/PLAUR family of proteins and has the particularity of being secreted instead of being GPI-anchored. The high degree of structural similarity between SLURP1 and the three fingers motif of snake neurotoxins and LYNX 1-C suggests that this protein could interact with the neuronal acetylcholine receptors. In the third chapter, we show that SLURP1 potentiates responses of the a7 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor (nAchR) to acetylcholine. These results identify SLURP1 as a secreted epidermal neuromodulator that is likely to be essential for palmoplantar skin. In the fourth chapter, we show that SLURP1 is expressed in the granular layer of the epidermis but is absent from skin biopsies of Mal de Meleda patients. SLURP1 is also present in secretions such as sweat, tears or saliva. An in vitro analysis on two mutant of SLURP-I demonstrates that W15R-SLURP1 is absent in cells while G86R-SLURP1 is expressed and secreted, suggesting that SLURP1 can lead to the disease by either an absent or an abnormal protein. Finally, in the fifth chapter, we analyse the expression and biological properties of other LY6/PLAUR members, clustered around SLURP] on chromosome 8. Their GPI-anchored or secreted status were analysed in vitro. SLURP1, LYNX1-A and -B are secreted while LYPDC2 and LYNX 1-C are GPI anchored. Three of these proteins are expressed in the epidermis and in cultured keratinocytes. These results suggest that these LY6/PLAUR members may have an important role in skin homeostasis. Résumé Résumé La peau est la barrière essentielle entre notre corps et l'environnement, nous protégeant des agressions extérieures, de la déshydratation et assurant aussi un rôle dans le système nerveux central en tant qu'organe du toucher et de la douleur. Le principal type de cellules présent dans la peau est le kératinocyte qui suit un processus de différenciation aboutissant à la formation de cette barrière protectrice. Ce travail est destiné à comprendre la différenciation des kératinocytes et le fonctionnement de la peau. Pour cela, nous avons étudié deux maladies génodermatoses : l'Erthrokeratodermia Variabilis (EKV) et le Mal de Meleda. Nous avons examiné l'expression et la localisation des protéines impliquées dans ces deux pathologies dans des tissus normaux et malades puis déterminé l'influence des protéines mutantes aux niveaux moléculaires et cellulaires. Les connexines (Cx) sont les composants majeurs des jonctions communicantes, canaux permettant la communication directe entre les cellules. Notre laboratoire a identifié des mutations dans les Cx30.3 et Cx31 comme responsables de l'EKV, génodermatose de transmission autosomique dominante. Dans le ler chapitre, nous décrivons une nouvelle mutation de Cx31, L209-Cx31, et contribuons à l'établissement du catalogue des mutations de Cx31 entraînant cette maladie. Cependant, le mécanisme par lequel les mutations de Cx31 et C3x0.3 provoquent l'EKV est inconnu. Dans le 2ème chapitre, nous étudions les effets de la mutation F137L-Cx30.3 sur l'expression, le trafic et la localisation des Cx31 et Cx30.3 transfectées dans des cellules HeLa, déficientes en connexines. Comme deux gènes peuvent causer une EKV quand ils sont mutés, notre hypothèse était que Cx31 et Cx30.3 pourraient coopérer au niveau moléculaire. Nous avons montré l'existence d'une interaction physique entre ces deux connexines. La présence de la mutation F137L-Cx30.3 perturbe le trafic des deux connexines, moins de connexines sont intégrées dans les jonctions communicantes et donc le couplage entre les cellules est diminué. Les connexons formés en présence de cette mutation sont dégradés à leur sortie du réticulum endoplasmique. En conclusion, nos résultats indiquent que l'hétérogénéité génétique de EKV est due à des mutations dans deux protéines qui interagissent. F137L-Cx30.3 a un effet dominant négatif et affecte Cx31, perturbant la communication entre les cellules épidermiques. Le Mal de Meleda est une maladie récessive de la peau palmoplantaire due à des mutations dans SLURP1. SLURP1 appartient à la famille des protéines contenant un domaine LY6/PLAUR et a la particularité d'être sécrétée. La grande homologie de structure existant entre SLURP1, les neurotoxines de serpent et LYNX1-C suggère que la protéine pourrait interagir avec des récepteurs à acétylcholine (Ach). Dans le 3ème chapitre, nous montrons que SLURP1 module la réponse à l'Ach du récepteur nicotinique α7. Ces résultats identifient SLURP1 comme un neuromodulateur épidermique sécrété, probablement essentiel pour la peau palmoplantaire. Dans le 4ème chapitre, nous montrons que SLURP1 est exprimé dans la couche granuleuse de l'épiderme et qu'il est absent des biopsies des patients. SLURP1 a aussi été détecté dans des sécrétions telles que la sueur, les lamies et la salive. Une analyse in vitro de deux mutants de SLURP1 a montré que W15R-SLURP1 est absent des cellules tandis que G86R-SLURP1 est exprimé et sécrété, suggérant qu'une absence ou une anomalie de SLURP1 peuvent causer la maladie. Finalement, dans le 5ème chapitre, nous analysons l'expression et les propriétés biologiques d'autres membres de la famille LY6/PLAUR localisés autour de SLURP1 sur le chromosome 8. Leur statut de protéines sécrétées ou liées à la membrane par une ancre GPI est analysé in vitro. SLURP1, LYNXI-A et -B sont sécrétées alors que LYPDC2 et LYNX1-C sont liés à la membrane. Trois de ces protéines sont exprimées dans l'épiderme et dans des kératinocytes cultivés. Ces résultats suggèrent que la famille LY6/PLAUR pourrait avoir un rôle important dans l'homéostasie de la peau.

