966 resultados para Turbulence


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Large-scale structure formation can be modeled as a nonlinear process that transfers energy from the largest scales to successively smaller scales until it is dissipated, in analogy with Kolmogorov’s cascade model of incompressible turbulence. However, cosmic turbulence is very compressible, and vorticity plays a secondary role in it. The simplest model of cosmic turbulence is the adhesion model, which can be studied perturbatively or adapting to it Kolmogorov’s non-perturbative approach to incompressible turbulence. This approach leads to observationally testable predictions, e.g., to the power-law exponent of the matter density two-point correlation function.

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The problem of determination of the turbulence onset in natural convection on heated inclined plates in an air environment has been experimentally revisited. The transition has been detected by using hot wire velocity measurements. The onset of turbulence has been considered to take place where velocity fluctuations (measured through turbulence intensity) start to grow. Experiments have shown that the onset depends not only on the Grashof number defined in terms of the temperature difference between the heated plate and the surrounding air. A correlation between dimensionless Grashof and Reynolds numbers has been obtained, fitting quite well the experimental data.

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The Kolmogorov approach to turbulence is applied to the Burgers turbulence in the stochastic adhesion model of large-scale structure formation. As the perturbative approach to this model is unreliable, here a new, non-perturbative approach, based on a suitable formulation of Kolmogorov's scaling laws, is proposed. This approach suggests that the power-law exponent of the matter density two-point correlation function is in the range 1–1.33, but it also suggests that the adhesion model neglects important aspects of the gravitational dynamics.

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An elliptic computational fluid dynamics wake model based on the actuator disk concept is used to simulate a wind turbine, approximated by a disk upon which a distribution of forces, defined as axial momentum sources, is applied on an incoming non-uniform shear flow. The rotor is supposed to be uniformly loaded with the exerted forces estimated as a function of the incident wind speed, thrust coefficient and rotor diameter. The model is assessed in terms of wind speed deficit and added turbulence intensity for different turbulence models and is validated from experimental measurements of the Sexbierum wind turbine experiment.

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Análisis de sensibilidad de modelos de turbulencia para un modelo CFD de viento aplicados a un emplazamiento en terreno complejo. Validación con datos de viento y turbulencia registrados a 3 alturas en 3 torres de medida.

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A simplified CFD wake model based on the actuator disk concept is used to simulate the wind turbine, represented by a disk upon which a distribution of forces, defined as axial momentum sources, are applied on the incoming non-uniform flow. The rotor is supposed to be uniformly loaded, with the exerted forces function of the incident wind speed, the thrust coefficient and the rotor diameter. The model is tested under different parameterizations of turbulence models and validated through experimental measurements downwind of a wind turbine in terms of wind speed deficit and turbulence intensity.

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Wake effect represents one of the most important aspects to be analyzed at the engineering phase of every wind farm since it supposes an important power deficit and an increase of turbulence levels with the consequent decrease of the lifetime. It depends on the wind farm design, wind turbine type and the atmospheric conditions prevailing at the site. Traditionally industry has used analytical models, quick and robust, which allow carry out at the preliminary stages wind farm engineering in a flexible way. However, new models based on Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) are needed. These models must increase the accuracy of the output variables avoiding at the same time an increase in the computational time. Among them, the elliptic models based on the actuator disk technique have reached an extended use during the last years. These models present three important problems in case of being used by default for the solution of large wind farms: the estimation of the reference wind speed upstream of each rotor disk, turbulence modeling and computational time. In order to minimize the consequence of these problems, this PhD Thesis proposes solutions implemented under the open source CFD solver OpenFOAM and adapted for each type of site: a correction on the reference wind speed for the general elliptic models, the semi-parabollic model for large offshore wind farms and the hybrid model for wind farms in complex terrain. All the models are validated in terms of power ratios by means of experimental data derived from real operating wind farms.

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A numerical simulation of the aerodynamic behavior of high-speed trains under synthetic crosswinds at a 90º yaw angle is presented. The train geometry is the aerodynamic train model (ATM). Flow description based on numerical simulations is obtained using large eddy simulation (LES) and the commercial code ANSYSFluent V14.5. A crosswind whose averaged velocity and turbulence characteristics change with distance to the ground is imposed. Turbulent fluctuations that vary temporally and spatially are simulated with TurbSim code. The crosswind boundary condition is calculated for the distance the train runs during a simulation period. The inlet streamwise velocity boundary condition is generated using Taylor?s frozen turbulence hypothesis. The model gives a time history of the force and moments acting on the train; this includes averaged values, standard deviations and extreme values. Of particular interest are the spectra of the forces and moments, and the admittance spectra. For comparison, results obtained with LES and a uniform wind velocity fluctuating in time, and results obtained with Reynolds averaged Navier Stokes equations (RANS), and the averaged wind conditions, are also presented.

