Short-term electricity demand and gas price forecasts using wavelet transforms and adaptive models

This paper presents some forecasting techniques for energy demand and price prediction, one day ahead. These techniques combine wavelet transform (WT) with fixed and adaptive machine learning/time series models (multi-layer perceptron (MLP), radial basis functions, linear regression, or GARCH). To create an adaptive model, we use an extended Kalman filter or particle filter to update the parameters continuously on the test set. The adaptive GARCH model is a new contribution, broadening the applicability of GARCH methods. We empirically compared two approaches of combining the WT with prediction models: multicomponent forecasts and direct forecasts. These techniques are applied to large sets of real data (both stationary and non-stationary) from the UK energy markets, so as to provide comparative results that are statistically stronger than those previously reported. The results showed that the forecasting accuracy is significantly improved by using the WT and adaptive models. The best models on the electricity demand/gas price forecast are the adaptive MLP/GARCH with the multicomponent forecast; their MSEs are 0.02314 and 0.15384 respectively.

The detection of p-waves in ambulatory ECG recordings by the use of wavelet transforms

DUE TO COPYRIGHT RESTRICTIONS ONLY AVAILABLE FOR CONSULTATION AT ASTON UNIVERSITY LIBRARY AND INFORMATION SERVICES WITH PRIOR ARRANGEMENT

A 2D [FeII-bistetrazole] coordination polymer exhibiting spin-crossover properties

The reaction of 1,3-bis(tetrazol-1-yl)-2-propanol (btzpol) with Fe(BF4)2 · 6H2O in acetonitrile yields the remarkable 2D coordination polymer [FeII(btzpol)1.8(btzpol-OBF3)1.2](BF4)0.8 · (H2O)0.8(CH3CN) (1). This compound has been structurally characterized using an X-ray single-crystal synchrotron radiation source. The iron(II) centers are bridged by means of double btzpol bridges along the c direction, and by single btzpol bridges along the b direction. The reaction of part of the ligand with the counterion has forced the compound to crystallize in this extended two dimensional structure. The compound shows spin-transition properties, both induced by temperature and light, with T½ = 112 K and T(LIESST) = 46 K, respectively. The relaxation of the metastable high-spin state created by irradiation is exponential, following an Arrhenius type behavior at high temperature, and dominated by a temperature independent tunneling process at lower temperatures.

Anomalies in stiffness and damping of a 2D discrete viscoelastic system due to negative stiffness components

The recent development of using negative stiffness inclusions to achieve extreme overall stiffness and mechanical damping of composite materials reveals a new avenue for constructing high performance materials. One of the negative stiffness sources can be obtained from phase transforming materials in the vicinity of their phase transition, as suggested by the Landau theory. To understand the underlying mechanism from a microscopic viewpoint, we theoretically analyze a 2D, nested triangular lattice cell with pre-chosen elements containing negative stiffness to demonstrate anomalies in overall stiffness and damping. Combining with current knowledge from continuum models, based on the composite theory, such as the Voigt, Reuss, and Hashin-Shtrikman model, we further explore the stability of the system with Lyapunov's indirect stability theorem. The evolution of the microstructure in terms of the discrete system is discussed. A potential application of the results presented here is to develop special thin films with unusual in-plane mechanical properties. © 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Spin transition of 1D, 2D and 3D iron(II) complex polymers - the tug-of-war between elastic interaction and a shock-absorber effect

The structures of linear chain Fe(II) spin-crossover compounds of α,β- and α,ω-bis (tetrazol-1-yl)alkane type ligands are described in relation to their magnetic properties. The first threefold interlocked 3-D catenane Fe(II) spin-transition system, [μ-tris(1,4-bis(tetrazol-1-yl)butane-N1,N1′) iron(II)] bis(perchlorate), will be discussed. An analysis is made among the structures and the cooperativity of the spin-crossover behaviour of polynuclear Fe(II) spin-transition materials.

Image Quotient Set Transforms in Segmentation Problems

Image content interpretation is much dependent on segmentations efficiency. Requirements for the image recognition applications lead to a nessesity to create models of new type, which will provide some adaptation between law-level image processing, when images are segmented into disjoint regions and features are extracted from each region, and high-level analysis, using obtained set of all features for making decisions. Such analysis requires some a priori information, measurable region properties, heuristics, and plausibility of computational inference. Sometimes to produce reliable true conclusion simultaneous processing of several partitions is desired. In this paper a set of operations with obtained image segmentation and a nested partitions metric are introduced.

A Generalized Convolution with a Weight Function for the Fourier Cosine and Sine Transforms

A generalized convolution with a weight function for the Fourier cosine and sine transforms is introduced. Its properties and applications to solving a system of integral equations are considered.

On the Mellin Transforms of Dirac’S Delta Function, The Hausdorff Dimension Function, and The Theorem by Mellin

Mathematics Subject Classification: 44A05, 46F12, 28A78

Convolution Products in L1(R+), Integral Transforms and Fractional Calculus

Mathematics Subject Classification: 43A20, 26A33 (main), 44A10, 44A15