On landslide risk, resilience and vulnerability of mountain communities in Central-Eastern Nepal

Executive SummaryIn Nepal, landslides are one of the major natural hazards after epidemics, killing over 100 persons per year. However, this figure is an underreported reflection of the actual impact that landslides have on livelihoods and food security in rural Nepal. With predictions of more intense rainfall patterns, landslide occurrence in the Himalayas is likely to increase and continue to be one of the major impediments to development. Due to the remoteness of many localities and lack of resources, responsibilities for disaster preparedness and response in mountain areas usually lie with the communities themselves. Everyday life is full of risk in mountains of Nepal. This is why mountain populations, as well as other populations living in harsh conditions have developed a number of coping strategies for dealing with adverse situations. Perhaps due to the dispersed and remote nature of landslides in Nepal, there have been few studies on vulnerability, coping- and mitigation strategies of landslide affected populations. There are also few recommendations available to guide authorities and populations how to reduce losses due to landslides in Nepal, and even less so, how to operationalize resilience and vulnerability.Many policy makers, international donors, NGOs and national authorities are currently asking what investments are needed to increase the so-called 'resilience' of mountain populations to deal with climate risks. However, mountain populations are already quite resilient to seasonal fluctuations, temperature variations, rainfall patterns and market prices. In spite of their resilience, they continue to live in places at risk due to high vulnerability caused by structural inequalities: access to land, resources, markets, education. This interdisciplinary thesis examines the concept of resilience by questioning its usefulness and validity as the current goal of international development and disaster risk reduction policies, its conceptual limitations and its possible scope of action. The goal of this study is two-fold: to better define and distinguish factors and relationships between resilience, vulnerability, capacities and risk; and to test and improve a participatory methodology for evaluating landslide risk that can serve as a guidance tool for improving community-based disaster risk reduction. The objective is to develop a simple methodology that can be used by NGOs, local authorities and communities to reduce losses from landslides.Through its six case studies in Central-Eastern Nepal, this study explores the relation between resilience, vulnerability and landslide risk based on interdisciplinary methods, including geological assessments of landslides, semi-structured interviews, focus groups and participatory risk mapping. For comparison, the study sites were chosen in Tehrathum, Sunsari and Dolakha Districts of Central/Eastern Nepal, to reflect a variety of landslide types, from chronic to acute, and a variety of communities, from very marginalized to very high status. The study uses the Sustainable Livelihoods Approach as its conceptual basis, which is based on the notion that access and rights to resources (natural, human/institutional, economic, environmental, physical) are the basis for coping with adversity, such as landslides. The study is also intended as a contribution to the growing literature and practices on Community Based Disaster Risk Reduction specifically adapted to landslide- prone areas.In addition to the six case studies, results include an indicator based methodology for assessing and measuring vulnerability and resilience, a composite risk assessment methodology, a typology of coping strategies and risk perceptions and a thorough analysis of the relation between risk, vulnerability and resilience. The methodology forassessing vulnerability, resilience and risk is relatively cost-effective and replicable in a low-data environment. Perhaps the major finding is that resilience is a process that defines a community's (or system's) capacity to rebound following adversity but it does not necessarily reduce vulnerability or risk, which requires addressing more structural issues related to poverty. Therefore, conclusions include a critical view of resilience as a main goal of international development and disaster risk reduction policies. It is a useful concept in the context of recovery after a disaster but it needs to be addressed in parallel with vulnerability and risk.This research was funded by an interdisciplinary grant (#26083591) from the Swiss National Science Foundation for the period 2009-2011 and a seed grant from the Faculty of Geosciences and Environment at the University of Lausanne in 2008.Résumé en françaisAu Népal, les glissements de terrain sont un des aléas les plus dévastateurs après les épidémies, causant 100 morts par an. Pourtant, ce