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In this work, a combination of numerical methods applied to thermohydrodynamic lubrication problems with cavitation is presented. It should be emphasized the difficulty of the nonlinear mathematical coupled model involving a free boundary problem, but also the simplicity of the algorithms employed to solve it. So, finite element discretizations for the hydrodynamic and thermal equations combined with upwind techniques for the convection terms and duality methods for nonlinear features are proposed. Additionally, a model describing the movement of the shaft is provided. Considering the shaft as a rigid body this model will consist of an ODE system relating acceleration of the center of gravity and external and pressure loads. The numerical experiments of mechanical stability try to clarify the position of the neutral stability curve. Finally, a rotating machine for ship propulsion involving both axial and radial bearings operating with nonconventional lubricants (seawater to avoid environmental pollution) is analyzed by using laminar and turbulent inertial flows.

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The characteristics of turbulent/nonturbulent interfaces (TNTI) from boundary layers, jets and shear-free turbulence are compared using direct numerical simulations. The TNTI location is detected by assessing the volume of turbulent flow as function of the vorticity magnitude and is shown to be equivalent to other procedures using a scalar field. Vorticity maps show that the boundary layer contains a larger range of scales at the interface than in jets and shear-free turbulence where the change in vorticity characteristics across the TNTI is much more dramatic. The intermittency parameter shows that the extent of the intermittency region for jets and boundary layers is similar and is much bigger than in shear-free turbulence, and can be used to compute the vorticity threshold defining the TNTI location. The statistics of the vorticity jump across the TNTI exhibit the imprint of a large range of scales, from the Kolmogorov micro-scale to scales much bigger than the Taylor scale. Finally, it is shown that contrary to the classical view, the low-vorticity spots inside the jet are statistically similar to isotropic turbulence, suggesting that engulfing pockets simply do not exist in jets

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This study shows the air flow behavior through the geometry of a freight truck inside a AF6109 wind tunnel with the purpose to predict the speed, pressure and turbulence fields made by the air flow, to decrease the aerodynamic resistance, to calculate the dragging coefficient, to evaluate the aerodynamics of the geometry of the prototype using the CFD technique and to compare the results of the simulation with the results obtained experimentally with the “PETER 739 HAULER” scaled freight truck model located on the floor of the test chamber. The Geometry went through a numerical simulation process using the CFX 5,7. The obtained results showed the behavior of the air flow through the test chamber, and also it showed the variations of speed and pressure at the exit of the chamber and the calculations of the coefficient and the dragging force on the geometry of the freight truck. The evaluation of the aerodynamics showed that the aerodynamic deflector is a device that helped the reduction the dragging produced in a significant way by the air. Furthermore, the dragging coefficient and force on the prototype freight truck could be estimated establishing an incomplete similarity.

