Productivity, demand and the home market effect

The causality between international trade and industrialization is still ambiguous. We consider a model of international trade with the Home Market Effect - with differences in income and productivity between sectors and between countries - in order to identify additional channels for determining the effects of international trade on industrialization. Introducing non-homothetic preferences and differences in productivity aids in the interpretation of any apparent paradoxes within international trade, such as the commercial relations between more populated countries like China and India and large economies such as the U.S. Population size, demand composition and productivity levels constitute the three main channels for determining the effects of international trade. Interactions among these channels define the results obtained in terms of industrialization, while welfare levels are always higher in relation to autarky.

Inflation dynamics in the new EU member states: how relevant are external factors?

In this paper we evaluate the relative influence of external versus domestic inflation drivers in the 12 new European Union (EU) member countries. Our empirical analysis is based on the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) derived in Galí and Monacelli (2005) for small open economies (SOE). Employing the generalized method of moments (GMM), we find that the SOE NKPC is well supported in the new EU member states. We also find that the inflation process is dominated by domestic variables in the larger countries of our sample, whereas external variables are mostly relevant in the smaller countries.

The persistence of distance: a gravity model of European cross-border real estate development flows

Purpose – This paper aims to investigate the scale and drivers of cross-border real estate development in Western Europe and Central and Eastern Europe. Design/methodology/approach – Placing cross-border real estate development within the framework of foreign direct investment (FDI), conceptual complexities in characterizing the notional real estate developer are emphasized. Drawing upon a transaction database, this paper proxies cross-border real estate development flows with asset sales by developers. Findings – Much higher levels of market penetration by international real estate developers are found in the less mature markets of Central and Eastern Europe. Analysis suggests a complex range of determinants with physical distance remaining a consistent barrier to cross-border development flows. Originality/value – This analysis adds significant value in terms of understanding cross-border real estate development flows. In this study, a detailed examination of the issues based on a rigorous empirical analysis through gravity modelling is offered. The gravity framework is one of the most confirmed empirical regularities in international economics and commonly applied to trade, FDI, migration, foreign portfolio investment inter alia. This paper assesses the extent to which it provides useful insights into the pattern of cross-border real estate development flows.

European economic integration

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the recent trend in European economic affairs - the desire for integration. These plans and proposals were an expression of the need in the post war era for economic planning on a regional scale. It was in this respect that Europe experimented in a new approach to international economics.

Impacto de entrada da Venezuela no Mercosul: uma simulação com modelo de equilíbrio geral computável

O Objetivo deste Estudo é Avaliar os Impactos da Entrada da Venezuela no Mercosul Utilizando para Tanto o Modelo de Equilíbrio Geral Computável Multi-Setorial e Multi-Regional Denominado Global Trade Analysis Project (Gtap). Além da Introdução, o Estudo Está Dividido em Outras 5 Seções. na Seção 2, são Analisados os Documentos Mais Relevantes Assinados Pelos Estados-Parte, Ressaltando a Relativa Rapidez da Assinatura do Acordo de Adesão da Venezuela ao Bloco; na Seção 3, Descreve-Se o Estado Atual do Fluxo de Comércio entre Venezuela e Mercosul, Assim como as Condições de Acesso a Mercados, Ressaltando a Importância da Venezuela para o Mercosul e a Proteção Ligeiramente Maior Aplicada Pela Economia Venezuelana Quando Comparada com a do Mercosul. na Seção Seguinte, Descrevem-Se os Choques Tarifários Implementados em Três Simulações, Representativas da Adesão da Venezuela ao Mercosul, Além de Hipóteses de Fechamento do Modelo. na Seção 5, os Resultados da Simulação são Apresentados e Discutidos. Sinteticamente, Chama-Se À Atenção para o Aumento de Bem Estar nos Países Envolvidos e o Significativo Impacto Setorial, Especialmente nos Setores de Automóveis, Máquinas e Equipamentos e Têxteis e Vestuário. uma Última Seção Sumaria as Principais Conclusões do Trabalho.

