Development of Clinical Decision Support Systems based on Mathematical Models of Physiological Systems

In the last years of research, I focused my studies on different physiological problems. Together with my supervisors, I developed/improved different mathematical models in order to create valid tools useful for a better understanding of important clinical issues. The aim of all this work is to develop tools for learning and understanding cardiac and cerebrovascular physiology as well as pathology, generating research questions and developing clinical decision support systems useful for intensive care unit patients. I. ICP-model Designed for Medical Education We developed a comprehensive cerebral blood flow and intracranial pressure model to simulate and study the complex interactions in cerebrovascular dynamics caused by multiple simultaneous alterations, including normal and abnormal functional states of auto-regulation of the brain. Individual published equations (derived from prior animal and human studies) were implemented into a comprehensive simulation program. Included in the normal physiological modelling was: intracranial pressure, cerebral blood flow, blood pressure, and carbon dioxide (CO2) partial pressure. We also added external and pathological perturbations, such as head up position and intracranial haemorrhage. The model performed clinically realistically given inputs of published traumatized patients, and cases encountered by clinicians. The pulsatile nature of the output graphics was easy for clinicians to interpret. The manoeuvres simulated include changes of basic physiological inputs (e.g. blood pressure, central venous pressure, CO2 tension, head up position, and respiratory effects on vascular pressures) as well as pathological inputs (e.g. acute intracranial bleeding, and obstruction of cerebrospinal outflow). Based on the results, we believe the model would be useful to teach complex relationships of brain haemodynamics and study clinical research questions such as the optimal head-up position, the effects of intracranial haemorrhage on cerebral haemodynamics, as well as the best CO2 concentration to reach the optimal compromise between intracranial pressure and perfusion. We believe this model would be useful for both beginners and advanced learners. It could be used by practicing clinicians to model individual patients (entering the effects of needed clinical manipulations, and then running the model to test for optimal combinations of therapeutic manoeuvres). II. A Heterogeneous Cerebrovascular Mathematical Model Cerebrovascular pathologies are extremely complex, due to the multitude of factors acting simultaneously on cerebral haemodynamics. In this work, the mathematical model of cerebral haemodynamics and intracranial pressure dynamics, described in the point I, is extended to account for heterogeneity in cerebral blood flow. The model includes the Circle of Willis, six regional districts independently regulated by autoregulation and CO2 reactivity, distal cortical anastomoses, venous circulation, the cerebrospinal fluid circulation, and the intracranial pressure-volume relationship. Results agree with data in the literature and highlight the existence of a monotonic relationship between transient hyperemic response and the autoregulation gain. During unilateral internal carotid artery stenosis, local blood flow regulation is progressively lost in the ipsilateral territory with the presence of a steal phenomenon, while the anterior communicating artery plays the major role to redistribute the available blood flow. Conversely, distal collateral circulation plays a major role during unilateral occlusion of the middle cerebral artery. In conclusion, the model is able to reproduce several different pathological conditions characterized by heterogeneity in cerebrovascular haemodynamics and can not only explain generalized results in terms of physiological mechanisms involved, but also, by individualizing parameters, may represent a valuable tool to help with difficult clinical decisions. III. Effect of Cushing Response on Systemic Arterial Pressure. During cerebral hypoxic conditions, the sympathetic system causes an increase in arterial pressure (Cushing response), creating a link between the cerebral and the systemic circulation. This work investigates the complex relationships among cerebrovascular dynamics, intracranial pressure, Cushing response, and short-term systemic regulation, during plateau waves, by means of an original mathematical model. The model incorporates the pulsating heart, the pulmonary circulation and the systemic circulation, with an accurate description of the cerebral circulation and the intracranial pressure dynamics (same model as in the first paragraph). Various regulatory mechanisms are included: cerebral autoregulation, local blood flow control by oxygen (O2) and/or CO2 changes, sympathetic and vagal regulation of cardiovascular parameters by several reflex mechanisms (chemoreceptors, lung-stretch receptors, baroreceptors). The Cushing response has been described assuming a dramatic increase in sympathetic activity to vessels during a fall in brain O2 delivery. With this assumption, the model is able to simulate the cardiovascular effects experimentally observed when intracranial pressure is artificially elevated and maintained at constant level (arterial pressure increase and bradicardia). According to the model, these effects arise from the interaction between the Cushing response and the baroreflex response (secondary to arterial pressure increase). Then, patients with severe head injury have been simulated by reducing intracranial compliance and cerebrospinal fluid reabsorption. With these changes, oscillations with plateau waves developed. In these conditions, model results indicate that the Cushing response may have both positive effects, reducing the duration of the plateau phase via an increase in cerebral perfusion pressure, and negative effects, increasing the intracranial pressure plateau level, with a risk of greater compression of the cerebral vessels. This model may be of value to assist clinicians in finding the balance between clinical benefits of the Cushing response and its shortcomings. IV. Comprehensive Cardiopulmonary Simulation Model for the Analysis of Hypercapnic Respiratory Failure We developed a new comprehensive cardiopulmonary model that takes into account the mutual interactions between the cardiovascular and the respiratory systems along with their short-term regulatory mechanisms. The model includes the heart, systemic and pulmonary circulations, lung mechanics, gas exchange and transport equations, and cardio-ventilatory control. Results show good agreement with published patient data in case of normoxic and hyperoxic hypercapnia simulations. In particular, simulations predict a moderate increase in mean systemic arterial pressure and heart rate, with almost no change in cardiac output, paralleled by a relevant increase in minute ventilation, tidal volume and respiratory rate. The model can represent a valid tool for clinical practice and medical research, providing an alternative way to experience-based clinical decisions. In conclusion, models are not only capable of summarizing current knowledge, but also identifying missing knowledge. In the former case they can serve as training aids for teaching the operation of complex systems, especially if the model can be used to demonstrate the outcome of experiments. In the latter case they generate experiments to be performed to gather the missing data.

