985 resultados para ENVI-met versão 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 3.1
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Neste trabalho procura-se utilizar modelos de previsão de séries temporais para prever a produção da energia elétrica a partir da energia eólica em Cabo Verde, particularmente na ilha de Santiago. É um problema que tem recebido especial atenção dos pesquisadores nos últimos anos. Prever o futuro, e em especial o comportamento de séries temporais, é fundamental em análises e apoio à tomada de decisões, e continua sendo um desafio para a estatística e para computação. Foram utilizados modelos, Holt-Winters, ARIMA e redes neuronais artificiais, Função de Base Radial (RNAs-RBF) e Perceptron de múltiplas camadas (RNAs- MLP). O modelo Holt-Winters é um modelo de previsão exponencial, conhecido por lidar com elementos de tendência e sazonalidade de uma série temporal. O modelo ARIMA que possui apenas uma variável, descreve o comportamento de uma variável em termos de seus valores passados. As redes neurais têm-se mostrado grandes ferramentas na aplicação de previsões de séries temporais. Neste contexto, neste trabalho propõe-se a realização de uma análise comparativa desses modelos não-lineares para a previsão, tentando encontrar qual o modelo que melhor se adapta à série temporal. Todo o trabalho foi realizado com recurso ao programa estatístico R versão 3.0.1 (2013-05- 16)
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BACKGROUND: Both induction chemotherapy followed by irradiation and concurrent chemotherapy and radiotherapy have been reported as valuable alternatives to total laryngectomy in patients with advanced larynx or hypopharynx cancer. We report results of the randomized phase 3 trial 24954 from the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer. METHODS: Patients with resectable advanced squamous cell carcinoma of the larynx (tumor stage T3-T4) or hypopharynx (T2-T4), with regional lymph nodes in the neck staged as N0-N2 and with no metastasis, were randomly assigned to treatment in the sequential (or control) or the alternating (or experimental) arm. In the sequential arm, patients with a 50% or more reduction in primary tumor size after two cycles of cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil received another two cycles, followed by radiotherapy (70 Gy total). In the alternating arm, a total of four cycles of cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil (in weeks 1, 4, 7, and 10) were alternated with radiotherapy with 20 Gy during the three 2-week intervals between chemotherapy cycles (60 Gy total). All nonresponders underwent salvage surgery and postoperative radiotherapy. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to obtain time-to-event data. RESULTS: The 450 patients were randomly assigned to treatment (224 to the sequential arm and 226 to the alternating arm). Median follow-up was 6.5 years. Survival with a functional larynx was similar in sequential and alternating arms (hazard ratio of death and/or event = 0.85, 95% confidence interval = 0.68 to 1.06), as were median overall survival (4.4 and 5.1 years, respectively) and median progression-free interval (3.0 and 3.1 years, respectively). Grade 3 or 4 mucositis occurred in 64 (32%) of the 200 patients in the sequential arm who received radiotherapy and in 47 (21%) of the 220 patients in the alternating arm. Late severe edema and/or fibrosis was observed in 32 (16%) patients in the sequential arm and in 25 (11%) in the alternating arm. CONCLUSIONS: Larynx preservation, progression-free interval, and overall survival were similar in both arms, as were acute and late toxic effects.
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OBJECTIVES: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is associated with considerable cardiovascular morbidity that has not yet been directly compared with other diseases with known cardiovascular risk. METHODS: Two hundred and forty-one patients of the multicentre Swiss SLE cohort study (SSCS) were cross-sectionally assessed for coronary heart disease (CHD), cerebrovascular disease (CVD) and peripheral artery disease (PAD). SLE patients were compared with a cohort of 193 patients with type-1 diabetes mellitus being followed at the University Hospital Basel. A subgroup analysis of 50 age- and sex-matched patients from the University Hospital Basel was performed. RESULTS: Of patients within the SSCS 13.3% had one or more vascular events: 8.3% CHD, 5% CVD and 1.2% PAD. In type-1 diabetes mellitus patients, 15% had vascular events: 9.3% CHD, 3.1% CVD and 5.6% PAD. In the matched subgroup, 26% of SLE patients had vascular events (14% CHD) compared with 12% in type-1 DM patients (2% CHD). Cardiovascular risk factors were similar in both groups. Vascular events in SLE patients were associated with age, longer disease duration, dyslipidaemia, and hypertension. CONCLUSION: Cardiovascular morbidity in SLE is at least as frequent as in age- and sex-matched type-1 diabetes mellitus patients. Therefore, aggressive screening and management of cardiovascular risk factors should be performed.
