Electoral Systems and Ethnic Conciliation: A Structured, Focused Analysis of Vote-Pooling in Northern Ireland Elections 1998-2011

This research project examines the role of electoral system rules in affecting the extent of conciliatory behavior and cross-ethnic coalition making in Northern Ireland. It focuses on the role of the Single Transferable Vote (STV) electoral system in shaping party and voter incentives in a post-conflict divided society. The research uses a structured, focused comparison of the four electoral cycles since the Belfast Agreement of 1998. This enables a systematic examination of each electoral cycle using a common set of criteria focused on conciliation and cross-ethnic coalition making. Whilst preference voting is assumed to benefit moderate candidates, in Northern Ireland centrist and multi-ethnic parties outside of the dominant ethnic communities have received little electoral success. In Northern Ireland the primary effect of STV has not been to encourage inter-communal voting but to facilitate intra-community and intra-party moderation. STV has encouraged the moderation of the historically extreme political parties in each of the ethnic bloc. Patterns across electoral cycles suggest that party elites from the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) and Sinn Fein have moderated their policy positions due to the electoral system rules. Therefore they have pursued lower-preference votes from within their ethnic bloc but in doing so have marginalized parties of a multi-ethnic or non-ethnic orientation.

El movimiento #YoSoy132 y su intervención en el proceso electoral del 2012 en México

El movimiento mexicano #YoSoy132 ha supuesto un desafío para el sistema político mexicano y de esa misma manera ha sido abordado en este trabajo de investigación. Siendo el primer movimiento social que tiene como base la dinámica de la comunicación y redes digitales en México, ha presentado una serie de características estructurales que rompieron con las concepciones y los paradigmas preexistentes sobre movilización y participación ciudadana. México ha vivido desde hace 18 años1 un proceso de cambio acelerado en su sistema político. A la par, un cambio cultural se gestó a favor de una ciudadanía con un rol cada vez más significativo en el proceso político del país. Con la llegada del nuevo siglo y la emergencia de una conciencia ciudadana, más comprometida y activa, proliferan también las redes sociales digitales, que proporcionaban las bases para favorecer e impulsar la participación ciudadana en las diversas esferas de la vida pública del país. En este contexto surge el movimiento social #YoSoy132, en el marco de una campaña electoral protagonizada por el candidato del PRI, Enrique Peña Nieto y el oligopolio televisivo, quienes, en una suma de poder, habían edificado sobre la desilusión social, su estrategia para recuperar la presidencia de la república y la mayoría en el Congreso Federal; y que al mismo tiempo, se conjugaba con un contexto internacional protagonizado por movilizaciones y revueltas sociales juveniles en distintas partes del mundo, potenciadas sobre todo por el uso del Internet y las redes sociales...

Disquieting Discretion: Race, Geography & the Colorado Death Penalty in the First Decade of the Twenty-First Century

This Article demonstrates through original statistical research that prosecutors in Colorado were more likely to seek the death penalty against minority defendants than against white defendants. Moreover, defendants in Colorado’s Eighteenth Judicial District were more likely to face a death prosecution than defendants elsewhere in the state. Our empirical analysis demonstrates that even when one controls for the differential rates at which different groups commit statutorily death-eligible murders, non-white defendants and defendants in the Eighteenth Judicial District were still more likely than others to face a death penalty prosecution. Even when the heinousness of the crime is accounted for, the race of the accused and the place of the crime are statistically significant predictors of whether prosecutors will seek the death penalty. We discuss the implications of this disparate impact on the constitutionality of Colorado’s death penalty regime, concluding that the Colorado statute does not meet the dictates of the Eighth Amendment to the Constitution.

Crisis política y juventud en España: el declive del bipartidismo electoral

This paper shows the increasing trend of Spanish young people towards non-conventional mechanisms of political expression, in a crisis context which has reduced its reliance on traditional political actors. As an alternative to bipartisanship, political participation moves towards increased interest and attention to new players, such as emergent political parties. Using a covariance structural model, factors such as political activism, awareness and understanding of country problems, and trust in the political system, are explored in order to explain an electoral behavior that is undergoing deep changes.

Notebook on geometry, geography, astronomy, and navigation, ca. 1714-1718

This heavily illustrated notebook contains entries on the following topics: geometrical definitions and axioms, geographical and astronomical definitions, compasses, plain sailing, parallel sailing, and Mercator's sailing. It also contains pages designated for notes on "Currents, Lee Way, & Variation," but these pages have been left blank. The back cover contains calculations which appear to relate to charting a course from Jamaica to "Lizzard."

Notebook on geography, navigation, mensuration, and other subjects, ca. 1723-1743

This heavily illustrated notebook contains entries on the following topics, among others: geography; mensuration; navigation and the history of navigation; "the use of Gunter's Scale in plain sailing;" compasses; quadrants and their use; "the refraction of the stars observed by the famous Tycho Brahe;" the latitude and longitude of coasts in America, Europe, and Africa; oceans and islands; mountains and "burning mountains" (volcanoes); rivers and lakes; forests and deserts; maps and sea charts; and the uses of geometry and other measurements by carpenters, joiners, painters, glaziers, masons, and bricklayers. Many pages contain navigational problems and their detailed solutions, as well as chronologies of global exploration and lists of all known rivers, mountains, and other geographic features across the world, many with vivid descriptions. The last pages of the notebook contain entries made in December of 1743 regarding celestial measurements Prince took in Stratford, Connecticut, where he was staying with his brother.

Party Members as an Electoral Linking Mechanism

While party membership figures are clearly in decline in several Western countries, different interpretations have been offered on the likely consequences of this trend. Some authors stress that members have lost most of their importance for political parties that increasingly rely on professionalized campaign techniques. Other scholars have expressed concern about the decline of party membership. They emphasize the fact that party members continue to function as an important linkage mechanism providing a structural alignment between the party and society (and thus also to potential voters). By means of an election forecasting model for Belgium, we test whether party membership figures still can be related to election results. Results show that party membership has a strong effect on election results, and furthermore, that this relation does not weaken during the period under investigation (1981-2010). The analysis also demonstrates that forecasting models can also be used in a complex multiparty system like Belgium.