The Phylogeographic History of the New World Screwworm Fly, Inferred by Approximate Bayesian Computation Analysis

Insect pest phylogeography might be shaped both by biogeographic events and by human influence. Here, we conducted an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) analysis to investigate the phylogeography of the New World screwworm fly, Cochliomyia hominivorax, with the aim of understanding its population history and its order and time of divergence. Our ABC analysis supports that populations spread from North to South in the Americas, in at least two different moments. The first split occurred between the North/Central American and South American populations in the end of the Last Glacial Maximum (15,300-19,000 YBP). The second split occurred between the North and South Amazonian populations in the transition between the Pleistocene and the Holocene eras (9,100-11,000 YBP). The species also experienced population expansion. Phylogenetic analysis likewise suggests this north to south colonization and Maxent models suggest an increase in the number of suitable areas in South America from the past to present. We found that the phylogeographic patterns observed in C. hominivorax cannot be explained only by climatic oscillations and can be connected to host population histories. Interestingly we found these patterns are very coincident with general patterns of ancient human movements in the Americas, suggesting that humans might have played a crucial role in shaping the distribution and population structure of this insect pest. This work presents the first hypothesis test regarding the processes that shaped the current phylogeographic structure of C. hominivorax and represents an alternate perspective on investigating the problem of insect pests. © 2013 Fresia et al.

Geotecnologias aplicadas à estimativa de perdas de solo por erosão hídrica na sub-bacia do Ribeirão das Perobas, Município de Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo-SP

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Energia na Agricultura) - FCA

Socio-demographic analysis of youth in the Caribbean- a three country case study

Many Caribbean youth are doing reasonably well. They live in loving and caring families, attend school and are involved in various social activities in their communities. The health and well-being of the children and youth1 in the Caribbean is, and has been, the centre of attention of many studies, meetings and policy directives set at the regional, subregional and national levels. Programmes have been put in place to address the basic needs of young children in the areas of health and education and to provide guidance and directives to youth and adolescents in the area of professional formation and transition to adulthood. Critical issues such as reproductive health and family planning combined with access to education and information on these topics have been promoted to some extent. And finally, the Caribbean is known for rather high school enrolment rates in primary education that hardly show any gender disparities. While the situation is still good for some, growing numbers of children and youth cannot cope anymore with the challenges experienced quite early in their lives. Absent parents, instable care-taking arrangements, violence and aggression subjected to at home, in schools and among their friends, lack of a perspective in schools and the labour-market, early sexual initiation and teenage pregnancies are some of those issues faced by a rising number of young persons in this part of the world. Emotional instability, psychological stress and increased violence are one of the key triggers for increased violence and involvement in crime exhibited by ever younger youth and children. Further, the region is grappling with rising drop-out rates in secondary education, declining quality schooling in the classrooms and increasing numbers of students who leave school without formal certification. Youth unemployment in the formal labour market is high and improving the quality of professional formation along with the provision of adequate employment opportunities would be critical to enable youth to complete consistently and effectively the transition into adulthood and to take advantage of the opportunities to develop and use their human capital in the process. On a rather general note, the region does not suffer from a shortage of policies and programmes to address the very specific needs of children and youth, but the prominent and severe lack of systematic analysis and monitoring of the situation of children, youth and young families in the Caribbean does not allow for targeted and efficient interventions that promise successful outcomes on the long term. In an effort to assist interested governments to fill this analytical gap, various initiatives are underway to enhance data collection and their systematic analysis2. Population and household censuses are conducted every decade and a variety of household surveys, such as surveys of living conditions, labour force surveys and special surveys focusing on particular sub-groups of the population are conducted, dependent on the resources available, to a varying degree in the countries of the region. One such example is the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF)-funded Multi-Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS) that assess the situation of children and youth in a country. Over the past years and at present, UNICEF has launched a series of surveys in a number of countries in the Caribbean3. But more needs to be done to ensure that the data available is analyzed to provide the empirical background information for evidence-based policy formulation and monitoring of the efficiency and effectiveness of the efforts undertaken.

