Dominance Solvable Games with Multiple Payoff Criteria.

Two logically distinct and permissive extensions of iterative weak dominance are introduced for games with possibly vector-valued payoffs. The first, iterative partial dominance, builds on an easy-to check condition but may lead to solutions that do not include any (generalized) Nash equilibria. However, the second and intuitively more demanding extension, iterative essential dominance, is shown to be an equilibrium refinement. The latter result includes Moulin’s (1979) classic theorem as a special case when all players’ payoffs are real-valued. Therefore, essential dominance solvability can be a useful solution concept for making sharper predictions in multicriteria games that feature a plethora of equilibria.

A Case of Framing Effects: The Elicitation of Time Preferences.

We compare three methods for the elicitation of time preferences in an experimental setting: the Becker-DeGroot-Marschak procedure (BDM); the second price auction; and the multiple price list format. The first two methods have been used rarely to elicit time preferences. All methods used are perfectly equivalent from a decision theoretic point of view, and they should induce the same ‘truthful’ revelation i dominant strategies. In spite of this, we find that framing does matter: the money discount rates elicited with the multiple price list tend to be higher than those elicited with the other two methods. In addition, our results shed some light on attitudes towards time, and they permit a broad classification of subjects depending on how the size of the elicited values varies with the time horizon.

Income stratification and the measurement of interdistributional inequality between multiple groups

This paper proposes a new class of stratification indices that measure interdistributional inequality between multiple groups. The class is based on a conceptualisation of stratification as a process that results in a hierarchical ordering of groups and therefore seeks to capture not only the extent to which groups form well-defined strata in the income distribution but also the scale of the resultant differences in income standards between them, where these two factors play the same role as identification and alienation respectively in the measurement of polarisation. The properties of the class as a whole are investigated as well as those of selected members of it: zeroth and first power indices may be interpreted as measuring the overall incidence and depth of stratification respectively, while higher power indices members are directly sensitive to the severity of stratification between groups. An illustrative application provides an empirical analysis of global income stratification by regions in 1993.

Evaluation of the histopathological classifications of American cutaneous and mucocutaneous leishmaniasis

In order to evaluate the reliability of histopathological classifications of cutaneous and mucocutaneous leishmaniasis the authors compared the histopathological patterns of two biopsies taken simultaneously from the same patient, and classified the material according to Ridley et al. (1980), to Magalhães et al. (1986a), and to a more simplified classification with only three patterns. District histopathological aspects, were observed in different lesions or even in the same lesion. The authors concluded that histopathological patterns do not represent a stage of tegumentary leishmaniasis, thus they can not be correlated with prognosis and therapeutical response as suggested in the literature.

Multiple Objectives in Monetary Policy: A de Facto Analysis for ‘Advanced’ Countries

A statistical methodology is developed by which realised outcomes can be used to identify, for calendar years between 1974 and 2012, when policy makers in ‘advanced’ economies have successfully pursued single objectives of different kinds, or multiple objectives. A simple criterion is then used to distinguish between multiple objectives pure and simple and multiple objectives subject to a price stability constraint. The overall and individual country results which this methodology produces seem broadly plausible. Unconditional and conditional analyses of the inflation and growth associated with different types of objectives reveal that multiple objectives subject to a price stability constraint are associated with roughly as good economic performance as the single objective of inflation. A proposal is then made as to how the remit of an inflation-targeting central bank could be adjusted to allow it to pursue other objectives in extremis without losing the credibility effects associated with inflation targeting.

A Multiple Break Panel Approach to Estimating United States Phillips Curves

Phillips curves are often estimated without due attention being paid to the underlying time series properties of the data. In particular, the consequences of inflation having discrete breaks in mean have not been studied adequately. We show by means of simulations and a detailed empirical example based on United States data that not taking account of breaks may lead to biased, and therefore spurious, estimates of Phillips curves. We suggest a method to account for the breaks in mean inflation and obtain meaningful and unbiased estimates of the short- and long-run Phillips curves in the United States.

