907 resultados para Asymptotic Variance of Estimate


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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

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Foram simuladas estruturas de dados em modelos mistos representando o teste de 100 reprodutores, sendo cada reprodutor acasalado com 10 matrizes (total de 1000 matrizes), originando em cada acasalamento 2 proles, totalizando 2000 proles (vinte proles por reprodutor). De cada combinação reprodutor e matriz, dez proles tiveram seu fenótipo expresso no ambiente de baixa produção (Estrato 1) e, a outra metade, no ambiente de alta produção (Estrato 2). A simulação foi realizada de forma a representar diferentes situações de presença de heterogeneidade de variâncias, combinando-se as origens da heterogeneidade, de natureza genética e ambiental. Na presença de heterogeneidade residual, o valor estimado para o componente de variância residual, considerando homogeneidade de variâncias se aproximou do valor médio das variâncias entre os estratos. Houve superestimação, também, do componente de variância genético aditivo. Ao simular heterogeneidade de variância de origem genética, observou-se que a estimação desse componente situou-se em valor intermediário aos simulados. Nessa situação, o componente de variância residual estimado foi próximo do valor simulado, indicando que a heterogeneidade de variâncias quando proveniente de fatores genéticos, não interfere, substancialmente, sobre e estimação do componente de variância residual. Na simulação de dados com presença de heterogeneidade tanto de origem genética quanto ambiental (estrutura de dados 4), conduziu a estimação de componentes de variâncias intermediários aos valores simulados em cada estrato. Assim, observa-se que, mesmo quando os reprodutores apresentam proles bem distribuídas em ambos os estratos, a heterogeneidade de variância proveniente de fatores não genético provoca distorções sobre a estimação da variância genética aditiva. Mas por outro lado, quando a heterogeneidade de variância é decorrente de fatores genéticos, não há grande interferência sobre a estimativa da variância residual, tal comportamento pode ser explicado pela incorporação da matriz de parentesco na estimação do componente de variância genético aditivo, possibilitando discriminar melhor a origem da diferenças entre variâncias. Na estrutura onde a variância residual foi heterogênea a estimativa de herdabilidade foi menor em relação à estrutura de homogeneidade de variâncias. Por outro lado, quando somente a variância genética aditiva foi heterogênea, a estimativa de herdabilidade, considerando-se apenas o estrato de alta variabilidade genética, foi inflacionada pela superestimação da variância genética aditiva. No entanto, a estimativa de herdabilidade obtida, desconsiderando essa fonte de heterogeneidade de variância, foi próxima à situação de homogeneidade de variância, indicando que, quando os reprodutores possuem boa distribuição de proles em diferentes ambientes, as estimativas relacionadas ao efeito genético são ponderadas pelo desempenho dos animais em cada ambiente. As correlações de Spearman e de Pearson entre os valores genéticos preditos dos reprodutores, para todas as situações, foram maiores que 0,90. O resultado indica que, mesmo havendo presença de heterogeneidade de variância genética e/ou ambiental, se os reprodutores possuem proles bem distribuídas entre os ambientes (estratos heterogêneos) a classificação do mérito genético não se altera, o que era esperado, pois em análises unicarácter, quando ocorre uma fonte de viés na avaliação genética, ela é comum a todos os indivíduos. Na situação em que foi imposta a estrutura de dados à presença de heterogeneidade de variância residual com número de número desigual de proles por reprodutor nos estratos, provocou superestimação dos componentes de variância. Porém mesmo havendo alteração na magnitude dos valores genéticos preditos para os reprodutores, a heterogeneidade de variância não alterou a classificação entre os reprodutores todas as correlações de ordem foram próximas à unidade. O efeito da heterogeneidade de variância, oriunda de fatores ambientais, ocasiona em maiores distorções sobre a avaliação genética animal, em relação, quando a mesma é proveniente de causas genéticas. A conexidade genética entre diferentes ambientes, dilui o efeito da heterogeneidade de variância, tanto de origem genética, quanto ambiental, na predição de valores genéticos dos reprodutores.

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Pós-graduação em Genética e Melhoramento Animal - FCAV

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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

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The present study investigated the osmotic dehydration (OD) of mangoes cv.Palmer, dehydrated in a sucrose solution with added ascorbic acid (AA), aiming toevaluate the influence of the process variables (sucrose concentration, AA concen-tration and time) on vitamin C, water, sugars and total phenolic compound (TPC)contents by way of an analysis of the effects and the variance of the factors. Thesucrose concentration did not affect the vitamin C content, but the AA concentra-tion in the solution and the process time exerted a positive influence on thisresponse. The addition of AA also presented a significant positive effect on theTPC contents because this vitamin interferes with the quantification of the TPC.On discounting the interferences, no losses of phenolic compounds were found.Impregnation with vitamin C during OD was shown to be effective in obtainingminimally processed mangoes with high nutritional value.

