Challenges of operational river forecasting

Skillful and timely streamflow forecasts are critically important to water managers and emergency protection services. To provide these forecasts, hydrologists must predict the behavior of complex coupled human–natural systems using incomplete and uncertain information and imperfect models. Moreover, operational predictions often integrate anecdotal information and unmodeled factors. Forecasting agencies face four key challenges: 1) making the most of available data, 2) making accurate predictions using models, 3) turning hydrometeorological forecasts into effective warnings, and 4) administering an operational service. Each challenge presents a variety of research opportunities, including the development of automated quality-control algorithms for the myriad of data used in operational streamflow forecasts, data assimilation, and ensemble forecasting techniques that allow for forecaster input, methods for using human-generated weather forecasts quantitatively, and quantification of human interference in the hydrologic cycle. Furthermore, much can be done to improve the communication of probabilistic forecasts and to design a forecasting paradigm that effectively combines increasingly sophisticated forecasting technology with subjective forecaster expertise. These areas are described in detail to share a real-world perspective and focus for ongoing research endeavors.

Nurses’ perceptions of climate and environmental issues : a qualitative study

Aim: The aim of this study was to explore nurses' perceptions of climate and environmental issues and examine how nurses perceive their role in contributing to the process of sustainable development.  Background: Climate change and its implications for human health represent an increasingly important issue for the healthcare sector. According to the International Council of Nurses Code of Ethics, nurses have a responsibility to be involved and support climate change mitigation and adaptation to protect human health.  Design: This is a descriptive, explorative qualitative study.  Methods: Nurses (n=18) were recruited from hospitals, primary care and emergency medical services; eight participated in semi-structured, in-depth individual interviews and 10 participated in two focus groups. Data were collected from April-October 2013 in Sweden; interviews were transcribed verbatim and analysed using content analysis.  Results: Two main themes were identified from the interviews: (i) an incongruence between climate and environmental issues and nurses' daily work; and (ii) public health work is regarded as a health co-benefit of climate change mitigation. While being green is not the primary task in a lifesaving, hectic and economically challenging context, nurses' perceived their profession as entailing responsibility, opportunities and a sense of individual commitment to influence the environment in a positive direction.  Conclusions: This study argues there is a need for increased awareness of issues and methods that are crucial for the healthcare sector to respond to climate change. Efforts to develop interventions should explore how nurses should be able to contribute to the healthcare sector's preparedness for and contributions to sustainable development.

Patienters upplevelser av att vårdas på en akutmottagning : -en litteraturöversikt

Bakgrund: Vårdpersonalen på en akutmottagning har stora krav på sig, ansvar för många patienter och måste fatta många egna beslut, ibland med mycket kort betänketid. Vårdpersonalen möter många olika patienter med olika problem och personligheter, och måste bemöta varje patient så att denne känner sig bekräftad och sedd. Syfte: Syftet med litteraturöversikten är att undersöka patienters upplevelse av att vårdas på en akutmottagning. Metod: Artiklar till arbetet har söks i olika databaser. Aktuella artiklar har lästs och relevanta fynd har markerats, för att analyseras och sammanställa ett resultat. Resultat: Analysen resulterade i tre underrubriker: Information, Bemötande och Vårdmiljö, med uppdelning av positiva och negativa upplevelser. Många patienter var nöjda med vården, men hade låga förväntningar från början. Patienterna har förstående för personalens tuffa arbetsmiljö, men önskade att få bättre information om väntetid och undersökningar. De tyckte att väntetiden var för lång, och kände sig ofta ensamma och övergivna. Slutsats: Mycket behöver förändras för att patienterna ska få en mer positiv upplevelse av akuten. Detta arbeta kan hjälpa till att belysa vilka punkter som vården måste arbeta extra mycket med för att patienterna ska känna sig trygga, exempelvis bättre information om väntetider och ett bemötande där sjusköterskan ser hela patienten.

