On the performance of small-area estimators: Fixed vs. random area parameters

Most methods for small-area estimation are based on composite estimators derived from design- or model-based methods. A composite estimator is a linear combination of a direct and an indirect estimator with weights that usually depend on unknown parameters which need to be estimated. Although model-based small-area estimators are usually based on random-effects models, the assumption of fixed effects is at face value more appropriate.Model-based estimators are justified by the assumption of random (interchangeable) area effects; in practice, however, areas are not interchangeable. In the present paper we empirically assess the quality of several small-area estimators in the setting in which the area effects are treated as fixed. We consider two settings: one that draws samples from a theoretical population, and another that draws samples from an empirical population of a labor force register maintained by the National Institute of Social Security (NISS) of Catalonia. We distinguish two types of composite estimators: a) those that use weights that involve area specific estimates of bias and variance; and, b) those that use weights that involve a common variance and a common squared bias estimate for all the areas. We assess their precision and discuss alternatives to optimizing composite estimation in applications.

Sobrevivência de pupas de Lucilia eximia (Wiedemann) (Diptera, Calliphoridae) após submersão em laboratório

Entre Maio e Junho de 2008 foi observado a sobrevivência das pupas de Lucilia eximia (Diptera, Calliphoridae) após submersão em laboratório. Para este experimento foram utilizadas 480 pupas de mesma idade, sendo estas divididas em oito grupos: o controle não foi submerso e os demais grupos foram submersos de um a sete dias. O aumento do período de submersão diminui a sobrevivência, com um dia de submersão a sobrevivência é de 80%, com dois dias 40%, é de 30% a partir do terceiro dia, no quarto dia cai para 23,34% e no quinto dia fica em 10%. Após este período a mortalidade sobe para 100%. Este padrão pode ser explicado pela curva "U-shaped" que ocorre no consumo de O2 durante o período pupal, onde o consumo é maior no início e no final do período pupal. O tempo de submersão também afeta o tempo de desenvolvimento, aumentando o período pupal. Estes dados têm o potencial para serem utilizados em investigações envolvendo Entomologia Forense, para a estimativa do tempo de submersão de um cadáver.

Rate of development of forensically-important Dipterain southern Brazil

Dipteran larvae were collected from rabbit (Oryctolagus cunniculus L.) carcasses during the four seasons in 2005 in the southernmost state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. The larvae were fed ground beef at ambient temperatures following collection from carcasses. The development of each species under these conditions was estimated. The most abundant species in the carcasses were Lucilia eximia (Wiedemann) and Chrysomya albiceps (Wiedemann) (Calliphoridae), and they were found in all seasons. The data were fitted to a linear model that describes the relationship between temperature and linear developmental rating. These two species are primary forensic indicators in southern Brazil. Other species such as Hemilucilia semidiaphana (Rondani) (Calliphoridae), Synthesiomyia nudiseta (Wulp), Muscina stabulans (Fallen) (Muscidae), and Fannia pusio (Wiedemann) (Fanniidae) were forensically less important because they only occurred in high frequency in certain seasons and during the first days of carcass decomposition.

Improving small area estimation by combining surveys: new perspectives in regional statistics

A national survey designed for estimating a specific population quantity is sometimes used for estimation of this quantity also for a small area, such as a province. Budget constraints do not allow a greater sample size for the small area, and so other means of improving estimation have to be devised. We investigate such methods and assess them by a Monte Carlo study. We explore how a complementary survey can be exploited in small area estimation. We use the context of the Spanish Labour Force Survey (EPA) and the Barometer in Spain for our study.

Effect of silicon and acibenzolar-s-methyl on colored cotton plants infested or not with Aphis gossypii Glover (Hemiptera, Aphididae)

Effect of silicon and acibenzolar-s-methyl on colored cotton plants infested or not with Aphis gossypii Glover (Hemiptera, Aphididae). The aphid Aphis gossypii is an insect pest that causes damage mainly at the beginning of the cotton plant development. The effect of resistance inductors silicon and acibenzolar-s-methyl (ASM) on the development of colored cotton plants were researched in the presence and absence of A. gossypii. Three colored cotton cultivars were sown in pots and individually infested with 25 apterous aphids, 13 days after the application of the inductors. Fifteen days after plant emergence, the silicon was applied at a dosage equivalent to 3 t/ha and acibenzolar-s-methyl in 0.2% solution of the product BION 500®. After 21 days of infestation the following parameters were evaluated: plant height, stem diameter, dry matter of aerial part and root, and total number of aphids replaced. It was verified that the plant height was reduced in the presence of aphids and all variables were negatively affected by the application of ASM. However, silicon did not affect plant development.

Médicalisation de la société et durabilité des systèmes de santé

La thématique de la médicalisation de la vie et de la société remonte au début du siècle passé lorsque la génialité de Jules Romains fait dire au docteur Knock que "les biens portants ne sont que des malades qui s'ignorent", successivement en 1976, lors d'un interview à la revue économique Fortune, Henry Gadsen, CEO de MSD, déclara que son rêve était de produire des médicaments pour les biens portants (rêve aujourd'hui déjà abondamment réalisé), plus récemment un "incipit" d'un article paru sur le British Medical Journal du 13 avril 2002 nous rappelait qu'on peut faire beaucoup d'argent si l'on arrive a convaincre les bienportants qu'en réalité ils sont des malades. En Suisse, en 1996 déjà, Alex Müller, président de l'Académie Suisse des Sciences Médicales, constatait que "nous souffrons en Suisse d'une surmédicalisation; les contradictions d'une société surmédicalisée rendent nécessaire une redéfinition des objectifs qui passe par la triple révision des pratiques, du développement scientifique et des valeurs de la santé". [Auteur]

Copepod distributions on the Peru shelf at 9° S during november 1977

Analiza las distribuciones de copépodos en la plataforma continental peruana a los 9°S con un contador electrónico de zooplancton.

