Planificación, prospectiva y gestión pública: Reflexiones para la agenda de desarrollo

Prólogo de Alicia Bárcena

Análise da paisagem para o planejamento e a gestão da conservação da Mata Atlântica

Landscape is dynamic, having complex nature, with tangible and intangible dimensions, presenting a continuous evolution process. The aim of this research were based on the identification and classification of landscapes in units and subunits, from the ownership by individuals; the development of a methodology to assist in the planning and management, conciliating conservation of natural areas with anthropic activities; and, from the information gathered, evaluate the different social groups aiming to design a landscape from the sustainable development perspective; thus better understanding both cultural and forest fragmentation processes, in the city of Ouro Preto, Minas Gerais. The research analyzed the current landscape and its historical evolution, distinguishing between material and immaterial dimensions. Information was raised from field trips, soil types, relief, slope, drainage, conservation units, administrative zoning, urban areas, natural resources, economy, tax raising, transport and building infrastructure, satellite images, types of management applied to the preservation or conservation of forests and fields, and semi-structured interviews with the various actors that modify and transform the territory, thus making a balance between the built landscape and the demands of the society and ecosystems. Results were composed by a map of land use in 2011; a map of landscape units and their subunits, with their appropriate definitions; a map with five levels of activities intensity, with their respective descriptions; and raising barriers to improving the welfare of the actors and the integrity of ecosystems. The number of generated ecosystem services are difficult to measure, but its benefits are useful for everyone. The physical changes are a reflection of the economy, which caused environmental impacts, mainly related to mining activities, tourism, agriculture and conservation of natural areas, all requiring ideally a shared management. In this sense, the landscape needs a management to create sustainable alternatives to anthropic activities. The dynamics of the landscape has been shaped by a slow evolution, set by mining activities due to the high financial revenues, there were areas of revegetation after clearcuts in the past, and now tourism lacks structure. The city has great potential for development projects with payments for environmental services, however, gaps for shared management exists.

Regressão Simplex aplicada a delineamentos de mistura e utilização do Algoritmo Boosting

In the composition of this work are present two parts. The first part contains the theory used. The second part contains the two articles. The first article examines two models of the class of generalized linear models for analyzing a mixture experiment, which studied the effect of different diets consist of fat, carbohydrate, and fiber on tumor expression in mammary glands of female rats, given by the ratio mice that had tumor expression in a particular diet. Mixture experiments are characterized by having the effect of collinearity and smaller sample size. In this sense, assuming normality for the answer to be maximized or minimized may be inadequate. Given this fact, the main characteristics of logistic regression and simplex models are addressed. The models were compared by the criteria of selection of models AIC, BIC and ICOMP, simulated envelope charts for residuals of adjusted models, odds ratios graphics and their respective confidence intervals for each mixture component. It was concluded that first article that the simplex regression model showed better quality of fit and narrowest confidence intervals for odds ratio. The second article presents the model Boosted Simplex Regression, the boosting version of the simplex regression model, as an alternative to increase the precision of confidence intervals for the odds ratio for each mixture component. For this, we used the Monte Carlo method for the construction of confidence intervals. Moreover, it is presented in an innovative way the envelope simulated chart for residuals of the adjusted model via boosting algorithm. It was concluded that the Boosted Simplex Regression model was adjusted successfully and confidence intervals for the odds ratio were accurate and lightly more precise than the its maximum likelihood version.

Associação da massa muscular esquelética com variáveis demográficas, antropométricas, dietéticas, bioquímicas e aptidão física de adultos clinicamente selecionados para programa de mudança de estilo de vida (MEV)

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Aptidão física relacionada à saúde de alunos do ensino fundamental participantes de programas para mudanças do estilo de vida na escola

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Convergência digital para apoio ao ensino de libras, com ênfase na web e no sistema brasileiro de tv digital

Pós-graduação em Ciência da Computação - IBILCE

Propriocepção e respostas musculares do tornozelo de atletas universitários de futebol

Pós-graduação em Desenvolvimento Humano e Tecnologias - IBRC

Qualidade da água e desempenho produtivo da tilápia do Nilo alimentada em diferentes freqüências e períodos por meio de dispensador automático

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Período de germinação de sementes de Brachiaria decumbens, B. humidicola e Brachiaria ruziziensis

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Agricultura) - FCA

Erosividade das chuvas na bacia hidrográfica do Rio Apeú, região nordeste do estado do Pará

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Agricultura) - FCA

Perseveração motora em crianças: impacto da condição de deficiência mental

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Métodos para comparação de curvas de crescimento

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Energia na Agricultura) - FCA

Estimativa da irradiação total sobre uma superfície inclinada a partir da irradiação global na horizontal

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Energia na Agricultura) - FCA

Epidemiologia, lesão inalatória e biomarcadores: relação com prognóstico de adultos queimados internados em uma unidade de referência

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Oxidação da hemoglobina como modelo de estudo do sistema de óxido-redução eritrocitário: interação entre nitrito de sódio, azul de metileno e cistamina

Pós-graduação em Fisiopatologia em Clínica Médica - FMB