Faktorer som påverkar patienters upplevelse av omvårdnad under sin vistelse på akutmottagning. : - En litteraturstudie

Bakgrund: På en akutmottagning kommer patienter i olika tillstånd och behov. Det är sjuksköterskan som ofta gör de första bedömningarna och därför är det av stor vikt att bemötandet från sjuksköterskan är positivt för att skapa trygghet. Ökat patientflöde och långa väntetider är några faktorer som är påvisade att kunna påverka upplevelsen för patienterna av sin vistelse på akutmottagningen. Syfte: Syftet med litteraturöversikten var att beskriva faktorer som påverkar patienters upplevelse av omvårdnad under sin vistelse på akutmottagning. Metod: Studien genomfördes som en litteraturöversikt. Databaserna CINAHL och PubMed användes för att söka efter artiklar. Resultat: Sex underkategorier valdes ut: bemötande, delaktighet, information, väntetid, kommunikation och kontinuitet, sjuksköterskans kunskap och kompetens. Resultatet visade att många patienter ansåg att sjuksköterskan var skicklig i sina arbetsuppgifter och var nöjda med bemötandet från sjuksköterskan, men att långa väntetider och bristande information påverkade upplevelsen av omvårdnad. Det fanns en tydlig önskan över att få mer information om sin väntetid, behandling och undersökningar. Brister i detta, skapade en otrygghet och en känsla av vara bortglömd hos patienterna. Slutsats: Sjuksköterskor på en akutmottagning behöver besitta en stor kommunikationsförmåga. Detta för att kunna ge patienterna en så bra upplevelse som möjligt. Slutsatser av resultatet har påvisat att det krävs förbättring inom flera områden för att ge patienter en bättre upplevelse av omvårdnaden under sin vistelse på akutmottagningen.

Impacto clínico e econômico da redefinição dos critérios diagnósticos de infarto do miocárdio

Introdução: Estudos sobre implicações clínicas da nova definição de infarto do miocárdio (IAM), incorporando novos marcadores de lesão miocárdica, são escassos na literatura. A prevalência de IAM e das suas complicações são diretamente dependentes do critério diagnóstico utilizado. Objetivo: Avaliar o impacto diagnóstico, prognóstico e econômico da nova definição de IAM proposta pela AHA/ ESC usando troponina T (TnT) como marcador de lesão cardíaca. Métodos: Um total de 740 pacientes com dor torácica admitidos na Emergência do Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre no período de julho/ 1999 a janeiro/ 2002 foram incluídos no estudo. Creatina quinase total (CK), CK-MB atividade e TnT foram dosados em uma amostra de 363 pacientes, representativa de toda a coorte. Para redefinição de IAM foram utilizados como ponto de corte valores pico de TnT > 0,2 mg/dl. Os desfechos avaliados foram classificados como eventos cardíacos maiores (angina recorrente, insuficiência cardíaca congestiva, choque cardiogênico e óbito) e como procedimentos de revascularização. Também foram avaliados o manejo prescrito, os custos e o faturamento hospitalar. Resultados: Nos 363 pacientes com marcadores dosados, foram diagnosticados 59 casos de IAM (16%) pelos critérios clássicos; enquanto 40 pacientes (11%) tiveram o diagnóstico de IAM pelo critério redefinido, o que corresponde a um incremento de 71% na incidência. Pacientes com IAM redefinido eram significativamente mais idosos e do sexo masculino, apresentaram mais dor atípica e diabetes mellitus. Na análise multivariada, pacientes com infarto redefinido tiveram um risco 5,1 [IC 95% 1,0-28] vezes maior para óbito hospitalar e 3,4 [IC 95% 1,1-10] vezes maior para eventos combinados em relação aqueles sem IAM. O manejo dos casos de IAM redefinido foi semelhante ao manejo daqueles com IAM tradicional, exceto pelos procedimentos de revascularização que foram menos freqüentes (25% vs. 51%, P < 0,001). O grupo com IAM redefinido permaneceu mais tempo internado e foi submetido a procedimentos mais tardiamente. Do ponto de vista institucional, o uso dos novos critérios para IAM poderia resultar em um aumento de 9% (mais R$ 2.756,00 por grupo de 100 pacientes avaliados) no faturamento baseado em diagnóstico segundo a tabela do SUS. Conclusões: O novo diagnóstico de IAM acrescenta um número expressivo de indivíduos com infarto aos serviços de emergência. A incorporação deste critério é importante na medida que estes pacientes têm um prognóstico semelhante aos demais casos tradicionalmente diagnosticados. Como a identificação destes casos poderia resultar em um manejo mais qualificado e eficiente destes pacientes, esforços deveriam ser adotados para reforçar a adoção da redefinição de IAM.