Modelagem espacial dinâmica para o monitoramento do aporte de sedimentos na sub-bacia do Rio Capivara, município de Botucatu - SP

Pós-graduação em Geociências e Meio Ambiente - IGCE

The carreau-yasuda fluids: a skin friction equation for turbulent flow in pipes and kolmogorov dissipative scales

In this work the turbulent flow of the Non-Newtonian Carreau-Yasuda fluid will be studied. A skin friction equation for the turbulent flow of Carreau-Yasuda fluids will be derived assuming a logarithmic behavior of the turbulent mean velocity for the near wall flow out of the viscous sub layer. An alternative near wall characteristic length scale which takes into account the effects of the relaxation time will be introduced. The characteristic length will be obtained through the analysis of viscous region near the wall. The results compared with experimental data obtained with Tylose (methyl hydroxil cellulose) solutions showing good agreement. The relations between scales integral and dissipative obtained for length, time, velocity, kinetic energy, and vorticity will be derived for this type of fluid. When the power law index approach to unity the relations reduces to Newtonian case.

Análises quantitativas aplicadas à seleção e acasalamento de búfalos na Amazônia Oriental

O trabalho aplica estudos de genética quantitativa aos registros de búfalos do Estado do Pará, gerando respostas auxiliares aos criadores para a seleção e acasalamento dos animais. A análise de pedigree para estudo da variabilidade genética nos rebanhos participantes do Programa de Melhoramento Genético foi estimada por meio dos cálculos dos parâmetros baseados na probabilidade de origem de gene, coeficiente de endogamia, parentesco e intervalo médio entre gerações, pelo software PEDIG®; do número efetivo de fundadores (Nfun), número efetivo de ancestrais (Na) e intervalo de gerações pelo software PROB_ORIG.exe presente no pacote PEDIG®; do número efetivo de genomas remanescentes (Ng), calculado pelo software SEGREG.exe. Foram calculadas as estatísticas descritivas, a análise de variância e realizado o teste de Normalidade de Shapiro-Wilk por meio do pacote estatístico Statistical Analisys System. As estimativas de herdabilidade para a característica Peso ao Nascer (PN) foram obtidas por meio de inferência Bayesiana pelo programa GIBBS2F90.exe. Os valores genéticos foram obtidos por meio do programa BLUPF90.exe e a regressão das Diferenças Esperadas na Progênie sobre o ano de nascimento foi realizada pelo Excel for Windows para obtenção da tendência genética do PN. O Nfun foi igual a 28,6, o Na igual a 22,8, o Ng igual a 11,2, a razão Nfun/Na foi 1,25, indicando a diminuição do número de reprodutores ao longo dos períodos e a razão Ng/Nfun foi de 0,39. Apesar do intervalo de gerações de 12,5 anos, o número efetivo de gerações foi próximo a cinco. O número total de animais estudados considerados endogâmicos foi 33,4%, sendo a máxima encontrada de 40,8%, a média da endogamia entre os animais endogâmicos foi 10,4%, e o valor médio da endogamia no arquivo total foi 3,5%. O PN de bezerros bubalinos apresentou média e desvio padrão de 36,6 ± 4,7 kg. A característica PN não apresentou distribuição Normal, com valor de W=0,976271 e P

Investigação das características I x V e C x V de NCPS puro, com nitrogênio substitucional carregado (-1 e +1) e com grupos doador (NO2)-aceitador (NH2) através de métodos derivados de hartree-fock

