Predicting Adverse Events in Children with Fever and Chemotherapy-Induced Neutropenia. Results of the Prospective Multicenter SPOG 2003 FN Study

PURPOSE To develop a score predicting the risk of adverse events (AEs) in pediatric patients with cancer who experience fever and neutropenia (FN) and to evaluate its performance. PATIENTS AND METHODS Pediatric patients with cancer presenting with FN induced by nonmyeloablative chemotherapy were observed in a prospective multicenter study. A score predicting the risk of future AEs (ie, serious medical complication, microbiologically defined infection, radiologically confirmed pneumonia) was developed from a multivariate mixed logistic regression model. Its cross-validated predictive performance was compared with that of published risk prediction rules. Results An AE was reported in 122 (29%) of 423 FN episodes. In 57 episodes (13%), the first AE was known only after reassessment after 8 to 24 hours of inpatient management. Predicting AE at reassessment was better than prediction at presentation with FN. A differential leukocyte count did not increase the predictive performance. The score predicting future AE in 358 episodes without known AE at reassessment used the following four variables: preceding chemotherapy more intensive than acute lymphoblastic leukemia maintenance (weight = 4), hemoglobin > or = 90 g/L (weight = 5), leukocyte count less than 0.3 G/L (weight = 3), and platelet count less than 50 G/L (weight = 3). A score (sum of weights) > or = 9 predicted future AEs. The cross-validated performance of this score exceeded the performance of published risk prediction rules. At an overall sensitivity of 92%, 35% of the episodes were classified as low risk, with a specificity of 45% and a negative predictive value of 93%. CONCLUSION This score, based on four routinely accessible characteristics, accurately identifies pediatric patients with cancer with FN at risk for AEs after reassessment.

Predicting stroke through genetic risk functions: the CHARGE Risk Score Project.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Beyond the Framingham Stroke Risk Score, prediction of future stroke may improve with a genetic risk score (GRS) based on single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with stroke and its risk factors. METHODS: The study includes 4 population-based cohorts with 2047 first incident strokes from 22,720 initially stroke-free European origin participants aged ≥55 years, who were followed for up to 20 years. GRSs were constructed with 324 single-nucleotide polymorphisms implicated in stroke and 9 risk factors. The association of the GRS to first incident stroke was tested using Cox regression; the GRS predictive properties were assessed with area under the curve statistics comparing the GRS with age and sex, Framingham Stroke Risk Score models, and reclassification statistics. These analyses were performed per cohort and in a meta-analysis of pooled data. Replication was sought in a case-control study of ischemic stroke. RESULTS: In the meta-analysis, adding the GRS to the Framingham Stroke Risk Score, age and sex model resulted in a significant improvement in discrimination (all stroke: Δjoint area under the curve=0.016, P=2.3×10(-6); ischemic stroke: Δjoint area under the curve=0.021, P=3.7×10(-7)), although the overall area under the curve remained low. In all the studies, there was a highly significantly improved net reclassification index (P<10(-4)). CONCLUSIONS: The single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with stroke and its risk factors result only in a small improvement in prediction of future stroke compared with the classical epidemiological risk factors for stroke.