99mTc-sestamibi imaging and bone marrow karyotyping in the assessment of multiple myeloma and MGUS

AIM: The first pathogenetic step in multiple myeloma is the emergence of a limited number of clonal plasma cells, clinically known as monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). Patients with MGUS do not have symptoms or end-organ damage but they do have a 1% annual risk of progression to multiple myeloma or related malignant disorders. With progression of MGUS to multiple myeloma, complex genetic events occur in the neoplastic plasma cell. Karyotyping and fluorescence in-situ hybridization (FISH) were shown to be of prognostic value in patients with multiple myeloma. Tc-sestamibi imaging reflects myeloma disease activity in bone marrow with very high sensitivity and specificity predicting disease evolution. This study was undertaken to evaluate the role of Tc-sestamibi imaging and cytogenetic analysis in prognosis prediction of MGUS and multiple myeloma. METHODS: We enrolled 30 consecutive patients with a confirmed diagnosis of multiple myeloma or MGUS. Bone marrow biopsy and biochemical staging according to the International Staging System (ISS) were performed in all cases. Karyotype analysis and FISH were performed in 11 of 12 patients with MGUS and in 17 of 18 patients with multiple myeloma having adequate metaphases. RESULTS: The karyotype was abnormal in four of 11 MGUS and in six of 17 multiple myeloma. Abnormalities of chromosome 13 were present in one case of MGUS and in six cases of multiple myeloma whereas the involvement of immunoglobulin was observed in one case of multiple myeloma. An abnormal FISH panel was found in four MGUS and nine multiple myeloma patients. All patients with MGUS showed a normal MIBI scan (score 0). Among patients with multiple myeloma only three, all with ISS stage I, showed a normal scan while a positive scan was obtained in others (score range, 1-7). The MIBI uptake was strongly related to the bone marrow plasma cell infiltration and to cytogenetic abnormalities. Particularly, a MIBI uptake score above 5 identified patients with poor prognosis encompassing all stage III multiple myeloma and three of seven stage II multiple myeloma. On the other hand all stage I and II patients having a MIBI score less than 5 showed a good prognosis. CONCLUSION: Both cytogenetic analysis and a MIBI scan add no relevant prognostic information to the ISS in patients with stage I and III multiple myeloma. The MIBI scan was of prognostic value in stage II multiple myeloma patients. Additionally, MIBI imaging may be useful to guide bone marrow biopsy in order to obtain adequate samples for cytogenetic analysis.

CYP3A activity measured by the midazolam test is not related to 3435 C >T polymorphism in the multiple drug resistance transporter gene.

A recent study with 69 Japanese liver transplants treated with tacrolimus found that the MDR13435 C >T polymorphism, but not the MDR12677 G >T polymorphism, was associated with differences in the intestinal expression level of CYP3A4 mRNA. In the present study, over 6 h, we measured the kinetics of a 75 microg oral dose of midazolam, a CYP3A substrate, in 21 healthy subjects genotyped for the MDR13435 C >T and 2677 G >T polymorphism. No statistically significant differences were found in the calculated pharmacokinetic parameters between the three 3435 C >T genotypes (TT, CT and CC group, respectively: Cmax (mean +/- SD: 0.30 +/- 0.08 ng/ml, 0.31 +/- 0.09 ng/ml and 0.31 +/- 0.11 ng/ml; Apparent clearance: 122 +/- 29 l/h, 156 +/- 92 l/h and 111 +/- 35 l/h; t1/2: 1.9 +/- 1.1 h, 1.6 +/- 0.90 h and 1.7 +/- 0.7 h). In addition, the 30-min 1'OH midazolam to midazolam ratio, a marker of CYP3A activity, determined in 74 HIV-positive patients before the introduction of antiretroviral treatment, was not significantly different between the three 3435 C >T genotypes (mean ratio +/- SD: 3.65 +/- 2.24, 4.22 +/- 3.49 and 4.24 +/- 2.03, in the TT, CT and CC groups, respectively). Similarly, no association was found between the MDR12677 G >T polymorphism and CYP3A activity in the healthy subjects or in the HIV-positive patients. The existence of a strong association between the activity of CYP3A and MDR13435 C >T and 2677 G >T polymorphisms appears unlikely, at least in Caucasian populations and/or in the absence of specific environmental factors.

