Adjusting to external imbalances within the EMU, the case of Portugal

From 1995 to 2010 Portugal has accumulated a negative international asset position of 110 percent of GDP. In a developed and aging economy the number is astonishing and any argument to consider it sustainable must rely on extremely favorable forecasts on growth. Portuguese policy options are reduced in number: no autonomous monetary policy, no currency to devaluate, and limited discretion in changing fiscal deficits and government debt. To start the necessary deleveraging a remaining possible policy is a budget-neutral change of the tax structure that increases private saving and net exports. An increase in the VAT and a decrease in the employer’s social security contribution tax can achieve the desired outcome in the short run if they are complemented with wage moderation. To obtain a substantial improvement in competitiveness and a large decrease in consumption, the changes in the tax rates have to be large. While a precise quantitative assessment is difficult, the initial increase in the effective VAT rate needed to allow the social security tax to decrease by 16 percentage points (pp) is approximately 10 pp. Such a large increase in the effective VAT rate could be obtained by raising most of the reduced VAT rates to the new general VAT rate of 23 percent. The empirical analysis shows that over time the suggested tax swap could generate surpluses and improve the trade balance. A temporary version of the suggested tax-swap has the attractiveness to achieve a sharper increase in the private saving rate maintaining the short run gains in competitiveness. Finally, the temporary version of the fiscal devaluation could be the basis for an automatic stabilizer to external imbalances within a monetary union.Portugal has been running large current account deficits every year since 1995. These deficits have accumulated to an astonishing 110 percent of GDP negative external asset position. The sustainability of such a large external position is questionable and must rely on fantastic productivity growth expectations. The recent global financial crisis appears to have anticipated the international investors reality check on those future expectations with the result of a large increase in the cost of external financing. Today the rebalancing of the current account through an increase in national savings and an improvement in competitiveness must be at the top of the Portuguese authorities “to do” list as the cost of a pull out from international investors is of the order of 10% of GDP. The external rebalancing is difficult as the degrees of freedom of the Portuguese authorities are limited in number: they have no autonomous monetary policy, no currency to devaluate, and little discretion in fiscal policy as deficit limits and debt targets are set by the Stability Growth Pact and the postcrisis consensus on medium-term fiscal consolidation. One possibility that remains is to change the fiscal policy mix for a given budget deficit. The purpose of this paper is to explore the effects of a “fiscal devaluation”1 obtained through a tax swap between employers’ social security contributions and taxes on consumption2. The paper begins by illustrating Portugal’s current account evolution during the euro period. The second section section lays out a model to offer a qualitative assessment of the dynamic outcomes of the the tax swap. I show that the suggested tax swap can in theory achieve the desired outcomes in terms of competitiveness and consumption if complemented with moderation (stickiness) in wages. I also study the effects of a temporary version of the tax swap and show that it achieves a sharper improvement in the current account that accelerate the rebalancing. The third section moves to the empirical analysis and estimates the likely effects of the tax swap for the Portuguese economy. The fourth section concludes.

Drivers of participation in collaborative consumption ventures

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Data fusion with computational intelligence techniques: a case study of fuzzy inference for terrain assessment

Dissertação apresentada para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Electrotécnica e de Computadores, pela Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia

Development of a satellite based PM10 concentration product for urban areas

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Engenharia do Ambiente

Spectroscopic characterization of natural dyes by their non-invasive identification on pre-Columbian codices: the Maya yellow