Auswirkungen einer hypertonen, hyperonkotischen Therapie in Kombination mit chirurgischer Hämatomentfernung auf funktionelle und histologische Defizite nach akutem subduralem Hämatom der Ratte

Auswirkungen einer hypertonen / hyperonkotischen Therapie in Kombination mit chirurgischer Hämatomentfernung auf funktionelle und histologische Defizite nach akutem subduralem Hämatom der Ratte: Die Zeit bis zur Behandlung eines akuten subduralen Hämatoms stellt eine der wichtigsten prognosebestimmenden Faktoren für die Mortalität und Morbidität der Patienten dar. Ein unbehandeltes akutes subdurales Hämatom im Rahmen eines schweren Schädelhirntraumas geht mit einer Sterblichkeit von weit über 50% einher. Selbst bei zeitiger chirurgischer Entlastung versterben noch ca. 30% der Patienten als Folge der Hirnschädigung. Um Therapieoptionen zur Verbesserung der schlechten Prognose nach akutem subduralem Hämatom liefern zu können, wurde in dieser Studie die frühe Therapie mit hypertonen / hyperonkotischen Lösungen (HHT) sowie die Kombination mit chirurgischer Evakuation des Hämatoms untersucht. In dem genutzten Tiermodell wurde ein subdurales Hämatom über die Infusion von 400 µl autologen venösen Blutes erreicht. Je nach Gruppe erhielten die Ratten 30 Minuten nach ASDH eine HHT oder isotonische Kochsalzlösung und ggf. eine chirurgische Entfernung des Hämatoms eine Stunde nach Induktion. Die Studie war in zwei Teile getrennt. Die akute Studie welche den intraoperativen Verlauf von Blutwerten, intrakraniellem Druck zerebralem Perfusionsdruck und zerebralem Blutfluss untersuchte und die chronische Studie welche über Verhaltenstests (Neuroscore, Beamwalk, Open Field) die funktionellen und histologischen Ergebnisse im Verlauf von 12 Tage betrachtete. Im Ergebnis konnten durch eine HHT eine Reduktion der intrakraniellen Hypertension erreicht werden. Im Langzeit Verlauf schnitten alle Behandlungen besser ab als die unbehandelte Gruppe. In Bezug auf die neurologische Erholung und das histologische Defizit zeigten die mit einer HHT behandelten Tiere jedoch die besten Ergebnisse. rnEine frühe chirurgische Intervention ist eine protektive Maßnahme bezogen auf die funktionelle Defizite und den histologischen Schaden nach akutem subduralem Hämatom, aber frühe hypertone / hyperonkotische Behandlung ist in diesem Modell sogar noch effektiver. Eine frühe Behandlung mit hypertonen / hyperonkotischen Lösungen stellt somit eine vielversprechende, sichere und kausale Therapieoption zur Verbesserung der Prognose nach akutem subduralem Hämatom dar. rn