Prevalência de vírus respiratório em pacientes atendidos por asma aguda na sala de emergência

Introdução: As infecções virais do trato respiratório (IVTR) têm sido freqüentemente identificadas em associação com asma aguda (AA) em crianças, porém poucos estudos têm mostrado resultados similares em adultos com asma. Objetivos: Avaliar a prevalência de infecção viral na asma aguda em pacientes atendidos no setor de adultos do departamento de emergência (DE), comparando as características entre os grupos com amostras positivas e negativas para os vírus respiratórios. Material e Métodos: Conduzimos um estudo transversal de pacientes que se apresentaram com AA no setor de adultos do DE (idade igual ou maior que 12 anos) do Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre. Um aspirado nasofaríngeo foi obtido para detecção de antígeno com a técnica de coloração de imunofluorescência indireta (vírus sincicial respiratório, adenovírus, influenza e parainfluenza tipo 1, 2, 3 e 4). Foram coletados dados referentes a características demográficas, medicações regulares, história médica pregressa, crise que levou à atual visita ao DE e desfechos da crise. Resultados: No período de março de 2004 a novembro de 2005, 111 pacientes foram examinados para IVTR. Foram identificados vírus respiratórios em 15 pacientes (8 com Adenovírus, 1 com RSV, 2 com Influenza A, e 4 com Parainfluenza tipo 1). Utilizando a análise de regressão logística, as variáveis com (p < 0,10), índice de massa corporal (IMC) e febre no domicilio, foram significativamente associados à identificação de vírus respiratório. Sessenta e seis por cento dos pacientes com IVTR apresentaram febre no domicílio, enquanto que somente 27% dos pacientes sem infecção viral apresentaram febre a domicílio, (p = 0,006). Não houve outra diferença significativa nas características clínicas, tempo de permanência e desfechos. Conclusão: Este estudo mostra uma prevalência de 13,5% de IVTR na AA em pacientes com idade igual ou maior que 12 anos atendidos na sala de emergência, confirmando a infecção viral como importante desencadeante nesta faixa etária. Dentre as características clínicas estudadas, febre no domicílio e IMC elevado, apresentam maior chance de identificação viral positiva.

