958 resultados para failure time model


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Esta tesis doctoral se enmarca dentro del campo de los sistemas embebidos reconfigurables, redes de sensores inalámbricas para aplicaciones de altas prestaciones, y computación distribuida. El documento se centra en el estudio de alternativas de procesamiento para sistemas embebidos autónomos distribuidos de altas prestaciones (por sus siglas en inglés, High-Performance Autonomous Distributed Systems (HPADS)), así como su evolución hacia el procesamiento de alta resolución. El estudio se ha llevado a cabo tanto a nivel de plataforma como a nivel de las arquitecturas de procesamiento dentro de la plataforma con el objetivo de optimizar aspectos tan relevantes como la eficiencia energética, la capacidad de cómputo y la tolerancia a fallos del sistema. Los HPADS son sistemas realimentados, normalmente formados por elementos distribuidos conectados o no en red, con cierta capacidad de adaptación, y con inteligencia suficiente para llevar a cabo labores de prognosis y/o autoevaluación. Esta clase de sistemas suele formar parte de sistemas más complejos llamados sistemas ciber-físicos (por sus siglas en inglés, Cyber-Physical Systems (CPSs)). Los CPSs cubren un espectro enorme de aplicaciones, yendo desde aplicaciones médicas, fabricación, o aplicaciones aeroespaciales, entre otras muchas. Para el diseño de este tipo de sistemas, aspectos tales como la confiabilidad, la definición de modelos de computación, o el uso de metodologías y/o herramientas que faciliten el incremento de la escalabilidad y de la gestión de la complejidad, son fundamentales. La primera parte de esta tesis doctoral se centra en el estudio de aquellas plataformas existentes en el estado del arte que por sus características pueden ser aplicables en el campo de los CPSs, así como en la propuesta de un nuevo diseño de plataforma de altas prestaciones que se ajuste mejor a los nuevos y más exigentes requisitos de las nuevas aplicaciones. Esta primera parte incluye descripción, implementación y validación de la plataforma propuesta, así como conclusiones sobre su usabilidad y sus limitaciones. Los principales objetivos para el diseño de la plataforma propuesta se enumeran a continuación: • Estudiar la viabilidad del uso de una FPGA basada en RAM como principal procesador de la plataforma en cuanto a consumo energético y capacidad de cómputo. • Propuesta de técnicas de gestión del consumo de energía en cada etapa del perfil de trabajo de la plataforma. •Propuestas para la inclusión de reconfiguración dinámica y parcial de la FPGA (por sus siglas en inglés, Dynamic Partial Reconfiguration (DPR)) de forma que sea posible cambiar ciertas partes del sistema en tiempo de ejecución y sin necesidad de interrumpir al resto de las partes. Evaluar su aplicabilidad en el caso de HPADS. Las nuevas aplicaciones y nuevos escenarios a los que se enfrentan los CPSs, imponen nuevos requisitos en cuanto al ancho de banda necesario para el procesamiento de los datos, así como en la adquisición y comunicación de los mismos, además de un claro incremento en la complejidad de los algoritmos empleados. Para poder cumplir con estos nuevos requisitos, las plataformas están migrando desde sistemas tradicionales uni-procesador de 8 bits, a sistemas híbridos hardware-software que incluyen varios procesadores, o varios procesadores y lógica programable. Entre estas nuevas arquitecturas, las FPGAs y los sistemas en chip (por sus siglas en inglés, System on Chip (SoC)) que incluyen procesadores embebidos y lógica programable, proporcionan soluciones con muy buenos resultados en cuanto a consumo energético, precio, capacidad de cómputo y flexibilidad. Estos buenos resultados son aún mejores cuando las aplicaciones tienen altos requisitos de cómputo y cuando las condiciones de trabajo son muy susceptibles de cambiar en tiempo real. La plataforma propuesta en esta tesis doctoral se ha denominado HiReCookie. La arquitectura incluye una FPGA basada en RAM como único procesador, así como un diseño compatible con la plataforma para redes de sensores inalámbricas desarrollada en el Centro de Electrónica Industrial de la Universidad Politécnica de Madrid (CEI-UPM) conocida como Cookies. Esta FPGA, modelo Spartan-6 LX150, era, en el momento de inicio de este trabajo, la mejor opción en cuanto a consumo y cantidad de recursos integrados, cuando además, permite el uso de reconfiguración dinámica y parcial. Es importante resaltar que aunque los valores de consumo son los mínimos para esta familia de componentes, la potencia instantánea consumida sigue siendo muy alta para aquellos sistemas que han de trabajar distribuidos, de forma autónoma, y en la mayoría de