Rolle des endothelialen kontraktilen Apparates bei der Entstehung eines Hirnödems nach Schädelhirntrauma und Subarachnoidalblutung

Zerebrale Erkrankungen, wie Schädelhirntrauma (SHT) und Subarachnoidalblutung (SAB) sind mit einer hohen Morbidität und Mortalität vergesellschaftet und stellen eine ernsthafte medizinische und ökonomische Herausforderung dar. Grundlage für die Entwicklung neuer effektiver Therapieansätze ist das Verständnis der pathophysiologischen Mechanismen dieser Krankheiten. Das Entstehen eines vasogenen Hirnödems ist eine schwere Komplikation nach SHT und SAB und beruht u.a. auf einem Öffnen der Bluthirnschranke (BHS). Ein möglicher zu Grunde liegender Mechanismus könnte die Aktivierung der Myosin-leichte-Kette-Kinase (MLCK) sein, was man therapeutisch unterbinden könnte.rnIn der vorliegenden Studie wurde in zwei unterschiedlichen experimentellen, zerebralen Schadensmodellen der Einfluss des kontraktilen Apparates auf die BHS Störung untersucht. In dem Schadensmodell des SHT sind die Hauptergebnisse: 1.) die Myosin-leichte-Kette-Kinase (MLCK) wird durch das induzierte Schädelhirntrauma hochreguliert. 2.) eine pharmakologische MLCK Inhibition stabilisiert die BHS, senkt den ICP und das Hirnödem nach experimentellen SHT. 3.) die MLCK Inhibition führte nicht zu einer Verbesserung des Hirnschadens, der neurologischen Funktion oder der zerebralen Inflammation 24 Stunden nach SHT, obwohl angenommen wird, dass die Entstehung eines Hirnödems den sekundären Hirnschaden vergrößert. In einer weitern Studie wurde untersucht, durch welchen Signalweg dieser zugrunde liegende Mechanismus aktiviert wird. In einem in-vitro BHS Model konnte gezeigt werden, dass C-reaktives Protein (CRP) über die Bindung an Fcγ-Rezeptoren den kontraktilen Apparat aktiviert und somit zu einem Öffnen der BHS führt. Obwohl der CRP Plasmaspiegel nach experimentellen SHT ansteigt, kommt es nicht zu einer Verringerungrndes Hirnwassergehaltes in FcγR-/- Mäusen. Die Entstehung des vasogenen Hirnödems wird im murinen CCI Model somit nicht über den Fcγ-Rezeptor vermittelt. Die in-vitro gezeigte Fcγ vermittelte Öffnung der BHS konnte in-vivo in dieser Studie nicht reproduziert werden. Mit der vorliegenden Studie kann nicht ausgeschlossen werden, dass CRP über einen Fcγ unabhängigen Mechanismus eine Öffnung der BHS vermittelt. Jedoch deuten die Daten daraufhin, das CRP im murinen CCI Model eine untergeordnete Rolle spielt. Die FcγR-/- Mäuse zeigten allerdings ein deutlich reduziertes Kontusionsvolumen und eine reduzierte Mikroglia Aktivierung, was darauf hindeutet, dass FcγR eine wesentliche Rolle bei der zerebralen Inflammation spielen.rnIn dem Schadensmodell der experimentellen SAB konnte gezeigt werden, dass die Inhibition der MLCK die Folgen einer SAB mindert. Sie führt zu einer Senkung des Hirnödems, des intrakraniellen Drucks und Verbesserung der neurologischen Erholung nach experimenteller SAB. Die Ergebnisse unterstützen die Hypothese, dass die MLCK einer der Endpunkteffektor für verschiedene Mechanismen ist, welche die endotheliale Permeabilität sowohl nach SHT als auch nach SAB erhöhen.rnZusammenfassend lässt sich feststellen, dass in beiden zerebralen experimentellen Insulten die MLCK eine wichtige Rolle beim BHS Versagen spielt. Die Daten tragen dazu bei, den zugrundeliegenden Mechanismus der BHS Öffnung, der durch eine Aktivierung der MLCK hervorgerufen werden könnte, besser zu verstehen. Dies könnte zu Entwicklung neuer Medikamente für eine Therapie des zerebralen Hirnödems führen.