Vitamin D has a direct immunomodulatory effect on CD8+ T cells of patients with early multiple sclerosis and healthy control subjects.

Little is known on a putative effect of vitamin D on CD8+ T cells. Yet, these cells are involved in the immmunopathogenesis of MS. We assessed the cytokine profile of EBV-specific CD8+ T cells of 10 early MS patients and 10 healthy control subjects with or without 1,25(OH)(2)D(3) and found that, with 1,25(OH)(2)D(3), these cells secreted less IFN-γ and TNF-α and more IL-5 and TGF-β. CD4+ T cell depletion or even culture with CD8+ T cells only did not abolish the immunomodulatory effect of 1,25(OH)(2)D(3) on CD8+ T cells, suggesting that 1,25(OH)(2)D(3) can act directly on CD8+ T cells.

Design and analysis of ChIP-Seq experiments for nuclear factor I DNA-binding proteins

SUMMARY : Eukaryotic DNA interacts with the nuclear proteins using non-covalent ionic interactions. Proteins can recognize specific nucleotide sequences based on the sterical interactions with the DNA and these specific protein-DNA interactions are the basis for many nuclear processes, e.g. gene transcription, chromosomal replication, and recombination. New technology termed ChIP-Seq has been recently developed for the analysis of protein-DNA interactions on a whole genome scale and it is based on immunoprecipitation of chromatin and high-throughput DNA sequencing procedure. ChIP-Seq is a novel technique with a great potential to replace older techniques for mapping of protein-DNA interactions. In this thesis, we bring some new insights into the ChIP-Seq data analysis. First, we point out to some common and so far unknown artifacts of the method. Sequence tag distribution in the genome does not follow uniform distribution and we have found extreme hot-spots of tag accumulation over specific loci in the human and mouse genomes. These artifactual sequence tags accumulations will create false peaks in every ChIP-Seq dataset and we propose different filtering methods to reduce the number of false positives. Next, we propose random sampling as a powerful analytical tool in the ChIP-Seq data analysis that could be used to infer biological knowledge from the massive ChIP-Seq datasets. We created unbiased random sampling algorithm and we used this methodology to reveal some of the important biological properties of Nuclear Factor I DNA binding proteins. Finally, by analyzing the ChIP-Seq data in detail, we revealed that Nuclear Factor I transcription factors mainly act as activators of transcription, and that they are associated with specific chromatin modifications that are markers of open chromatin. We speculate that NFI factors only interact with the DNA wrapped around the nucleosome. We also found multiple loci that indicate possible chromatin barrier activity of NFI proteins, which could suggest the use of NFI binding sequences as chromatin insulators in biotechnology applications. RESUME : L'ADN des eucaryotes interagit avec les protéines nucléaires par des interactions noncovalentes ioniques. Les protéines peuvent reconnaître les séquences nucléotidiques spécifiques basées sur l'interaction stérique avec l'ADN, et des interactions spécifiques contrôlent de nombreux processus nucléaire, p.ex. transcription du gène, la réplication chromosomique, et la recombinaison. Une nouvelle technologie appelée ChIP-Seq a été récemment développée pour l'analyse des interactions protéine-ADN à l'échelle du génome entier et cette approche est basée sur l'immuno-précipitation de la chromatine et sur la procédure de séquençage de l'ADN à haut débit. La nouvelle approche ChIP-Seq a donc un fort potentiel pour remplacer les anciennes techniques de cartographie des interactions protéine-ADN. Dans cette thèse, nous apportons de nouvelles perspectives dans l'analyse des données ChIP-Seq. Tout d'abord, nous avons identifié des artefacts très communs associés à cette méthode qui étaient jusqu'à présent insoupçonnés. La distribution des séquences dans le génome ne suit pas une distribution uniforme et nous avons constaté des positions extrêmes d'accumulation de séquence à des régions spécifiques, des génomes humains et de la souris. Ces accumulations des séquences artéfactuelles créera de faux pics dans toutes les données ChIP-Seq, et nous proposons différentes méthodes de filtrage pour réduire le nombre de faux positifs. Ensuite, nous proposons un nouvel échantillonnage aléatoire comme un outil puissant d'analyse des données ChIP-Seq, ce qui pourraient augmenter l'acquisition de connaissances biologiques à partir des données ChIP-Seq. Nous avons créé un algorithme d'échantillonnage aléatoire et nous avons utilisé cette méthode pour révéler certaines des propriétés biologiques importantes de protéines liant à l'ADN nommés Facteur Nucléaire I (NFI). Enfin, en analysant en détail les données de ChIP-Seq pour la famille de facteurs de transcription nommés Facteur Nucléaire I, nous avons révélé que ces protéines agissent principalement comme des activateurs de transcription, et qu'elles sont associées à des modifications de la chromatine spécifiques qui sont des marqueurs de la chromatine ouverte. Nous pensons que lés facteurs NFI interagir uniquement avec l'ADN enroulé autour du nucléosome. Nous avons également constaté plusieurs régions génomiques qui indiquent une éventuelle activité de barrière chromatinienne des protéines NFI, ce qui pourrait suggérer l'utilisation de séquences de liaison NFI comme séquences isolatrices dans des applications de la biotechnologie.

