Transition to raloxifene with and without low-dose estrogen therapy in postmenopausal women: effects on serum lipids and fibrinogen - a pilot study

Objective To compare the effects of transferring from low-dose transdermal estrogen to raloxifene (RLX), with a phase of alternate-day RLX therapy with or without low-dose transdermal estrogen, on serum lipids and fibrinogen in postmenopausal women previously administered estrogen plus progestogen therapy. Methods Sixty postmenopausal women (mean age 55 years) were randomized to one of two treatment groups: RLX + low-dose transdermal estrogen (RLX + E) or RLX + placebo. The study consisted of four 8-week phases: phase I (all subjects low-dose transdermal estrogen 25 mug/day), phase II (double-blind RLX 60 mg every 2nd day in combination with either low-dose transdermal estrogen or placebo), phase III (all subjects RLX 60 mg every 2nd day + placebo) and phase IV (all subjects RLX 60 mg/day + placebo). Results No significant differences existed between groups for baseline measurements prior to phase I. In phase I, for all subjects combined, total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotem cholesterol both showed a significant increase (median increase of 0.2 mmol/l, p = 0.008 and 0.4 mmol/l, p < 0.001, respectively), while triglycerides decreased significantly (median decrease of 0.2 mmol/l, p < 0.001). For the primary analysis (phase II to phase IV), the mean change from baseline observations showed no significant differences between the therapy groups for serum lipids, fibrinogen, vital signs or weight. In the comparison phase (phase II), changes in serum lipids, fibrinogen, vital signs and weight were not significantly different between groups. Conclusion Gradual conversion to RLX from low-dose transdermal estrogen, with a phase of alternate-day RLX therapy with or without low-dose transdermal estrogen, does not have any effect on the serum lipid profile or fibrinogen level.

A matemática na constituição de um currículo integrado : possibilidades e desafios para o ensino médio e a educação profissional de jovens e adultos

O universo que circunda a Educação de Jovens e Adultos nos sensibiliza e nos provoca. Observar que estes alunos e alunas estão em busca de conquistas e sonhos que não puderam se concretizar quando foram gerados nos impulsiona a conduzir esta pesquisa com seriedade e esperança. Este estudo investigou que conhecimentos matemáticos utilizados por professores do Curso Técnico em Metalurgia Integrado ao Ensino Médio na modalidade de Educação de Jovens e Adultos. Influenciam diálogos entre matemática e outras disciplinas do curso considerando a perspectiva da formação integral dos estudantes. Assim, nos propomos a analisar conhecimentos matemáticos que estão presentes em ações e materiais didáticos utilizados por professores em diferentes disciplinas do Curso Técnico em Metalurgia Integrado ao Ensino Médio na modalidade de Educação de Jovens e Adultos. No intuito de responder a questão proposta e alcançar os objetivos expostos, este estudo torna-se mais relevante por estar diretamente envolvido no processo de consolidação do Programa Nacional de Integração da Educação Profissional com a Educação Básica na Modalidade de Educação de Jovens e Adultos – PROEJA do Curso de Metalurgia ofertado pelo IFES/Vitória, pautado na idealização de integração do seu currículo. Portanto, discutir o projeto de integração curricular que norteia o PROEJA tornou-se uma meta em movimento dessa investigação. Nesta direção, observamos o reflexo de como as práticas e materiais didáticos utilizados por professores, que atuam nesta modalidade, puderam contribuir para discussões que nos ajudaram na compreensão do processo de ensino e aprendizagem dos educandos participantes, com vistas ao desenvolvimento no trabalho ou na formação profissional, como na constituição de conhecimentos científicos, escolares/tecnológicos e culturais. Optamos por direcionar a reflexão teórica deste capítulo em conceitos específicos. Assim, ao tratar da Educação de Jovens e Adultos seremos conduzidos pelos estudos e pesquisas de Paulo Freire (1996, 2000, 2005), Maria da Conceição Fonseca (2007) e Jane Paiva (2009); ao direcionarmos para a Teoria do Ensino Integrado e a Educação Profissional faremos uso dos estudos de Gaudêncio Frigotto (2010) e Marise Ramos (2010); quanto às discussões que refletem acerca da Educação Matemática Critica recorremos às ideias de Ole Skovsmose (2001, 2007).

