FWS/0BS.

82/20

FWS/0BS.

77/16.3

FWS/0BS.

78/80

FWS/0BS.

85(7.2)

Epidemiological study of bancroftian filariasis in Recife, Northeastern Brazil

Wuchereria bancrofti in Pernambuco was first documented in 1952 (Azevedo & Dobbin 1952), and since then it has been reported in surveys carried out in selected areas of Recife. Several surveys were carried out from 1981 to 1991 by SUCAM. In the 1985 SUCAM's report the disease is considered under control. The CPqAM Filariasis Research Program was established in 1985 and a filarial survey was carried out in the town of Olinda, Greater Recife. In order to verify the real epidemiological situation, a study was conducted in the city of Recife. 21/36 of the Special Zones of Social Interest (ZEIS), were randomly selected for the present study. From 10,664 persons screened, 683 were positive and the prevalence rate for microfilaraemia (mf) varied from 0.6% to 14.9%. A mean mf prevalence of 6.5%, showed that the infection occurs in a wide geographic distribution in Greater Recife and that the intensity of transmission is a real and potential threat to public health in affected communities. Mf rate among males and females differed significantly. Due to the rapid increase in population, unplanned urban settlements, poor sanitary facilities and the favorable geographical conditions to the development of the vector, filariasis may actually be increasing in Recife.

Estudio del ecosistema urbano de San José. Protocolo de monitoreo de aves y naturalización del Parque La Sabana

El papel de la ciudad en el futuro de la humanidad será transcendente, y es que el crecimiento actual de los espacios urbanos tiende, en general, a desbordar el sitio original de las ciudades, abarcando territorios cada vez más extensos y discontinuos. Y por este motivo es de vital importancia el estudio de la ciudad y de su entorno, el cual es sinónimo de ecosistema urbano. En el siguiente estudio se evalúa el ecosistema urbano de San José, capital de Costa Rica, dando énfasis en las zonas verdes presentes, en las relaciones con los ecosistemas naturales circundantes y como mejorar su capacidad ecológica. Por este motivo se ha analizado un proceso de rearborización en el Parque Metropolitano La Sabana, principal nódulo de carga de la trama urbana. Este esfuerzo de naturación dotará al parque de una mayor naturalización, con lo que se espera un aumento de la biodiversidad faunística. Para conocer estos cambios se crea un programa de monitoreo de aves con su respectivo protocolo.

Cutting artefacts and cutting process in vitreous sections for cryo-electron microscopy.

Cryo-electron microscopy of vitreous sections (CEMOVIS) has recently been shown to provide images of biological specimens with unprecedented quality and resolution. Cutting the sections remains however the major difficulty. Here, we examine the parameters influencing the quality of the sections and analyse the resulting artefacts. They are in particular: knife marks, compression, crevasses, and chatter. We propose a model taking into account the interplay between viscous flow and fracture. We confirm that crevasses are formed on only one side of the section, and define conditions by which they can be avoided. Chatter is an effect of irregular compression due to friction of the section of the knife edge and conditions to prevent this are also explored. In absence of crevasses and chatter, the bulk of the section is compressed approximately homogeneously. Within this approximation, it is possible to correct for compression by a simple linear transformation for the bulk of the section. A research program is proposed to test and refine our understanding of the sectioning process.

