Agustí Bartra: de Xabola a Crist de 200.000 braços. La recerca de la veu

El poeta Agustí Bartra va publicar la novel•la Xabola (Mèxic, 1943), la qual narra l'estada de quatre comapnys al camp de concentració francès d'Argelers. El 1958 un editor li'n demanà una traducció castellana, però Bartra optà per reescriure de dalt a baix la narració i en resultà la novel•la Cristo de 200.000 brazos, que es publicà en català el 1968 i, en una edicó definitiva, el 1974. El procés de revisió i de redacció (supressió de fragments, incoporació de textos, altereació de capítols, revisions estilístiques) que Bartra aplica al text són notables i permeten analitzar l'evolució literària de l'autor.

Prediction of the economic cost of individual long-term care in the Spanish population

Pensions together with savings and investments during active life are key elements of retirement planning. Motivation for personal choices about the standard of living, bequest and the replacement ratio of pension with respect to last salary income must be considered. This research contributes to the financial planning by helping to quantify long-term care economic needs. We estimate life expectancy from retirement age onwards. The economic cost of care per unit of service is linked to the expected time of needed care and the intensity of required services. The expected individual cost of long-term care from an onset of dependence is estimated separately for men and women. Assumptions on the mortality of the dependent people compared to the general population are introduced. Parameters defining eligibility for various forms of coverage by the universal public social care of the welfare system are addressed. The impact of the intensity of social services on individual predictions is assessed, and a partial coverage by standard private insurance products is also explored. Data were collected by the Spanish Institute of Statistics in two surveys conducted on the general Spanish population in 1999 and in 2008. Official mortality records and life table trends were used to create realistic scenarios for longevity. We find empirical evidence that the public long-term care system in Spain effectively mitigates the risk of incurring huge lifetime costs. We also find that the most vulnerable categories are citizens with moderate disabilities that do not qualify to obtain public social care support. In the Spanish case, the trends between 1999 and 2008 need to be further explored.

Identificación de variedades de vitis vinifera procedentes de diferentes regiones del mundo mediante tècnica de biologia molecular de los microsatéllites

El objetivo de este estudio se centró en analizar una colección privada de germoplasma de Vitis vinifera L., de 338 cultivares procedentes de 24 países, para caracterizarlas creando una base de datos, utilizando 11 marcadores microsatélites o SSR (Simple Sequence Repeat). Como resultado se encontraron que algunas de las muestras analizadas presentaron un perfil idéntico de SSR, indicando que se trata de una sinonimia (la misma variedad pero con diferente nombre). Se detectaron 293 perfiles únicos. Adicionalmente, 15 pares de variedades presentaron diferencias en un solo locus y otros 7 grupos difieren en 2 loci, lo cual indicaría la alta proximidad genética entre esas variedades, sin llegar a ser la misma. El germoplasma analizado cuenta con una compleja biodiversidad varietal que se debe preservar. El estudio se realizó programando para el primer año la revisión bibliográfica detallada, recolección de las hojas y el inicio de la puesta a punto de la metodología, en el segundo año se completa la puesta a punto de la metodología, se trituran las hojas y se realiza la extraccinón del ADN. El tercer año se emplea para amplificar los fragmentos de ADN por medio de la PCR (reacción en cadena de la polimerasa), obtener la longitud de los fragmentos con un secuenciador ABI PRISM 310, valorar resultados y realizar repeticiones. El último año se analizan los resultados obtenidos, se realizan repeticiones pertinentes y se comienza la redacción de artículos científicos.

Estimation of parametric and nonparametric models for univariate claim severity distributions - an approach using R

This paper presents an analysis of motor vehicle insurance claims relating to vehicle damage and to associated medical expenses. We use univariate severity distributions estimated with parametric and non-parametric methods. The methods are implemented using the statistical package R. Parametric analysis is limited to estimation of normal and lognormal distributions for each of the two claim types. The nonparametric analysis presented involves kernel density estimation. We illustrate the benefits of applying transformations to data prior to employing kernel based methods. We use a log-transformation and an optimal transformation amongst a class of transformations that produces symmetry in the data. The central aim of this paper is to provide educators with material that can be used in the classroom to teach statistical estimation methods, goodness of fit analysis and importantly statistical computing in the context of insurance and risk management. To this end, we have included in the Appendix of this paper all the R code that has been used in the analysis so that readers, both students and educators, can fully explore the techniques described

