Seasonal variation in month of diagnosis in children with type 1 diabetes registered in 23 European centers during 1989-2008: little short-term influence of sunshine hours or average temperature

BACKGROUND: The month of diagnosis in childhood type 1 diabetes shows seasonal variation.

OBJECTIVE: We describe the pattern and investigate if year-to-year irregularities are associated with meteorological factors using data from 50 000 children diagnosed under the age of 15 yr in 23 population-based European registries during 1989-2008.

METHODS: Tests for seasonal variation in monthly counts aggregated over the 20 yr period were performed. Time series regression was used to investigate if sunshine hour and average temperature data were predictive of the 240 monthly diagnosis counts after taking account of seasonality and long term trends.

RESULTS: Significant sinusoidal pattern was evident in all but two small centers with peaks in November to February and relative amplitudes ranging from ±11 to ±38% (median ±17%). However, most centers showed significant departures from a sinusoidal pattern. Pooling results over centers, there was significant seasonal variation in each age-group at diagnosis, with least seasonal variation in those under 5 yr. Boys showed greater seasonal variation than girls, particularly those aged 10-14 yr. There were no differences in seasonal pattern between four 5-yr sub-periods. Departures from the sinusoidal trend in monthly diagnoses in the period were significantly associated with deviations from the norm in average temperature (0.8% reduction in diagnoses per 1 °C excess) but not with sunshine hours.

CONCLUSIONS: Seasonality was consistently apparent throughout the period in all age-groups and both sexes, but girls and the under 5 s showed less marked variation. Neither sunshine hour nor average temperature data contributed in any substantial way to explaining departures from the sinusoidal pattern.

Almahata Sitta (=asteroid 2008 TC3) and the search for the ureilite parent body

This article explores what the recovery of 2008 TC3 in the form of the Almahata Sitta meteorites may tell us about the source region of ureilites in the main asteroid belt. An investigation is made into what is known about asteroids with roughly the same spectroscopic signature as 2008 TC3. A population of low-inclination near-Earth asteroids is identified with spectra similar to 2008 TC3. Five asteroid families in the Main Belt, as well as a population of ungrouped asteroids scattered in the inner and central belts, are identified as possible source regions for this near-Earth population and 2008 TC3. Three of the families are ruled out on dynamical and spectroscopic grounds. New near-infrared spectra of 142 Polana and 1726 Hoffmeister, lead objects in the two other families, also show a poor match to Almahata Sitta. Thus, there are no Main Belt spectral analogs to Almahata Sitta currently known. Space weathering effects on ureilitic materials have not been investigated, so that it is unclear how the spectrum of the Main Belt progenitor may look different from the spectra of 2008 TC3 and the Almahata Sitta meteorites. Dynamical arguments are discussed, as well as ureilite petrogenesis and parent body evolution models, but these considerations do not conclusively point to a source region either, other than that 2008 TC3 probably originated in the inner asteroid belt.

in prep. Politics and memory of an island community: fieldwork on Lismore Argyll 2000- 2008.

Monograph on fieldwork on the island of Lismore, Argyll

Economic Ideas and the Political Construction of the Financial Crash of 2008

This article is a short introduction to a special section on economic ideas and the political construction of the financial crash. It begins by explaining why economic ideas and the politics of appeals to certain ideas are so integral to the historical significance of the crash of 2008 and the question of whether it can be considered a crash at all. The first section covers the literature on ideas and economic crisis. The second section highlights that the contribution of the special section is to engage in a stock taking exercise of the empirical and conceptual patterns concerning the politics of ideational change underway in the areas of: comparative fiscal policy; monetary policy and Euro zone debt management; capital controls; and financial and securities market regulation and standard setting. The final section outlines the structure of this special section and content of the individual articles.

Battles, Boats & Bones:Archaeological Discoveries in Northern Ireland 1987-2008

How did our ancestors build their homes? What weapons did they use? What religious rituals did they follow? What did they eat? How did technology develop over the centuries? These are just some of the questions answered in Battles, Boats & Bones, which offers a fascinating insight into the daily lives of our ancestors stretching back as far as the Early Neolithic period. Bringing together details and interpretations of discoveries made as a result of 25 archaeological excavations across Northern Ireland over the last 20 years, the book is a window into our collective past. https://www.tsoshop.co.uk/gempdf/Timeline_Circles.swf

Compact Routing Messages in Self-Healing Trees

Existing compact routing schemes, e.g., Thorup and Zwick [SPAA 2001] and Chechik [PODC 2013], often have no means to tolerate failures, once the system has been setup and started. This paper presents, to our knowledge, the first self-healing compact routing scheme. Besides, our schemes are developed for low memory nodes, i.e., nodes need only O(log2 n) memory, and are thus, compact schemes.
We introduce two algorithms of independent interest: The first is CompactFT, a novel compact version (using only O(log n) local memory) of the self-healing algorithm Forgiving Tree of Hayes et al. [PODC 2008]. The second algorithm (CompactFTZ) combines CompactFT with Thorup-Zwick’s treebased compact routing scheme [SPAA 2001] to produce a fully compact self-healing routing scheme. In the self-healing model, the adversary deletes nodes one at a time with the affected nodes self-healing locally by adding few edges. CompactFT recovers from each attack in only O(1) time and ∆ messages, with only +3 degree increase and O(log∆) graph diameter increase, over any sequence of deletions (∆ is the initial maximum degree).
Additionally, CompactFTZ guarantees delivery of a packet sent from sender s as long as the receiver has not been deleted, with only an additional O(y log ∆) latency, where y is the number of nodes that have been deleted on the path between s and t. If t has been deleted, s gets informed and the packet removed from the network.