Predicting root defence against herbivores during succession

P>1. Root herbivores and pathogens interfere with basic below-ground plant function, and can thereby affect plant fitness and spatial and temporal patterns in natural plant communities. However, there has been little development of concepts and theories on below-ground plant defence, a deficit that is in contrast to the abundance of theorizing for above-ground plant parts.2. A review of the past 10 years of research on below-ground plant-herbivore interactions has revealed that, similar to above-ground tissues, root defences can be expressed constitutively or induced upon herbivore attack, and can be classified into direct and indirect traits, tolerance, and escape. Indeed, it has been shown that roots tolerate herbivory by outgrowing or re-growing lost tissues, or resist it by producing secondary metabolites that are toxic to herbivores or attract natural enemies of herbivores.3. We propose that, similar to above-ground plant-herbivore theories, the partition of abiotic and biotic factors over ecological succession can serve as the basis for predicting investment in defence strategies below-ground.4. Investigation of herbivore pressure and root responses along primary and secondary successional gradients suggests that: (i) roots are often fast growing, thinner and softer in early compared to later succession. (ii) Insect and nematode herbivore pressure increases until mid-succession and later decreases. (iii) Mycorrhizal abundance increases with succession, and the composition of fungal species changes through succession, often shifting from arbuscular mycorrhizae to ecto-mycorrhizae.5. Based on these findings, and on classical (above-ground) plant defence theory, we suggest the following set of testable hypotheses for below-ground plant defence: (i) During succession, early plants invest most of their resources in growth and less in defences (associated with a general lack of herbivores and pathogens, and with limited availability of resources in the system), therefore relying more on re-growth (tolerance) strategies. (ii) During mid-succession, a buildup of herbivore pressure facilitates replacement by plant species that exhibit greater direct and indirect defence strategies. (iii) Constitutive and inducible levels of defences may trade-off, and early successional plants should rely more on induction of defences after herbivore attack, whereas late successional plants will increasingly rely on constitutively produced levels of physical and chemical defence. (iv) Successional changes in microbial associations have consequences for root defence by improving plant nutrition and defence expression as well as directly competing for root space; however, toxic or impenetrable root defences may also limit association with root symbionts, and so may constrain the expression of root defence.

Multivalent display of the antimicrobial peptides BP100 and BP143

Carbohydrates are considered as promising templates for the display of multiple copies of antimicrobial peptides. Herein, wedescribe the design and synthesis of chimeric structures containing two or four copies of the antimicrobial peptidesKKLFKKILKYL-NH2 (BP100) and KKLfKKILKYL-NH2 (BP143) attached to the carbohydrate template cyclodithioerythritol(cDTE) or α-D-galactopyranoside (Galp). The synthesis involved the preparation of the corresponding peptide aldehyde followedby coupling to an aminooxy-functionalized carbohydrate template. After purification, the multivalent display systems were obtainedin high purities (90–98%) and in good yields (42–64%). These compounds were tested against plant and human pathogenic bacteriaand screened for their cytotoxicity on eukaryotic cells. They showed lower MIC values than the parent peptides against the bacteriaanalyzed. In particular, the carbopeptides derived from cDTE and Galp, which contained two or four copies of BP100, respectively,were 2- to 8-fold more active than the monomeric peptide against the phytopathogenic bacteria. These results suggest thatpreassembling antimicrobial peptides to multimeric structures is not always associated with a significant improvement of theactivity. In contrast, the carbopeptides synthesized were active against human red blood cells pointing out that peptide preassemblyis critical for the hemolytic activity. Notably, peptide preassembly resulted in an enhanced bactericidal effect

The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and copeptin for predicting survival in ventilator-associated pneumonia.

INTRODUCTION: Ventilator-associated pneumonia remains the most common nosocomial infection in the critically ill and contributes to significant morbidity. Eventual decisions regarding withdrawal or maximal therapy are demanding and rely on physicians' experience. Additional objective tools for risk assessment may improve medical judgement. Copeptin, reflecting vasopressin release, as well as the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, reflecting the individual degree of organ dysfunction, might qualify for survival prediction in ventilator-associated pneumonia. We investigated the predictive value of the SOFA score and copeptin in ventilator-associated pneumonia. METHODS: One hundred one patients with ventilator-associated pneumonia were prospectively assessed. Death within 28 days after ventilator-associated pneumonia onset was the primary end point. RESULTS: The SOFA score and the copeptin levels at ventilator-associated pneumonia onset were significantly elevated in nonsurvivors (P = .002 and P = .017, respectively). Both markers had different time courses in survivors and nonsurvivors (P < .001 and P = .006). Mean SOFA (average SOFA of 10 days after VAP onset) was superior in predicting 28-day survival as compared with SOFA and copeptin at ventilator-associated pneumonia onset (area under the curve, 0.90 vs 0.73 and 0.67, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The predictive value of serial-measured SOFA significantly exceeds those of single SOFA and copeptin measurements. Serial SOFA scores accurately predict outcome in ventilator-associated pneumonia.