los casos alimentados por baterías. Por esta razón, es necesario incluir en el diseño estrategias de ahorro energético para incrementar la usabilidad y el tiempo de vida de la plataforma. La primera estrategia implementada consiste en dividir la plataforma en distintas islas de alimentación de forma que sólo aquellos elementos que sean estrictamente necesarios permanecerán alimentados, cuando el resto puede estar completamente apagado. De esta forma es posible combinar distintos modos de operación y así optimizar enormemente el consumo de energía. El hecho de apagar la FPGA para ahora energía durante los periodos de inactividad, supone la pérdida de la configuración, puesto que la memoria de configuración es una memoria volátil. Para reducir el impacto en el consumo y en el tiempo que supone la reconfiguración total de la plataforma una vez encendida, en este trabajo, se incluye una técnica para la compresión del archivo de configuración de la FPGA, de forma que se consiga una reducción del tiempo de configuración y por ende de la energía consumida. Aunque varios de los requisitos de diseño pueden satisfacerse con el diseño de la plataforma HiReCookie, es necesario seguir optimizando diversos parámetros tales como el consumo energético, la tolerancia a fallos y la capacidad de procesamiento. Esto sólo es posible explotando todas las posibilidades ofrecidas por la arquitectura de procesamiento en la FPGA. Por lo tanto, la segunda parte de esta tesis doctoral está centrada en el diseño de una arquitectura reconfigurable denominada ARTICo3 (Arquitectura Reconfigurable para el Tratamiento Inteligente de Cómputo, Confiabilidad y Consumo de energía) para la mejora de estos parámetros por medio de un uso dinámico de recursos. ARTICo3 es una arquitectura de procesamiento para FPGAs basadas en RAM, con comunicación tipo bus, preparada para dar soporte para la gestión dinámica de los recursos internos de la FPGA en tiempo de ejecución gracias a la inclusión de reconfiguración dinámica y parcial. Gracias a esta capacidad de reconfiguración parcial, es posible adaptar los niveles de capacidad de procesamiento, energía consumida o tolerancia a fallos para responder a las demandas de la aplicación, entorno, o métricas internas del dispositivo mediante la adaptación del número de recursos asignados para cada tarea. Durante esta segunda parte de la tesis se detallan el diseño de la arquitectura, su implementación en la plataforma HiReCookie, así como en otra familia de FPGAs, y su validación por medio de diferentes pruebas y demostraciones. Los principales objetivos que se plantean la arquitectura son los siguientes: • Proponer una metodología basada en un enfoque multi-hilo, como las propuestas por CUDA (por sus siglas en inglés, Compute Unified Device Architecture) u Open CL, en la cual distintos kernels, o unidades de ejecución, se ejecuten en un numero variable de aceleradores hardware sin necesidad de cambios en el código de aplicación. • Proponer un diseño y proporcionar una arquitectura en la que las condiciones de trabajo cambien de forma dinámica dependiendo bien de parámetros externos o bien de parámetros que indiquen el estado de la plataforma. Estos cambios en el punto de trabajo de la arquitectura serán posibles gracias a la reconfiguración dinámica y parcial de aceleradores hardware en tiempo real. • Explotar las posibilidades de procesamiento concurrente, incluso en una arquitectura basada en bus, por medio de la optimización de las transacciones en ráfaga de datos hacia los aceleradores. •Aprovechar las ventajas ofrecidas por la aceleración lograda por módulos puramente hardware para conseguir una mejor eficiencia energética. • Ser capaces de cambiar los niveles de redundancia de hardware de forma dinámica según las necesidades del sistema en tiempo real y sin cambios para el código de aplicación. • Proponer una capa de abstracción entre el código de aplicación y el uso dinámico de los recursos de la FPGA. El diseño en FPGAs permite la utilización de módulos hardware específicamente creados para una aplicación concreta. De esta forma es posible obtener rendimientos mucho mayores que en el caso de las arquitecturas de propósito general. Además, algunas FPGAs permiten la reconfiguración dinámica y parcial de ciertas partes de su lógica en tiempo de ejecución, lo cual dota al diseño de una gran flexibilidad. Los fabricantes de FPGAs ofrecen arquitecturas predefinidas con la posibilidad de añadir bloques prediseñados y poder formar sistemas en chip de una forma más o menos directa. Sin embargo, la forma en la que estos módulos hardware están organizados dentro de la arquitectura interna ya sea estática o dinámicamente, o la forma en la que la información se intercambia entre