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La región cerca de la pared de flujos turbulentos de pared ya está bien conocido debido a su bajo número de Reynolds local y la separación escala estrecha. La región lejos de la pared (capa externa) no es tan interesante tampoco, ya que las estadísticas allí se escalan bien por las unidades exteriores. La región intermedia (capa logarítmica), sin embargo, ha estado recibiendo cada vez más atención debido a su propiedad auto-similares. Además, de acuerdo a Flores et al. (2007) y Flores & Jiménez (2010), la capa logarítmica es más o menos independiente de otras capas, lo que implica que podría ser inspeccionado mediante el aislamiento de otras dos capas, lo que reduciría significativamente los costes computacionales para la simulación de flujos turbulentos de pared. Algunos intentos se trataron después por Mizuno & Jiménez (2013), quien simulan la capa logarítmica sin la región cerca de la pared con estadísticas obtenidas de acuerdo razonablemente bien con los de las simulaciones completas. Lo que más, la capa logarítmica podría ser imitado por otra turbulencia sencillo de cizallamiento de motor. Por ejemplo, Pumir (1996) encontró que la turbulencia de cizallamiento homogéneo estadísticamente estacionario (SS-HST) también irrumpe, de una manera muy similar al proceso de auto-sostenible en flujos turbulentos de pared. Según los consideraciones arriba, esta tesis trata de desvelar en qué medida es la capa logarítmica de canales similares a la turbulencia de cizalla más sencillo, SS-HST, mediante la comparación de ambos cinemática y la dinámica de las estructuras coherentes en los dos flujos. Resultados sobre el canal se muestran mediante Lozano-Durán et al. (2012) y Lozano-Durán & Jiménez (2014b). La hoja de ruta de esta tarea se divide en tres etapas. En primer lugar, SS-HST es investigada por medio de un código nuevo de simulación numérica directa, espectral en las dos direcciones horizontales y compacto-diferencias finitas en la dirección de la cizalla. Sin utiliza remallado para imponer la condición de borde cortante periódica. La influencia de la geometría de la caja computacional se explora. Ya que el HST no tiene ninguna longitud característica externa y tiende a llenar el dominio computacional, las simulaciopnes a largo plazo del HST son ’mínimos’ en el sentido de que contiene sólo unas pocas estructuras media a gran escala. Se ha encontrado que el límite principal es el ancho de la caja de la envergadura, Lz, que establece las escalas de longitud y velocidad de la turbulencia, y que las otras dos dimensiones de la caja debe ser suficientemente grande (Lx > 2LZ, Ly > Lz) para evitar que otras direcciones estando limitado también. También se encontró que las cajas de gran longitud, Lx > 2Ly, par con el paso del tiempo la condición de borde cortante periódica, y desarrollar fuertes ráfagas linealizadas no físicos. Dentro de estos límites, el flujo muestra similitudes y diferencias interesantes con otros flujos de cizalla, y, en particular, con la capa logarítmica de flujos turbulentos de pared. Ellos son exploradas con cierto detalle. Incluyen un proceso autosostenido de rayas a gran escala y con una explosión cuasi-periódica. La escala de tiempo de ruptura es de aproximadamente universales, ~20S~l(S es la velocidad de cizallamiento media), y la disponibilidad de dos sistemas de ruptura diferentes permite el crecimiento de las ráfagas a estar relacionado con algo de confianza a la cizalladura de turbulencia inicialmente isotrópico. Se concluye que la SS-HST, llevado a cabo dentro de los parámetros de cílculo apropiados, es un sistema muy prometedor para estudiar la turbulencia de cizallamiento en general. En segundo lugar, las mismas estructuras coherentes como en los canales estudiados por Lozano-Durán et al. (2012), es decir, grupos de vórticidad (fuerte disipación) y Qs (fuerte tensión de Reynolds tangencial, -uv) tridimensionales, se estudia mediante simulación numérica directa de SS-HST con relaciones de aspecto de cuadro aceptables y número de Reynolds hasta Rex ~ 250 (basado en Taylor-microescala). Se discute la influencia de la intermitencia de umbral independiente del tiempo. Estas estructuras tienen alargamientos similares en la dirección sentido de la corriente a las familias separadas en los canales hasta que son de tamaño comparable a la caja. Sus dimensiones fractales, longitudes interior y exterior como una función del volumen concuerdan bien con sus homólogos de canales. El estudio sobre sus organizaciones espaciales encontró que Qs del mismo tipo están alineados aproximadamente en la dirección del vector de velocidad en el cuadrante al que pertenecen, mientras Qs de diferentes tipos están restringidos por el hecho de que no debe haber ningún choque de velocidad, lo que hace Q2s (eyecciones, u < 0,v > 0) y Q4s (sweeps, u > 0,v < 0) emparejado en la dirección de la envergadura. Esto se verifica mediante la inspección de estructuras de velocidad, otros cuadrantes como la uw y vw en SS-HST y las familias separadas en el canal. La alineación sentido de la corriente de Qs ligada a la pared con el mismo tipo en los canales se debe a la modulación de la pared. El campo de flujo medio condicionado a pares Q2-Q4 encontró que los grupos de vórticidad están en el medio de los dos, pero prefieren los dos cizalla capas alojamiento en la parte superior e inferior de Q2s y Q4s respectivamente, lo que hace que la vorticidad envergadura dentro de las grupos de vórticidad hace no cancele. La pared amplifica la diferencia entre los tamaños de baja- y alta-velocidad rayas asociados con parejas de Q2-Q4 se adjuntan como los pares alcanzan cerca de la pared, el cual es verificado por la correlación de la velocidad del sentido de la corriente condicionado a Q2s adjuntos y Q4s con diferentes alturas. Grupos de vórticidad en SS-HST asociados con Q2s o Q4s también están flanqueadas por un contador de rotación de los vórtices sentido de la corriente en la dirección de la envergadura como en el canal. La larga ’despertar’ cónica se origina a partir de los altos grupos de vórticidad ligada a la pared han encontrado los del Álamo et al. (2006) y Flores et al. (2007), que desaparece en SS-HST, sólo es cierto para altos grupos de vórticidad ligada a la pared asociados con Q2s pero no para aquellos asociados con Q4s, cuyo campo de flujo promedio es en realidad muy similar a la de SS-HST. En tercer lugar, las evoluciones temporales de Qs y grupos de vórticidad se estudian mediante el uso de la método inventado por Lozano-Durán & Jiménez (2014b). Las estructuras se clasifican en las ramas, que se organizan más en los gráficos. Ambas resoluciones espaciales y temporales se eligen para ser capaz de capturar el longitud y el tiempo de Kolmogorov puntual más probable en el momento más extrema. Debido al efecto caja mínima, sólo hay un gráfico principal consiste en casi todas las ramas, con su volumen y el número de estructuras instantáneo seguien la energía cinética y enstrofía intermitente. La vida de las ramas, lo que tiene más sentido para las ramas primarias, pierde su significado en el SS-HST debido a las aportaciones de ramas primarias al total de Reynolds estrés o enstrofía son casi insignificantes. Esto también es cierto en la capa exterior de los canales. En cambio, la vida de los gráficos en los canales se compara con el tiempo de ruptura en SS-HST. Grupos de vórticidad están asociados con casi el mismo cuadrante en términos de sus velocidades medias durante su tiempo de vida, especialmente para los relacionados con las eyecciones y sweeps. Al igual que en los canales, las eyecciones de SS-HST se mueven hacia arriba con una velocidad promedio vertical uT (velocidad de fricción) mientras que lo contrario es cierto para los barridos. Grupos de vórticidad, por otra parte, son casi inmóvil en la dirección vertical. En la dirección de sentido de la corriente, que están advección por la velocidad media local y por lo tanto deforman por la diferencia de velocidad media. Sweeps y eyecciones se mueven más rápido y más lento que la velocidad media, respectivamente, tanto por 1.5uT. Grupos de vórticidad se mueven con la misma velocidad que la velocidad media. Se verifica que las estructuras incoherentes cerca de la pared se debe a la pared en vez de pequeño tamaño. Los resultados sugieren fuertemente que las estructuras coherentes en canales no son especialmente asociado con la pared, o incluso con un perfil de cizalladura dado. ABSTRACT Since the wall-bounded turbulence was first recognized more than one century ago, its near wall region (buffer layer) has been studied extensively and becomes relatively well understood due to the low local Reynolds number and narrow scale separation. The region just above the buffer layer, i.e., the logarithmic layer, is receiving increasingly more attention nowadays due to its self-similar property. Flores et al. (20076) and Flores & Jim´enez (2010) show that the statistics of logarithmic layer is kind of independent of other layers, implying that it might be possible to study it separately, which would reduce significantly the computational costs for simulations of the logarithmic layer. Some attempts were tried later by Mizuno & Jimenez (2013), who simulated the logarithmic layer without the buffer layer with obtained statistics agree reasonably well with those of full simulations. Besides, the logarithmic layer might be mimicked by other simpler sheardriven turbulence. For example, Pumir (1996) found that the statistically-stationary homogeneous shear turbulence (SS-HST) also bursts, in a manner strikingly similar to the self-sustaining process in wall-bounded turbulence. Based on these considerations, this thesis tries to reveal to what extent is the logarithmic layer of channels similar to the simplest shear-driven turbulence, SS-HST, by comparing both kinematics and dynamics of coherent structures in the two flows. Results about the channel are shown by Lozano-Dur´an et al. (2012) and Lozano-Dur´an & Jim´enez (20146). The roadmap of this task is divided into three stages. First, SS-HST is investigated by means of a new direct numerical simulation code, spectral in the two horizontal directions and compact-finite-differences in the direction of the shear. No remeshing is used to impose the shear-periodic boundary condition. The influence of the geometry of the computational box is explored. Since HST has no characteristic outer length scale and tends to fill the computational domain, longterm simulations of HST are ‘minimal’ in the sense of containing on average only a few large-scale structures. It is found that the main limit is the spanwise box width, Lz, which sets the length and velocity scales of the turbulence, and that the two other box dimensions should be sufficiently large (Lx > 2LZ, Ly > Lz) to prevent other directions to be constrained as well. It is also found that very long boxes, Lx > 2Ly, couple with the passing period of the shear-periodic boundary condition, and develop strong unphysical linearized bursts. Within those limits, the flow shows interesting similarities and differences with other shear flows, and in particular with the logarithmic layer of wallbounded turbulence. They are explored in some detail. They include a self-sustaining process for large-scale streaks and quasi-periodic bursting. The bursting time scale is approximately universal, ~ 20S~l (S is the mean shear rate), and the availability of two different bursting systems allows the growth of the bursts to be related with some confidence to the shearing of initially isotropic turbulence. It is concluded that SS-HST, conducted within the proper computational parameters, is a very promising system to study shear turbulence in general. Second, the same coherent structures as in channels studied by Lozano-Dur´an et al. (2012), namely three-dimensional vortex clusters (strong dissipation) and Qs (strong tangential Reynolds stress, -uv), are studied by direct numerical simulation of SS-HST with acceptable box aspect ratios and Reynolds number up to Rex ~ 250 (based on Taylor-microscale). The influence of the intermittency to time-independent threshold is discussed. These structures have similar elongations in the streamwise direction to detached families in channels until they are of comparable size to the box. Their fractal dimensions, inner and outer lengths as a function of volume agree well with their counterparts in channels. The study about their spatial organizations found that Qs of the same type are aligned roughly in the direction of the velocity vector in the quadrant they belong to, while Qs of different types are restricted by the fact that there should be no velocity clash, which makes Q2s (ejections, u < 0, v > 0) and Q4s (sweeps, u > 0, v < 0) paired in the spanwise direction. This is verified by inspecting velocity structures, other quadrants such as u-w and v-w in SS-HST and also detached families in the channel. The streamwise alignment of attached Qs with the same type in channels is due to the modulation of the wall. The average flow field conditioned to Q2-Q4 pairs found that vortex clusters are in the middle of the pair, but prefer to the two shear layers lodging at the top and bottom of Q2s and Q4s respectively, which makes the spanwise vorticity inside vortex clusters does not cancel. The wall amplifies the difference between the sizes of low- and high-speed streaks associated with attached Q2-Q4 pairs as the pairs reach closer to the wall, which is verified by the correlation of streamwise velocity conditioned to attached Q2s and Q4s with different heights. Vortex clusters in SS-HST associated with Q2s or Q4s are also flanked by a counter rotating streamwise vortices in the spanwise direction as in the channel. The long conical ‘wake’ originates from tall attached vortex clusters found by del A´ lamo et al. (2006) and Flores et al. (2007b), which disappears in SS-HST, is only true for tall attached vortices associated with Q2s but not for those associated with Q4s, whose averaged flow field is actually quite similar to that in SS-HST. Third, the temporal evolutions of Qs and vortex clusters are studied by using the method invented by Lozano-Dur´an & Jim´enez (2014b). Structures are sorted into branches, which are further organized into graphs. Both spatial and temporal resolutions are chosen to be able to capture the most probable pointwise Kolmogorov length and time at the most extreme moment. Due to the minimal box effect, there is only one main graph consist by almost all the branches, with its instantaneous volume and number of structures follow the intermittent kinetic energy and enstrophy. The lifetime of branches, which makes more sense for primary branches, loses its meaning in SS-HST because the contributions of primary branches to total Reynolds stress or enstrophy are almost negligible. This is also true in the outer layer of channels. Instead, the lifetime of graphs in channels are compared with the bursting time in SS-HST. Vortex clusters are associated with almost the same quadrant in terms of their mean velocities during their life time, especially for those related with ejections and sweeps. As in channels, ejections in SS-HST move upwards with an average vertical velocity uτ (friction velocity) while the opposite is true for sweeps. Vortex clusters, on the other hand, are almost still in the vertical direction. In the streamwise direction, they are advected by the local mean velocity and thus deformed by the mean velocity difference. Sweeps and ejections move faster and slower than the mean velocity respectively, both by 1.5uτ . Vortex clusters move with the same speed as the mean velocity. It is verified that the incoherent structures near the wall is due to the wall instead of small size. The results suggest that coherent structures in channels are not particularly associated with the wall, or even with a given shear profile.