Mesoamerican cultures had a strong tradition of written and pictorial manuscripts, called the codices. In studies already performed it was found the use of Maya Blue, made from a mixture of indigo and a clay called palygorskite, forming an incredibly stable material where the dye is trapped inside the nanotubes of the clay, after heating. However, a bigger challenge lies in the study of the yellows used, for these civilizations might have used this clay-dye mixture to produce their yellow colorants. As a first step, it was possible to provide identification, by non-invasive methods, of two colorants (a flavonoid and a carotenoid). While the flavonoid absorbed between 368-379 nm, the carotenoid would absorb around 455 nm. A temperature study also conducted allowed to set 140ºC as the desirable temperature to heat the samples without degrading them. FT-IR, conventional Raman and SERS allowed us to understand the existence of a reaction between the dyes and the clays (palygorskite and kaolinite), however it is difficult to understand it in a molecular point of view. As a second step, five species of Mexican dyes were selected on the basis of historical sources. The Maya yellow samples were produced adapting the recipe proposed by Reyes-Valerio, supporting the yellow dyes extracted from the dried plants on the clays, with addition of water, and then heated at 140ºC. It was found that the addition of water in palygorskite would increase the pH, hence deprotonating the molecules having a clear negative effect in the color. A second recipe was developed, without the addition of water; however, it was found that the use of water based binders would still alter the color of the samples with palygorskite. In this case, kaolinite without heating yield better results as a Maya yellow hybrid. It was found that the Maya chemistry might not have been the same for all the colors. The Mesoamericans might have found that different dyes could work better to their desires if matched with different clays. It was noticeable that for a clear distinction between flavonoids and carotenoids the reflectance and emission studies suffice, but when clay is added, Raman techniques will perform better. For this reason, conventional Raman and SERS were employed in order to create a database for the Mesoamerican dyestuffs for a future identification.

Statistics as a basis for discrimination in the insurance business

The European Court of Justice has held that as from 21 December 2012 insurers may no longer charge men and women differently on the basis of scientific evidence that is statistically linked to their sex, effectively prohibiting the use of sex as a factor in the calculation of premiums and benefits for the purposes of insurance and related financial services throughout the European Union. This ruling marks a sharp turn away from the traditional view that insurers should be allowed to apply just about any risk assessment criterion, so long as it is sustained by the findings of actuarial science. The naïveté behind the assumption that insurers’ recourse to statistical data and probabilistic analysis, given their scientific nature, would suffice to keep them out of harm’s way was exposed. In this article I look at the flaws of this assumption and question whether this judicial decision, whilst constituting a most welcome landmark in the pursuit of equality between men and women, has nonetheless gone too far by saying too little on the million dollar question of what separates admissible criteria of differentiation from inadmissible forms of discrimination.

A consumer research project as the basis for the development of a marketing plan for a new spirit brand producing gin in Germany

This work project is about developing a marketing plan for a new gin brand in Germany. It is based on consumer and market research, including Portugal as a trend market for the qualitative research. For the undertaking it is seen as fundamental to understand the industry as well as the consumer needs, attitudes and preferences. Furthermore, it is important to consider the estimation of opinion leaders and trendsetters in the industry. In this context it turned out that barkeepers have a key-influencing role for the stimulation of demand. Based on the insights from this research as well as on the gained market knowledge, the marketing plan was developed. The goal is to convince other brand users to switch brands.

