A geoprocessing approach for studying and controlling schistosomiasis in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil

Geographical information systems (GIS) are tools that have been recently tested for improving our understanding of the spatial distribution of disease. The objective of this paper was to further develop the GIS technology to model and control schistosomiasis using environmental, social, biological and remote-sensing variables. A final regression model (R² = 0.39) was established, after a variable selection phase, with a set of spatial variables including the presence or absence of Biomphalaria glabrata, winter enhanced vegetation index, summer minimum temperature and percentage of houses with water coming from a spring or well. A regional model was also developed by splitting the state of Minas Gerais (MG) into four regions and establishing a linear regression model for each of the four regions: 1 (R² = 0.97), 2 (R² = 0.60), 3 (R² = 0.63) and 4 (R² = 0.76). Based on these models, a schistosomiasis risk map was built for MG. In this paper, geostatistics was also used to make inferences about the presence of Biomphalaria spp. The result was a map of species and risk areas. The obtained risk map permits the association of uncertainties, which can be used to qualify the inferences and it can be thought of as an auxiliary tool for public health strategies.

Changes in health related quality of life 3 months after an acute coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND The aim of the study was to identify the changes in Health Related Quality of Life (HRQL) 3 months after discharge from hospital, in patients who have had an acute coronary episode, and to determine the clinical and sociodemographic variables that explain those changes. METHODS HRQL was assessed in 132 patients while they were admitted to the hospital and at 3 months after discharge, using the SF-36 health questionnaire. To identify the variables associated with the change, multiple linear regression models were constructed for two summary dimensions of the SF-36 (PCS and MCS) taking the change in the score of the dimension as dependent variable. RESULTS There were no significant differences between the patients who completed the monitoring (n = 76) and those who were dropped out. After three months, a significant decrease was observed in the dimensions of physical functioning, general health, vitality, and Physical Summary Component (PCS). The variables revascularisation, age, and the interaction between previous history of coronary heart disease (CHD) and the presence of one or more risk factors explained 16.6% of the decrease in the PCS. The decrease in the PCS was 6.4 points less in the patients who had undergone revascularisation, 0.2 points less for each year of age, and 4.7 points less in the patients who had antecedents of the illness as well as one or more risk factors. CONCLUSION The dimensions most affected at three months after an acute coronary episode were those related to the physical component. Undergoing revascularisation improved the PCS in patients, but in the younger patients and those without personal antecedents or risk factors, the PCS was affected more, perhaps due to greater expectations for recovery in these patients.

Additive effects of LPL, APOA5 and APOE variant combinations on triglyceride levels and hypertriglyceridemia: results of the ICARIA genetic sub-study.

BACKGROUND Hypertriglyceridemia (HTG) is a well-established independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease and the influence of several genetic variants in genes related with triglyceride (TG) metabolism has been described, including LPL, APOA5 and APOE. The combined analysis of these polymorphisms could produce clinically meaningful complementary information. METHODS A subgroup of the ICARIA study comprising 1825 Spanish subjects (80% men, mean age 36 years) was genotyped for the LPL-HindIII (rs320), S447X (rs328), D9N (rs1801177) and N291S (rs268) polymorphisms, the APOA5-S19W (rs3135506) and -1131T/C (rs662799) variants, and the APOE polymorphism (rs429358; rs7412) using PCR and restriction analysis and TaqMan assays. We used regression analyses to examine their combined effects on TG levels (with the log-transformed variable) and the association of variant combinations with TG levels and hypertriglyceridemia (TG > or = 1.69 mmol/L), including the covariates: gender, age, waist circumference, blood glucose, blood pressure, smoking and alcohol consumption. RESULTS We found a significant lowering effect of the LPL-HindIII and S447X polymorphisms (p < 0.0001). In addition, the D9N, N291S, S19W and -1131T/C variants and the APOE-epsilon4 allele were significantly associated with an independent additive TG-raising effect (p < 0.05, p < 0.01, p < 0.001, p < 0.0001 and p < 0.001, respectively). Grouping individuals according to the presence of TG-lowering or TG-raising polymorphisms showed significant differences in TG levels (p < 0.0001), with the lowest levels exhibited by carriers of two lowering variants (10.2% reduction in TG geometric mean with respect to individuals who were homozygous for the frequent alleles of all the variants), and the highest levels in carriers of raising combinations (25.1% mean TG increase). Thus, carrying two lowering variants was protective against HTG (OR = 0.62; 95% CI, 0.39-0.98; p = 0.042) and having one single raising polymorphism (OR = 1.20; 95% CI, 1.39-2.87; p < 0.001) or more (2 or 3 raising variants; OR = 2.90; 95% CI, 1.56-5.41; p < 0.001) were associated with HTG. CONCLUSION Our results showed a significant independent additive effect on TG levels of the LPL polymorphisms HindIII, S447X, D9N and N291S; the S19W and -1131T/C variants of APOA5, and the epsilon4 allele of APOE in our study population. Moreover, some of the variant combinations studied were significantly associated with the absence or the presence of hypertriglyceridemia.