Insucesso escolar: causas e consequências no contexto do Agrupamento Vertical de Ourique (período 1999/2000 a 2007/2008)

O presente estudo, de carácter quantitativo e qualitativo, assenta na temática do insucesso escolar. O mesmo foi orientado pela questão de partida que o perspectivou: “Quais as causas, consequências e dimensão do fenómeno do insucesso escolar nos alunos que iniciaram, em 1999/2000, a sua escolaridade, no concelho de Ourique? Baseados no quadro conceptual de um estudo de caso, seleccionámos uma “coorte” de alunos, que entrevistámos, com vista a inteirarmo-nos das experiências e situações reais que os conduziram a situações de insucesso escolar procurando dar resposta aos seguintes objectivos: 1) avaliar, quantitativamente, o insucesso escolar na população discente seleccionada; 2) identificar as, eventuais, causas do insucesso escolar verificado; 3) identificar as, eventuais, consequências do insucesso escolar verificado; 4) avaliar possíveis intervenções no sentido de mitigar o fenómeno do insucesso escolar. Para tal, analisámos o percurso escolar de um universo de 46 alunos, entre 1999/2000 e 2007/08, tendo verificado que 24 desses alunos vivenciaram episódios de insucesso escolar, ao longo do seu trajecto académico. Destes, entrevistámos 12 alunos, tendo essa abordagem possibilitado ir de encontro aos nossos objectivos. Através da análise e interpretação dos dados recolhidos, concluímos que: 1) a taxa de insucesso escolar é superior a 50%, na coorte de alunos que iniciaram a sua escolaridade, no ano lectivo 1999/00, no concelho de Ourique; 2) há uma forte participação dos pais e encarregados de educação nas vivências escolares dos alunos (80% do total da amostra); 3) o número médio de retenções, nos alunos com episódios de insucesso escolar, é de 1,5 retenções; 4) o 7.º ano de escolaridade é o ano em que se verifica um maior número de retenções, seguido do 4.º ano de escolaridade; 5) a maioria dos alunos (58,3%) encontra-se relativamente distante do seu meio familiar; 6) um número significativo de alunos com episódios de insucesso escolar (83,3%) referiu que recebe apoio da família; 7) a incapacidade individual foi a causa do insucesso escolar mais referida/inferida pelos entrevistados; 8) evidenciou-se que retenções precoces induzem a retenções posteriores; 9) a importância do 1.º Ciclo é relevante, quando os entrevistados indicam que a falta de apoio no 1.º Ciclo terá induzido a situações futuras de insucesso escolar. No final deste trabalho são efectuadas propostas que possam potenciar futuras investigações, nomeadamente de investigação acção, promovendo intervenção; ### Abstract: The schools failure: The causes of consequences in context the Agrupamento Vertical de Ourique The present study, of quantitative and qualitative content, is based on the thematic of the failure rate in schools. The study was oriented towards the fundamental issue which has been put in perspective: “What are the causes, consequences and dimension of the phenomena of the failure rate in schools that can be seen in the students that started in 1999/2000 their school education in the municipality of Ourique?” Based on the conceptual framework of a study case, we selected a group of students, which we interviewed, in order to know about the real experiences and situations that led them to situations of school failure, trying to give answers and to achieve the following goals: 1) to evaluate quantitatively the school failure of the selected students population; 2) to identify the eventual causes of the verified school failure; 3) to identify the eventual consequences of the verified school failure; 4) to evaluate the possible interventions in order to minimize the school failure phenomena. Therefore, we analysed the school path of an amount of 46 students between 1999/2000 and 2007/2008 and we reached the conclusion that 24 of those students experienced episodes of school failure. We interviewed 12 of those 24 and that approach permitted us to reach our goals. Through the analysis and the interpretation of the collected data we conclude that: 1) the rate of school failure is over 50% in the group of students that started their schooling in the school year 1999/2000 in the municipality of Ourique; 2) there is a strong participation of parents and tutors in the students’ school life( 80% of the sample); 3) the average number of retention in the students with episodes of school failure is 1, 5 retentions; 4) the 7th grade is the one in which we verify the highest number of retentions followed by the 4th grade ; 5) the majority of the students (53,8%) are far away from their family environment; 6) a significant number of students with episodes of school failure (83,3%) referred that they get support from their family; 7) the individual incapacity was the most referred/inferred cause of school failure by the ones who were interviewed ; 8) it became an evidence that early retentions lead to future retentions; 9) the importance of the basic education is relevant when the interviewed students show that the lack of support in the basic education should have led to future situations of school failure. At the end of this work we present some proposals that can lead to future investigation, namely of investigation/action promoting intervention.

Le rôle de l'éducation spécialisée brésilienne en temps d'inclusion application d'une méthode d'analyse de contenu aux politiques éducatives de 1990-2008

Ce mémoire est le résultat d'une étude descriptive et exploratoire sur le rôle de l'éducation spécialisée dans le contexte éducatif brésilien, qui favorise l'inclusion scolaire. Cette recherche présente les résultats d'une analyse des politiques éducatives depuis les années 90 concernant l'éducation spécialisée et l'inclusion scolaire au Brésil. La démarche ainsi entreprise procède à une analyse de contenu thématique réalisée sur un échantillon de six documents officiels. Au Brésil, on compte sur l'éducation spécialisée pour promouvoir l'inclusion scolaire. Mais, étant donné que le paradigme de l'éducation spécialisée est substantiellement différent de celui de l'inclusion scolaire, l'objectif premier de notre recherche a été de décrire et d'analyser les politiques éducatives concernant l'éducation spécialisée et l'inclusion scolaire au Brésil. Les résultats de notre analyse nous ont montré que l'inclusion a peu de chances de faire des progrès si des changements au plan des politiques éducatives ne sont pas effectués.