ellos, influye enormemente en la capacidad de cómputo y eficiencia energética del sistema. De la misma forma, la capacidad de cargar módulos hardware bajo demanda, permite añadir bloques redundantes que permitan aumentar el nivel de tolerancia a fallos de los sistemas. Sin embargo, la complejidad ligada al diseño de bloques hardware dedicados no debe ser subestimada. Es necesario tener en cuenta que el diseño de un bloque hardware no es sólo su propio diseño, sino también el diseño de sus interfaces, y en algunos casos de los drivers software para su manejo. Además, al añadir más bloques, el espacio de diseño se hace más complejo, y su programación más difícil. Aunque la mayoría de los fabricantes ofrecen interfaces predefinidas, IPs (por sus siglas en inglés, Intelectual Property) comerciales y plantillas para ayudar al diseño de los sistemas, para ser capaces de explotar las posibilidades reales del sistema, es necesario construir arquitecturas sobre las ya establecidas para facilitar el uso del paralelismo, la redundancia, y proporcionar un entorno que soporte la gestión dinámica de los recursos. Para proporcionar este tipo de soporte, ARTICo3 trabaja con un espacio de soluciones formado por tres ejes fundamentales: computación, consumo energético y confiabilidad. De esta forma, cada punto de trabajo se obtiene como una solución de compromiso entre estos tres parámetros. Mediante el uso de la reconfiguración dinámica y parcial y una mejora en la transmisión de los datos entre la memoria principal y los aceleradores, es posible dedicar un número variable de recursos en el tiempo para cada tarea, lo que hace que los recursos internos de la FPGA sean virtualmente ilimitados. Este variación en el tiempo del número de recursos por tarea se puede usar bien para incrementar el nivel de paralelismo, y por ende de aceleración, o bien para aumentar la redundancia, y por lo tanto el nivel de tolerancia a fallos. Al mismo tiempo, usar un numero óptimo de recursos para una tarea mejora el consumo energético ya que bien es posible disminuir la potencia instantánea consumida, o bien el tiempo de procesamiento. Con el objetivo de mantener los niveles de complejidad dentro de unos límites lógicos, es importante que los cambios realizados en el hardware sean totalmente transparentes para el código de aplicación. A este respecto, se incluyen distintos niveles de transparencia: • Transparencia a la escalabilidad: los recursos usados por una misma tarea pueden ser modificados sin que el código de aplicación sufra ningún cambio. • Transparencia al rendimiento: el sistema aumentara su rendimiento cuando la carga de trabajo aumente, sin cambios en el código de aplicación. • Transparencia a la replicación: es posible usar múltiples instancias de un mismo módulo bien para añadir redundancia o bien para incrementar la capacidad de procesamiento. Todo ello sin que el código de aplicación cambie. • Transparencia a la posición: la posición física de los módulos hardware es arbitraria para su direccionamiento desde el código de aplicación. • Transparencia a los fallos: si existe un fallo en un módulo hardware, gracias a la redundancia, el código de aplicación tomará directamente el resultado correcto. • Transparencia a la concurrencia: el hecho de que una tarea sea realizada por más o menos bloques es transparente para el código que la invoca. Por lo tanto, esta tesis doctoral contribuye en dos líneas diferentes. En primer lugar, con el diseño de la plataforma HiReCookie y en segundo lugar con el diseño de la arquitectura ARTICo3. Las principales contribuciones de esta tesis se resumen a continuación. • Arquitectura de la HiReCookie incluyendo: o Compatibilidad con la plataforma Cookies para incrementar las capacidades de esta. o División de la arquitectura en distintas islas de alimentación. o Implementación de los diversos modos de bajo consumo y políticas de despertado del nodo. o Creación de un archivo de configuración de la FPGA comprimido para reducir el tiempo y el consumo de la configuración inicial. • Diseño de la arquitectura reconfigurable para FPGAs basadas en RAM ARTICo3: o Modelo de computación y modos de ejecución inspirados en el modelo de CUDA pero basados en hardware reconfigurable con un número variable de bloques de hilos por cada unidad de ejecución. o Estructura para optimizar las transacciones de datos en ráfaga proporcionando datos en cascada o en paralelo a los distinto módulos incluyendo un proceso de votado por mayoría y operaciones de reducción. o Capa de abstracción entre el procesador principal que incluye el código de aplicación y los recursos asignados para las diferentes tareas. o Arquitectura de los módulos hardware reconfigurables para mantener la escalabilidad