Loss risk through fraud in car insurance

Our objective is to analyse fraud as an operational risk for the insurance company. We study the effect of a fraud detection policy on the insurer's results account, quantifying the loss risk from the perspective of claims auditing. From the point of view of operational risk, the study aims to analyse the effect of failing to detect fraudulent claims after investigation. We have chosen VAR as the risk measure with a non-parametric estimation of the loss risk involved in the detection or non-detection of fraudulent claims. The most relevant conclusion is that auditing claims reduces loss risk in the insurance company.

Anàlisi del metabolisme ambiental de nuclis turístics litorals: el cas de Menorca

L’objectiu del present estudi és l’anàlisi del metabolisme energètic associat a nuclis turístics litorals de l’illa de Menorca (Mediterrani occidental) i el grau d’autosuficiència a partir d’energies renovables. La caracterització dels nuclis i la definició del perfil del turista s’ha realitzat mitjançant SIG i informació de qualitat a partir d’enquestes. Els principals resultats mostren que els nuclis turístics de Menorca tenen unes emissions associades entre 213 i 318 kg de CO2 per estada. De mitjana, el recorregut del turista fins a la illa (mobilitat externa) és de 1334 km (representant el 80% de les emissions), mentre que la mobilitat interna durant l’estada és de 22 km. A diari, cada turista consumeix entre 8 i 26 kWh d’electricitat, consum que es podria satisfer en un 100% amb la instal·lació de sistemes fotovoltaics a les cobertes del nucli.

Desenvolupament d'un videojoc 3D basat en OpenGL

En aquest treball es presenta una aplicació gràfica per a desenvolupar un videojoc de tema lliure, amb premisses senzilles però fermes i amb la utilització d'unes eines el funcionament de les qual s'ha assolit durant la carrera i s?ha aprofundit durant el temps que ha durat la confecció d'aquest projecte.

Screening of Amazonian plants from the Adolpho Ducke forest reserve, Manaus, state of Amazonas, Brazil, for antimicrobial activity

Tropical forests are species-rich reserves for the discovery and development of antimicrobial drugs. The aim of this work is to investigate the in vitro antimicrobial potential of Amazon plants found within the National Institute on Amazon Research's Adolpho Ducke forest reserve, located in Manaus, state of Amazonas, Brazil. 75 methanol, chloroform and water extracts representing 12 plant species were tested for antimicrobial activity towards strains of Mycobacterium smegmatis, Escherichia coli, Streptococcus sanguis, Streptococcus oralis, Staphylococcus aureus and Candida albicans using the gel-diffusion method. Active extracts were further evaluated to establish minimum inhibitory concentrations (MIC) and antimicrobial profiles using bioautography on normal-phase thin-layer chromatography plates. Diclinanona calycina presented extracts with good antimicrobial activity and S. oralis and M. smegmatis were the most sensitive bacteria. D. calycina and Lacmellea gracilis presented extracts with the lowest MIC (48.8 µg/ml). D. calycina methanol and chloroform leaf extracts presented the best overall antimicrobial activity. All test organisms were sensitive to D. calycina branch chloroform extract in the bioautography assay. This is the first evaluation of the biological activity of these plant species and significant in vitro antimicrobial activity was detected in extracts and components from two species, D. calycina and L. gracilis.

Intermediary and structural determinants of early childhood health in Colombia: exploring the role of communities

This study examines how structural determinants influence intermediary factors of child health inequities and how they operate through the communities where children live. In particular, we explore individual, family and community level characteristics associated with a composite indicator that quantitatively measures intermediary determinants of early childhood health in Colombia. We use data from the 2010 Colombian Demographic and Health Survey (DHS). Adopting the conceptual framework of the Commission on Social Determinants of Health (CSDH), three dimensions related to child health are represented in the index: behavioural factors, psychosocial factors and health system. In order to generate the weight of the variables and take into account the discrete nature of the data, principal component analysis (PCA) using polychoric correlations are employed in the index construction. Weighted multilevel models are used to examine community effects. The results show that the effect of household’s SES is attenuated when community characteristics are included, indicating the importance that the level of community development may have in mediating individual and family characteristics. The findings indicate that there is a significant variance in intermediary determinants of child health between-community, especially for those determinants linked to the health system, even after controlling for individual, family and community characteristics. These results likely reflect that whilst the community context can exert a greater influence on intermediary factors linked directly to health, in the case of psychosocial factors and the parent’s behaviours, the family context can be more important. This underlines the importance of distinguishing between community and family intervention programmes.

