Simulation in Third Cycle English Language Teaching

Many researchers have suggested simulation as a powerful tool to transpose the normal classroom into an authentic setting where language skills can be performed under more realistic conditions. This paper will outline the benefits of simulation in the classroom, provide additional topics to Third Cycle English Language National Syllabus to be discussed / simulated in the classroom and also provide two simulation lesson plans with samples for Capeverdean Third Cycle English Language Students.

Variable Kernel estimates: On the impossibility of tuning the parameters

For the standard kernel density estimate, it is known that one can tune the bandwidth such that the expected L1 error is within a constant factor of the optimal L1 error (obtained when one is allowed to choose the bandwidth with knowledge of the density). In this paper, we pose the same problem for variable bandwidth kernel estimates where the bandwidths are allowed to depend upon the location. We show in particular that for positive kernels on the real line, for any data-based bandwidth, there exists a densityfor which the ratio of expected L1 error over optimal L1 error tends to infinity. Thus, the problem of tuning the variable bandwidth in an optimal manner is ``too hard''. Moreover, from the class of counterexamples exhibited in the paper, it appears thatplacing conditions on the densities (monotonicity, convexity, smoothness) does not help.

Business cycle measurement with some theory

A method to evaluate cyclical models not requiring knowledge of the DGP and the exact specificationof the aggregate decision rules is proposed. We derive robust restrictions in a class of models; use someto identify structural shocks in the data and others to evaluate the class or contrast sub-models. Theapproach has good properties, even in small samples, and when the class of models is misspecified. Themethod is used to sort out the relevance of a certain friction (the presence of rule-of-thumb consumers)in a standard class of models.

Evolutionary genetics of arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi - causes and consequences of multiple genomes in Glomus intraradices

Résumé Les champignons endomycorhiziens arbusculaires (CEA) forment des symbioses avec la plupart des plantes terrestres. Les CEA influencent la croissance des plantes et la biodiversité. Ils sont supposés avoir évolué de manière asexuée pendant au moins 400 millions d'années et aucune diversification morphologique majeure n'a été constatée. Pour ces raisons, les CEA sont considérés comme d'anciens asexués. Très peu d'espèces sont connues actuellement. Les individus de ces champignons contiennent des noyaux génétiquement différents dans un cytoplasme continu. La signification évolutive, la variabilité et la maintenance des génomes multiples au sein des individus sont inconnues. Ce travail a démontré qu'une population du CEA Glomus intraradices est génétiquement très variable. Nous avons conclu que les plantes hôtes plutôt que la différenciation géographique devraient être responsables de cette grande diversité. Puis nous avons cherché l'existence de recombinaison entre génotypes dans une population. Nous avons détecté un groupe recombinant au sein de la population, ce qui met en doute l'état d'anciens asexués des CEA. Nous avons également détecté l'occurrence de fusions d'hyphes et l'échange de noyaux entre isolats génétiquement différents. La descendance hybride issue de cet échange était viable et distincte phénotypiquement des isolats parentaux. En résumé, ce travail identifie des événements cruciaux dans le cycle de vie des CEA qui ont le potentiel d'influencer l'évolution de génomes multiples. L'étude des conséquences de ces événements sur les interactions avec les plantes hôtes pourrait éclaircir significativement la compréhension de la symbiose entre plantes et CEA. Abstract Arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF) are important symbionts of most land plants. AMF influence plant growth and biodiversity. Very few extant species are described. AMF are thought to have evolved asexually for at least 400 million years and no major morphological diversification has occurred. Due to these reasons, they were termed `ancient asexuals'. Fungal individuals harbour genetically different nuclei in a continuous cytoplasm. The variability, maintenance and evolutionary significance of multiple genomes within individuals are unknown. This work showed that a population of the AMF Glomus intraradices harbours very high genetic diversity. We concluded that host plants rather than geographic differentiation were responsible for this diversity. Furthermore, we investigated whether recombination occurred among genotypes of a G. intraradices population. The identification of a core group of recombining genotypes in the population refutes the assumption of ancient asexuality in AMF. We found that genetically different isolates can form hyphal fusions and exchange nuclei. The hybrid progeny produced by the exchange was viable and phenotypically distinct from the parental isolates. Taken together, this work provided evidence for key events in the AMF life cycle, that influence the evolution of multiple genomes. Studying the consequences of these events on the interaction with host plants may significantly further the understanding of the AMF-plant symbiosis.