Studio osservazionale sulle complicanze della fibrillazione atriale nell'area di Bologna.

Premesse: Gli eventi ischemici (EI) e le emorragie cerebrali (EIC) sono le più temute complicanze della fibrillazione atriale (FA) e della profilassi antitrombotica. Metodi: in 6 mesi sono stati valutati prospetticamente i pazienti ammessi in uno dei PS dell’area di Bologna con FA associata ad EI (ictus o embolia periferica) o ad EIC. Risultati: sono stati arruolati 178 pazienti (60 maschi, età mediana 85 anni) con EI. Il trattamento antitrombotico in corso era: a) antagonisti della vitamina K (AVK) in 31 (17.4%), INR all’ingresso: <2 in 16, in range (2.0-3.0) in 13, >3 in 2; b) aspirina (ASA) in 107 (60.1%); c) nessun trattamento in 40 (22.5%), soprattutto in FA di nuova insorgenza. Nei 20 pazienti (8 maschi; età mediana 82) con EIC il trattamento era: a)AVK in 13 (65%), INR in range in 11 pazienti, > 3 in 2, b) ASA in 6 (30%). La maggior parte degli EI (88%) ed EIC (95%) si sono verificati in pazienti con età > 70 anni. Abbiamo valutato l’incidenza annuale di eventi nei soggetti con età > 70 anni seguiti neo centri della terapia anticoagulante (TAO) e nei soggetti con FA stimata non seguiti nei centri TAO. L’incidenza annuale di EI è risultata 12% (95%CI 10.7-13.3) nei pazienti non seguiti nei centri TAO, 0.57% (95% CI 0.42-0.76) nei pazienti dei centri TAO ( RRA 11.4%, RRR 95%, p<0.0001). Per le EIC l’incidenza annuale è risultata 0.63% (95% CI 0.34-1.04) e 0.30% (95% CI 0.19-0.44) nei due gruppi ( RRA di 0.33%/anno, RRR del 52%/anno, p=0.040). Conclusioni: gli EI si sono verificati soprattutto in pazienti anziani in trattamento con ASA o senza trattamento. La metà dei pazienti in AVK avevano un INR sub terapeutico. L’approccio terapeutico negli anziani con FA deve prevedere un’ adeguata gestione della profilassi antitrombotica.

Retrospective comparison of maternal vs. HPA-matched donor platelets for treatment of fetal alloimmune thrombocytopenia

In fetal alloimmune thrombocytopenia (FAIT), transplacental maternal antibodies cause destruction of fetal platelets. FAIT is similar to fetal Rhesus haemolytic disease, but half of the affected fetuses are born to primiparous women. In 10-20% of cases, prenatal and perinatal intracranial haemorrhages are reported. Different therapeutic approaches have been described, including maternally administered high-dose intravenous immunoglobulin (high dose IVIG) without or with steroids or intrauterine transfusion (IUT) of compatible platelets. For the latter, the use of plasma-free maternal and donor platelets has been described, but a comparison of these two sources of platelets has not been reported.