Predicting the potential for lightning activity in mediterranean storms based on the WRF model dynamic and microphysical fields

A new parameter is introduced: the lightning potential index (LPI), which is a measure of the potential for charge generation and separation that leads to lightning flashes in convective thunderstorms. The LPI is calculated within the charge separation region of clouds between 0 C and 20 C, where the noninductive mechanism involving collisions of ice and graupel particles in the presence of supercooled water is most effective. As shown in several case studies using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with explicit microphysics, the LPI is highly correlated with observed lightning. It is suggested that the LPI may be a useful parameter for predicting lightning as well as a tool for improving weather forecasting of convective storms and heavy rainfall.

Immunotherapy with Bet v 1 derived contiguous overlapping peptides leads to long-term immunoregulatory responses

Background: Allergen-specific immunotherapy with whole pollen extract may induce anaphylaxis, is poorly standardized and of long duration.We thus designed a randomized, placebo-controlled phase I/II clinical trial in volunteers with birch pollen allergic rhinitis and asthma to evaluate the safety and immunogenicity of a novel immunotherapy based on contiguous overlapping peptides (COPs) derived from Bet v 1, the major birch pollen allergen. Methods: A mixture of three COPs (AllerT™, Anergis SA, Switzerland) spanning the whole Bet v 1 molecule was selected for its inability to bind IgE. Prior to the pollen season, AllerT (in Alum) was injected subcutaneously to 15 adult volunteers at D0 (57 g), D7, D14, D21 and D51 (95 g each). Control volunteers (n = 5) only received the adjuvant. Results: Overall AllerT was safe. No serious adverse events and no immediate allergic reactions were reported. AllerT induced a vigorous early Bet v 1 specific immune response marked by vaccine associated INF- and IL- 10 secretion. This contributed to a strong anti-Bet v 1-specific IgG4 enhancement. Moreover, 2 months after the second season post treatment (July 2010), serum Bet v 1 specific IgG4 response was still markedly increased as compared to pre-treatment values and to placebo whereas post seasonal Bet v 1 specific IgE titers were similar to baseline values. Conclusion: Our data indicate that immunotherapy with a mixture of three COPs derived from Bet v 1 (AllerT) was safe and immunogenic, and led to long-term immunological memory.

MIGCLIM: Predicting plant distribution and dispersal in a changing climate

Many studies have forecasted the possible impact of climate change on plant distribution using models based on ecological niche theory. In their basic implementation, niche-based models do not constrain predictions by dispersal limitations. Hence, most niche-based modelling studies published so far have assumed dispersal to be either unlimited or null. However, depending on the rate of climatic change, the landscape fragmentation and the dispersal capabilities of individual species, these assumptions are likely to prove inaccurate, leading to under- or overestimation of future species distributions and yielding large uncertainty between these two extremes. As a result, the concepts of "potentially suitable" and "potentially colonisable" habitat are expected to differ significantly. To quantify to what extent these two concepts can differ, we developed MIGCLIM, a model simulating plant dispersal under climate change and landscape fragmentation scenarios. MIGCLIM implements various parameters, such as dispersal distance, increase in reproductive potential over time, barriers to dispersal or long distance dispersal. Several simulations were run for two virtual species in a study area of the western Swiss Alps, by varying dispersal distance and other parameters. Each simulation covered the hundred-year period 2001-2100 and three different IPCC-based temperature warming scenarios were considered. Our results indicate that: (i) using realistic parameter values, the future potential distributions generated using MIGCLIM can differ significantly (up to more than 95% decrease in colonized surface) from those that ignore dispersal; (ii) this divergence increases both with increasing climate warming and over longer time periods; (iii) the uncertainty associated with the warming scenario can be nearly as large as the one related to dispersal parameters; (iv) accounting for dispersal, even roughly, can importantly reduce uncertainty in projections.