chiffre est une sous-estimation de l'impact réel de l'effet des glissements sur les moyens de subsistance et la sécurité alimentaire au Népal. Avec des prévisions de pluies plus intenses, l'occurrence des glissements dans les Himalayas augmente et présente un obstacle au développement. Du fait de l'éloignement et du manque de ressources dans les montagnes au Népal, la responsabilité de la préparation et la réponse aux catastrophes se trouve chez les communautés elles-mêmes. Le risque fait partie de la vie quotidienne dans les montagnes du Népal. C'est pourquoi les populations montagnardes, comme d'autres populations vivant dans des milieux contraignants, ont développé des stratégies pour faire face aux situations défavorables. Peu d'études existent sur la vulnérabilité, ceci étant probablement dû à l'éloignement et pourtant, les stratégies d'adaptation et de mitigation des populations touchées par des glissements au Népal existent.Beaucoup de décideurs politiques, bailleurs de fonds, ONG et autorités nationales se demandent quels investissements sont nécessaires afin d'augmenter la 'resilience' des populations de montagne pour faire face aux changements climatiques. Pourtant, ces populations sont déjà résilientes aux fluctuations des saisons, des variations de température, des pluies et des prix des marchés. En dépit de leur résilience, ils continuent de vivre dans des endroits à fort risque à cause des vulnérabilités créées par les inégalités structurelles : l'accès à la terre, aux ressources, aux marchés et à l'éducation. Cette thèse interdisciplinaire examine le concept de la résilience en mettant en cause son utilité et sa validité en tant que but actuel des politiques internationales de développement et de réduction des risques, ainsi que ses limitations conceptuelles et ses possibles champs d'action. Le but de cette étude est double : mieux définir et distinguer les facteurs et relations entre la résilience, la vulnérabilité, les capacités et le risque ; Et tester et améliorer une méthode participative pour évaluer le risque des glissements qui peut servir en tant qu'outil indicatif pour améliorer la réduction des risques des communautés. Le but est de développer une méthodologie simple qui peut être utilisée par des ONG, autorités locales et communautés pour réduire les pertes dues aux glissements.A travers les études de cas au centre-est du Népal, cette étude explore le rapport entre la résilience, la vulnérabilité et les glissements basée sur des méthodes interdisciplinaires ; Y sont inclus des évaluations géologiques des glissements, des entretiens semi-dirigés, des discussions de groupes et des cartes de risques participatives. Pour la comparaison, les zones d'études ont été sélectionnées dans les districts de Tehrathum, Sunsari et Dolakha dans le centre-est du Népal, afin de refléter différents types de glissements, de chroniques à urgents, ainsi que différentes communautés, variant de très marginalisées à très haut statut. Pour son cadre conceptuel, cette étude s'appuie sur l'approche de moyens de subsistance durable, qui est basée sur les notions d'accès et de droit aux ressources (naturelles, humaines/institutionnelles, économiques, environnementales, physiques) et qui sont le minimum pour faire face à des situations difficiles, comme des glissements. Cette étude se veut aussi une contribution à la littérature et aux pratiques en croissantes sur la réduction des risques communautaires, spécifiquement adaptées aux zones affectées par des glissements.En plus des six études de cas, les résultats incluent une méthodologie basée sur des indicateurs pour évaluer et mesurer la vulnérabilité et la résilience, une méthodologie sur le risque composé, une typologie de stratégies d'adaptation et perceptions des risques ainsi qu'une analyse fondamentale de la relation entre risque, vulnérabilité et résilience. Les méthodologies pour l'évaluation de la vulnérabilité, de la résilience et du risque sont relativement peu coûteuses et reproductibles dans des endroits avec peu de données disponibles. Le résultat probablement le plus pertinent est que la résilience est un processus qui définit la capacité d'une communauté (ou d'un système) à rebondir suite à une situation défavorable, mais qui ne réduit pas forcement la vulnérabilité ou le risque, et qui requiert une approche plus fondamentale s'adressant aux questions de pauvreté. Les conclusions incluent une vue critique de la résilience comme but principal des politiques internationales de développement et de réduction des risques. C'est un concept utile dans le contexte de la récupération après une catastrophe mais il doit être pris en compte au même titre que la vulnérabilité et le risque.Cette recherche a été financée par un fonds interdisciplinaire (#26083591) du Fonds National Suisse pour la période 2009-2011 et un fonds de préparation de recherches par la Faculté des Géosciences et Environnement à l'Université de Lausanne en 2008.