Os fundos de investimento imobiliário listados em bolsa e as variáveis que influenciam seus retornos

Os fundos de investimento imobiliário combinam características tanto do mercado imobiliário, fonte de seus rendimentos, quanto do mercado de capitais, ambiente em que são negociados. O impacto de cada um desses mercados subjacentes no comportamento, desempenho e risco dessa classe de ativos não é, no entanto, ainda claramente definida, sendo um dos grandes temas em análise, tanto na literatura acadêmica, quanto na indústria de fundos internacionais. Em face da significativa expansão dessa alternativa de investimento no mercado brasileiro, no presente estudo foram analisadas as variáveis que influenciam os retornos dos fundos imobiliários brasileiros para uma amostra de fundos listados em Bolsa de Valores de São Paulo, período de 2008-2013. Seguindo a metodologia de Clayton e Mackinnon (2003), os fatores explicativos dos retornos foram decompostos em quatro componentes principais, sendo três fatores de retorno de mercado (mercado de ações, mercado de renda fixa e mercado imobiliário) e risco idiossincrático. De acordo com a estatística descritiva, os fundos imobiliários da amostra apresentaram maior retorno em relação aos demais mercados, exceto em comparação com o mercado imobiliário, porém com menor risco. As análises de correlação, regressão e decomposição da variância indicam que o mercado de ações e o mercado imobiliário direto são, em geral, significativos no modelo, porém explicam apenas cerca de 15% da volatilidade dos retornos dos fundos da amostra. À luz da Moderna Teoria do Portfólio, esses resultados indicam que a inclusão de fundos imobiliários pode ter potencial diversificador numa carteira multi-ativo, seja aumentando o retorno total de uma carteira formada de ações e títulos de renda fixa, sem acréscimo em risco; ou mantendo o retorno dessa carteira, com diminuição da volatilidade, ampliando assim a fronteira eficiente da carteira. Esse efeito questiona o tradicional equilibrium fund de carteiras de investimentos formadas apenas de ações e renda fixa e aponta os fundos imobiliários como uma alternativa de investimento diversificadora, enquanto classe de ativo única. A análise de subamostras por tipologia indica, porém, que o papel diversificador dos fundos imobiliários está atrelado ao tipo de empreendimento que lastreia esse fundo, uma vez que os fatores explicativos e seus impactos nos retornos diferem de uma tipologia para outra. Esse resultado tem importantes implicações no critério de seleção a ser adotado tanto por investidores para seleção de ativos para uma carteira otimizada, como para gestores de fundos imobiliários na formatação e gestão desses produtos. Conclui-se também que os retornos dos fundos, de certo modo, refletem seu caráter híbrido, mas o modelo decomposto em 4 componentes não é suficiente para explicar os retornos dos fundos imobiliários, uma vez que o modelo estendido, demonstrou que outras variáveis, inclusive parâmetros desses próprios mercados, além de variáveis macroeconômicas e as características de cada fundo (eg. market-to-book, tamanho), podem ser responsáveis por explicar considerável parte da variância dos retornos dos FIIs.

Caracterização da matéria orgânica nas zonas ripárias em diferentes condições de preservação no Cerrado do Planalto Central do Brasil

Tese (doutorado)—Universidade de Brasília, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ecologia, 2016.

Determinantes da politica de dividendos: evidência empírica para as empresas não financeiras cotadas na Euronext Lisbon

The problematic of dividends paid out by firms has deserved the attention of several studies, theoretical and empirical, on corporate finance. This article intends to contribute to the theme by determining the factors that influence a firm’s dividends` policy. In this sense, it investigates the effect of a set of factors on the dividends paid out by issuing non financial firms belonging to Euronext Lisbon. Results suggest the existence of firm specific characteristics influencing its dividends policy. A firm’s Cash-flow and its stocks` market price seem to have a positive impact on the dividends paid out to stockholders. In issuing non financial firms that belong to the PSI 20 Index results additionally show the existence of a negative effect of net profits on dividend’s payment.

Desempenho empresarial e o valor da empresa no mercado de capitais: evidência empírica para o mercado de capitais português

The main objective of this paper is to analyse the effect of firms’ performance indicators in explaining the price of stocks in the Portuguese capital market, using a fundamental analysis. In the empirical setting, firms’ performance indicators are gathered into two groups: (1) economic and financial indicators and (2) stock market indicators. Using a sample of 38 firms quoted at Euronext Lisbon, estimates are obtained trough an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) model and report to December, 31 2007. Results suggest that performance indicators are able to explain the firms’ stock market price. There is a significant positive impact of sales growth and of payout ratio, while we find a statistically significant negative effect of the firm’s financial autonomy on the stock market price for the majority of firms quoted at Euronext Lisbon.