Treinamento muscular inspiratório para asma: revisão sistemática com metanálise

In asthmatic, the lung hyperinflation leaves the inspiratory muscle at a suboptimal position in length-tension relationship, reducing the capacity of to generate tension. The increase in transversal section area of the inspiratory muscles could reverse or delay the deterioration of inspiratory muscle function. Objective: To evaluate the evidence for the efficacy of inspiratory muscle training (IMT) with an external resistive device in patients with asthma. Methods: A systematic review with meta-analysis was carried out. The sources researched were the Cochrane Airways Group Specialised Register of trials, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (The Cochrane Library Issue 11 of 12, 2012), MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO, CINAHL, AMED, ClinicalTrials.gov and reference lists of articles. All databases were searched from their inception up to November 2012 and there was no restriction on the language of publication. Randomised controlled trials that involved the use of an external inspiratory muscle training device versus a control (sham or no inspiratory training device) were considered for inclusion. Two reviewers independently selected articles for inclusion, evaluated risk of bias in studies and extracted data. Results: A total of five studies involving 113 asthmatic patients were included. Three clinical trials were produced by the same group. The included studies showed a significant increase in maximal inspiratory pressure (MD 13.34 cmH2O, 95% CI 4.70 to 21.98), although the confidence intervals were wide. There was no statistically significant difference between the IMT group and the control group for maximal expiratory pressure, peak expiratory flow rate, forced expiratory volume in one second, forced vital capacity, sensation of dyspnea and use of beta2-agonist. There were no studies describing exacerbation events that required a course of oral and inhaled corticosteroids or emergency department visits, inspiratory muscle endurance, hospital admissions and days of work or school. Conclusions: There is no conclusive evidence in this review to support or refute inspiratory muscle training for asthma, once the evidence was limited by the small number of studies included, number of participants in them together with the risk of bias. More well conducted randomized controlled trials are needed, such trials should investigate respiratory muscle strength, exacerbation rate, lung function, symptoms, hospital admissions, use of medications and days off work or school. IMT should also be assessed in the context of more severe asthma

Plantão psicológico no Brasil (1997-2009): saberes e práticas compartilhados

O objetivo deste trabalho foi investigar a produção científica sobre Plantão Psicológico no Brasil, entre 1997 e 2009, através de pesquisa em bases eletrônicas de dados científicos, utilizando o descritor "plantão psicológico". Obtiveram-se 38 resumos, analisados a partir das seguintes categorias: distribuição, autoria, filiação institucional, fonte, ano, suporte de publicação, população alvo, enfoque teórico, natureza do trabalho e região geográfica do país. Os resultados sugerem que as bases eletrônicas de dados constituem atualmente importante fonte de acesso à produção brasileira sobre Plantão Psicológico. Verifica-se uma prevalência na produção sobre o assunto na Região Sudeste, assim como na utilização da Abordagem Centrada na Pessoa, revelando maior ênfase em pesquisa relacionada à dissertação, com predominância de produção em 2005 e 2006.

Avaliação dos parâmetros gasométricos dos traumatizados durante o atendimento pré-hospitalar móvel

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate gasometric differences of severe trauma patients requiring intubation in prehospital care. METHODS: Patients requiring airway management were submitted to collection of arterial blood samples at the beginning of pre-hospital care and at arrival at the Emergency Room. We analyzed: Glasgow Coma Scale, respiratory rate, arterial pH, arterial partial pressure of CO2 (PaCO2), arterial partial pressure of O2 (PaO2), base excess (BE), hemoglobin O2 saturation (SpO2) and the relation of PaO2 and inspired O2 (PaO2/FiO2). RESULTS: There was statistical significance of the mean differences between the data collected at the site of the accident and at the entrance of the ER as for respiratory rate (p = 0.0181), Glasgow Coma Scale (p = 0.0084), PaO2 (p <0.0001) and SpO2 (p = 0.0018). CONCLUSION: tracheal intubation changes the parameters PaO2 and SpO2. There was no difference in metabolic parameters (pH, bicarbonate and base excess). In the analysis of blood gas parameters between survivors and non-survivors there was statistical difference between PaO2, hemoglobin oxygen saturation and base excess.

Divergências entre histórico da consulta e diagnóstico médico de agressões físicas registradas nos prontuários de uma unidade de urgência e emergência

There can be several indicators of violence in society. However, in no other health unit such violence acquires visibility as in emergency. This study aimed to examine whether there is divergence between the history of medical consultation and diagnosis of physical aggressions in the emergency unit. A cross-sectional study was conducted in an emergency unit in the city of Araçatuba, state of São Paulo, Brazil, based on medical records, considering data on patients, lesions, history, diagnosis and treatment. Out of 133,537 visits, only 153 were recorded as physical aggressions, and 161 informed violence in the history of the consultation; 59.6% were male, 60.6% were between 20 and 44 years old. Excoriations, pain and injury predominated. There were no associations between state violence in the diagnosis and the characteristics of patients and visits (schedule, routing, gender, age). The conclusion is that in most cases violence reported in the history of the consultation was not mentioned in the diagnosis of injuries. The characteristics of care and patients were not related to the fact that professionals diagnosed the case as violence.