Relative price riddles in international business cycle theory: Are transport costs the explanation?

We study relative price behavior in an international business cyclemodel with specialization in production, in which a goods marketfriction is introduced through transport costs. The transporttechnology allows for flexible transport costs. We analyze whetherthis extension can account for the striking differences betweentheory and data as far as the moments of terms of trade and realexchange rates are concerned. We find that transport costs increaseboth the volatility of the terms of trade and the volatility of thereal exchange rate. However, unless the transport technology isspecified by a Leontief technology, transport costs do not resolvethe quantitative discrepancies between theory and data. Asurprising result is that transport costs may actually lower thepersistence of the real exchange rate, a finding that is in contrastto much of the emphasis of the empirical literature.

Dynamics of the control of Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti Linnaeus (Diptera, Culicidae) by Bacillus thuringiensis var israelensis, related with temperature, density and concentration of insecticide

The dynamics of the control of Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti Linnaeus, (Diptera, Culicidae) by Bacillus thuringiensis var israelensis has been related with the temperature, density and concentration of the insecticide. A mathematical model for biological control of Aedes aegypti with Bacillus thuringiensis var israelensis (Bti) was constructed by using data from the literature regarding the biology of the vector. The life cycle was described by differential equations. Lethal concentrations (LC50 and LC95) of Bti were determined in the laboratory under different experimental conditions. Temperature, colony, larvae density and bioinsecticide concentration presented marked differences in the analysis of the whole set of variables; although when analyzed individually, only the temperature and concentration showed changes. The simulations indicated an inverse relationship between temperature and mosquito population, nonetheless, faster growth of populations is reached at higher temperatures. As conclusion, the model suggests the use of integrated control strategies for immature and adult mosquitoes in order to achieve a reduction of Aedes aegypti.

Is lumpy investment really irrelevant for the business cycle?

New-Keynesian (NK) models can only account for the dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks if it is assumed that aggregate capital accumulation is much smoother than it would be the case under frictionless firm-level investment, as discussed in Woodford (2003, Ch. 5). We find that lumpy investment, when combined with price stickiness and market power of firms,can rationalize this assumption. Our main result is in stark contrast with the conclusions obtained by Thomas (2002) in the context of a real business cycle (RBC) model. We use our model to explain the economic mechanism behind this difference in the predictions of RBC and NK theory.

Disability, capacity for work and the business cycle: An international perspective

An important policy issue in recent years concerns the number of people claimingdisability benefits for reasons of incapacity for work. We distinguish between workdisability , which may have its roots in economic and social circumstances, and healthdisability which arises from clear diagnosed medical conditions. Although there is a linkbetween work and health disability, economic conditions, and in particular the businesscycle and variations in the risk of unemployment over time and across localities, mayplay an important part in explaining both the stock of disability benefit claimants andinflows to and outflow from that stock. We employ a variety of cross?country andcountry?specific household panel data sets, as well as administrative data, to testwhether disability benefit claims rise when unemployment is higher, and also toinvestigate the impact of unemployment rates on flows on and off the benefit rolls. Wefind strong evidence that local variations in unemployment have an importantexplanatory role for disability benefit receipt, with higher total enrolments, loweroutflows from rolls and, often, higher inflows into disability rolls in regions and periodsof above?average unemployment. Although general subjective measures of selfreporteddisability and longstanding illness are also positively associated withunemployment rates, inclusion of self?reported health measures does not eliminate thestatistical relationship between unemployment rates and disability benefit receipt;indeed including general measures of health often strengthens that underlyingrelationship. Intriguingly, we also find some evidence from the United Kingdom and theUnited States that the prevalence of self?reported objective specific indicators ofdisability are often pro?cyclical that is, the incidence of specific forms of disability arepro?cyclical whereas claims for disability benefits given specific health conditions arecounter?cyclical. Overall, the analysis suggests that, for a range of countries and datasets, levels of claims for disability benefits are not simply related to changes in theincidence of health disability in the population and are strongly influenced by prevailingeconomic conditions. We discuss the policy implications of these various findings.