Role of hepatocyte wounding on " Plasmodium " liver-stage development and survival

RESUME La première étape primordiale au cycle de vie du Plasmodium dans un hôte mammifère est l'invasion des hepatocytes par des sporozoites. L'infection finale des hepatocytes est précédée de la traversée de plusieurs cellules hôtes, rompant les membranes plasmiques et ayant comme résultat la sécrétion des facteurs cytotoliques dans le micro-environnement. Ce matériel endogène libéré est fortement stimulant/immunogène et peut servir de signal de danger initiant des réponses distinctes dans diverses cellules. De nos jours, le caractère essentiel et salutaire de la migration des sporozoites comme étape d'infection du Plasmodium est vivement controversée. Ainsi, notre étude a visé à caractériser l'effet de l'interaction du parasite avec ses cellules hôtes d'un point de vue immunologique. En particulier, nous avons voulu évaluer l'effet de la perte de matériel cellulaire pendant l'infection de Plasmodium sur les hepatocytes primaires de souris et sur des cultures cellulaires HepG2. Nous avons observé que les facteurs cytotoxiques dérivés des cellules endommagés activent NF-κB - un important régulateur de réponse inflammatoires -dans des cellules voisines des cellules endommagés, qui sont des cellules hôtes potentielles pour l'infection finale du parasite. Cette activation de NF-κB s'est produite peu de temps après l'infection et a mené in vitro et in vivo à une réduction d'infection de façon dépendante du temps, un effet qui a pu être compensé par l'addition de BAY11-7082, un inhibiteur spécifique de NF-κB. De plus, aucune activation de NF-κB avec des parasites SPECT-/-, incapables de traverser les hepatocytes, n'a été observée. Nous avons montré parla suite que l'activation de NF-κB induit l'expression de l'enzyme iNOS dans les hepatocytes, qui est responsable d'une diminution des hepatocytes infectés. En outre, les hepatocytes primaires des souris MyD88-/- n'ont montré ni activation de NF-κB, ni expression d'iNOS lors de l'infection, ce qui suggère la participation des membres de famille du Toll/IL-1 récepteur dans la reconnaissance des facteurs cytosoxiques. En effet, le manque de MyD88 a augmenté significativement l'infection in vitro et in vivo. D'autre part, un rôle bénéfique pour l'activation de NF-κB a été évalué. Les cellules infectées étaient plus résistantes contre l'apoptose induite par Fas (CD95/Apo-1) que les cellules non infectées ou les cellules infectées dans lesquelles NF-κB a été bloqué par BAY11-7082 in vitro. Paradoxalement, l'expression d'iNOS contribue à la protection des cellules infectées contre l'apoptose pax Fas, puisque le traitement avec l'inhibiteur spécifique SMT (S-methylisothiourea) a rendu les cellules infectées plus susceptibles à l'apoptose. Un effet bénéfique additionnel pour le parasite est que la plupart des cellules hôtes traversées présentent des peptides du parasite aux cellules T cytotoxiques spécifiques et peuvent donc réorienter la réaction immune spécifique sur les cellules non infectées. Nous montrons que les cellules hôtes endommagés par la migration du parasite induit l'inflammation, qui limite l'ampleur de l'infection. D'autre part, nos données soutiennent que la survie du parasite Plasmodium dans le foie est assurée par une augmentation de la résistance des hepatocytes contre l'apoptose. SUMMARY The first obligatory step of the Plasmodium life cycle in the mammalian host is the invasion of hepatocytes by sporozoites. Final hepatocyte infection involves the penetration of several host cells, whose plasma membranes are ruptured in the process, resulting in the release of cytosolic factors into the microenvironment. This released endogenous material is highly stimulatory / immunogenic and can serve as a danger signal initiating distinct responses in various cells. To date, it is highly controversial whether sporozoite migration through hepatocytes is an essential and beneficial step for Plasmodium infection. Thus, our study aimed at characterizing the effect of the interaction of the parasite with its host cells from an immunological point of view In particular, we wanted to evaluate the effect of cell material leakage during Plasmodium infection on cultured mouse primary hepatocytes and HepG2 cells. We observed that wounded cell-derived cytosolic factors activate NF-κB - a main regulator of host inflammatory responses - in cells bordering wounded cells, which are potential host cells for final parasite infection. This activation of NF-κB occurred shortly after infection and led to a reduction of infection load in a time dependent manner in vitro and in viva, an effect that could be reverted by addition of the specific NF-κB inhibitor BAY11-7082. In addition, no NF-κB activation was observed when SPECT-/- parasites, which are devoid of hepatocyte traversing properties, were used. We provide further evidence that NF-κB activation causes the induction of inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) expression in hepatocytes, and this is, in turn, responsible for a decrease in Plasmodium-infected hepatocytes. Furthermore, primary hepatocytes from MyD88-/- mice showed no NF-κB activation and iNOS expression upon infection, suggesting a role of the Toll/IL-1 receptor family members in sensing cytosolic factors. Indeed, lack of MyD88 significantly increased infection in vitro and in vivo. In a further complementary series of experiments, we assessed a possible beneficial role for the activation of NF-κB. Infected cells were more resistant to Fas (CD95/Apo-1)-mediated apoptosis than uninfected cells or infected cells in which NF-κB was blocked by BAYl1-7082 in vitro. Paradoxically, iNOS expression contributes to the protection of infected cells from Fas-induced apoptosis, since treatment with the specific iNOS inhibitor SMT (S-Methylisothiourea Sulfate) rendered the infected cells more susceptible to apoptosis. An additional beneficial effect of host cell traversal for the parasite is the fact that mainly traversed cells present parasite-derived peptides to specific cytotoxic T cells and therefore may redirect the specific immune response to uninfected cells. In summary, we have shown that host cells wounded by parasite migration induce inflammation, which limits the extent of parasite infection. In addition, our data support the notion that survival of Plasmodium parasites in the liver is mediated by increasing the resistance of hepatocytes to Fas-induced apoptosis.