añadiendo una la interfaz para las nuevas funcionalidades con un simple acceso a una memoria RAM interna. o Caracterización online de las tareas para proporcionar información a un módulo de gestión de recursos para mejorar la operación en términos de energía y procesamiento cuando además se opera entre distintos nieles de tolerancia a fallos. El documento está dividido en dos partes principales formando un total de cinco capítulos. En primer lugar, después de motivar la necesidad de nuevas plataformas para cubrir las nuevas aplicaciones, se detalla el diseño de la plataforma HiReCookie, sus partes, las posibilidades para bajar el consumo energético y se muestran casos de uso de la plataforma así como pruebas de validación del diseño. La segunda parte del documento describe la arquitectura reconfigurable, su implementación en varias FPGAs, y pruebas de validación en términos de capacidad de procesamiento y consumo energético, incluyendo cómo estos aspectos se ven afectados por el nivel de tolerancia a fallos elegido. Los capítulos a lo largo del documento son los siguientes: El capítulo 1 analiza los principales objetivos, motivación y aspectos teóricos necesarios para seguir el resto del documento. El capítulo 2 está centrado en el diseño de la plataforma HiReCookie y sus posibilidades para disminuir el consumo de energía. El capítulo 3 describe la arquitectura reconfigurable ARTICo3. El capítulo 4 se centra en las pruebas de validación de la arquitectura usando la plataforma HiReCookie para la mayoría de los tests. Un ejemplo de aplicación es mostrado para analizar el funcionamiento de la arquitectura. El capítulo 5 concluye esta tesis doctoral comentando las conclusiones obtenidas, las contribuciones originales del trabajo y resultados y líneas futuras. ABSTRACT This PhD Thesis is framed within the field of dynamically reconfigurable embedded systems, advanced sensor networks and distributed computing. The document is centred on the study of processing solutions for high-performance autonomous distributed systems (HPADS) as well as their evolution towards High performance Computing (HPC) systems. The approach of the study is focused on both platform and processor levels to optimise critical aspects such as computing performance, energy efficiency and fault tolerance. HPADS are considered feedback systems, normally networked and/or distributed, with real-time adaptive and predictive functionality. These systems, as part of more complex systems known as Cyber-Physical Systems (CPSs), can be applied in a wide range of fields such as military, health care, manufacturing, aerospace, etc. For the design of HPADS, high levels of dependability, the definition of suitable models of computation, and the use of methodologies and tools to support scalability and complexity management, are required. The first part of the document studies the different possibilities at platform design level in the state of the art, together with description, development and validation tests of the platform proposed in this work to cope with the previously mentioned requirements. The main objectives targeted by this platform design are the following: • Study the feasibility of using SRAM-based FPGAs as the main processor of the platform in terms of energy consumption and performance for high demanding applications. • Analyse and propose energy management techniques to reduce energy consumption in every stage of the working profile of the platform. • Provide a solution with dynamic partial and wireless remote HW reconfiguration (DPR) to be able to change certain parts of the FPGA design at run time and on demand without interrupting the rest of the system. • Demonstrate the applicability of the platform in different test-bench applications. In order to select the best approach for the platform design in terms of processing alternatives, a study of the evolution of the state-of-the-art platforms is required to analyse how different architectures cope with new more demanding applications and scenarios: security, mixed-critical systems for aerospace, multimedia applications, or military environments, among others. In all these scenarios, important changes in the required processing bandwidth or the complexity of the algorithms used are provoking the migration of the platforms from single microprocessor architectures to multiprocessing and heterogeneous solutions with more instant power consumption but higher energy efficiency. Within these solutions, FPGAs and Systems on Chip including FPGA fabric and dedicated hard processors, offer a good trade of among flexibility, processing performance, energy consumption and price, when they are used in demanding applications where working conditions are very