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Pós-graduação em Ciência e Tecnologia Animal - FEIS

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Adolescence has been proposed as an ontogenic period of vulnerability to stress. Nevertheless, the impact of stressful events during adolescence in cardiovascular activity is poorly understood. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to investigate the immediate and long-lasting effects of exposure to stressful events during adolescence in cardiovascular function of rats. To this end, we compared the impact of 10-days exposure to two chronic stress protocols: the repeated restraint stress (RRS, homotypic) and chronic variable stress (CVS, heterotypic). Independent groups of animals were tested 24 h (immediate) or three weeks (long-lasting) following completion of stress period. Exposure to CVS, but not RRS, during adolescence increased basal HR values without affecting arterial pressure, which was followed by augmented power of oscillatory component at low frequency (sympathetic-related) of the pulse interval (PI). RRS enhanced variance of the PI with an increase in the power of both low and high (parasympathetic-related) frequency components. RRS also increased the baroreflex gain. Neither RRS nor CVS affected systolic arterial pressure variability. The RRS-evoked changes in PI variability were long-lasting and persisted into adulthood while all alterations evoked by the CVS were reversed in adulthood. These findings indicate a stress type-specific influence in immediate and long-term effects of stress during adolescence in cardiovascular function. While immediate changes in cardiovascular function were mainly observed following CVS, long-lasting autonomic consequences in adulthood were observed only in animals exposed to RRS during adolescence.

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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

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In the present work the scattering of a fermion in the modified Hulthen potential is considered with a general vector and scalar and we solved the Dirac equation in the one-dimensional space. The transmission and reflection coefficients are reported. The bound-state solution is also given. The study shows the asymptotic behavior of the wave function in bound-state and scattering states solutions.

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The reverse Monte Carlo (RMC) method generates sets of points in space which yield radial distribution functions (RDFS) that approximate those of the system of interest. Such sets of configurations should, in principle, be sufficient to determine the structural properties of the system. In this work we apply the RMC technique to fluids of hard diatomic molecules. The experimental RDFs of the hard-dimer fluid were generated by the conventional MC method and used as input in the RMC simulations. Our results indicate that the RMC method is only satisfactory in determining the local structure of the fluid studied by means of only mono-variable RDF. Also we suggest that the use of multi-variable RDFs would improve the technique significantly. However, the accuracy of the method turned out to be very sensitive to the variance of the input experimental RDF. © 1995.

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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

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Antarctic fur seals (Arctocephalus gazella) in the South Shetland Islands are recovering from 19th-century exploitation more slowly than the main population at South Georgia. To document demographic changes associated with the recovery in the South Shetlands, we monitored fur seal abundance and reproduction in the vicinity of Elephant Island during austral summers from 1986/1987 through 1994/1995. Total births, mean and variance of birth dates, and average daily mortality rates were estimated from daily live pup counts at North Cove (NC) and North Annex (NA) colonies on Seal Island. Sightings of leopard seals (Hydrurga leptonyx) and incidents of leopard seal predation on fur seal pups were recorded opportunistically during daily fur seal research at both sites. High mortality of fur seal pups, attributed to predation by leopard seals frequently observed at NC, caused pup numbers to decline rapidly between January and March (i.e., prior to weaning) each year and probably caused a long-term decline in the size of that colony. The NA colony, where leopard seals were never observed, increased in size during the study. Pup mortality from causes other than leopard seal predation appeared to be similar at the two sites. The number of pups counted at four locations in the Elephant Island vicinity increased slowly, at an annual rate of 3.8%, compared to rates as high as 11% at other locations in the South Shetland Islands. Several lines of circumstantial evidence are consistent with the hypothesis that leopard seal predators limit the growth of the fur seal population in the Elephant Island area and perhaps in the broader population in the South Shetland Islands. The sustained growth of this fur seal population over many decades rules out certain predator–prey models, allowing inference about the interaction between leopard seals and fur seals even though it is less thoroughly studied than predator–prey systems of terrestrial vertebrates of the northern hemisphere. Top-down forces should be included in hypotheses for future research on the factors shaping the recovery of the fur seal population in the South Shetland Islands.

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Stage-structured models that integrate demography and dispersal can be used to identify points in the life cycle with large effects on rates of population spatial spread, information that is vital in the development of containment strategies for invasive species. Current challenges in the application of these tools include: (1) accounting for large uncertainty in model parameters, which may violate assumptions of ‘‘local’’ perturbation metrics such as sensitivities and elasticities, and (2) forecasting not only asymptotic rates of spatial spread, as is usually done, but also transient spatial dynamics in the early stages of invasion. We developed an invasion model for the Diaprepes root weevil (DRW; Diaprepes abbreviatus [Coleoptera: Curculionidae]), a generalist herbivore that has invaded citrus-growing regions of the United States. We synthesized data on DRW demography and dispersal and generated predictions for asymptotic and transient peak invasion speeds, accounting for parameter uncertainty. We quantified the contributions of each parameter toward invasion speed using a ‘‘global’’ perturbation analysis, and we contrasted parameter contributions during the transient and asymptotic phases. We found that the asymptotic invasion speed was 0.02–0.028 km/week, although the transient peak invasion speed (0.03– 0.045 km/week) was significantly greater. Both asymptotic and transient invasions speeds were most responsive to weevil dispersal distances. However, demographic parameters that had large effects on asymptotic speed (e.g., survival of early-instar larvae) had little effect on transient speed. Comparison of the global analysis with lower-level elasticities indicated that local perturbation analysis would have generated unreliable predictions for the responsiveness of invasion speed to underlying parameters. Observed range expansion in southern Florida (1992–2006) was significantly lower than the invasion speed predicted by the model. Possible causes of this mismatch include overestimation of dispersal distances, demographic rates, and spatiotemporal variation in parameter values. This study demonstrates that, when parameter uncertainty is large, as is often the case, global perturbation analyses are needed to identify which points in the life cycle should be targets of management. Our results also suggest that effective strategies for reducing spread during the asymptotic phase may have little effect during the transient phase. Includes Appendix.

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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)