Postoperative evaluation of surgery for craniosynostosis based on image registration techniques

Craniosynostosis consists of a premature fusion of the sutures in an infant skull, which restricts the skull and brain growth. During the last decades there has been a rapid increase of fundamentally diverse surgical treatment methods. At present, the surgical outcome has been assessed using global variables such as cephalic index, head circumerence and intracranial volume. However, the variables have failed in describing the local deformations and morphological changes, which are proposed to more likely induce neurological disorders.

Identification of eight novel coagulation factor XIII subunit A mutations: implied consequences for structure and function

Severe hereditary coagulation factor XIII deficiency is a rare homozygous bleeding disorder affecting one person in every two million individuals. In contrast, heterozygous factor XIII deficiency is more common, but usually not associated with severe hemorrhage such as intracranial bleeding or hemarthrosis. In most cases, the disease is caused by F13A gene mutations. Causative mutations associated with the F13B gene are rarer.

Preliminary results of an ICP-controlled subarachnoid hemorrhage rabbit model for the study of delayed cerebral vasospasm

INTRODUCTION: Intracisternal blood injection is the most common applied experimental subarachnoid bleeding technique in rabbits. The model comprises examiner-dependent variables and does not closely represent the human pathophysiological sequelae of ruptured cerebral aneurysm. The degree of achieved delayed cerebral vasospasm (DCVS) in this model is often mild. The aim of this study was to characterize and evaluate the feasibility of a clinically more relevant experimental SAH in vivo model. SAH was performed by arterial blood shunting from the subclavian artery into the great cerebral cistern. A total of five experiments were performed. Intracranial pressure (ICP), arterial blood pressure, heart rate, arterial blood gas analysis, and neurological status were monitored throughout the experiments. SAH induced vasoconstriction of the basilar artery was 52.1±3.4% on day 3 compared to baseline (P<0.05). Post-mortem gross examination of the brain showed massive blood clot accumulation around the brainstem and ventral surface of the brain. The novel technique offers an examiner independent SAH induction and triggers high degrees of delayed cerebral vasospasm. The severity of vasospasm attained offers a unique opportunity to evaluate future therapeutic treatment options.

Complex Bilobular, Bisaccular, and Broad-Neck Microsurgical Aneurysm Formation in the Rabbit Bifurcation Model for the Study of Upcoming Endovascular Techniques

Despite rapid advances in the development of materials and techniques for endovascular intracranial aneurysm treatment, occlusion of large broad-neck aneurysms remains a challenge. Animal models featuring complex aneurysm architecture are needed to test endovascular innovations and train interventionalists.

Clinical radiology and postmortem imaging (Virtopsy) are not the same: Specific and unspecific postmortem signs

The aim of this article is to disclose the characteristics of postmortem forensic imaging; give an overview of the several possible findings in postmortem imaging, which are uncommon or new to clinical radiologists; and discuss the possible pitfalls. Unspecific postmortem signs are enlisted and specific signs shall be presented, which are typical for one cause of death. Unspecific signs. Livor mortis may not only be seen from the outside, but also inside the body in the lungs: in chest CT internal livor mortis appear as ground glass opacity in the dependent lower lobes. The aortic wall is often hyperdense in postmortem CT due to wall contraction and loss of luminal pressure. Gas bubbles are very common postmortem due to systemic gas embolism after major open trauma, artificial respiration or initial decomposition; in particular putrefaction produces gas bubbles globally. Specific signs. Intracranial bleeding is hyperattenuating both in radiology and in postmortem imaging. Signs of strangulation are hemorrhage in the soft tissue of the neck like skin, subcutaneous tissue, platysma muscle and lymph nodes. The "vanishing" aorta is indicative for exsanguination. Fluid in the airways with mosaic lung densities and emphysema (aquosum) is typical for fresh-water drowning.