likely to vary over time and high complex algorithms are required. The platform architecture proposed in this PhD Thesis is called HiReCookie. It includes an SRAM-based FPGA as the main and only processing unit. The FPGA selected, the Xilinx Spartan-6 LX150, was at the beginning of this work the best choice in terms of amount of resources and power. Although, the power levels are the lowest of these kind of devices, they can be still very high for distributed systems that normally work powered by batteries. For that reason, it is necessary to include different energy saving possibilities to increase the usability of the platform. In order to reduce energy consumption, the platform architecture is divided into different power islands so that only those parts of the systems that are strictly needed are powered on, while the rest of the islands can be completely switched off. This allows a combination of different low power modes to decrease energy. In addition, one of the most important handicaps of SRAM-based FPGAs is that they are not alive at power up. Therefore, recovering the system from a switch-off state requires to reload the FPGA configuration from a non-volatile memory device. For that reason, this PhD Thesis also proposes a methodology to compress the FPGA configuration file in order to reduce time and energy during the initial configuration process. Although some of the requirements for the design of HPADS are already covered by the design of the HiReCookie platform, it is necessary to continue improving energy efficiency, computing performance and fault tolerance. This is only possible by exploiting all the opportunities provided by the processing architectures configured inside the FPGA. Therefore, the second part of the thesis details the design of the so called ARTICo3 FPGA architecture to enhance the already intrinsic capabilities of the FPGA. ARTICo3 is a DPR-capable bus-based virtual architecture for multiple HW acceleration in SRAM-based FPGAs. The architecture provides support for dynamic resource management in real time. In this way, by using DPR, it will be possible to change the levels of computing performance, energy consumption and fault tolerance on demand by increasing or decreasing the amount of resources used by the different tasks. Apart from the detailed design of the architecture and its implementation in different FPGA devices, different validation tests and comparisons are also shown. The main objectives targeted by this FPGA architecture are listed as follows: • Provide a method based on a multithread approach such as those offered by CUDA (Compute Unified Device Architecture) or OpenCL kernel executions, where kernels are executed in a variable number of HW accelerators without requiring application code changes. • Provide an architecture to dynamically adapt working points according to either self-measured or external parameters in terms of energy consumption, fault tolerance and computing performance. Taking advantage of DPR capabilities, the architecture must provide support for a dynamic use of resources in real time. • Exploit concurrent processing capabilities in a standard bus-based system by optimizing data transactions to and from HW accelerators. • Measure the advantage of HW acceleration as a technique to boost performance to improve processing times and save energy by reducing active times for distributed embedded systems. • Dynamically change the levels of HW redundancy to adapt fault tolerance in real time. • Provide HW abstraction from SW application design. FPGAs give the possibility of designing specific HW blocks for every required task to optimise performance while some of them include the possibility of including DPR. Apart from the possibilities provided by manufacturers, the way these HW modules are organised, addressed and multiplexed in area and time can improve computing performance and energy consumption. At the same time, fault tolerance and security techniques can also be dynamically included using DPR. However, the inherent complexity of designing new HW modules for every application is not negligible. It does not only consist of the HW description, but also the design of drivers and interfaces with the rest of the system, while the design space is widened and more complex to define and program. Even though the tools provided by the majority of manufacturers already include predefined bus interfaces, commercial IPs, and templates to ease application prototyping, it is necessary to improve these capabilities. By adding new architectures on top of them, it is possible to take advantage of parallelization and HW redundancy while providing a framework to ease the use of dynamic resource management. ARTICo3 works