Style and performance of international socially responsible funds in Europe

This paper analyses the performance and investment styles of internationally oriented Socially Responsible Investment (SRI)funds, domiciled in eight European markets, in comparison with characteristics-matched conventional funds. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first multi-country study, focused on international SRI funds (investing in Global and in European equities), to combine the matched-pairs approach with the use of robust conditional multi-factor performance evaluation models, which allow for both time-varying alphas and betas and also control for home biases and spurious regression biases.In general, the results show that differences in the performance of international SRI funds and their conventional peers are not statistically significant. Regarding investment styles, SRI and conventional funds exhibit similar factor exposures in most cases. In addition,conventional benchmarks present a higher explaining power of SRI fund returns than SRI benchmarks. Our results also show significant differences in the investment styles of SRI funds according to whether they use “best-in-class” screening strategies or not. When compared to SRI funds that employ simple negative and/or positive screens, SRI “best-in-class” funds present significantly lower exposures to small caps and momentum strategies and significantly higher exposures to local stocks.

Eficiência logística e os seus impactos financeiros: uma analise ao tecido empresarial português.

Numa época em que a competitividade é máxima, torna-se imperativo reduzir os custos internos das organizações. A logística detém um papel fundamental na criação de valor, cabendo-lhe garantir as boas praticas de uma eficiente e eficaz gestão empresarial. A literatura sugere sistemas de avaliação de desempenho que traduzem a eficiência da prestação do serviço ao cliente, em termos de disponibilidade, prazos de entrega, velocidade, flexibilidade, entre outros. Este estudo tem como principal objectivo analisar e verificar a importância da eficiência logística e o seu impacto no desempenho financeiro do tecido empresarial. Neste âmbito, atendendo á metodologia definida pela literatura, esta investigação fundamenta-se na analise dos indicadores de desempenho financeiro e logístico. Os procedimentos metodológicos desenvolveram-se a partir de uma pesquisa amostral, constituída por um grupo de grandes empresas pertencentes aos sectores de actividade económica(industria transformadora e comercio) com maior representatividade no valor acrescentado bruto(VAB) português. Adoptamos o modelo do lucro estratégico ajustado, considerando como variáveis dependentes: i)resultado operacional, ii)rentabilidade do activo e iii)rentabilidade dos capitais próprios, e como variáveis independentes: i) imobilizações corpóreas, ii)stocks, iii)dividas de clientes e iv)rotação de stocks. Pelos resultados obtidos, este estudo evidencia, através de regressoes lineares múltiplas, que a eficiência logística contribui para o bom desempenho financeiro. Estas regressões permitem concluir uma correlação entre as variáveis do desempenho logístico e as variáveis do desempenho financeiro, demonstrando que a variação das primeiras afecta as segundas. A variável independente rotação de stocks é aquela que nos permite concluir, com maior nível de confiança, que a eficiência logística contribui para o desempenho financeiro das empresas. Principalmente, em particular no sector do comercio português.

A relação entre a performance ambiental e a performance financeira das empresas

This study examines the relationship between the environmental performance and the financial performance of Portuguese corporations, based on a sample of 35 stocks listed in the Euronext Lisbon stock exchange, for the period from 2000 to 2004. Corporate environmental performance is measured by an analysis of the environmental information disclosed in 2003 corporate annual financial reports. Stock market-based measures, such as return, risk and risk-adjusted return measures, are used to evaluate corporate financial performance, for the 5 years observation period. We use the portfolio studies and contingency tables methodology to evaluate the relationship between corporate environmental disclosures and corporate stock market performance. The empirical results suggest that companies that do not disclose environmental information have a superior financial performance – as measured by return, risk and risk-adjusted return – than those that disclose environmental information. In particular, companies with better environmental reporting, which disclose qualitative and quantitative environmental information, are the ones with worse financial performance. Nevertheless the differences found in financial performance are not statistically significant. The empirical results are thus adverse to the more recent view of environmental performance as a competitive advantage, maybe due to the still relatively small importance of environmental issues to companies and investors.

Options listing and the volatility of the underling asset: a study on the derivative market function

There are basic misunderstandings on derivative markets. Some professionals believe that they are a kind of casinos and have no utility for the investors. This work looks at the effects of options introduction in the Brazilian market, seeking for another benefit for this introduction: changes in the stocks risk leveI. Our results are the same found in the US and other markets: the options introduction reduces the stocks volatility. We also found that there is a slight indication that the volatility becames more stochastic with this alternative.