Surgical menopause increases salt sensitivity of blood pressure

Salt sensitivity of blood pressure is associated with an elevated risk of developing hypertension (HTN) and is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease. The prevalence of HTN increases after menopause. The aim of this study was to investigate prospectively whether the loss of ovarian hormones increases the occurrence of salt sensitivity among healthy premenopausal women. We enrolled 40 normotensive, nondiabetic women (age 47.2+/-3.5), undergoing hysterectomy-oophorectomy for nonneoplastic processes and not on hormone replacement, to determine the effect of changes in sodium intake on blood pressure the day before and subsequently 4 months after surgical menopause. Salt loading was achieved using a 2-L normal saline infusion and salt depletion produced by 40 mg of intravenous furosemide. A decrease >10 mm Hg in systolic blood pressure between salt loading and salt depletion was used to define salt sensitivity. Before and after menopause, salt-sensitive women exhibited higher waist/hip and waist/thigh ratios (P<0.01). Although all of the women remained normotensive, the prevalence of salt sensitivity was significantly higher after surgical menopause (21 women; 52.5%) than before (9 women; 22.5%; P=0.01), because 12 (38.7%) salt-resistant women developed salt sensitivity after menopause. In summary, we demonstrated that the prevalence of salt sensitivity doubled as early as 4 months after surgical menopause, without an associated increase in blood pressure. Epidemiological studies indicate that development of HTN may not occur until 5 to 10 years after menopause. The loss of ovarian hormones may unmask a population of women prone to salt sensitivity who, with aging, would be at higher risk for the subsequent development of HTN and cardiovascular disease.

Assessing key safety concerns of a Wolbachia-based strategy to control dengue transmission by Aedes mosquitoes

Mosquito-borne diseases such as dengue fever, chikungunya or malaria affect millions of people each year and control solutions are urgently needed. An international research program is currently being developed that relies on the introduction of the bacterial endosymbiont Wolbachia pipientis into Aedes aegypti to control dengue transmission. In order to prepare for open-field testing releases of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes, an intensive social research and community engagement program was undertaken in Cairns, Northern Australia. The most common concern expressed by the diverse range of community members and stakeholders surveyed was the necessity of assuring the safety of the proposed approach for humans, animals and the environment. To address these concerns a series of safety experiments were undertaken. We report in this paper on the experimental data obtained, discuss the limitations of experimental risk assessment and focus on the necessity of including community concerns in scientific research.

Ambiente favorável ao desenvolvimento de inovações e cultura organizacional: integração de duas perspectivas de análise

O objetivo neste trabalho foi propor uma perspectiva de análise do ambiente propício à inovação com a incorporação da variável cultura organizacional. A base da análise recai sobre a adaptação da metodologia proposta por Van de Ven, Angle e Poole (2000). A contribuição proposta neste trabalho situa-se na adaptação da metodologia, retirando o foco do processo de inovação para o ambiente de inovação. Para que fosse contemplado todo o ambiente, foi necessária a inclusão de uma análise dos comportamentos coletivos organizacionais. Incorporaram-se questões que envolvem aspectos relacionados com a cultura organizacional, sob a perspectiva dos estudos de Bates et al. (1995). O questionário proposto pelo Minnesota Innovation Research Program (MIRP), com 45 questões adaptadas para o levantamento do ambiente de inovação, foi aplicado a 349 empregados de uma empresa de grande porte do setor metal-mecânico. Com a técnica de modelagem de equações estruturais (MEE), testou-se o modelo apresentado pelo MIRP, considerando as dimensões externas e internas ao grupo de inovação e os resultados decorrentes do ambiente de inovação. Em um segundo momento, um novo teste com a incorporação da variável cultura organizacional foi realizado. Os resultados apontaram que o segundo teste obteve um melhor ajuste, em torno de 27%, indicando que a variável impactou o resultado da modelagem. Convém ressaltar que o construto apresentado foi baseado em um levantamento teórico e para sua validação necessita de gama maior de resultados empíricos.

Ambiente favorável ao desenvolvimento de inovações: proposição de um modelo de análise organizacional

