Latitudinal gradients in butterfly population variability are influenced by landscape heterogeneity

The variability of populations over time is positively associated with their risk of local extinction. Previous work has shown that populations at the high-latitude boundary of species’ ranges show higher inter-annual variability, consistent with increased sensitivity and exposure to adverse climatic conditions. However, patterns of population variability at both high- and low-latitude species range boundaries have not yet been concurrently examined. Here, we assess the inter-annual population variability of 28 butterfly species between 1994 and 2009 at 351 and 18 sites in the United Kingdom and Catalonia, Spain, respectively. Local population variability is examined with respect to the position of the species’ bioclimatic envelopes (i.e. whether the population falls within areas of the ‘core’ climatic suitability or is a climatically ‘marginal’ population), and in relation to local landscape heterogeneity, which may influence these range location – population dynamic relationships. We found that butterfly species consistently show latitudinal gradients in population variability, with increased variability in the more northerly UK. This pattern is even more marked for southerly distributed species with ‘marginal’ climatic suitability in the UK but ‘core’ climatic suitability in Catalonia. In addition, local landscape heterogeneity did influence these range location – population dynamic relationships. Habitat heterogeneity was associated with dampened population dynamics, especially for populations in the UK. Our results suggest that promoting habitat heterogeneity may promote the persistence of populations at high-latitude range boundaries, which may potentially aid northwards expansion under climate warming. We did not find evidence that population variability increases towards southern range boundaries. Sample sizes for this region were low, but there was tentative evidence, in line with previous ecological theory, that local landscape heterogeneity may promote persistence in these retracting low-latitude range boundary populations.

The option market reaction to bank loan announcements

In this study, we examine the options market reaction to bank loan announcements for the population of US firms with traded options and loan announcements during 1996-2010. We get evidence on a significant options market reaction to bank loan announcements in terms of levels and changes in short-term implied volatility and its term structure, and observe significant decreases in short-term implied volatility, and significant increases in the slope of its term structure as a result of loan announcements. Our findings appear to be more pronounced for firms with more information asymmetry, lower credit ratings and loans with longer maturities and higher spreads. Evidence is consistent with loan announcements providing reassurance for investors in the short-term, however, over longer time horizons, the increase in the TSIV slope indicates that investors become increasingly unsure over the potential risks of loan repayment or uses of the proceeds.

Thinking about a limited future enhances the positivity of younger and older adults’ recall: support for socioemotional selectivity theory

Compared with younger adults, older adults have a relative preference to attend to and remember positive over negative information. This is known as the “positivity effect,” and researchers have typically evoked socioemotional selectivity theory to explain it. According to socioemotional selectivity theory, as people get older they begin to perceive their time left in life as more limited. These reduced time horizons prompt older adults to prioritize achieving emotional gratification and thus exhibit increased positivity in attention and recall. Although this is the most commonly cited explanation of the positivity effect, there is currently a lack of clear experimental evidence demonstrating a link between time horizons and positivity. The goal of the current research was to address this issue. In two separate experiments, we asked participants to complete a writing activity, which directed them to think of time as being either limited or expansive (Experiments 1 and 2) or did not orient them to think about time in a particular manner (Experiment 2). Participants were then shown a series of emotional pictures, which they subsequently tried to recall. Results from both studies showed that regardless of chronological age, thinking about a limited future enhanced the relative positivity of participants’ recall. Furthermore, the results of Experiment 2 showed that this effect was not driven by changes in mood. Thus, the fact that older adults’ recall is typically more positive than younger adults’ recall may index naturally shifting time horizons and goals with age.

Use of electrical resistivity to identify collapsible soils in Brazil

Three soil profiles in Ilha Solteira, Brazil were investigated to establish their potential for collapsible behavior. The soil profiles were identified using terrain evaluation techniques and simple laboratory tests. Geophysical surveys were undertaken as they are quick and relatively cheap. The results were correlated with trial pit descriptions and cone and standard penetration tests. The study has shown that electrical resistivity is a useful tool for the preliminary identification of horizons of collapsible soils, before more expensive intrusive and laboratory work is undertaken.