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Dispersive wave turbulence is studied numerically for a class of one-dimensional nonlinear wave equations. Both deterministic and random (white noise in time) forcings are studied. Four distinct stable spectra are observed—the direct and inverse cascades of weak turbulence (WT) theory, thermal equilibrium, and a fourth spectrum (MMT; Majda, McLaughlin, Tabak). Each spectrum can describe long-time behavior, and each can be only metastable (with quite diverse lifetimes)—depending on details of nonlinearity, forcing, and dissipation. Cases of a long-live MMT transient state dcaying to a state with WT spectra, and vice-versa, are displayed. In the case of freely decaying turbulence, without forcing, both cascades of weak turbulence are observed. These WT states constitute the clearest and most striking numerical observations of WT spectra to date—over four decades of energy, and three decades of spatial, scales. Numerical experiments that study details of the composition, coexistence, and transition between spectra are then discussed, including: (i) for deterministic forcing, sharp distinctions between focusing and defocusing nonlinearities, including the role of long wavelength instabilities, localized coherent structures, and chaotic behavior; (ii) the role of energy growth in time to monitor the selection of MMT or WT spectra; (iii) a second manifestation of the MMT spectrum as it describes a self-similar evolution of the wave, without temporal averaging; (iv) coherent structures and the evolution of the direct and inverse cascades; and (v) nonlocality (in k-space) in the transferral process.