within a solution space where working points change at run time in a 3D space defined by three different axes: Computation, Consumption, and Fault Tolerance. Therefore, every working point is found as a trade-off solution among these three axes. By means of DPR, different accelerators can be multiplexed so that the amount of available resources for any application is virtually unlimited. Taking advantage of DPR capabilities and a novel way of transmitting data to the reconfigurable HW accelerators, it is possible to dedicate a dynamically-changing number of resources for a given task in order to either boost computing speed or adding HW redundancy and a voting process to increase fault-tolerance levels. At the same time, using an optimised amount of resources for a given task reduces energy consumption by reducing instant power or computing time. In order to keep level complexity under certain limits, it is important that HW changes are transparent for the application code. Therefore, different levels of transparency are targeted by the system: • Scalability transparency: a task must be able to expand its resources without changing the system structure or application algorithms. • Performance transparency: the system must reconfigure itself as load changes. • Replication transparency: multiple instances of the same task are loaded to increase reliability and performance. • Location transparency: resources are accessed with no knowledge of their location by the application code. • Failure transparency: task must be completed despite a failure in some components. • Concurrency transparency: different tasks will work in a concurrent way transparent to the application code. Therefore, as it can be seen, the Thesis is contributing in two different ways. First with the design of the HiReCookie platform and, second with the design of the ARTICo3 architecture. The main contributions of this PhD Thesis are then listed below: • Architecture of the HiReCookie platform including: o Compatibility of the processing layer for high performance applications with the Cookies Wireless Sensor Network platform for fast prototyping and implementation. o A division of the architecture in power islands. o All the different low-power modes. o The creation of the partial-initial bitstream together with the wake-up policies of the node. • The design of the reconfigurable architecture for SRAM FPGAs: ARTICo3: o A model of computation and execution modes inspired in CUDA but based on reconfigurable HW with a dynamic number of thread blocks per kernel. o A structure to optimise burst data transactions providing coalesced or parallel data to HW accelerators, parallel voting process and reduction operation. o The abstraction provided to the host processor with respect to the operation of the kernels in terms of the number of replicas, modes of operation, location in the reconfigurable area and addressing. o The architecture of the modules representing the thread blocks to make the system scalable by adding functional units only adding an access to a BRAM port. o The online characterization of the kernels to provide information to a scheduler or resource manager in terms of energy consumption and processing time when changing among different fault-tolerance levels, as well as if a kernel is expected to work in the memory-bounded or computing-bounded areas. The document of the Thesis is divided into two main parts with a total of five chapters. First, after motivating the need for new platforms to cover new more demanding applications, the design of the HiReCookie platform, its parts and several partial tests are detailed. The design of the platform alone does not cover all the needs of these applications. Therefore, the second part describes the architecture inside the FPGA, called ARTICo3, proposed in this PhD Thesis. The architecture and its implementation are tested in terms of energy consumption and computing performance showing different possibilities to improve fault tolerance and how this impact in energy and time of processing. Chapter 1 shows the main goals of this PhD Thesis and the technology background required to follow the rest of the document. Chapter 2 shows all the details about the design of the FPGA-based platform HiReCookie. Chapter 3 describes the ARTICo3 architecture. Chapter 4 is focused on the validation tests of the ARTICo3 architecture. An application for proof of concept is explained where typical kernels related to image processing and encryption algorithms are used. Further experimental analyses are performed using these kernels. Chapter 5 concludes the document analysing conclusions, comments about the contributions of the work, and some possible future lines for the work.