The cellular basis of a congenital heart defect Drosophila

RESUMO: Mutações em genes envolvidos na formação do coração e anomalias em qualquer etapa deste processo causam frequentemente malformações cardíacas, que representam o tipo mais comum de defeitos em neonatais, afetando cerca de 1% dos nascimentos por ano. Assim, estima-se que 20 milhões de pessoas sejam portadoras de um defeito cardíaco congénito. O coração da Drosophila melanogaster (mosca-da-fruta), denominado vaso dorsal, é um órgão relativamente simples que actua como uma bomba muscular, contraindo automaticamente para permitir a circulação da hemolinfa através do corpo. A formação do vaso dorsal na mosca é muito semelhante ao desenvolvimento do coração em vertebrados, representando por isso, um poderoso modelo para estudar a rede de genes e os padrões regulatórios relacionados com o desenvolvimento deste órgão. Anteriormente, nós identificámos um gene em Drosophila, darhgef10, fortemente expresso no coração em desenvolvimento e cuja deleção induz anormalidades cardíacas subtis mas prevalentes. Os mutantes para darhgef10 são viáveis e férteis no ambiente controlado de laboratório. Este trabalho teve como objectivos caracterizar fenotipicamente os mutantes nulos para darhgef10, determinar a localização subcelular da proteína dArhgef10 e investigar a base celular subjacente ao defeito no alinhamento dos cardioblastos observado nos mutantes. Os nossos resultados revelaram que a deleção de darhgef10 provoca uma severa redução da viabilidade, sem no entanto comprometer o tempo de desenvolvimento e a longevidade. Por outro lado, o aumento da expressão de darhgef10 em músculos, glândulas salivares e no disco imaginal do olho afeta drasticamente a integridade destes tecidos. A expressão ectópica de darhgef10 in vitro e in vivo revelou que a proteína está localiza no citoplasma com enriquecimento junto à membrana celular, com associação à actina F. Live imaging de embriões mutantes para darhgef10 revelou que os defeitos observados no coração podem estar associados a um defeito na adesão dos músculos alary e/ou das células pericardiais ao vaso dorsal. O homólogo humano de darhgef10, ARHGEF10, também é expresso no coração e está associação a uma maior susceptibilidade para a ocorrência de acidentes vasculares cerebrais aterotrombóticos, sugerindo que o que aprendemos sobre darhgef10 em Drosophila pode ter implicações do ponto de vista clínico para a saúde humana. ----------------------------- ABSTRACT: Mutations in genes controlling heart development and abnormalities in any of its steps frequently cause cardiac malformations, the most common type of birth defects in humans, affecting nearly 1% of births per year. Hence around 20 million adults are expected to live with a congenital heart defect. The Drosophila melanogaster heart, called dorsal vessel, is a relatively simple organ that acts as a muscular pump contracting automatically to allow the circulation of hemolymph. Drosophila heart formation shares many similarities with heart development in vertebrates providing a powerful system to study gene networks and regulatory pathways involved in heart development. We have previously identified a Drosophila gene, darhgef10, which is strongly expressed in the developing heart and when deleted, leads to flies with highly prevalent yet subtle heart abnormalities, compatible with unchallenged life in the laboratory. Our aims were to phenotypically characterize homozygous null darhgef10 mutants, characterize the subcellular localization of dArhgef10 and to study the cellular basis of the misaligned cardioblasts defect. We found that about half of darhgef10 mutants die during development. However, the survivors surprisingly have a nearly normal developmental time, adult locomotor behavior and total lifespan. Detection of transgene-derived dArhgef10 protein in vitro and in vivo using custom antibodies revealed a cytosolic protein slightly enriched in the cellular membranes and associated with F-actin. Tissue-specific darhgef10 expression disrupts the normal morphology of developing muscles, salivary glands and the eye. Live imaging of darhgef10 mutant embryos revealed that heart defect could be caused by a reduced capacity of attachment of pericardial cells and/or alary muscle to dorsal vessel. The human homolog of darhgef10 is also expressed in the heart and is a susceptibility gene for atherothrombotic stroke, suggesting that what we learn about the function of this gene and its phenotypes in Drosophila could have implications to human health.

EDP inovcity pilot study proposal: A set-top box interface

In this work I propose an additional test to be implemented in EDP’s residential electricity use feedback trials, under InovCity’s project scope. The proposed product to be tested consists of an interface between the smart meter and the television, through a set-top box. I provide a theoretical framework of the importance of feedback, an analysis of results from past studies involving smart metering, and a detailed description of my proposal. The results of a self-developed questionnaire related to the proposal and segmentation issues are also analyzed. Finally, general conclusions are drawn and potential future improvements and challenges are presented.