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In this thesis, we present the generation and studies of a 87Rb Bose-Einstein condensate (BEC) perturbed by an oscillatory excitation. The atoms are trapped in a harmonic magnetic trap where, after an evaporative cooling process, we produce the BEC. In order to study the effect caused by oscillatory excitations, a quadrupole magnetic field time oscillatory is superimposed to the trapping potential. Through this perturbation, collective modes were observed. The dipole mode is excited even for low excitation amplitudes. However, a minimum excitation energy is needed to excite the condensate quadrupole mode. Observing the excited cloud in TOF expansion, we note that for excitation amplitude in which the quadrupole mode is excited, the cloud expands without invert its aspect ratio. By looking these clouds, after long time-of-flight, it was possible to see vortices and, sometimes, a turbulent state in the condensed cloud. We calculated the momentum distribution of the perturbed BECs and a power law behavior, like the law to Kolmogorov turbulence, was observed. Furthermore, we show that using the method that we have developed to calculate the momentum distribution, the distribution curve (including the power law exponent) exhibits a dependence on the quadrupole mode oscillation of the cloud. The randomness distribution of peaks and depletions in density distribution image of an expanded turbulent BEC, remind us to the intensity profile of a speckle light beam. The analogy between matter-wave speckle and light speckle is justified by showing the similarities in the spatial propagation (or time expansion) of the waves. In addition, the second order correlation function is evaluated and the same dependence with distance was observed for the both waves. This creates the possibility to understand the properties of quantum matter in a disordered state. The propagation of a three-dimensional speckle field (as the matter-wave speckle described here) creates an opportunity to investigate the speckle phenomenon existing in dimensions higher than 2D (the case of light speckle).