Neste trabalho, fizemos uma investigação sobre o estudo teórico das características I x V e C x V de Nanotubo Carbono de Parede Simples (NCPS) puro, com Nitrogênio substitucional carregado com cargas -1 (caracterizando um indicativo de dopagem tipo n) e +1 (caracterizando um indicativo de dopagem tipo p) e na presença de grupos doador (NO₂)-aceitador (NH₂), através da simulação computacional do estado fundamental de NCPS, bem como de sua estrutura eletrônica e propriedades ópticas, utilizando parametrizações semi-empíricas AM1 (Austin Mudel 1) e ZINDO/S-ClS (Zerner´s lntermediate Neglect of Differential Orbital/Spectroscopic - Cunfiguration lnteraction Single) derivadas da Teoria de Hartree-Fock baseada em técnicas de química quântica. Por meio deste modelo teórico analisamos as propriedades ópticas e eletrônicas, de maior interesse para esses materiais, a fim de se entender a melhor forma de interação desses materiais na fabricação de dispositivos eletrônicos, tais como TECs (Transistores de Efeito de Campo) ou em aplicações em optoeletrônica tais como DEL (Dispositivo Emissor de Luz). Observamos que NCPS com Nitrogênio substitucional apresentam defeitos conformacionais do tipo polarônico. Fizemos as curvas dos espectros UV-visível de Absorção para NCPS armchair e zigzag puro, com Nitrogênio substitucional carregado com cargas (-1 e +1) e na presença de grupos doador (NO₂)-aceitador (NH₂), quando perturbados por intensidades diferentes de campo elétrico. Verificamos que em NCPS zigzag ao aumentarmos a intensidade do campo elétrico, suas curvas sofrem grandes perturbações. Obtivemos as curvas p x E, I x V e C x V para esses NCPS, concluímos que NCPS armchair possui comportamento resistor, pois suas curvas são lineares e zigzag possui comportamento semelhante ao dos dispositivos eletrônicos importantes para o avanço tecnológico. Assim, nossos resultados estão de bom acordo com os resultados experimentais e teóricos de NCPS puro e com Nitrogênio encontrados na literatura.

Sólitons latentes, cordas negras, membranas negras e equações de estado em modelos de Kaluza-Klein

Neste trabalho investigamos soluções solitônicas em modelos de Kaluza-Klein com um número arbitrário de espaços internos toroidais, que descrevem o campo gravitacional de um objeto massivo compacto. Cada toro d_i-dimensional possui um fator de escala independente C_i, i = 1, ..., N, que é caracterizado pelo parâmetro ᵞi. Destacamos a solução fisicamente interessante correspondente à massa puntual. Para a solução geral obtemos equações de estado nos espaços externo e interno. Estas equações demonstram que a massa pontual solitônica possui equações de estado tipo poeira em todos os espaços. Obtemos também os parâmetros pósnewtonianos que nos possibilitam encontrar as fórmulas da precessão do periélio, do desvio da luz e do atraso no tempo de ecos de radar. Além disso, os experimentos gravitacionais levam a uma forte limitação nos parâmetros do modelo: T = ƩNi=1 diYi = −(2, 1±2, 3)×10⁻⁵. A solução para massa pontual com Y1 = . . . = YN = (1+ƩNi=1 di)⁻¹ contradiz esta restrição. A imposição T = 0 satisfaz essa limitação experimental e define uma nova classe de soluções que são indistinguíveis para a relatividade geral. Chamamos estas soluções de sólitons latentes. Cordas negras e membranas negras com Yi = 0 pertencem a esta classe. Além disso, a condição de estabilidade dos espaços internos destaca cordas/membranas negras de sólitons latentes, conduzindo exclusivamente para as equações de estado de corda/membrana negra p_i = −ε/2, i = 1, . . . ,N, nos espaços internos e ao número de dimensões externas d₀ = 3. As investigações do fluido perfeito multidimensional estático e esfericamente simétrico com equação de estado tipo poeira no espaço externo confirmam os resultados acima.

Empirical models for estimating the suspended sediment concentration in Amazonian white water rivers using Landsat 5/TM

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Genetic Parameters for Growth Traits of Mediterranean Buffaloes from Brazil, Estimated By Bayesian Inference