Insurance and safety after September 11, 2001: Coming to grips with the costs and threats of terrorism

This chapter, originally written as a consequence of the terrorist attacksof September 11, 2001, provides an elementary, everyday introduction tothe concepts of risk and insurance. Conceptually, risk has two dimensions:a potential loss, and the chance of that loss being realized. People can,however, transfer risk to insurance companies against the payment ofso-called premiums. In practice, however, one needs accurate assessmentsof both losses and probabilities to judge whether premiums are appropriate.For many risks, this poses little problem (e.g., life insurance); however,it is difficult to assess risks of many other kinds of events such as actsof terrorism. It is emphasized, that through evolution and learning, peopleare able to handle many of the common risks that they face in life. Butwhen people lack experience (e.g., new technologies, threats of terrorism),risk can only be assessed through imagination. Not surprisingly, insurancecompanies demand high prices when risks are poorly understood. In particular,the cost of insurance against possible acts of terrorism soared afterSeptember 11. How should people approach risk after the events of that day?Clearly, the world needs to protect itself from the acts of terrorists andother disturbed individuals. However, it is also important to address the root causes of such antisocial movements. It is, therefore, suggested thatprograms addressed at combatting ignorance, prejudice, and socialinequalities may be more effective premiums for reducing the risk ofterrosrtism than has been recognized to date.

