A solution for estimates in software development projects

The Corporate world is becoming more and more competitive. This leads organisations to adapt to this reality, by adopting more efficient processes, which result in a decrease in cost as well as an increase of product quality. One of these processes consists in making proposals to clients, which necessarily include a cost estimation of the project. This estimation is the main focus of this project. In particular, one of the goals is to evaluate which estimation models fit the Altran Portugal software factory the most, the organization where the fieldwork of this thesis will be carried out. There is no broad agreement about which is the type of estimation model more suitable to be used in software projects. Concerning contexts where there is plenty of objective information available to be used as input to an estimation model, model-based methods usually yield better results than the expert judgment. However, what happens more frequently is not having this volume and quality of information, which has a negative impact in the model-based methods performance, favouring the usage of expert judgement. In practice, most organisations use expert judgment, making themselves dependent on the expert. A common problem found is that the performance of the expert’s estimation depends on his previous experience with identical projects. This means that when new types of projects arrive, the estimation will have an unpredictable accuracy. Moreover, different experts will make different estimates, based on their individual experience. As a result, the company will not directly attain a continuous growing knowledge about how the estimate should be carried. Estimation models depend on the input information collected from previous projects, the size of the project database and the resources available. Altran currently does not store the input information from previous projects in a systematic way. It has a small project database and a team of experts. Our work is targeted to companies that operate in similar contexts. We start by gathering information from the organisation in order to identify which estimation approaches can be applied considering the organization’s context. A gap analysis is used to understand what type of information the company would have to collect so that other approaches would become available. Based on our assessment, in our opinion, expert judgment is the most adequate approach for Altran Portugal, in the current context. We analysed past development and evolution projects from Altran Portugal and assessed their estimates. This resulted in the identification of common estimation deviations, errors, and patterns, which lead to the proposal of metrics to help estimators produce estimates leveraging past projects quantitative and qualitative information in a convenient way. This dissertation aims to contribute to more realistic estimates, by identifying shortcomings in the current estimation process and supporting the self-improvement of the process, by gathering as much relevant information as possible from each finished project.

Contra os semi-sábios — notas sobre a racionalidade nos Pensamentos de Pascal

Ao longo dos Pensamentos, Pascal expressa a sua antipatia filosófica por alguns tipos de pensadores. Um desses tipos de pensadores corresponde à figura do "demi-savant". Os "demi-savants", ou semi-sábios, caracterizam-se essencialmente por uma pretensão de saber fracassada: são homens que julgam estar na posse de um saber que na verdade não possuem. O objectivo desta investigação é fixar, com o maior detalhe possível, o que está em causa na denúncia dos semi-sábios — um aspecto pouco trabalhado no âmbito dos estudos sobre o pensamento de Pascal. A primeira parte da investigação consiste assim na delimitação formal da categoria semi-sábios. Quais são as notas definitórias destes pensadores? Que tipo de erro está em jogo na sua atitude? Que opiniões fazem de alguém um semi-sábio? Estas perguntas acabam rapidamente por nos levar a outras, que dizem directamente respeito à tentativa de determinação do poder de fogo da razão humana. Com efeito, o fundamento filosófico da crítica aos semi-sábios é o diagnóstico arrasador que Pascal faz da capacidade da nossa razão na tarefa do conhecimento — de tal modo que estudar o problema que os semi-sábios representam é estudar sob um determinado ângulo o problema geral da procura da verdade. Nesse sentido, depois de esclarecido o significado da designação semi-sábio, analisamos dois argumentos apresentados nos Pensamentos que visam contestar a compreensão habitualmente constituída acerca das possibilidades do homem na tarefa do conhecimento. Procuramos ainda, por último, desfazer possíveis equívocos quanto à fixação da posição de Pascal no campo da epistemologia. Embora haja poucas referências aos semi-sábios nos textos que compõem os Pensamentos, trata-se de uma figura que funciona como ponto de cruzamento de vários aspectos relevantes de um problema que está no centro do projecto apologético de Pascal: o problema do modo de apuramento da verdade.

A semi-nested PCR assay for molecular detection of Paracoccidioides brasiliensis in tissue samples

INTRODUCTION: Paracoccidioidomycosis is a systemic infection caused by Paracoccidioides brasiliensis. METHODS: In this study, a semi-nested PCR for paracoccidioidomycosis diagnosis was developed. The primers ITS1 and ITS4 were used in the first reaction, while the primers MJ03 and ITS1 primer were used in the second reaction. The semi-nested PCR was used to investigate biopsies of five patients with oral lesions that resembled paracoccidioidomycosis. RESULTS: The semi-nested PCR was positive for four samples and negative for a sample from a patient later diagnosed with leishmaniasis. CONCLUSIONS: The new semi-nested PCR describe is useful for paracoccidioidomycosis diagnosis.

Pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009: epidemiological analysis of cases in a tropical/semi-arid region of Brazil

IntroductionThe year 2009 marked the beginning of a pandemic caused by a new variant of influenza A (H1N1). After spreading through North America, the pandemic influenza virus (H1N1) 2009 spread rapidly throughout the world. The aim of this study was to describe the clinical and epidemiological characteristics of cases of pandemic influenza in a tropical/semi-arid region of Brazil.MethodsA retrospective study analyzed all suspected cases of pandemic influenza (H1N1) 2009 reported in the Ceará State through the National Information System for Notifiable Diseases during the pandemic period between 28 April, 2009 and November 25, 2010.ResultsA total of 616 suspected cases were notified, 58 (9.4%) in the containment phase and 558 (90.6%) in the mitigation phase. Most cases were of affected young people resident in the City of Fortaleza, the largest urban center in the State of Ceará. The most frequent symptoms presented by the cases with confirmed infection were fever, cough, myalgia, arthralgia, and nasal congestion. Mortality rate was 0.0009/1,000 inhabitants and lethality was 5.6%. Deaths were observed only in the mitigation phase. Mortality rates were similar for both sexes but were higher in the age group under 5 years.ConclusionsThe study suggests that the influenza A (H1N1) pandemic in this tropical/semi-arid region had a lower magnitude when compared to states in the Southern and Southeastern regions of Brazil.

A business model for an entertainment solution to the in-vehicle infotainment industry

The evolution of mobile technologies that make its presence something ubiquitous and the idea of internet connectivity in every device, often called as the Internet of Things, are pushing a disruption in other industry: the in-vehicle infotainment (IVI). Many companies are trying to enter this new industry that comprises information (weather, news, location services) and entertainment solutions in just one. For that purpose, company X developed a new entertainment solution and intends to bring it to market. This Work Project focuses on creating a business model and an entry mode for the company.

An optimized one-tube, semi-nested PCR assay for Paracoccidioides brasiliensis detection

Introduction Herein, we report a one-tube, semi-nested-polymerase chain reaction (OTsn-PCR) assay for the detection of Paracoccidioides brasiliensis. Methods We developed the OTsn-PCR assay for the detection of P. brasiliensis in clinical specimens and compared it with other PCR methods. Results The OTsn-PCR assay was positive for all clinical samples, and the detection limit was better or equivalent to the other nested or semi-nested PCR methods for P. brasiliensis detection. Conclusions The OTsn-PCR assay described in this paper has a detection limit similar to other reactions for the molecular detection of P. brasiliensis, but this approach is faster and less prone to contamination than other conventional nested or semi-nested PCR assays.

Assessment of schistosomiasis in the semi-arid Northeast region of Brazil: the São Francisco River large-scale water transposition project

Abstract: INTRODUCTION Risk of schistosomiasis expansion to semi-arid northeastern Brazil under the influence of the Integration Project of the São Francisco River (IPSFR) was assessed. METHODS: Stool examinations of schoolchildren, epidemiological investigation, and survey of the local host snail Biomphalaria straminea were performed in five IPSFR municipalities. RESULTS Six of 4,770 examined schoolchildren were egg-positive for Schistosoma mansoni. Biomphalaria straminea was widespread, but not naturally infected with S. mansoni. Snails experimentally exposed to two laboratory S. mansoni strains yielded infection indices of 1-4.5%. CONCLUSIONS: There is evidence of active schistosomiasis transmission in the area; thus, intensive surveillance actions are required.

Solution processed quantum dot photodetectors

To find sustainable solutions for the production of energy, it is necessary to create photovoltaic technologies that make every photon count. To pursue this necessity, in the present work photodetectors of zinc oxide embedded with nano-structured materials, that significantly raise the conversion of solar energy to electric energy, were developed. The novelty of this work is on the development of processing methodologies in which all steps are in solution: quantum dots synthesis, passivation of their surface and sol-gel deposition. The quantum dot solutions with different capping agents were characterized by UVvisible absorption spectroscopy, spectrofluorimetry, dynamic light scattering and transmission electron microscopy. The obtained quantum dots have dimensions between 2 and 3nm. These particles were suspended in zinc acetate solutions and used to produce doped zinc oxide films with embedded quantum dots, whose electric response was tested. The produced nano-structured zinc oxide materials have a superior performance than the bulk, in terms of the produced photo-current. This indicates that an intermediate band material should have been produced that acts as a photovoltaic medium for solar cells. The results are currently being compiled in a scientific article, that is being prepared for possible submission to Energy and Environmental Science or Nanoscale journals.

Comuns: An Open-Data Provider, Explorer and Analytic Toolbox Based on FOSS

Contém resumo

Hypertonic/hyperoncotic solution in hypovolemic patients: experience in the emergency room

Hypertonic solutions have been studied extensively in the treatment of hypovolemic shock, both in experimental and clinical models. Safety, efficacy, and long-term effects on animals and patients have been evaluated. The present article reviews indications, safety, mortality rates, and outcome in patients with hemorrhagic hypovolemic shock who were treated after admission with a hypertonic/hyperoncotic solution under strict observation in the emergency room.