A proposta de regulamento relativo a um direito europeu comum da compra e venda e as suas implicações no direito português

We have witnessed in recent years, an obvious effort by the competent European institutions, towards the harmonization of general law applicable to all Member States (MS's). Many developments have been registered in several areas of law, a europeanization process that aims to add value to cross-border transactions and, consequently, the internal market and european trade. This trend manifests itself in general to the private law level, and particularly in contract law. The extension of the field in which market participants - whether professionals or consumers - can act, must imperatively be articulated with a consequent wider protection. After all, the consumer is also a leading European purposes and its level should not be called into question for the sake of promoting trade. The link between the positions of two opposing parties, professionals and consumers, requires commitment and work reinforced by the institutions but only on that basis is consistent legislative production. The proposed Regulation on a Common European Sales Law of the sale, the European Commission, set focus to European contract law and raises questions about the relevance and necessity of such uniformity. An instrument for purposes of harmonization of European contract law, that can be applied to all cross-border consumer contracts, similar in all MS's certainly bring many benefits. However, its applicability and usefulness would depend on the level of protection that would provide, compared to the existing national rights. Would an optional instrument ensure the designs of a common law? Moreover, would a binding instrument be the best alternative in that sense? Keywords:

Production and characterization of Chitin-Glucan Complex by Komagataella pastoris

This thesis was focused on the production, extraction and characterization of chitin:β-glucan complex (CGC). In this process, glycerol byproduct from the biodiesel industry was used as carbon source. The selected CGC producing yeast was Komagataella pastoris (formerly known as Pichia pastoris), due the fact that to achieved high cell densities using as carbon source glycerol from the biodiesel industry. Firstly, a screening of K. pastoris strains was performed in shake flask assays, in order to select the strain of K. pastoris with better performance, in terms of growth, using glycerol as a carbon source. K. pastoris strain DSM 70877 achieved higher final cell densities (92-97 g/l), using pure glycerol (99%, w/v) and in glycerol from the biodiesel industry (86%, w/v), respectively, compared to DSM 70382 strain (74-82 g/l). Based on these shake flask assays results, the wild type DSM 70877 strain was selected to proceed for cultivation in a 2 l bioreactor, using glycerol byproduct (40 g/l), as sole carbon source. Biomass production by K. pastoris was performed under controlled temperature and pH (30.0 ºC and 5.0, respectively). More than 100 g/l biomass was obtained in less than 48 h. The yield of biomass on a glycerol basis was 0.55 g/g during the batch phase and 0.63 g/g during the fed-batch phase. In order to optimize the downstream process, by increasing extraction and purification efficiency of CGC from K. pastoris biomass, several assays were performed. It was found that extraction with 5 M NaOH at 65 ºC, during 2 hours, associated to neutralization with HCl, followed by successive washing steps with deionised water until conductivity of ≤20μS/cm, increased CGC purity. The obtained copolymer, CGCpure, had a chitin:glucan molar ratio of 25:75 mol% close to commercial CGC samples extracted from A. niger mycelium, kiOsmetine from Kitozyme (30:70 mol%). CGCpure was characterized by solid-state Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (NMR) spectroscopy and Differential Scanning Calorimetry (DCS), revealing a CGC with higher purity than a CGC commercial (kiOsmetine). In order to optimize CGC production, a set of batch cultivation experiments was performed to evaluate the effect of pH (3.5–6.5) and temperature (20–40 ºC) on the specific cell growth rate, CGC production and polymer composition. Statistical tools (response surface methodology and central composite design) were used. The CGC content in the biomass and the volumetric productivity (rp) were not significantly affected within the tested pH and temperature ranges. In contrast, the effect of pH and temperature on the CGC molar ratio was more pronounced. The highest chitin: β-glucan molar ratio (> 14:86) was obtained for the mid-range pH (4.5-5.8) and temperatures (26–33 ºC). The ability of K. pastoris to synthesize CGC with different molar ratios as a function of pH and temperature is a feature that can be exploited to obtain tailored polymer compositions.(...)