Diruthenium(II, III) complexes of ibuprofen, aspirin, naproxen and indomethacin non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs: Synthesis, characterization and their effects on tumor-cell proliferation

[Ru-2(dNSAID)(4)Cl] and novel [Ru-2(dNSAID)(4)(H2O)(2)]PF6 complexes, where dNSAID = deprotonated carboxylate from the non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSIDs), respectively: ibuprofen, Hibp (1) and aspirin, Hasp (2); naproxen, Hnpx (3) and indomethacin, Hind (4), have been prepared and characterized by optical spectroscopic methods. All of the compounds exhibit mixed valent Ru-2(II, III) cores where metal-metal bonds are stabilized by four drug-carboxylate bridging ligands in paddlewheel type structures. The diruthenium complexes and their parent NSAIDs showed no significant effects for Hep2 human larynx or T24/83 human bladder tumor. In contrast, the coordination of Ru-2(II,III) core led to synergistic effects that increased significantly the inhibition of C6 rat glioma proliferation in relation to the organic NSAIDs naproxen and ibuprofen, The possibility that the complexes Ru-2-ibp and Ru-2-npx may exert effects (anti-angiogenic and anti-matrix metalloprotease) that are similar to those exhibited by NAMI-A opens new horizons for in vivo C6 glioma model studies. (C) 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Sediment deformation in Miocene and post-Miocene strata, Northeastern Brazil: Evidence for paleoseismicity in a passive margin

Stratigraphic intervals characterized by varied and complex styles of soft-sediment deformation structures are well preserved in Miocene and Late Pleistocene to Holocene deposits of a sedimentary basin located in Northeastern Brazil. The Miocene strata, represented by the Barreiras Formation, record only brittle structures, including numerous faults and fractures with straight and high angle-dipping planes that are often filled with sands derived from overlying beds. Folds consisting of broad anticlines and synclines are also present in this unit. The late Pleistocene to Holocene deposits, named Post-Barreiras Sediments, contain an indurated sandy package with a large variety of ductile and brittle deformation structures (i.e., massive sandstones with isolated sand fragments and breccias, undulatory strata, sand dykes and diapirs, sinks and bowls, pebbly pockets, plunged sediment mixtures, fitted sand masses, cone-shaped cracks, fault grading and sedimentary enclaves). These features, confined to sharp-based stratigraphic horizons that progressively grade downward into undisturbed deposits, are related to seismic shocks of high surface-wave magnitude (i.e., Ms>5 or 6). Amalgamated seismites suggest that previously formed seismites were affected by subsequent seismic-wave propagation. Seismic waves caused by activity along one, or most likely, several tectonic structures would have propagated throughout the depositional environment, producing laterally extensive seismites. The close proximity to earthquake epicenters would have promoted pervasive re-sedimentation due to pore overpressure, resulting high volumes of massive sandstones and breccia. The similarity between deposits with correlatable strata from many other areas along the Brazilian coast allows raise the hypothesis that the seismic episodes might have affected sedimentation patterns in a large (i.e., extension of several hundreds of kilometers) geographic area. Thus, the modern seismicity recorded along Northeastern Brazil was recurrent during the Quaternary and, perhaps, also in the Pliocene. The estimated high magnitude of the seismic events and the great regional extent of the affected area demonstrate that the Brazilian coast experienced tectonic stress through the last geological episodes of its evolution, which would have favored sediment accumulation and penecontemporaneous re-sedimentation. This geological context is unexpected in a passive margin, inducing to revisit the debate on how active is a passive margin. (C) 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Quaternary tectonics in a passive margin: Marajo Island, northern Brazil

Marajo Island is located in a passive continental margin that evolved from rifting associated with the opening of the Equatorial South Atlantic Ocean in the Late Jurassic/Early Cretaceous period. This study, based on remote sensing integrated with sedimentology, as well as subsurface and seismographic data available from the literature, allows discussion of the significance of tectonics during the Quaternary history of marginal basins. Results show that eastern Marajo Island contains channels with evidence of tectonic control. Mapping of straight channels defined four main groups of lineaments (i.e. NNE-SSW, NE-SW, NW-SE and E-W) that parallel main normal and strike-slip fault zones recorded for the Amazon region. Additionally, sedimentological studies of late Quaternary and Holocene deposits indicate numerous ductile and brittle structures within stratigraphic horizons bounded by undeformed strata, related to seismogenic deformation during or shortly after sediment deposition. This conclusion is consistent with subsurface Bouguer mapping suggestive of eastern Marajo Island being still part of the Marajo graben system, where important fault reactivation is recorded up to the Quaternary. Together with the recognition of several phases of fault reactivation, these data suggest that faults developed in association with rift basins might remain active in passive margins, imposing important control on development of depositional systems. Copyright (C) 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Film och mening : En receptionsstudie om spelfilm, filmpublik och existentiella frågor