DISPOSITION EFFECT AMONG BRAZILIAN EQUITY FUND MANAGERS

The disposition effect predicts that investors tend to sell winning stocks too soon and ride losing stocks too long. Despite the wide range of research evidence about this issue, the reasons that lead investors to act this way are still subject to much controversy between rational and behavioral explanations. In this article, the main goal was to test two competing behavioral motivations to justify the disposition effect: prospect theory and mean reversion bias. To achieve it, an analysis of monthly transactions for a sample of 51 Brazilian equity funds from 2002 to 2008 was conducted and regression models with qualitative dependent variables were estimated in order to set the probability of a manager to realize a capital gain or loss as a function of the stock return. The results brought evidence that prospect theory seems to guide the decision-making process of the managers, but the hypothesis that the disposition effect is due to mean reversion bias could not be confirmed.

The East Atlantic Bluefin Tuna Fisheries: Stock Collapse or Recovery?

A discrete time, multi-gear, and age structured bio-economic model is developed for the East Atlantic bluefin tuna fisheries, a paradigmatic example of the difficulties faced in managing highly migratory fish stocks. The model is used to analyse alternative management strategies for the Regional Fisheries Management Organisation (RFMO) managing this fishery, and to investigate some of the policy implications. For the various scenarios, the optimal stock level varies between 500–800,000 tonnes, which compares with a stock level of 150,000 tonnes in 1995. In other words, there is a very strong case for rebuilding the stock. Moreover, the sustainability of the stock is threatened unless a recovery programme is implemented; indeed, the alternative may be stock collapse. Second, to rebuild the stock, Draconian measures are called for: either outright moratoria over fairly lengthy periods, or possibly a more gradual approach to steady state given by a Total Allowable Catch (TAC) at a low level for an extended period of time. Third, the cost of inefficient gear structure is very high indeed.

Systems thinking: learning or driving?

The ability to foresee how behaviour of a system arises from the interaction of its components over time - i.e. its dynamic complexity – is seen an important ability to take effective decisions in our turbulent world. Dynamic complexity emerges frequently from interrelated simple structures, such as stocks and flows, feedbacks and delays (Forrester, 1961). Common sense assumes an intuitive understanding of their dynamic behaviour. However, recent researches have pointed to a persistent and systematic error in people understanding of those building blocks of complex systems. This paper describes an empirical study concerning the native ability to understand systems thinking concepts. Two different groups - one, academic, the other, professional – submitted to four tasks, proposed by Sweeney and Sterman (2000) and Sterman (2002). The results confirm a poor intuitive understanding of the basic systems concepts, even when subjects have background in mathematics and sciences.

Systems thinking: learning or driving?

The ability to foresee how behaviour of a system arises from the interaction of its components over time - i.e. its dynamic complexity – is seen an important ability to take effective decisions in our turbulent world. Dynamic complexity emerges frequently from interrelated simple structures, such as stocks and flows, feedbacks and delays (Forrester, 1961). Common sense assumes an intuitive understanding of their dynamic behaviour. However, recent researches have pointed to a persistent and systematic error in people understanding of those building blocks of complex systems. This paper describes an empirical study concerning the native ability to understand systems thinking concepts. Two different groups - one, academic, the other, professional – submitted to four tasks, proposed by Sweeney and Sterman (2000) and Sterman (2002). The results confirm a poor intuitive understanding of the basic systems concepts, even when subjects have background in mathematics and sciences.

Interest rate exposure of Spanish banks: A nonparametric analysis

Interest rate risk is one of the major financial risks faced by banks due to the very nature of the banking business. The most common approach in the literature has been to estimate the impact of interest rate risk on banks using a simple linear regression model. However, the relationship between interest rate changes and bank stock returns does not need to be exclusively linear. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the interest rate exposure of the Spanish banking industry employing both parametric and non parametric estimation methods. Its main contribution is to use, for the first time in the context of banks’ interest rate risk, a nonparametric regression technique that avoids the assumption of a specific functional form. One the one hand, it is found that the Spanish banking sector exhibits a remarkable degree of interest rate exposure, although the impact of interest rate changes on bank stock returns has significantly declined following the introduction of the euro. Further, a pattern of positive exposure emerges during the post-euro period. On the other hand, the results corresponding to the nonparametric model support the expansion of the conventional linear model in an attempt to gain a greater insight into the actual degree of exposure.