A metodologia desenvolvida pelo Minnesota Innovation Research Program para avaliação dos processos de inovação, denominada Minnesota Innovation Survey (MIS) serviu de base para a proposição de um modelo de análise de ambiente propício ao desenvolvimento de inovações. A necessidade da proposição de um novo modelo surgiu a partir da observação dos resultados de pesquisas que utilizaram a mesma metodologia, em que questões e dimensões se apresentavam altamente correlacionadas, gerando redundância de medição de construtos e pouca precisão nos resultados. Com isso buscou-se, por meio de embasamento teórico e estatística multivariada, reduzir o número de construtos afins no intuito de evitar a multicolinearidade e os resultados dúbios. A metodologia utilizada para o desenvolvimento do modelo proposto caracteriza-se como descritiva com método quantitativo. Foram aplicados questionários da metodologia MIS a 349 empregados de uma empresa metal mecânica. A aplicação do modelo original obedeceu a todos os passos prescritos, mostrando a aderência por meio de modelagem de equações estruturais. Como resultado verificou-se que a redução de dados proveniente dos testes estatísticos impactou significantes alterações na metodologia de base, caracterizando o surgimento de uma nova metodologia de análise pela diminuição de 70% dos dados multivariados. Conclui-se que a nova metodologia, apesar de eliminar 65 questões do instrumento de coleta de dados, não reduz seu poder de explicação e eficácia quanto às relações dos ambientes organizacionais com os resultados da inovação. Em termos de execução de pesquisa, o novo modelo facilita a coleta de dados, minimiza a dispersão do respondente no momento do preenchimento do questionário, aumentando a confiabilidade dos dados, fornece informações acuradas sobre o ambiente inovador e garante robustez de análise. Empresas podem beneficiar-se desse instrumento de pesquisa por ser de fácil aplicação, entendimento e análise.

Markers of atherosclerosis and of inflammation for prediction of coronary heart disease in older adults

BACKGROUND: Several markers of atherosclerosis and of inflammation have been shown to predict coronary heart disease (CHD) individually. However, the utility of markers of atherosclerosis and of inflammation on prediction of CHD over traditional risk factors has not been well established, especially in the elderly. METHODS: We studied 2202 men and women, aged 70-79, without baseline cardiovascular disease over 6-year follow-up to assess the risk of incident CHD associated with baseline noninvasive measures of atherosclerosis (ankle-arm index [AAI], aortic pulse wave velocity [aPWV]) and inflammatory markers (interleukin-6 [IL-6], C-reactive protein [CRP], tumor necrosis factor-a [TNF-a]). CHD events were studied as either nonfatal myocardial infarction or coronary death ("hard" events), and "hard" events plus hospitalization for angina, or the need for coronary-revascularization procedures (total CHD events). RESULTS: During the 6-year follow-up, 283 participants had CHD events (including 136 "hard" events). IL-6, TNF-a and AAI independently predicted CHD events above Framingham Risk Score (FRS) with hazard ratios [HR] for the highest as compared with the lowest quartile for IL-6 of 1.95 (95%CI: 1.38-2.75, p for trend<0.001), TNF-a of 1.45 (95%CI: 1.04-2.02, p for trend 0.03), of 1.66 (95%CI: 1.19-2.31) for AAI £0.9, as compared to AAI 1.01-1.30. CRP and aPWV were not independently associated with CHD events. Results were similar for "hard" CHD events. Addition of IL-6 and AAI to traditional cardiovascular risk factors yielded the greatest improvement in the prediction of CHD; C-index for "hard"/total CHD events increased from 0.62/0.62 for traditional risk factors to 0.64/0.64 for IL-6 addition, 0.65/0.63 for AAI, and 0.66/0.64 for IL-6 combined with AAI. Being in the highest quartile of IL-6 combined with an AAI £ 0.90 or >1.40 yielded an HR of 2.51 (1.50-4.19) and 4.55 (1.65-12.50) above FRS, respectively. With use of CHD risk categories, risk prediction at 5 years was more accurate in models that included IL-6, AAI or both, with 8.0, 8.3 and 12.1% correctly reclassified respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults, markers of atherosclerosis and of inflammation, particularly IL-6 and AAI, are independently associated with CHD. However, these markers only modestly improve cardiovascular risk prediction beyond traditional risk factors. Acknowledgments: This study was supported by Contracts NO1-AG-6-2101, NO1-AG-6- 2103, and NO1-AG-6-2106 of the National Institute on Aging. This research was supported in part by the Intramural Research Program of the NIH, National Institute on Aging.