Reversible major histocompatibility complex I-peptide multimers containing Ni(2+)-nitrilotriacetic acid peptides and histidine tags improve analysis and sorting of CD8(+) T cells.

MHC-peptide multimers containing biotinylated MHC-peptide complexes bound to phycoerythrin (PE) streptavidin (SA) are widely used for analyzing and sorting antigen-specific T cells. Here we describe alternative T cell-staining reagents that are superior to conventional reagents. They are built on reversible chelate complexes of Ni(2+)-nitrilotriacetic acid (NTA) with oligohistidines. We synthesized biotinylated linear mono-, di-, and tetra-NTA compounds using conventional solid phase peptide chemistry and studied their interaction with HLA-A*0201-peptide complexes containing a His(6), His(12), or 2×His(6) tag by surface plasmon resonance on SA-coated sensor chips and equilibrium dialysis. The binding avidity increased in the order His(6) < His(12) < 2×His(6) and NTA(1) < NTA(2) < NTA(4), respectively, depending on the configuration of the NTA moieties and increased to picomolar K(D) for the combination of a 2×His(6) tag and a 2×Ni(2+)-NTA(2). We demonstrate that HLA-A2-2×His(6)-peptide multimers containing either Ni(2+)-NTA(4)-biotin and PE-SA- or PE-NTA(4)-stained influenza and Melan A-specific CD8+ T cells equal or better than conventional multimers. Although these complexes were highly stable, they very rapidly dissociated in the presence of imidazole, which allowed sorting of bona fide antigen-specific CD8+ T cells without inducing T cell death as well as assessment of HLA-A2-peptide monomer dissociation kinetics on CD8+ T cells.

Regulation of lymphocyte proliferation and death by FLIP.

Lymphocyte homeostasis is a balance between lymphocyte proliferation and lymphocyte death. Tight control of apoptosis is essential for immune function, because its altered regulation can result in cancer and autoimmunity. Signals from members of the tumour-necrosis-factor receptor (TNF-R) family, such as Fas and TNF-R1, activate the caspase cascade and result in lymphocyte death by apoptosis. Anti-apoptotic proteins, such as FLIP (also known as FLICE/caspase-8 inhibitory protein) have recently been identified. FLIP expression is tightly regulated in T cells and might be involved in the control of both T-cell activation and death. Abnormal expression of FLIP might have a role not only in autoimmune diseases, but also in tumour development and cardiovascular disorders.

Mechanisms of apoptosis in retinitis pigmentosa.