Acidentes na infância atendidos no pronto socorro de pediatria do Hospital das Clínicas de Botucatu que motivaram internação

Accidents represent a major public health problem as they are frequent, preventable, and account for high morbidity and mortality rates. Children are the most vulnerable to accidents due to their inherent characteristics, and as a result of their physical, sensorial, psychomotor and cognitive limitations, which will only develop with time. Watchfulness and careful attention are of paramount importance, especially as children develop locomotor skills that are accompanied by curiosity about their surroundings. Child accidents, particularly those that could have been avoided, are the accidents most commonly seen in emergency and urgency departments. Urgency and emergency departments are the greatest allies in the attention to pediatric accidents as they offer adequate, immediate and specific high complexity care to patients at risk, viewing their vital stabilization. Investigating the causes and consequences of this insult is essential to establish a diagnosis and to contribute for the adoption of measures of prevention, control, and assistance. To identify the epidemiologic characteristics of the accidents involving children that received care at the pediatric emergency department of Botucatu Medical School Hospital and required hospitalization. This quantitative, retrospective, descriptiveanalytic epidemiologic study included all children aged 0-14 years who had had an accident and were seen at the Pediatric Emergency Department of Botucatu Medical School Hospital of São Paulo State University/UNESP between January 1/2008 and December 31/2009. A total of 227 medical charts were reviewed and 178 (78.4%) patients were included in this study. Of these, 116 (65.1%) were males and 62 (34.8%) were females. Children aged 5 - 9 years (38.9%) were the most affected, followed by those aged 10 - 14 years (37.5%). Fractures occurred in 138 (77.5%) of the cases, followed by foreign bodies... (Complete abstract click electronic access below)

Proposta de um dispositivo para ajuste automático da altura de uma cama hospitalar

This paper proposes a mechanical device to adapt a simple model of hospital bed used in the Emergency Department at Santa Casa of Guaratinguetá, allowing the bed’s height adjustment with electromechanical drive. This adaptation aims to introduce improvements in the routine work of nurses and reduce ergonomic problems stemming from repetitive strain during the transfer of patients to stretchers and wheelchairs, as well as providing more comfort to the bedridden patient. The device is mainly composed of: an electric induction motor used to drive the engine, a steel spindle with square thread, which allows axial displacement of the bed, a transmission system with pulleys and belt, which transmits power supplied by the motor to the spindle. The mechanism allows the height of the bed is regulated between 400 and 800 mm. The estimated implementation cost of this proposal is lower than the acquisition cost of a commercial hospital bed with the same features, which confirms the feasibility of the proposed solution

Acute kidney injury after massive attack of Africanised bees

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a well-documented complication of massive attack by Africanised bees and can be observed 48-72 h after the accident. We report a case of Africanised bees attack followed by severe and lethal AKI. A 56-year-old man was admitted to emergency department after a massive attack of Africanised bees (>1000 bee stings). He was unconscious, presenting with hypotension and tachycardia. Mechanical ventilation, volume expansion and care for anaphylaxis were instituted. The patient was transferred to the intensive care unit (ICU) and after 48 h he developed rhabdomyolysis, oliguria, increased creatinine levels, hyperkalaemia and refractory acidosis. A diagnosis of AKI secondary to rhabdomyolysis and shock was made. The patient was treated with a prolonged course of haemodialysis. However, he progressed to refractory shock and died 5 days after admission.