Quantitative analysis of growth genetic parameters is not available for many breeds of buffaloes making selection and breeding decisions an empirical process that lacks robustness. The objective of this study was to estimate heritability for birth weight (BW), weight at 205 days (W205) and 365 days (W365) of age using Bayesian inference. The Brazilian Program for Genetic Improvement of Buffaloes provided the data. For the traits BW, W205 and W365 of Brazilian Mediterranean buffaloes 5169, 3792 and 3883 observations have been employed for the analysis, respectively. In order to obtain the estimates of variance, univariate analyses were conducted using the Gibbs sampler included in the MTGSAM software. The model for BW, W205 and W365 included additive direct and maternal genetic random effects, random maternal permanent environmental effect and contemporary group that was treated as a fixed effect. The convergence diagnosis was performed employing Geweke, a method that uses an algorithm from the Bayesian Output Analysis package that was implemented using R software environment. The average values for weight traits were 37.6 +/- 4.7 kg for BW, 192.7 +/- 40.3 kg for W205 and 298.6 +/- 67.4 kg for W365. The heritability posterior distributions for direct and maternal effects were symmetric and close to those expected in a normal distribution. Direct heritability estimates obtained using the modes were 0.30 (BW), 0.52 (W205) and 0.54 (W365). The maternal heritability coefficient estimates were 0.31, 0.19 and 0.21 for BW, W205 and W365, respectively. Our data suggests that all growth traits and mainly W205 and W365, have clear potential for yield improvement through direct genetic selection.

Worldwide genetic variation at the 3 ' untranslated region of the HLA-G gene: balancing selection influencing genetic diversity

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Energy decay for the linear Klein-Gordon equation and boundary control

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

O caminho novo: o Vale Histórico da Serra da Bocaina - opulência e decadência da sub-região paraibana paulista (reintegração de um espaço geográfico 'deprimido')

A pesquisa resgata o trecho paulista do “Caminho Novo”, antiga estrada geral de São Paulo, ligação terrestre com o Rio de Janeiro, a partir do século XVIII. No chamado Vale Histórico da Serra da Bocaina, cujo relevo se apresenta muito movimentado, a cultura do café penetrou em território paulista. Esta sub-região do Vale do Paraíba tornou-se uma das mais prósperas do país. A fase posterior, de queda na produção cafeeira, transformou-a numa região “deprimida” e estagnada. Atualmente, existem esforços para, através dos diversos ramos do turismo, reativar e dinamizar esta região vale-paraibana paulista, de modo a reintegrá-la ao pujante sistema econômico de São Paulo.

A new probabilistic canopy dynamics model (SLCD) that is suitable for evergreen and deciduous forest ecosystems

There are strong uncertainties regarding LAI dynamics in forest ecosystems in response to climate change. While empirical growth & yield models (G&YMs) provide good estimations of tree growth at the stand level on a yearly to decennial scale, process-based models (PBMs) use LAI dynamics as a key variable for enabling the accurate prediction of tree growth over short time scales. Bridging the gap between PBMs and G&YMs could improve the prediction of forest growth and, therefore, carbon, water and nutrient fluxes by combining modeling approaches at the stand level.Our study aimed to estimate monthly changes of leaf area in response to climate variations from sparse measurements of foliage area and biomass. A leaf population probabilistic model (SLCD) was designed to simulate foliage renewal. The leaf population was distributed in monthly cohorts, and the total population size was limited depending on forest age and productivity. Foliage dynamics were driven by a foliation function and the probabilities ruling leaf aging or fall. Their formulation depends on the forest environment.The model was applied to three tree species growing under contrasting climates and soil types. In tropical Brazilian evergreen broadleaf eucalypt plantations, the phenology was described using 8 parameters. A multi-objective evolutionary algorithm method (MOEA) was used to fit the model parameters on litterfall and LAI data over an entire stand rotation. Field measurements from a second eucalypt stand were used to validate the model. Seasonal LAI changes were accurately rendered for both sites (R-2 = 0.898 adjustment, R-2 = 0.698 validation). Litterfall production was correctly simulated (R-2 = 0.562, R-2 = 0.4018 validation) and may be improved by using additional validation data in future work. In two French temperate deciduous forests (beech and oak), we adapted phenological sub-modules of the CASTANEA model to simulate canopy dynamics, and SLCD was validated using LAI measurements. The phenological patterns were simulated with good accuracy in the two cases studied. However, IA/max was not accurately simulated in the beech forest, and further improvement is required.Our probabilistic approach is expected to contribute to improving predictions of LAI dynamics. The model formalism is general and suitable to broadleaf forests for a large range of ecological conditions. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Environmental training and environmental management maturity of Brazilian companies with ISO14001: empirical evidence

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)