In what ways and under what circumstances can a movie be a resource for individuals and their thoughts about existential matters? This central research question has been investigated using a both quantitative and qualitative approach. First, a questionnaire was distributed amongst 179 Swedish students to provide a preliminary overview of film habits. The questionnaire was also used as a tool for selecting respondents to individual interviews. Second, thirteen interviews were conducted, with viewers choosing their favourite movie of all time. In the study socio-cognitive theory and a schema-based theoretical tool is adopted to analyze how different viewers make use of movies as cultural products in an interplay between culture and cognition in three contexts; a socio-historic process, a socio-cultural interaction with the world and inner psychological processes. Summarizing the interviews some existential matters dominated. Matters of immanent orientation were in the foreground. Transcendental questions received much less attention. Summarizing the schema-based theoretical question, assessing which cognitive schema structures the narratives were processed through, the study found an emphasis on a combination of two main cognitive structures, person schema and self schema. Detailed person schematic cognitive processes about fictitious characters on the screen and their role model behaviour were combined by the respondents with dynamic cross-references to detailed self schematic introspections about their own characteristics, related to existential matters at some very specific moments in their lives. The viewers in the study seem to be inspired by movies as a mediated cultural resource, promoting the development of a personal moral framework with references to values deeply fostered by a humanistic tradition. It is argued that these findings support theories discussing individualised meaning making, developing ‘self-expression values’ and ‘altruistic individualism’ in contemporary western society.

Growth of transcendental meditation: a sociological study

Sociology, in concerning itself with methodology and cultural determinism,may have overlooked the value of human experience in determining social action. We feel that the structural-functionalist point of view is not mutually exclusive with that of symbolic interaction theory. The field of collective behavior has not adequately explained a certain incidence of human activity called Transcendental Meditation. This paper will define Transcendental Meditation in sociological terms and explore its growth in terms of structural-functionalism,as well as in terms of the symbol-making faculty of human experience. In the first chapter, the author will state his biases and background as well as the problem and purpose of the paper. In the second chapter, Transcendental Meditation will be defined through an explanation of its concepts in sociological terms. A view of the TM program will also be reported. Following this in the third chapter, the origins of TM will be discussed~showing its basis to be in a tradition of Indian gurus and following its development in the United states until the present. The history of TM will proceed through biography of leading figures, with special mention of innovations in the TM institution of teaching and events in the growth of the 'movement' of TOO that are of key importance. Having set down the history of TM, in the fourth chapter we will discuss TM in terms of various sociological models. We will try to identify TM as either a social movement; a charismatic organization or a bureaucracy. In the fifth chapter we will look more closely at the structure of the organization that teaches TM in regard to its own functioning; that is, compliance, communication, socialization and recruitment, and also in regard to its relationship with national institutions, such as military, industry, religion, and government. Finally, we will explore TM in terms of individual and group goals and offer an explanation defining the growth of TM. Throughout-the paper, sociological perspectives will be applied to phenomena that exist in the society today. It is not within the scope of this paper to verify all the sociological implications and appraisals offered. It is hoped that this will not invalidate the ensuing discussion. It is also hoped that this paper will expand the horizons of sociology and offer some direction in future studies of collective behavior. If this is accomplished, the author will be gratified and indebted to his teachers. If not the author takes full responsibility. This paper is dedicated therefore to Mr. Birge, Mr Morrione, Mr. Geib as well as to my parents who have encouraged me, my friends whom I have interviewed, and to His Holiness, Maharishi Mahesh Yogi whose teaching has uplifted hundred of thousands of people in the world and may bring about the development of new thresholds of peace and prosperity for mankind.