A competitividade internacional de firmas transnacionais na nova geografia econômica das nações em processo de integração político-econômica regional: uma análise longitudinal de empresas globais em macrorregiões supranacionais

Devido ao fenômeno da globalização, alguns aspectos em Economia Internacional e Política têm sido amplamente debatidos entre os estudiosos de Negócios Internacionais, dada a extensão do seu impacto sobre a competitividade operacional e estratégica das empresas multinacionais. Em conjunto com a realidade mais regional da maioria dos acordos preferenciais de comércio e de investimentos – que promovem uma integração regional mais profunda dos mercados, ao contrário do teórico mercado "global" – as abordagens teóricas mais globalizantes em estratégia de negócios internacionais têm sido mais questionadas. Enquanto alguns estudiosos, como Pankaj Ghemawat, (2007), propõem abordagens para a chamada "semi-globalização"; outros, por exemplo, com Alan Rugman e Alain Verbeke (inter alias 2004, 2007), por outro lado, defendem abordagens regionalistas mais restritas em negócios internacionais e estratégia de empresas internacionais. Tais posições sobre o desempenho das empresas transnacionais, no entanto, não foram amplamente testadas, deixando, assim, outras questões relevantes sem soluções. Assim sendo, identificou-se um espaço na literatura quanto à questão de as regiões – em vez de países individualmente considerados – serem ou não relevantes ao desempenho global das empresas multinacionais e em que medida. Nesse sentido, foi utilizada uma metodologia quantitativa longitudinal a fim de avaliar a evidência histórica da repercussão de presença em regiões selecionadas e/ou países sobre o desempenho das empresas transnacionais. Foram coletados dados no Compustat Global (2009) com vistas a uma análise econométrica de dados em painel. Nossos resultados consistem, brevemente, em três aspectos. Em primeiro lugar, quando ambas as variáveis (país e região) são simultaneamente consideradas influentes sobre o desempenho, existe significância estatística. Em segundo lugar, ao contrastar ambas as variáveis (país e região) entre si, em relação ao maior nível de impacto no desempenho, ainda que tenhamos encontrado relevância estatística para os países individualmente considerados, suspeitou-se de algum problema nos dados brutos. Em terceiro lugar, ao assumir uma correlação positiva entre o desempenho da empresa multinacional e do número de regiões geográficas onde essas corporações possuem operações significativas, foi encontrada significância estatística. Nossa conclusão, portanto, consiste no fato de que, dado que a maioria dos países são signatários de pelo menos um acordo de integração regional, as regiões devem ser o foco principal dos negócios internacionais e estratégia corporativa internacional, tanto nos propósitos teóricos (tendo em vista as conclusões desta pesquisa e a literatura sobre o assunto), quanto nos aspectos práticos (em vez de da customização da gestão e da estratégia para cada país individual).

Vacina contra doença holandesa

O objetivo destas Notas é resenhar o atual debate sobre a inserção da economia brasileira no contexto mundial, particularmente, se o Brasil pode se prevenir do risco de enfrentar a chamada “doença holandesa”. Há debate inconcluso a respeito do seu diagnóstico. Alguns economistas acham que ela já está apresentando seus sintomas através da apreciação excessiva da moeda nacional e redução relativa dos empregos industriais. Outros opinam que ela, de fato, atacará em longo prazo, quando a exportação do petróleo extraído do pré-sal estiver em pleno ritmo. Iniciaremos esboçando o contexto vivenciado e o cenário esperado. Em seguida, exercitaremos a Economia Positiva, ou seja, apresentaremos as posições em debate sobre o que é. Finalizaremos com Economia Normativa, isto é, as propostas sobre o que deve ser.