Ecstasy intoxication: the toxicological basis for treatment

Youngsters are increasingly using 3,4 methylenedioxymethamphetamine, known as ecstasy, because it is wrongly believed that it does not induce harm. However, there are many reports of adverse effects, including acute intoxication, abuse potential, and possible neurotoxic effects. Therefore, health care providers need to promptly recognize the symptoms of systemic intoxication in order to initiate early treatment. The drug is used by the oral route for long hours during crowded dance parties. Acutely, ecstasy increases the release of serotonin and decreases its reuptake, leading to hypertension, hyperthermia, trismus, and vomiting. There is debate on whether recreational doses of ecstasy cause permanent damage to human serotonergic neurons. Ecstasy users showed a high risk of developing psychopathological disturbances. The prolonged use of ecstasy might induce dependence, characterized by tolerance and hangover. Acute ecstasy intoxication needs emergency-type treatment to avoid the dose-dependent increase in adverse reactions and in severity of complications. There are no specific antidotes to be used during acute intoxication. Supportive measures and medical treatment for each one of the complications should be implemented, keeping in mind that symptoms originate mainly from the central nervous system and the cardiovascular system.

Assessment of a novel Cu (II) complex as a potential anticancer agent

Widely used in cancer treatment, chemotherapy still faces hindering challenges, ranging from severe induced toxicity to drug resistance acquisition. As means to overcome these setbacks, newly synthetized compounds have recently come into play with the basis of improved pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic properties. With this mind-set, this project aimed towards the antiproliferative potential characterization of a group of metallic compounds. Additionally the incorporation of the compounds within a nanoformulation and within new combination strategies with commercial chemotherapeutic drugs was also envisaged. Cell viability assays presented copper (II) compound (K4) as the most promising, presenting an IC50 of 6.10 μM and 19.09 μM for HCT116 and A549 cell line respectively. Exposure in fibroblasts revealed a 9.18 μM IC50. Hoechst staining assays further revealed the compound’s predisposition to induce chromatin condensation and nuclear fragmentation in HCT116 upon exposure to K4 which was later demonstrated by flow cytometry and annexin V-FITC/propidium iodide double staining analysis (under 50 % cell death induction). The compound further revealed the ability to interact with major macromolecules such as DNA (Kb = 2.17x105 M-1), inducing structural brakes and retardation, and further affecting cell cycle progression revealing delay in S-phase. Moreover BSA interactions were also visible however not conclusive. Proteome profiling revealed overexpression of proteins involved in metabolic activity and underexpression of proteins involved in apoptosis thus corroborating Hoechst and apoptosis flow cytometry data. K4 nanoformulation suffered from several hindrances and was ill succeeded in part due to K4’s poor solubility in aqueous buffers. Other approaches were considered in this regard. Combined chemotherapy assays revealed high cytotoxicity for afatinib and lapatinib strategies. Lapatinib and K4 proteome profiling further revealed high apoptosis rates, high metabolic activity and activation of redundant proteins as part of compensatory mechanisms.

How aspiring filmmakers cope with unexpected events on set

Making the transition between plans and unexpected occurrences is something organizations are used to doing every day. However, not much is known about how actors cope with unanticipated events and how they accommodate them within predefined schedules. In this study, we draw on an inductive analysis of aspiring filmmakers’ film sets to elaborate on how they plan their shooting activities every day, only to adjust them when unforeseen complications arise. We discover that film crews anchor their expectations for the day based on a planned shooting schedule, yet they incorporate a built-in assumption that it will inevitably be disrupted. We argue that they resort to triage processes and “troubleshooting protocols” that help decipher incoming problems. Familiar problems are solved by making use of experience obtained from past situations, whereas unprecedented problems are solved through a tacit protocol used as a tool to quickly devise an appropriate game plan. This study contributes to the literature on sense-making and provides valuable information about the unexplored world of filmmaking.

Regret associated with past and future messes under a maximizing mind-set

Promotions can make you happy if you get the “best” deal or miserable if you miss it. Previous research on this topic has shown that people favor products associated with a past miss to products associated with a future miss, and people in a maximizing mind-set, i.e. people who search for the best in different domains, feel more regret in a consumption domain. This research confirms that consumers prefer purchasing a product associated with a past miss (Experiments 1 and 2) and that regret levels are higher when participants come across the future miss, under the maximizing mind-set (Experiment 2). These studies add to the notion that information on regret might prompt people to make decisions towards a more optimistic outcome.