Leprosy reactions: the effect of gender and household contacts

Various host-related factors have been reported as relevant risk factors for leprosy reactions. To support a new hypothesis that an antigenic load in local tissues that is sufficient to trigger the immune response may come from an external supply of Mycobacterium leprae organisms, the prevalence of reactional leprosy was assessed against the number of household contacts. The number of contacts was ascertained at diagnosis in leprosy patients coming from an endemic area of Brazil. The prevalence of reactions (patients with reactions/total patients) was fitted by binomial regression and the risk difference (RD) was estimated with a semi-robust estimation of variance as a measure of effect. Five regression models were fitted. Model 1 included only the main exposure variable "number of household contacts"; model 2 included all four explanatory variables ("contacts", "fertile age", "number of skin lesions" and "bacillary index") that were found to be associated with the outcome upon univariate analysis; models 3-5 contained various combinations of three predictors. Male and female patients were analyzed separately. In females, household contacts were a significant predictor for leprosy reactions in model 1 [crude RD = 0.06; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.01; 0.12] and model 5 (RD = 0.05; CI = 0.02; 0.09), which included contacts, bacillary index and skin lesions as predictors. Other models were unsatisfactory because the joint presence of fertile age and bacillary index was a likely source of multicollinearity. No significant results were obtained for males. The likely interpretation of our findings might suggest that in female patients, leprosy reactions may be triggered by an external spreading of M. leprae by healthy carrier family members. The small number of observations is an obvious limitation of our study which requires larger confirmatory studies.

Adipose tissue gene expression of factors related to lipid processing in obesity.

BACKGROUND Adipose tissue lipid storage and processing capacity can be a key factor for obesity-related metabolic disorders such as insulin resistance and diabetes. Lipid uptake is the first step to adipose tissue lipid storage. The aim of this study was to analyze the gene expression of factors involved in lipid uptake and processing in subcutaneous (SAT) and visceral (VAT) adipose tissue according to body mass index (BMI) and the degree of insulin resistance (IR). METHODS AND PRINCIPAL FINDINGS VLDL receptor (VLDLR), lipoprotein lipase (LPL), acylation stimulating protein (ASP), LDL receptor-related protein 1 (LRP1) and fatty acid binding protein 4 (FABP4) gene expression was measured in VAT and SAT from 28 morbidly obese patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) or high IR, 10 morbidly obese patients with low IR, 10 obese patients with low IR and 12 lean healthy controls. LPL, FABP4, LRP1 and ASP expression in VAT was higher in lean controls. In SAT, LPL and FABP4 expression were also higher in lean controls. BMI, plasma insulin levels and HOMA-IR correlated negatively with LPL expression in both VAT and SAT as well as with FABP4 expression in VAT. FABP4 gene expression in SAT correlated inversely with BMI and HOMA-IR. However, multiple regression analysis showed that BMI was the main variable contributing to LPL and FABP4 gene expression in both VAT and SAT. CONCLUSIONS Morbidly obese patients have a lower gene expression of factors related with lipid uptake and processing in comparison with healthy lean persons.