Associations between psychiatric disorders and cardiovascular risk factors

Bien que de nombreuses études suggèrent des liens entre les troubles psychiatriques et les maladies cardiovasculaires (MCV), peu ont utilisé des investigations somatique, biologique et psychiatrique adéquates. Pour déterminer les potentiels mécanismes impliqués dans ces associations, plusieurs études ont investigué le lien entre les troubles psychiatriques et les facteurs de risque des maladies cardiovasculaires (FRCV) (surpoids, diabète, dyslipidémie, hypertension artérielle, inactivité, consommation de cigarettes). De plus, des biomarqueurs (régulateurs du métabolisme, marqueurs hépatiques et inflammatoires) pouvant être associés à la fois aux troubles psychiatriques et aux FRCV ont été étudiés mais avec des résultats contradictoires. Basée sur un large échantillon de la population générale de la Ville de Lausanne et des investigations somatique et psychiatrique adéquates, cette thèse comporte deux articles: le premier étudie l'association entre les troubles psychiatriques majeurs et les FRCV; le second établit les liens entre certains biomarqueurs et le développement du diabète de type 2. Appliquant une méthodologie rigoureuse sur un échantillon de 3716 sujets de la population lausannoise âgés de 35 à 66 ans, les résultats du premier article ont montré que 1) le sous-type atypique de la dépression était associé à une augmentation du risque de souffrir de plusieurs FRCV (surpoids, diabète et syndrome métabolique), contrairement à d'autres sous-types de dépression, 2) les problèmes d'alcool étaient associés à un risque accru de souffrir de diabète et de dyslipidémie, 3) presque tous les troubles psychiatriques étaient associés à une consommation régulière de cigarettes. Quant au deuxième article, parmi les différents biomarqueurs testés, seul un niveau bas d'adiponectine (une hormone produite par le tissu adipeux qui affecte la sensibilité à l'insuline) était associé à un risque accru de souffrir de diabète par la suite. Ces résultats soulignent la nécessité pour les spécialistes de distinguer les sous-types de dépression pour le risque cardiovasculaire et de donner une attention particulière au sous-type atypique. Un problème d'alcool comorbide pourrait accroître le risque cardiovasculaire. De plus, des efforts pour diminuer la cigarette chez les sujets souffrant de troubles psychiatriques seraient une mesure préventive importante contre le développement des MCV. Le rôle de l'adiponectine dans l'association entre les troubles psychiatriques et les FRCV restant incertain, une prochaine analyse devrait déterminer le lien entre ce biomarqueur et la dépression atypique. - Despite the fact that several studies have highlighted associations between psychiatric disorders and cardiovascular diseases (CVD), few have used adequate somatic, biological and psychiatric measures. To determine potential mechanisms implicated in these associations, several studies have assessed the relationship between psychiatric disorders and cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs), such as overweight, diabetes, dyslipidemia, hypertension, physical inactivity and smoking. Moreover, biomarkers such as metabolic regulators, hepatic and inflammatory markers, which could be associated with both psychiatric disorders and CVRFs, have been studied yielding contradictory results. Based on a population-based sample from the city of Lausanne and using adequate somatic and psychiatric investigations, this dissertation encompasses two articles: the first studies the associations between major psychiatric disorders established for lifetime and CVRFs; the second studies the associations between certain biomarkers and the development of type 2 diabetes. Using standardized contemporary methodology in a sample composed of 3716 individuals aged from 35 to 66 years, the first article revealed associations between 1) the atypical depression subtype and an increased risk of several CVRFs (overweight, diabetes and the metabolic syndrome) in contrast to other depression subtypes; 2) alcohol disorders and an increased risk of diabetes and dyslipidemia; 3) almost all psychiatric disorders and a lifetime history of regular cigarette smoking. The second article showed, among the various biomarkers tested, that only lower levels of adiponectin (a hormone produced by adiposity which affects sensitivity to insulin) were associated with an increased risk of subsequent type 2 diabetes. Our results highlight the need for specialists to subtype depression when studying the cardiovascular risk and to pay particular attention to the atypical subtype. A comorbid alcohol misuse may further increase the cardiovascular risk. Moreover, efforts to diminish smoking in subjects suffering from psychiatric disorders could be an important tool for preventing subsequent CVD. The role of adiponectin in the association between psychiatric disorders and CVRFs should still be elucidated, and future analyses should focus in particular on the relationship between this biomarker and atypical depression.