Spatial and temporal variability of chlorophyll distributions and geostrophic estimates on the Peru shelf at 9°S

Estudio del perfil de la plataforma del Peru a los 9°S. Datos colectados mediante Batfish en zig zag

Áreas de pesca de la flota artesanal de la caleta Santa Rosa, Chiclayo, Perú. 1996-1998

Información sobre la actividad extractiva de la flota pesquera artesanal en la caleta Santa Rosa de Chiclayo, el periodo de estudio comprende de el segundo semestre de 1996 hasta el primer semestre de 1998, donde se presentan la ubicación de 11 especies más comercializadas.

Biological aspects of Leucothyreus alvarengai Frey and Leucothyreus aff. semipruinosus Ohaus (Coleoptera, Melolonthidae, Rutelinae) in crop succession at central Brazil

Biological aspects of Leucothyreus alvarengai Frey and Leucothyreus aff. semipruinosus Ohaus (Coleoptera, Melolonthidae, Rutelinae) in crop succession at central Brazil. Beetles of the family Melolonthidae make up a large group and some species are considered pests of planted crops. Little information is available on the basic biological aspects of the genus Leucothyreus, such as association with cultivated crops and their occurrence periods. Therefore studies were developed in soybean and corn crops in Tangará da Serra, Mato Grosso, Brazil, with the objective of studying the occurrence and biological aspects of Leucothyreus alvarengai Frey and Leucothyreus aff. semipruinosus Ohaus. For acquisition of immature specimens of both species, in April 2011 sampling was performed in corn fields, in July and October in the fallow area, and in soybeans fields planted in December; in 2012 sampling was performed in January and February in soybean fields and in March in corn fields. In 2011 the total number of larvae obtained in April, July, October and December were 100, 6, 30 and 27, and in January, February and March of 2012 these quantities were 32, 52 and 65 larvae, respectively. In all sampling events the larvae of L. alvarengai were collected in greater quantity. At the beginning of the reproductive period of L. alvarengai and L. aff. semipruinosus, it was observed that the adults began to fly and soon after started oviposition in the field in September. The appearance of larvae coincides with the time of soybean planting in the field, thus the larvae feed on roots of soybean plants at the beginning of their development and the cycle from egg to adult of the two species was completed in one year.

La anchoveta y otros recursos pelágicos en el mar peruano a fines de 1999. Crucero BICs José Olaya Balandra y SNP-2 9911-12

Se observaron los cambios en la distribución, estructura poblacional y biomasa de los principales recursos pelágicos.

Diagnóstico y estado de la macroalga parda aracanto Lessonia nigrescens en el litoral de Arequipa, Perú. 2007

El estudio se realizó entre marzo y diciembre 2007. En 25 localidades analizadas, hasta el 90% presentan alto porcentaje de su extensión sin cobertura de algas, especialmente Agua Salada, Chorrillos y Atico. La extracción y/o recolección de algas pardas, se efectúa sobre L. nigrescens. Se comprobó: (i) incremento de la extracción de L. nigrescens; (ii) uso intenso del “barreteo” y recolección de alga varada; (iii) alto porcentaje del espacio sin cobertura de algas en Caravelí; (iv) diámetro medio del rizoide (DMR) de L. nigrescens por debajo de 20 cm en la mayoría de estaciones; (v) mayor proporción de plantas no fértiles. Esta especie está en riesgo de sobreexplotación. Palabras clave: Algas pardas, aracanto, Lessonia nigrescens, Arequipa 2007.

Programa de investigación de las algas pardas en el sur del Perú 2011-2015

Describe la manera como el Instituto del Mar del Perú (IMARPE) participará en la gestión y desarrollo de los estudios científicos sobre el recurso macroalgas pardas de la costa sur del Perú (Regiones Ica, Arequipa, Moquegua y Tacna) durante los próximos cinco años 2011-2015.

Extracción de anchoveta (Engraulis ringens Jenyns) para consumo humano directo. Pisco, Perú

Durante el 2005 – 2010 en el puerto pesquero de Pisco la flota pesquera artesanal desembarcó alrededor de 126.000 t de anchoveta, habiendo alcanzado en el 2010 alrededor de 56 mil toneladas (el mayor desembarque), con la participación de 182 embarcaciones artesanales, de las cuales 148 tienen registro de matrícula en Pisco. En ese periodo la mayor captura se efectuó cerca del puerto de Pisco, destacando el islote Ovillos con 69.904 t de producción.

Comunidad bentónica del chanque Concholepas concholepas en el litoral de Tacna, Perú. 2007

El estudio se realizó en octubre 2007, en el banco natural Meca-Las Lozas al norte de la Región Tacna. La longitud peristomal de C. concholepas varió de 27 a 109 mm, promedio 53,96 mm y moda principal 54 mm; 98,8% de los ejemplares menores a la talla comercial; proporción sexual de 1,0♂♂:1,1♀♀; IGS de 1,53%. Población estimada en 4.821.922 individuos; con densidad media de 4 ind/m2. Biomasa total estimada en 254,1 t, biomasa media de 0,218 kg/m². La macrofauna bentónica de invertebrados asociados al chanque incluyó 69 taxa de 11 phyla. La diversidad varió entre 1,78 y 2,58 bits/ind., el índice de predominio varió entre 0,54 a 0,78.