Pre-hospital antibiotic treatment and mortality caused by invasive meningococcal disease, adjusting for indication bias.

Background: Mortality from invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) has remained stable over the last thirty years and it is unclear whether pre-hospital antibiotherapy actually produces a decrease in this mortality. Our aim was to examine whether pre-hospital oral antibiotherapy reduces mortality from IMD, adjusting for indication bias. Methods: A retrospective analysis was made of clinical reports of all patients (n = 848) diagnosed with IMD from 1995 to 2000 in Andalusia and the Canary Islands, Spain, and of the relationship between the use of pre-hospital oral antibiotherapy and mortality. Indication bias was controlled for by the propensity score technique, and a multivariate analysis was performed to determine the probability of each patient receiving antibiotics, according to the symptoms identified before admission. Data on in-hospital death, use of antibiotics and demographic variables were collected. A logistic regression analysis was then carried out, using death as the dependent variable, and prehospital antibiotic use, age, time from onset of symptoms to parenteral antibiotics and the propensity score as independent variables. Results: Data were recorded on 848 patients, 49 (5.72%) of whom died. Of the total number of patients, 226 had received oral antibiotics before admission, mainly betalactams during the previous 48 hours. After adjusting the association between the use of antibiotics and death for age, time between onset of symptoms and in-hospital antibiotic treatment, pre-hospital oral antibiotherapy remained a significant protective factor (Odds Ratio for death 0.37, 95% confidence interval 0.15–0.93). Conclusion: Pre-hospital oral antibiotherapy appears to reduce IMD mortality.

Análisis de las principales variables determinantes de la evolución de la mortalidad por demencias en Andalucía.

BACKGROUND The dementias are a cause of mortality have increased over the last years. Therefore is important to analyze the variables more related to its development in Andalusia between 1999 and 2010. METHODS With the deaths of 60 and over by dementia from Andalusia Statistical Institute and the populations from corresponding years, are estimated crude mortality rates, standardized and age-specific; by joinpoint regression was calculated percentages annual change; and also, with the population estimates by marital status and deaths was calculated crude rates and standardized for age, sex and marital status. RESULTS The standardized mortality rates increased from 124.8 to 161.0 deaths per 100,000 in women and 110.3 to 147.7 in men, the annual increase was 4.2% and 3.8% in women and men. The women died more than men with a standardized rate ratio between 1.08 and 1.29. Age was the variable that determined mortality. CONCLUSIONS Mortality from dementia in Andalusia has increased over the past 12 years and will continue to increase with the consequent social and health impacts posed by these diseases, configured as a major health problem.

Tea consumption and incidence of type 2 diabetes in Europe: the EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study.

BACKGROUND In previous meta-analyses, tea consumption has been associated with lower incidence of type 2 diabetes. It is unclear, however, if tea is associated inversely over the entire range of intake. Therefore, we investigated the association between tea consumption and incidence of type 2 diabetes in a European population. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS The EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study was conducted in 26 centers in 8 European countries and consists of a total of 12,403 incident type 2 diabetes cases and a stratified subcohort of 16,835 individuals from a total cohort of 340,234 participants with 3.99 million person-years of follow-up. Country-specific Hazard Ratios (HR) for incidence of type 2 diabetes were obtained after adjustment for lifestyle and dietary factors using a Cox regression adapted for a case-cohort design. Subsequently, country-specific HR were combined using a random effects meta-analysis. Tea consumption was studied as categorical variable (0, >0-<1, 1-<4, ≥ 4 cups/day). The dose-response of the association was further explored by restricted cubic spline regression. Country specific medians of tea consumption ranged from 0 cups/day in Spain to 4 cups/day in United Kingdom. Tea consumption was associated inversely with incidence of type 2 diabetes; the HR was 0.84 [95%CI 0.71, 1.00] when participants who drank ≥ 4 cups of tea per day were compared with non-drinkers (p(linear trend) = 0.04). Incidence of type 2 diabetes already tended to be lower with tea consumption of 1-<4 cups/day (HR = 0.93 [95%CI 0.81, 1.05]). Spline regression did not suggest a non-linear association (p(non-linearity) = 0.20). CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE A linear inverse association was observed between tea consumption and incidence of type 2 diabetes. People who drink at least 4 cups of tea per day may have a 16% lower risk of developing type 2 diabetes than non-tea drinkers.