Study of a sialyltransferase ST3GAL6, in adipogenesis and obesity

RésuméL'obésité et les maladies métaboliques qui lui sont associées tels que le diabète ou les maladies cardiovasculaires ont un impact épidémiologique croissant. Ainsi, les mécanismes moléculaires se produisant dans le tissu adipeux en expansion font l'objet de nombreuses investigations. Dans ce contexte, nous nous sommes particulièrement intéressés à l'adipogénèse, le procédé permettant la formation d'adipocytes matures et fonctionnels. Le gène St3gal6 code pour une enzyme appelée β-galactosidase a2,3-sialyltransferase 6 et participant à la voie de glycosylation. Cette protéine appartient à la famille des a2,3- sialyltransferases dont la fonction principale est de transférer un acide sialique à l'extrémité de chaînes glycosidiques présentes sur les glycoprotéines et les glycolipides. Dans une précédente étude de transcriptomique réalisée chez la souris, St3gal6 a été décrit comme un gène dont l'expression est augmentée dans le tissu adipeux blanc d'animaux en surpoids et dont l'expression est normalisée après une perte de poids. Afin d'étudier le rôle potentiel de St3gal6 dans le développement du tissu adipeux, nous nous sommes intéressés à la régulation de son expression en cas d'obésité ainsi qu'à ses effets sur l'adipogénèse. Nous avons d'abord montré que St3gal6 s'exprime aussi bien dans le tissu adipeux blanc que dans le tissu adipeux brun. Puis nous avons confirmé dans deux différents modèles animaux que l'expression de St3gal6 dans le tissu adipeux était augmentée en cas d'obésité. Nous avons aussi observé in vitro une induction de St3gal6 dans des adipocytes traités par des cytokines pro-inflammatoires sécrétées dans le tissu adipeux d'individus obèses. Enfin, parmi les six membres que compte la famille des a2,3-sialyltransferases, St3gal6 est celui dont l'expression est la plus significativement induite en situation d'obésité. En outre, au cours de la différenciation des adipocytes blancs et bruns, l'expression de St3gal6 est augmentée et son inhibition réduit le potentiel de maturation des adipocytes qui accumulent moins de lipides. A l'inverse, la surexpression de St3gal6 dans des préadipocytes blancs augmente leur taux de différenciation in vitro; la formation de gouttelettes lipidiques et l'expression de genes spécifiques de l'adipocyte mature sont accrues. Enfin, le traitement d'adipocytes blancs in vitro avec un inhibiteur pharmacologique des a2,3-sialyltransferases ou une sialidase clivant les résidus sialylés montre qu'un défaut de a2,3-sialylation affectant les adipocytes diminue leur potentiel adipogénique. Par conséquent, ces résultats suggèrent que St3gal6 est impliqué dans la voie de différenciation des adipocytes et que cette a2,3-sialylation joue un rôle dans le remodelage du tissu adipeux induit par l'obésité.AbstractIn order to better understand molecular events occurring in obesity and leading to its associated complications, we were interested in the biology of adipose tissue and particularly in the study of adipogenesis, the process by which new mature adipocytes develop and accumulate lipids.The β-galactosidase a2,3-sialyltransferase 6 (St3gal6) gene encodes for an enzyme involved in post-translational protein glycosylation. Thereby, St3gal6 enzyme belongs to the a2,3sialyltransferase family whose function is to add sialic acids at outer position on glycosidic chain of glycoproteins or glycolipids. Previously, in mouse, St3gal6 has been described as a gene whose expression in white adipose tissue is increased in overweighted animals and normalized after weight loss. Therefore, we have assumed that St3gal6 may play a role in adipose tissue development and in tissue remodelling triggered by obesity. First we show that St3gal6 is expressed in white but also in brown adipose tissue. St3gal6 upregulation upon weight gain was confirmed in two mouse models of obesity namely diet- induced and genetically-induced obesity. We also report that St3gal6 is induced by pro¬inflammatory cytokines known to be oversecreted in adipose tissue during obesity. Furthermore, St3gal6 is the a2,3-sialyltransferase whose expression is more markedly induced in adipose tissue. In addition, we demonstrate that St3gl6 expression is progressively increased in late stages of white and brown adipogenesis while St3gal6 knockdown inhibits adipocyte differentiation in vitro. Conversely, St3gal6 overexpression in a white preadipocyte cell line increases lipid accumulation during differentiation process and enhances gene expression of mature white adipocyte markers. Finally, using an a2-3 sialyltransferase inhibitor and a sialidase treatment on white adipocyte cell line, we observe that a decreased a2,3-sialylation impairs adipocyte differentiation in vitro. Altogether, these result suggest that St3gal6 plays a role in adipogenesis and in tissue remodelling associated with obesity likely through its enzymatic activity of a2,3-sialylation. Thus, a2,3-sialylation appears as a novel pathway of interest whose precise molecular mechanisms remain to be elucidated in the context of adipose tissue development and adipocyte functions.