Modelling dependence in a ratemaking procedure with multivariate Poisson regression models

When actuaries face with the problem of pricing an insurance contract that contains different types of coverage, such as a motor insurance or homeowner's insurance policy, they usually assume that types of claim are independent. However, this assumption may not be realistic: several studies have shown that there is a positive correlation between types of claim. Here we introduce different regression models in order to relax the independence assumption, including zero-inflated models to account for excess of zeros and overdispersion. These models have been largely ignored to multivariate Poisson date, mainly because of their computational di±culties. Bayesian inference based on MCMC helps to solve this problem (and also lets us derive, for several quantities of interest, posterior summaries to account for uncertainty). Finally, these models are applied to an automobile insurance claims database with three different types of claims. We analyse the consequences for pure and loaded premiums when the independence assumption is relaxed by using different multivariate Poisson regression models and their zero-inflated versions.

Human B19 parvovirus infetion: an example of multiple pathogenic effects determined by differences in host susceptibility

B19 infection offers some general lessons about human viruses and their possible effects on the human host, as follows: (1) Ubiquitous apparently benign viruses may have severe effects on a compromissed host. The virus may be invariable but the host can have diverse susceptibilities. (2) B19 and some other human viruses (through for none is the evidence so clear as for B19) have narrowly targetted effects. The host cell of B19 is a specialised progenitor of mature red cells: impairment of the function of this cell by B19 may cause profound anaemia. (3) The 'normal'host response to B19 may also cause disease, though this is slef limiting. (4) The effects of malfunction of the virus'target cell are exacerbated when the immune response is impaired by congenital or acquired immunodeficiency, immunosupressive therapy or, in the case of the fetus, developmental immaturity that allows the virus to persist.

Pharmacokinetic profile of two different pharmaceutical forms of theophylline (a slow release tablet and a syrup) after multiple dose administration to healthy human volunteers

Due to the narrow therapeutic range of theophyline, plasma concentrations of this drug are monitored in patients undergoing chronic therapy. Slow-release preparations avoid the fluctuations in plasma levels and improve patient compliance. In this study, we have compared the pharmacokinetic profiles of a theophylline slow-release tablet and a syrup form, when administered in multiple doses to healthy adult volunteers. The classification based upon releasing patterns is confirmed.