Mutations in humans are associated with several forms of inherited retinal dystrophies, such as Retinitis Pigmentosa which lead to retinal cell death and irreversible loss of vision. Genes involved in affected patients mainly encode proteins related to vision physiology including visual cycle and light-dependent phototransduction cascade. As reported in spontaneous and genetically engineered mouse models, apoptosis is a common fate in retinal degeneration, although the triggered signals to retinal apoptosis remain largely unraveled. Several studies highlighted that many of the molecular pathways involved in ocular diseases rely on caspase-dependent or -independent apoptotic mitochondrial pathway involving the Bcl-2 family of proteins. Anti- and pro-apoptotic Bcl-2 members are present in retinal tissues and are thought to play a role in the pathogenesis of several retinal disorders. Since almost no efficient treatments are available so far, it remains a great challenge to decipher the molecular pathways involved in retinal dystrophies and to develop alternative therapies to prevent or inhibit eye defect. Toward this goal, mutation-independent strategies such as molecular therapy provides promising and exciting approaches to deliver anti-apoptotic molecules targeting the Bcl-2 pathway through the use of cell permeable transport peptides. Modulation of common apoptotic signaling pathways may be of outstanding potential to target multiple retinal dystrophies regardless of the primary genetic defect.

Role of atrial natriuretic peptides and neuropeptide Y in blood pressure regulation.

Atrial natriuretic peptides (ANP) are released into the circulation in response to enhanced atrial stretching. These peptides not only have diuretic and natriuretic properties, but also exert a relaxing effect on the vasculature. Moreover, they antagonize the contractions induced by norepinephrine and angiotensin II. Neuropeptide Y (NPY) is also a vasoactive peptide. It is widely distributed throughout the central and peripheral nervous systems. NPY is coreleased with norepinephrine by perivascular nerve endings. At high concentrations, this peptide has a direct vasoconstrictor effect. In addition, it enhances the vascular effect of various agonists, including norepinephrine and angiotensin II. Both ANP and NPY have an inhibitory effect on renin secretion. This effect may have important implications for the role of these peptides in cardiovascular regulation.

Activation of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor beta/delta inhibits lipopolysaccharide-induced cytokine production in adipocytes by lowering nuclear factor-kappaB activity via extracellular signal-related kinase 1/2.

OBJECTIVE: Chronic activation of the nuclear factor-kappaB (NF-kappaB) in white adipose tissue leads to increased production of pro-inflammatory cytokines, which are involved in the development of insulin resistance. It is presently unknown whether peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor (PPAR) beta/delta activation prevents inflammation in adipocytes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS AND RESULTS: First, we examined whether the PPARbeta/delta agonist GW501516 prevents lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-induced cytokine production in differentiated 3T3-L1 adipocytes. Treatment with GW501516 blocked LPS-induced IL-6 expression and secretion by adipocytes and the subsequent activation of the signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (STAT3)-Suppressor of cytokine signaling 3 (SOCS3) pathway. This effect was associated with the capacity of GW501516 to impede LPS-induced NF-kappaB activation. Second, in in vivo studies, white adipose tissue from Zucker diabetic fatty (ZDF) rats, compared with that of lean rats, showed reduced PPARbeta/delta expression and PPAR DNA-binding activity, which was accompanied by enhanced IL-6 expression and NF-kappaB DNA-binding activity. Furthermore, IL-6 expression and NF-kappaB DNA-binding activity was higher in white adipose tissue from PPARbeta/delta-null mice than in wild-type mice. Because mitogen-activated protein kinase-extracellular signal-related kinase (ERK)1/2 (MEK1/2) is involved in LPS-induced NF-kappaB activation in adipocytes, we explored whether PPARbeta/delta prevented NF-kappaB activation by inhibiting this pathway. Interestingly, GW501516 prevented ERK1/2 phosphorylation by LPS. Furthermore, white adipose tissue from animal showing constitutively increased NF-kappaB activity, such as ZDF rats and PPARbeta/delta-null mice, also showed enhanced phospho-ERK1/2 levels. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate that activation of PPARbeta/delta inhibits enhanced cytokine production in adipocytes by preventing NF-kappaB activation via ERK1/2, an effect that may help prevent insulin resistance.