1973 Yearbook

New Horizons ’73; 154 p., b&w photographs. CREDITS: FACULTY ADVISOR, ROBERT McVEIGH, OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT; YEARBOOK REPRESENTATIVE, RON WEINMAN, FOR AMERICAN YEARBOOK; EDITORS: ANN TRZCINSKI, CAROL ClCCIARI, FRAN ATTONITO, GLORIA WALC, JOANN O'CONNOR, KATHY TRAEGER, LINDA McKENNA, LOUISE THARARUS, MERYL SUSSER, PATTY GIL; INSIDE COVER, CAROL CICCIARI; COVER DESIGN, GLORIA WALC AND CAROL CICCIARI; PHOTOGRAPHY, JOSEPH A. WALC (LEHMAN COLLEGE), KATHY TRAEGER, VINCENT NANFRA; EXTRA CREDITS, HOWARD PARNES, SAM KONIGSBERG PHOTOS, ANYONE ELSE WHO WE LEFT OUT

Model Prediction Control For Water Management Using Adaptive Prediction Accuracy

In the field of operational water management, Model Predictive Control (MPC) has gained popularity owing to its versatility and flexibility. The MPC controller, which takes predictions, time delay and uncertainties into account, can be designed for multi-objective management problems and for large-scale systems. Nonetheless, a critical obstacle, which needs to be overcome in MPC, is the large computational burden when a large-scale system is considered or a long prediction horizon is involved. In order to solve this problem, we use an adaptive prediction accuracy (APA) approach that can reduce the computational burden almost by half. The proposed MPC scheme with this scheme is tested on the northern Dutch water system, which comprises Lake IJssel, Lake Marker, the River IJssel and the North Sea Canal. The simulation results show that by using the MPC-APA scheme, the computational time can be reduced to a large extent and a flood protection problem over longer prediction horizons can be well solved.

Mapeamento e caracterização geomecânica das unidades geotécnicas de solos oriundos dos granitos, gnaisses e migmatitos de Porto Alegre

O trabalho consta do estudo do meio físico geotécnico do município de Porto Alegre visando a identificação e caracterização de unidades geotécnias, formadas por associações de solos com características físico-morfológicas e origem semelhantes. As unidades geotécnicas são definidas por um estudo de escritório baseado em levantamentos geológicos, pedológicos, topográficos e geográficos e também com o auxílio de fotografias aéreas, acompanhado de uma investigação de campo com a amostragem de perfis das diferentes unidades estimadas. Uma carta com a ocorrência das unidades geotécnicas e com a representação das estruturas geológicas de maior importância geotécina é construída. Destaque é dado ás unidades geotécnicas de solos subtropicais oriundos dos granitos, gnaisses e migmatitos. E executada uma avaliação das características físicas (mineralogia, granulometria, plasticidade, e índices físicos) e propriedades geotécnicas (compressibilidade, colapsividade e resistência ao cisalhamento) dos solos dos principais horizontes de perfis típicos destas unidades. São utilizados ensaios de caracterização, análises mineralógicas de rochas por lâminas delgadas, análises mineralógicas de argilas por meio de difratograma de raio X, ensaios de compressão confinada e ensaios de cisalhamento direto. Os resultados são apresentados em função dos principais horizontes de solos das unidades geotécnicas , são eles horizontes saprolíticos, formados por solo residual que ainda apresentam minerais primários e vestígios estruturais da rocha de origem e horizontes superficiais muitas das vezes laterizados. A análise foi feita à luz dos processos de formação e dos decorrentes fatores que determinam o comportamento geotécnico destes solos de intemperismo subtropical.