Spoligotyping and variable number tandem repeat analysis of Mycobacterium bovis isolates from cattle in Brazil

We performed spoligotyping and 12-mycobacterial interspersed repetitive unit-variable number tandem repeats (MIRU-VNTRs) typing to characterise Mycobacterium bovis isolates collected from tissue samples of bovines with lesions suggestive for tuberculosis during slaughter inspection procedures in abattoirs in Brazil. High-quality genotypes were obtained with both procedures for 61 isolates that were obtained from 185 bovine tissue samples and all of these isolates were identified as M. bovis by conventional identification procedures. On the basis of the spoligotyping, 53 isolates were grouped into nine clusters and the remaining eight isolates were unique types, resulting in 17 spoligotypes. The majority of the Brazilian M. bovis isolates displayed spoligotype patterns that have been previously observed in strains isolated from cattle in other countries. MIRU-VNTR typing produced 16 distinct genotypes, with 53 isolates forming eight of the groups, and individual isolates with unique VNTR profiles forming the remaining eight groups. The allelic diversity of each VNTR locus was calculated and only two of the 12-MIRU-VNTR loci presented scores with either a moderate (0.4, MIRU16) or high (0.6, MIRU26) discriminatory index (h). Both typing methods produced similar discriminatory indexes (spoligotyping h = 0.85; MIRU-VNTR h = 0.86) and the combination of the two methods increased the h value to 0.94, resulting in 29 distinct patterns. These results confirm that spoligotyping and VNTR analysis are valuable tools for studying the molecular epidemiology of M. bovis infections in Brazil.

L'histoire naturelle au XVIe siècle : regards, lectures et discours sur la nature à travers l'exemple de La nature et diversité des poissons de Pierre Belon (1555)