Defining the Attributes of Good In-Service Portland Cement Concrete Pavements, December 2004

Much of the current research in portland cement concrete (PCC) pavements deals with the analysis of early pavement life failures and seeks to find ways to prevent those from reoccurring. The Long Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) portion of the Strategic Highway Research Program (SHRP) has identified some of the key factors in designing and building new PCC pavements. This statement will build on the Iowa Highway Research Board (IHRB) project TR-463, Field Performance Study of Past Iowa Pavement Research: A Look Back. In Iowa and across the nation, there are multiple pavements that were built more than 20 years ago that have been and are continuing to provide very good service to the public. They are found on both state and local routes and in both low and high traffic volume areas. There is a need to learn what went into those pavements, from the subgrade through the surface, that makes them perform so well. The purpose of this research project was to conduct a scoping study that could be used to evaluate the need for additional research to study the attributes of well-performing concrete pavements. The concept of zero-maintenance jointed plain concrete pavements” was iterated in this study for long-lasting, well-performing portland cement concrete pavement sections. The scope of the study was limited to a brief literature survey, pavement performance data collection from many counties, cities, and primary and interstate roads in Iowa, field visits to many selected pavement sites, and analysis of the collected data. No laboratory orfield testing was conducted for this phase of the project. A problem statement with a research plan was created that could be used to guide the second phase of the project.

Comparación de los impactos ambientales y aspectos socioeconómicos de las cadenas de producción de anchoveta

Se presentan los primeros resultados del programa de investigación comparativo sobre las tres flotas pesqueras dedicadas a la extracción de anchoveta en el mar peruano (industrial de acero, industrial de madera y artesanal), así como sus cadenas de suministro hasta el abastecimiento del consumidor. El presente trabajo tiene por objetivo estudiar la sostenibilidad de las actividades involucradas en el suministro de proteínas, considerándose los impactos ambientales y los aspectos socio-económicos. Se realizó un esquema simple de un ecosistema pelágico de afloramiento y de los principales flujos de materia y energía, producto de la explotación humana. El esquema representa la situación peruana y muestra el alto nivel de antropización del sistema, debido al uso de energías fósiles, así como a la explotación y transformación tecnológica de recursos naturales terrestres (minerales, madera, etc.). Por otro lado, se muestra que la explotación del ecosistema marino peruano tiene repercusiones sobre el resto del planeta, debido a la exportación de harina y aceite de pescado destinados principalmente a actividades acuícolas. La flota anchovetera peruana se caracteriza por un amplio rango de tamaño de embarcaciones (de 2 a 600 t de capacidad de bodega); las de tamaño intermedio (30-100 t) son las más numerosas, pero las más grandes (>300 t) son las que acumulan el mayor poder de pesca. Los análisis sobre precios y distribución de la renta entre tripulantes y armadores muestran que, a pesar de que la mayor pesca de anchoveta es realizada por la flota industrial de acero, dedicada a la producción de harina y aceite de pescado y que tiene mayor eficiencia de captura por tripulante, la contribución de la pesca industrial de madera es significativa, pues genera mayor empleo por tonelada capturada y, posiblemente, no ocasiona mayor uso de energía. La pesca artesanal de anchoveta es la menos eficiente energéticamente y por tripulante, pero genera mucho más empleo por tonelada capturada; esta pesca representa menos del 3% de la producción total, del cual sólo una fracción va al consumo humano directo (CHD). Desde el año 2000, los precios de harina y aceite de pescado en los mercados internacionales se han incrementado, debido al aumento de la demanda asiática y al precio del combustible. Se debe estudiar en qué medida este aumento desfavorece el consumo interno de estos productos, así como el uso de anchoveta para CHD. Este análisis deberá ser validado y complementado con información de impacto ambiental; y podrían contribuir a la toma de decisión participativa, para un balance óptimo entre los tres segmentos de la flota y las cadenas de producción asociadas.

The new Keynesian approach to monetary policy analysis: Lessons and new directions

I discuss several lessons regarding the design and conduct of monetary policy that have emerged out of the New Keynesian research program. Those lessons include the bene.ts of price stability, the gains from commitment about future policies, the importance of nat-ural variables as benchmarks for policy, and the bene.ts of a credible anti-inflationary stance. I also point to one challenge facing NK modelling efforts: the need to come up with relevant sources of policy tradeoffs. A potentially useful approach to meeting that challenge, based on the introduction of real imperfections, is presented.