Desenvolvimento de modelo de gestão da capacidade produtiva de unidades de tratamento manual de carga postal

O presente trabalho, inserido na área de Planejamento, Programação e Controle da Engenharia de Produção, aborda especificamente as questões ligadas à gestão da capacidade produtiva, desenvolvendo um modelo sistêmico voltado a unidades de tratamento manual de objetos postais, os chamados Centros de Triagem. A partir do levantamento de um arcabouço teórico que fundamenta a proposta e da realização de estudos e trabalhos práticos efetuados pelo autor no Centro de Triagem de Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, os diversos níveis de planejamento, programação e controle de capacidade produtiva são discutidos e encadeados em uma seqüência lógica de entradas e saídas de informações fundamentais para a gestão dessas unidades operacionais. Dessa maneira, uma série de conceitos tradicionais de Engenharia de Produção foram adaptados à realidade de sistemas postais, desenvolvendo, dessa maneira, um método de gestão de capacidade produtiva customizada ao escopo do estudo. Embora o resultado prático do trabalho seja de utilidade específica para a gestão de Centros de Triagem manuais de carga postal, os conceitos discutidos e mesmo o modelo desenvolvido podem ser facilmente adaptados a outras unidades operacionais de correios e de outras indústrias, em especial as de operações de serviços.

Estudo geotécnico sobre a erodibilidade de solos residuais não saturados

A erodibilidade, particularizada como a susceptibilidade a erosão hídrica por fluxo superficial concentrado, é uma das propriedades de comportamento dos solos de maior complexidade pelo grande número de variáveis intervenientes. Estudada por diferentes áreas do conhecimento (Agronomia, Hidráulica, Geologia de Engenharia e Engenharia Geotécnica), tem no meio geotécnico a maior lacuna na sua quantificação e entendimento dos mecanismos envolvidos. O presente trabalho apresenta um estudo sobre a erodibilidade de solos residuais tropicais e subtropicais não saturados a partir de quatro perfis representativos dos processos erosivos e solos envolvidos na Região Metropolitana de Porto Alegre. Os solos dos principais horizontes de cada um destes perfis foram caracterizados física, química e mineralogicamente. As propriedades de resistência ao cisalhamento e colapsibilidade foram avaliadas por ensaios de cisalhamento direto convencionais e com controle de sucção e por ensaios de colapsibilidade em oedômetros, respectivamente. A erodibilidade foi avaliada em laboratório, diretamente por meio de ensaios de Inderbitzen e indiretamente por diferentes critérios e parâmetros baseados em outras características físicas e propriedades dos solos. A análise conjunta do comportamento dos solos em campo frente a erosão, da avaliação direta e indireta da erodibilidade e das propriedades geomecânicas investigadas conduziram à formulação de uma proposta de abordagem geotécnica para a erodibilidade dos solos residuais tropicais e subtropicais não saturados. Nesta proposta destaca–se a avaliação direta da erodibilidade por ensaios de Inderbitzen e a indicação de solos potencialmente erodíveis baseada no teor de finos, na plasticidade, no parâmetro K da USLE, na Razão de Dispersão de Middleton, na classificação e critério de erodibilidade MCT e na variação da coesão com a saturação pelo parâmetro variação de coesão (Δc) proposto. A proposta de abordagem geotécnica para a previsão da erodibilidade dos solos visa dotar o engenheiro geotécnico de uma ferramenta destinada à avaliação do potencial erosivo dos terrenos antes de uma iniciativa de ocupação urbana ou implantação de qualquer outra obra de engenharia. Esta avaliação é o passo inicial no direcionamento de medidas preventivas e que visem minimizar o impacto da obra ao meio físico natural, no que se refere a erosão hídrica por fluxo superficial concentrado.

The role of no-arbitrage on forecasting: lessons from a parametric term structure model

Parametric term structure models have been successfully applied to innumerous problems in fixed income markets, including pricing, hedging, managing risk, as well as studying monetary policy implications. On their turn, dynamic term structure models, equipped with stronger economic structure, have been mainly adopted to price derivatives and explain empirical stylized facts. In this paper, we combine flavors of those two classes of models to test if no-arbitrage affects forecasting. We construct cross section (allowing arbitrages) and arbitrage-free versions of a parametric polynomial model to analyze how well they predict out-of-sample interest rates. Based on U.S. Treasury yield data, we find that no-arbitrage restrictions significantly improve forecasts. Arbitrage-free versions achieve overall smaller biases and Root Mean Square Errors for most maturities and forecasting horizons. Furthermore, a decomposition of forecasts into forward-rates and holding return premia indicates that the superior performance of no-arbitrage versions is due to a better identification of bond risk premium.