A reflection about the social and technological aspects in flood risk management - the case of the Italian Civil Protection

The right of a person to be protected from natural hazards is a characteristic of the social and economical development of the society. This paper is a contribution to the reflection about the role of Civil Protection organizations in a modern society. The paper is based in the inaugural conference made by the authors on the 9th Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms. Two major issues are considered. The first one is sociological; the Civil Protection organizations and the responsible administration of the land use planning should be perceived as reliable as possible, in order to get consensus on the restrictions they pose, temporary or definitely, on the individual free use of the territory as well as in the entire warning system. The second one is technological: in order to be reliable they have to issue timely alert and warning to the population at large, but such alarms should be as "true" as possible. With this aim, the paper summarizes the historical evolution of the risk assessment, starting from the original concept of "hazard", introducing the concepts of "scenario of event" and "scenario of risk" and ending with a discussion about the uncertainties and limits of the most advanced and efficient tools to predict, to forecast and to observe the ground effects affecting people and their properties. The discussion is centred in the case of heavy rains and flood events in the North-West of Mediterranean Region.

Large calcite and bulk-rock volume loss in metacarbonate xenoliths from the Qu,rigut massif (French Pyrenees)

Chemical mass transfer was quantified in a metacarbonate xenolith enclosed within the granodiorite of the Qu,rigut massif (Pyrenees, France). Mass balance calculations suggest a strong decrease of CaO, SrO and CO(2) contents (up to -90%), correlated with a decrease of modal calcite content as the contact is approached. Most other chemical elements behave immobile during metasomatism. They are therefore passively enriched. Only a small increase of SiO(2), Al(2)O(3) and Fe(2)O(3) contents occurs in the immediate vicinity of the contact. Hence, in this study, skarn formation is characterized by the lack of large chemical element influx from the granitoid protolith. A large decrease of the initial carbonate volume (up to -86%) resulted from a combination of decarbonation reactions and loss of CaO and CO(2). The resulting volume change has potentially important consequences for the interpretation of stable isotope profiles: the isotope alteration could have occured over greater distances than those observed today.

Prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors in a middle-income country and estimated cost of a treatment strategy.

BACKGROUND: We assessed the prevalence of risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in a middle-income country in rapid epidemiological transition and estimated direct costs for treating all individuals at increased cardiovascular risk, i.e. following the so-called "high risk strategy". METHODS: Survey of risk factors using an age- and sex-stratified random sample of the population of Seychelles aged 25-64 in 2004. Assessment of CVD risk and treatment modalities were in line with international guidelines. Costs are expressed as USD per capita per year. RESULTS: 1255 persons took part in the survey (participation rate of 80.2%). Prevalence of main risk factors was: 39.6% for high blood pressure (> or =140/90 mmHg or treatment) of which 59% were under treatment; 24.2% for high cholesterol (> or =6.2 mmol/l); 20.8% for low HDL-cholesterol (<1.0 mmol/l); 9.3% for diabetes (fasting glucose > or =7.0 mmol/l); 17.5% for smoking; 25.1% for obesity (body mass index > or =30 kg/m2) and 22.1% for the metabolic syndrome. Overall, 43% had HBP, high cholesterol or diabetes and substantially increased CVD risk. The cost for medications needed to treat all high-risk individuals amounted to USD 45.6, i.e. 11.2 dollars for high blood pressure, 3.8 dollars for diabetes, and 30.6 dollars for dyslipidemia (using generic drugs except for hypercholesterolemia). Cost for minimal follow-up medical care and laboratory tests amounted to 22.6 dollars. CONCLUSION: High prevalence of major risk factors was found in a rapidly developing country and costs for treatment needed to reduce risk factors in all high-risk individuals exceeded resources generally available in low or middle income countries. Our findings emphasize the need for affordable cost-effective treatment strategies and the critical importance of population strategies aimed at reducing risk factors in the entire population.