Recent development in optical fiber biosensors

Remarkable developments can be seen in the field of optical fibre biosensors in the last decade. More sensors for specific analytes have been reported, novel sensing chemistries or transduction principles have been introduced, and applications in various analytical fields have been realised. This review consists of papers mainly reported in the last decade and presents about applications of optical fiber biosensors. Discussions on the trends in optical fiber biosensor applications in real samples are enumerated.

Disseny d’un programa de prevenció d’assetjament escolar entre iguals (AEI) en primers i segons d’ESO

Disseny d’un programa pera al a prevenció de l’AEI en primers i segons d’ESO que pretén, al mateix temps que forma als joves assistents, formar als professionals dels centres per a què puguin aplicar-ho en futures convocatòries de manera autònoma

Multiple miscarriages are associated with the risk of ovarian cancer: results from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition.

While the risk of ovarian cancer clearly reduces with each full-term pregnancy, the effect of incomplete pregnancies is unclear. We investigated whether incomplete pregnancies (miscarriages and induced abortions) are associated with risk of epithelial ovarian cancer. This observational study was carried out in female participants of the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC). A total of 274,442 women were followed from 1992 until 2010. The baseline questionnaire elicited information on miscarriages and induced abortions, reproductive history, and lifestyle-related factors. During a median follow-up of 11.5 years, 1,035 women were diagnosed with incident epithelial ovarian cancer. Despite the lack of an overall association (ever vs. never), risk of ovarian cancer was higher among women with multiple incomplete pregnancies (HR(≥4vs.0): 1.74, 95% CI: 1.20-2.70; number of cases in this category: n = 23). This association was particularly evident for multiple miscarriages (HR(≥4vs.0): 1.99, 95% CI: 1.06-3.73; number of cases in this category: n = 10), with no significant association for multiple induced abortions (HR(≥4vs.0): 1.46, 95% CI: 0.68-3.14; number of cases in this category: n = 7). Our findings suggest that multiple miscarriages are associated with an increased risk of epithelial ovarian cancer, possibly through a shared cluster of etiological factors or a common underlying pathology. These findings should be interpreted with caution as this is the first study to show this association and given the small number of cases in the highest exposure categories.

Manual de procesos en protección. 2ª ed.

En la port.: Secretaría General de Salud Pública, Inclusión Social y Calidad de Vida. 2ª EDICIÓN (2013), revisada por José Antonio Conejo Díaz, Catalina Gómez López, Francisco Chavernas Garvi, Alonso Ortiz Dominguez, Jesús Peinado Álvarez, José Pérez-Rendón González, María Fernanda Vallino Llabrés y José Vela Ríos.

Sandflies (Diptera: Psychodidae) from caves of the quartzite Espinhaço Range, Minas Gerais, Brazil

This study investigated the sandfly fauna of two quartzite caves in the Espinhaço Mountain Range, located in the municipality of Diamantina, state Minas Gerais. From August 2010-July 2011, entomological sampling was performed in the caves of Salitre and Monte Cristo with two HP light traps exposed in the photic and aphotic zones of each cave. The sandfly fauna consisted of 17 species, among which Lutzomyia cipoensis was predominant (54.76%). The male/female ratio in the total captures was 1:2.5. The aphotic zone showed the highest frequency of specimens captured (65%). A greater density of sandflies occurred during the summer (January-February), coinciding with the period of higher temperatures, humidity and rainfall. The presence of Lutzomyia longipalpis, Lutzomyia whitmani and Lutzomyia pessoai, proven or suspected vectors of leishmaniasis, is of concern because the area is visited by many tourists.