Bias in returns to tenure when firm wages and employment comove: A quantitative assessment and solution

It is well known that, unless worker-firm match quality is controlled for, returns to firm tenure (RTT) estimated directly via reduced form wage (Mincer) equations will be biased. In this paper we show that even if match quality is properly controlled for there is a further pervasive source of bias, namely the co-movement of firm employment and firm wages. In a simple mechanical model where human capital is absent and separation is exogenous we show that positively covarying shocks (either aggregate or firm level) to firms employment and wages cause downward bias in OLS regression estimates of RTT. We show that the long established procedures for dealing with "traditional" RTT bias do not circumvent the additional problem we have identified. We argue that if a reduced form estimation of RTT is undertaken, firm-year fixed effects must be added in order to eliminate this bias. Estimates from two large panel datasets from Portugal and Germany show that the bias is empirically important. Adding firm-year fixed effects to the regression increases estimates of RTT in the two respective countries by between 3.5% and 4.5% of wages at 20 years of tenure over 80% (50%) of the estimated RTT level itself. The results extend to tenure correlates used in macroeconomics such as the minimum unemployment rate since joining the firm. Adding firm-year fixed effects changes estimates of these effects also.

Elaboração de uma semi-conserva de pescado de água doce "Picles de Peixe". I. Tempo de cura, acidificação, textura e nível de sal

Neste trabalho são estudadas as condições para a correta combinação entre o tempo de cura, acidificação e nível de sal para produzir uma semi-conserva de pescado de de água doce acondicionada em vidro, utilizando o efeito da combinalção sal/ácido. As espécies utilizadas foram jaraqui (Semaprochilodus spp.), Curimatá (Prochilodus nigricans), Dourado (Brachyplastistoma flavicans) e Pirarucu (Arapaima gigas). Na salmora de cura prelimiar o tempo indicado para se obter uma melhor textura foi de 4 semanas, a acidificação até 4,5 foi alcançada na solução contendo 5% de ácido/100 gramas de pescado e o nível adequado de sal foi de 15% (p/v). Na salmora flavorizante a proporção de ácido foi de 1% (v/v) o que torna o produto de sabor agradável, sal na concentração de 2% (p/v) e a adição de 1% de condimentos.

DESENVOLVIMENTO NINFAL DO GAFANHOTO NEOTROPICAL SEMI-AQUÁTICO Stenacris fissicauda fissicauda (BRUNER, 1908) (ORTHOPTERA:ACRIDIDAE) EM CONDIÇÕES CONTROLADAS

Estudou-se a influência da temperatura e do fotoperíodo no desenvolvimento ninfal do gafanhoto semi-aquático Stenacris fissicauda fissicaudaproveniente de uma região de várzea, perto de Manaus. Ninfas recém-eclodidas foram coletadas no campo na macrófita aquática Paspalum repens (Gramineae-Poaceae)e criadas sob condições controladas em câmaras de criação (8, 12 e 24 horas de luz, 27°C e 27/21°C de temperatura) e sob condições naturais. Esta espécie apresenta 5 estádios ninfais para os machos e 6 para as fêmeas sob condições de dia longo no laboratório e durante o período com menos precipitação (estação "seca") sob condições naturais. No entanto, observou-se um estádio extra para machos (6o) e fêmeas (7o) sob condições de dia curto no laboratório. Este estádio ocorreu durante o período com mais precipitação (estação chuvosa) sob condições naturais. Constatou-se que a temperatura e o fotoperíodo interagiram no desenvolvimento ninfal sob condições controladas: 1) O número de estádios (especialmente em fêmeas) foi principalmente influenciado pelo fotoperíodo; 2) O tempo de desenvolvimento ninfal (em ambos os sexos) sobretudo foi influenciado pela temperatura. Os resultados estão sendo discutidos sob o ponto de que a luz pode atuar como fator de controle (ecofator) no número de estádios ninfais de insetos em ecossistemas tropicais, mesmo sendo situados perto do equador, devido à mudanças sazonais de insolação e/ou intensidade de luz durante o ano.

Structured business solution for infrastructure projects

Companies seeking to continue growing and developing need to consider the possibility of international expansion and what that represents to their future. To tackle this challenge it becomes necessary to establish the company’s interests and priorities as well as defining and assessing the foreign market opportunities of a specific industry. This directed research internship proposes and conducts a simulation of the preliminary foreign market assessment and selection within the Juncker Plan: country filtering and ranking having as a frame of reference the second largest construction company in Brazil, Andrade Gutierrez.

The reasons behind the progression in PISA scores: An education production function approach using semi-parametric techniques

Research Masters