Startegy selection during exploratory behavior: sex differences, uncertainty and risk managment

This study deals with the psychological processes underlying the selection of appropriate strategy during exploratory behavior. A new device was used to assess sexual dimorphisms in spatial abilities that do not depend on spatial rotation, map reading or directional vector extraction capacities. Moreover, it makes it possible to investigate exploratory behavior as a specific response to novelty that trades off risk and reward. Risk management under uncertainty was assessed through both spontaneous searching strategies and signal detection capacities. The results of exploratory behavior, detection capacities, and decision-making strategies seem to indicate that women's exploratory behavior is based on risk-reducing behavior while men behavior does not appear to be influenced by this variable. This difference was interpreted as a difference in information processing modifying beliefs concerning the likelihood of uncertain events, and therefore influencing risk evaluation.

High-altitude exposure in patients with cardiovascular disease: risk assessment and practical recommendations.

Because of the development of modern transportation facilities, an ever rising number of individuals including many patients with preexisting diseases visit high-altitude locations (>2500 m). High-altitude exposure triggers a series of physiologic responses intended to maintain an adequate tissue oxygenation. Even in normal subjects, there is enormous interindividual variability in these responses that may be further amplified by environmental factors such as cold temperature, low humidity, exercise, and stress. These adaptive mechanisms, although generally tolerated by most healthy subjects, may induce major problems in patients with preexisting cardiovascular diseases in which the functional reserves are already limited. Preexposure assessment of patients helps to minimize risk and detect contraindications to high-altitude exposure. Moreover, the great variability and nonpredictability of the adaptive response should encourage physicians counseling such patients to adapt a cautionary approach. Here, we will briefly review how high-altitude adjustments may interfere with and aggravate/decompensate preexisting cardiovascular diseases. Moreover, we will provide practical recommendations on how to investigate and counsel patients with cardiovascular disease desiring to travel to high-altitude locations.

Rockfall characterisation and structural protection: A review

Rockfall is an extremely rapid process involving long travel distances. Due to these features, when an event occurs, the ability to take evasive action is practically zero and, thus, the risk of injury or loss of life is high. Damage to buildings and infrastructure is quite likely. In many cases, therefore, suitable protection measures are necessary. This contribution provides an overview of previous and current research on the main topics related to rockfall. It covers the onset of rockfall and runout modelling approaches, as well as hazard zoning and protection measures. It is the aim of this article to provide an in-depth knowledge base for researchers and practitioners involved in projects dealing with the rockfall protection of infrastructures, who may work in the fields of civil or environmental engineering, risk and safety, the earth and natural sciences.

Cardiovascular risk estimation and eligibility for statins in primary prevention comparing different strategies

Recommendations for statin use for primary prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD) are based on estimation of the 10-year CHD risk. It is unclear which risk algorithm and guidelines should be used in European populations. Using data from a population-based study in Switzerland, we first assessed 10-year CHD risk and eligibility for statins in 5,683 women and men 35 to 75 years of age without cardiovascular disease by comparing recommendations by the European Society of Cardiology without and with extrapolation of risk to age 60 years, the International Atherosclerosis Society, and the US Adult Treatment Panel III. The proportions of participants classified as high-risk for CHD were 12.5% (15.4% with extrapolation), 3.0%, and 5.8%, respectively. Proportions of participants eligible for statins were 9.2% (11.6% with extrapolation), 13.7%, and 16.7%, respectively. Assuming full compliance to each guideline, expected relative decreases in CHD deaths in Switzerland over a 10-year period would be 16.4% (17.5% with extrapolation), 18.7%, and 19.3%, respectively; the corresponding numbers needed to treat to prevent 1 CHD death would be 285 (340 with extrapolation), 380, and 440, respectively. In conclusion, the proportion of subjects classified as high risk for CHD varied over a fivefold range across recommendations. Following the International Atherosclerosis Society and the Adult Treatment Panel III recommendations might prevent more CHD deaths at the cost of higher numbers needed to treat compared with European Society of Cardiology guidelines.