Plan du travail Nous traiterons de cet aspect historique et contextuel dans la première partie. Les trois premiers chapitres décrivent les fondements antiques et médiévaux de la philosophie naturelle seiziémiste et évoquent l'influence du De animalibus d'Albert le Grand sur les médecins naturalistes. Nous en arriverons alors aux liens qui unissent ces derniers (chapitre IV) et aux conditions matérielles et intellectuelles qui entourent et parfois entravent la parution des ouvrages (chapitre V). Nous nous pencherons ensuite sur l'identité des lecteurs susceptibles d'être intéressés par les traités d'histoire naturelle. Ces lecteurs ont des attentes qui méritent aussi un examen quant à leur origine, car elles conditionnent pour une part variable, mais importante, le contenu des oeuvres (chapitre VI). Confrontés à des critiques, à des obstacles institutionnels parfois séculaires, les médecins naturalistes se défendent pour une part en reprenant les arguments de leurs prédécesseurs médiévaux. Mais nous les verrons mettre en place de nouvelles stratégies, en relation étroite avec le renouveau bien connu de la dialectique et de la rhétorique, qui trouve ses racines en Italie du nord à la fin du XVe siècle. Ce point sera développé dans la seconde partie, qui servira de transition essentielle dans notre exposé. C'est là que nous découvrirons que la rhétorique ne s'impose pas uniquement comme un rituel renouvelé de la dispute médiévale : elle n'entre pas seulement en jeu lorsqu'il s'agit de défendre ses intérêts contre des rivaux ou des adversaires académiques (chapitre VII). Les médecins naturalistes mettent au contraire au point des instruments au service d'un processus heuristique qui s'inspire des nouveaux canons de la rhétorique, dont Rudolph Agricola est un des théoriciens principaux (chapitre VIII). Ces observations nous amèneront à repréciser ce qu'il faut entendre par philosophie naturelle au XVIe siècle, notamment au travers de l'autorité de personnages comme Théodore Gaza (chapitre IX) et à définir les fondements généraux de l'histoire naturelle seiziémiste, en adoptant des points de vue divers : examen des tables des matières d'ouvrages, des réflexions des médecins naturalistes, avec à leur tête Conrad Gesner, ou encore étude de la pénétration de l'histoire naturelle dans quelques récits des voyageurs aux Amériques (chapitre X et XI). Arrivé à ce point de l'exposé, le lecteur aura constaté que la solidité de l'histoire naturelle seiziémiste tient à une stratégie discursive soigneusement élaborée. Le développement détaillé et l'application de ce nouveau processus, qui s'ancre au plus profond du discours descriptif de la nature, seront décrits dans la troisième partie. Nous commencerons par y rappeler quels sont les instruments antiques de la description des particulares, l'accident et la différence, que les médecins naturalistes adaptent à leurs exigences heuristiques (chapitre XII). Nous verrons le rôle de "nota", outil discursif méconnu, qui désigne les éléments décisifs ou arguments par lesquels les médecins naturalistes identifient les espèces décrites par les anciens en les confrontant aux espèces réelles (chapitre XIII). Une fois présenté l'instrument descriptif, se pose la question de son utilisation par les médecins naturalistes et de son évaluation par rapport au fonctionnement de la taxonomie moderne (chapitre XIV). La différence entre les deux regards sur la nature apparaîtra comme fondamentale : les médecins naturalistes assignent à leurs investigations des limites, inhérentes à l'origine sacrée de leur quête, qui relève de la philosophie, elle-même subordonnée à la théologie. Cela se percevra par exemple dans la description des animaux du Nouveau Monde. Les conséquences de cette constatation sont considérables : elles remettent en cause le statut du "savant" du XVIe siècle, qui ne saurait être assimilé à l'observateur extérieur tel que l'érige la science des Lumières. Belon et ses collègues se disent plutôt des "contemplateurs" et des interprètes, ce qui les rapprochent de la figure du poète, avec qui ils entretiennent des rapports ambivalents. C'est la relation même du médecin naturaliste au langage de la nature qui s'en trouve affectée : le savant n'a pas la maîtrise du discours, dans la mesure où les signes qu'il interprète et, dans une certaine mesure, ordonne, du latin : les noms d'espèces, entre autres dans les titres de notices descriptives, pour mieux cerner la relation entre la langue antique et la vernaculaire, ainsi que la notion de langue originelle chez les médecins naturalistes (chapitre XVIII). Les points communs qui émergeront de cette confrontation feront disparaître le clivage anachronique entre langue latine et langue vernaculaire, de même que l'hypothèse de l'insuffisance lexicale de la seconde, dont les médecins naturalistes auraient en vain voulu faire l'instrument de la science moderne (chapitre XIX). Le chapitre XX aura pour but d'établir le lien et l'adéquation entre les caractéristiques du discours descriptif ainsi mises en évidence et les fondements véritables de l'histoire naturelle seiziémiste.

Imputation in data fusion of heterogeneous data sets a model-based numerical experiment

Given the very large amount of data obtained everyday through population surveys, much of the new research again could use this information instead of collecting new samples. Unfortunately, relevant data are often disseminated into different files obtained through different sampling designs. Data fusion is a set of methods used to combine information from different sources into a single dataset. In this article, we are interested in a specific problem: the fusion of two data files, one of which being quite small. We propose a model-based procedure combining a logistic regression with an Expectation-Maximization algorithm. Results show that despite the lack of data, this procedure can perform better than standard matching procedures.