Multinationals and Exports in a Large and Protected Developing Country

This paper examines an industry-level model developed to analyze the impact of affiliates of multinational firms (MNFs) on the host country's revealed comparative advantages (RCAs), which predicts that the referred impact is given by both technology service and industry orientation. Based on Brazilian manufacturing industries during the import-substitution industrialization, panel data estimates show that MNFs negatively affected RCA, which is explained by location advantages in industries presenting comparative disadvantages, as reinforced by a location model. Two other important results are: (i) import protection had a stronger anti-export effect on multinationals than on national firms; (ii) MNFs were concentrated in industries with lower world-export growth.

The economic development of Latin America in the twentieth century

Includes bibliography

Taxa de câmbio: uma abordagem integrada - teoria e história econômica

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

British Monetary Sovereignty: A Cultural Analysis

In this thesis, I will document and analyze historical aspects of the British debate over adopting a common currency with the European Community primarily during the last half of the twentieth century until the present. More specifically, while on the surface such a decision would seem to turn on economic or political considerations, I will show that this historic British decision not to surrender their pound sterling in exchange for the euro was rooted in the nation's cultural identity. During this decades long British debate over the euro, two opposing, but strongly held, positions developed; one side believed that Britain had a compelling interest in bonding with the rest of Europe economically as well as politically, the other side believed that Britain's independent heritage was deeply rooted in many of its traditions including maintaining control of its own monetary matters, which included keeping its pound sterling. As part of this thesis, I have conducted interviews with business leaders, economists, and social scientists as well as researched public records in order to assess many of the arguments favoring and opposing Britain's adoption of the euro. Many Britons strongly believed that it was time to join other Europeans, who were willing to sacrifice their sovereign currency to a bold common currency experiment, while other Britons viewed the pound sterling as too integral a part of British heritage to abandon. Ultimately, British leaders and citizens had to determine whether such a currency tradeoff would be worth it to them as a nation. It was a gamble that twelve other nations (at the time of the euro's 2002 launch) were ready to take, optimistically calculating that easier credit and reduced exchange transaction costs would lead to greater economic prosperity. Many asserted that only with ! ! such a united European monetary coalition would Europe's nations be able to compete trade-wise with powerful economic nations like the United States and China. My conclusion is that Britain's refusal to join the euro was a decision that had less to do with economic opportunity or political motivations and much more to do with how the British people viewed themselves culturally and their identity as an independent nation.

Challenges of the Cooperative Movement In Addressing Issues of Human Security In the Context of a Neoliberal World: the Case of Argentina

The response of some Argentine workers to the 2001 crisis of neoliberalism gave rise to a movement of worker-recovered enterprises (empresas recuperadas por sus trabajadores or ERTs). The ERTs have emerged as former employees took over the control of generally fraudulently bankrupt factories and enterprises. The analysis of the ERT movement within the neoliberal global capitalist order will draw from William Robinson’s (2004) neo-Gramscian concept of hegemony. The theoretical framework of neo-Gramscian hegemony will be used in exposing the contradictions of capitalism on the global, national, organizational and individual scales and the effects they have on the ERT movement. The ERT movement has demonstrated strong level of resilience, despite the numerous economic, social, political and cultural challenges and limitations it faces as a consequence of the implementation of neoliberalism globally. ERTs have shown that through non-violent protests, democratic principles of management and social inclusion, it is possible to start constructing an alternative social order that is based on the cooperative principles of “honesty, openness, social responsibility and caring for others” (ICA 2007) as opposed to secrecy, exclusiveness, individualism and self-interestedness. In order to meet this “utopian” vision, it is essential to push the limits of the possible within the current social order and broaden the alliance to include the organized members of the working class, such as the members of trade unions, and the unorganized, such as the unemployed and underemployed. Though marginal in number and size, the members of ERTs have given rise to a model that is worth exploring in other countries and regions burdened by the contradictory workings of capitalism. Today, ERTs serve as living proofs that workers too are capable of successfully running businesses, not capitalists alone.