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The last month has seen a public confrontation between Igor Sechin, the president of Rosneft, and Arkady Dvorkovich, the deputy prime minister, concerning the consolidation of the energy sector. This is the latest in a series of disputes between the Kremlin & businessmen from Putin’s inner circle on one side, and the government & Prime Minister Medvedev on the other. These disputes have been wide-ranging in nature, concerning economic policy, the scope of competency of individual members of the elite, but also the ‘tough line’ adopted by the Kremlin since Vladimir Putin’s return to the presidency. The Kremlin, which is still the main decision-making centre in Russia, has been effectively forcing its opinions through in its short-term disputes with the government. However, a new element in the ongoing conflicts, which is unfavourable to President Putin, is their exceptional strength, their much more public nature, and their wide range (which has included criticism of the president himself) and ever-changing context, especially the worsening socio-economic situation. These conflicts have been overlapping with signs of dissent among Putin’s business supporters, and their declining political willingness to support the leader unconditionally. The Kremlin’s response to the unrest consists of intensifying efforts to discipline the elite and weakening those groups in which Vladimir Putin has limited confidence. The elite’s support is crucial to the stability of his government; to maintain this support, the Kremlin is ready to introduce restrictive and repressive actions against both parliamentarians and government officials. In the short term, such a policy will force the Kremlin’s supporters back into obedience, but fears of a further increase in repression are also starting to be expressed on the sidelines.