[Orthostatic headache with tachycardia]

We report the case of a 17 year old male patient who presented with a history of orthostatic headache (present in the upright position only) for several months. The diagnostic investigations (MRI of the head and of the spine, lumbar puncture) revealed no signs of an intracranial hypotension or a CSF leak. In standing position, a significant raise of the heart rate (>40 bpm) without fall of the blood pressure occurred together with a bilateral, pressure-like headache. A diagnosis of postural tachycardia syndrome was made. Treatment with increase of fluid and salt intake, elastic compression stockings and regular exercise was successful.

IV thrombolysis and statins

To examine whether prior statin use affects outcome and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) rates in stroke patients receiving IV thrombolysis (IVT).

Uniform approach to linear and nonlinear interrelation patterns in multivariate time series

Currently, a variety of linear and nonlinear measures is in use to investigate spatiotemporal interrelation patterns of multivariate time series. Whereas the former are by definition insensitive to nonlinear effects, the latter detect both nonlinear and linear interrelation. In the present contribution we employ a uniform surrogate-based approach, which is capable of disentangling interrelations that significantly exceed random effects and interrelations that significantly exceed linear correlation. The bivariate version of the proposed framework is explored using a simple model allowing for separate tuning of coupling and nonlinearity of interrelation. To demonstrate applicability of the approach to multivariate real-world time series we investigate resting state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rsfMRI) data of two healthy subjects as well as intracranial electroencephalograms (iEEG) of two epilepsy patients with focal onset seizures. The main findings are that for our rsfMRI data interrelations can be described by linear cross-correlation. Rejection of the null hypothesis of linear iEEG interrelation occurs predominantly for epileptogenic tissue as well as during epileptic seizures.

Feature-invariant image registration method for quantification of surgical outcomes in patients with craniosynostosis: a preliminary study

Craniosynostosis consists of a premature fusion of the sutures in an infant skull that restricts skull and brain growth. During the last decades, there has been a rapid increase of fundamentally diverse surgical treatment methods. At present, the surgical outcome has been assessed using global variables such as cephalic index, head circumference, and intracranial volume. However, these variables have failed in describing the local deformations and morphological changes that may have a role in the neurologic disorders observed in the patients. This report describes a rigid image registration-based method to evaluate outcomes of craniosynostosis surgical treatments, local quantification of head growth, and indirect intracranial volume change measurements. The developed semiautomatic analysis method was applied to computed tomography data sets of a 5-month-old boy with sagittal craniosynostosis who underwent expansion of the posterior skull with cranioplasty. Quantification of the local changes between pre- and postoperative images was quantified by mapping the minimum distance of individual points from the preoperative to the postoperative surface meshes, and indirect intracranial volume changes were estimated. The proposed methodology can provide the surgeon a tool for the quantitative evaluation of surgical procedures and detection of abnormalities of the infant skull and its development.

White matter lesions and intra-arterial thrombolysis

The aim of the study was to assess the influence of white matter lesions in patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with intra-arterial thrombolysis (IAT). From September 2003 to January 2010, we treated 400 patients with IAT at our institution. Of these patients, 292 were evaluated with MRI scans and included in this observational study. Clinical data were collected prospectively. Outcome after 3 months was measured with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS); mRS 0-1 was considered as favorable outcome. White matter lesions were scored visually by two observers using the semiquantitative Scheltens and Fazekas scores. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the association of white matter lesions and clinical outcome, recanalization, and cerebral hemorrhage. The severity of white matter lesions was inversely correlated with favorable outcome, survival and successful recanalization. White matter lesions were an independent predictor of outcome (OR 0.569, p = 0.007) and survival (OR 0.550, p = 0.018) and a weak but independent predictor for recanalization (OR 0.949, p = 0.038). Asymptomatic intracerebral bleeding after IAT was associated with white matter lesions in the basal ganglia in the univariate analysis (p = 0.036), but not after multivariable analysis. The severity of white matter lesions independently predicts clinical outcome and survival in patients treated with IAT. White matter lesions are also a weak but independent predictor for recanalization. Symptomatic intracranial bleeding after IAT are not associated with white matter lesions. Therefore, white matter lesions should not be considered as a contraindication against IAT.