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When the heart fails, there is often a constellation of biochemical alterations of the β-adrenergic receptor (βAR) signaling system, leading to the loss of cardiac inotropic reserve. βAR down-regulation and functional uncoupling are mediated through enhanced activity of the βAR kinase (βARK1), the expression of which is increased in ischemic and failing myocardium. These changes are widely viewed as representing an adaptive mechanism, which protects the heart against chronic activation. In this study, we demonstrate, using in vivo intracoronary adenoviral-mediated gene delivery of a peptide inhibitor of βARK1 (βARKct), that the desensitization and down-regulation of βARs seen in the failing heart may actually be maladaptive. In a rabbit model of heart failure induced by myocardial infarction, which recapitulates the biochemical βAR abnormalities seen in human heart failure, delivery of the βARKct transgene at the time of myocardial infarction prevents the rise in βARK1 activity and expression and thereby maintains βAR density and signaling at normal levels. Rather than leading to deleterious effects, cardiac function is improved, and the development of heart failure is delayed. These results appear to challenge the notion that dampening of βAR signaling in the failing heart is protective, and they may lead to novel therapeutic strategies to treat heart disease via inhibition of βARK1 and preservation of myocardial βAR function.

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Chronic human heart failure is characterized by abnormalities in β-adrenergic receptor (βAR) signaling, including increased levels of βAR kinase 1 (βARK1), which seems critical to the pathogenesis of the disease. To determine whether inhibition of βARK1 is sufficient to rescue a model of severe heart failure, we mated transgenic mice overexpressing a peptide inhibitor of βARK1 (βARKct) with transgenic mice overexpressing the sarcoplasmic reticulum Ca2+-binding protein, calsequestrin (CSQ). CSQ mice have a severe cardiomyopathy and markedly shortened survival (9 ± 1 weeks). In contrast, CSQ/βARKct mice exhibited a significant increase in mean survival age (15 ± 1 weeks; P < 0.0001) and showed less cardiac dilation, and cardiac function was significantly improved (CSQ vs. CSQ/βARKct, left ventricular end diastolic dimension 5.60 ± 0.17 mm vs. 4.19 ± 0.09 mm, P < 0.005; % fractional shortening, 15 ± 2 vs. 36 ± 2, P < 0.005). The enhancement of the survival rate in CSQ/βARKct mice was substantially potentiated by chronic treatment with the βAR antagonist metoprolol (CSQ/βARKct nontreated vs. CSQ/βARKct metoprolol treated, 15 ± 1 weeks vs. 25 ± 2 weeks, P < 0.0001). Thus, overexpression of the βARKct resulted in a marked prolongation in survival and improved cardiac function in a mouse model of severe cardiomyopathy that can be potentiated with β-blocker therapy. These data demonstrate a significant synergy between an established heart-failure treatment and the strategy of βARK1 inhibition.

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To provide a more general method for comparing survival experience, we propose a model that independently scales both hazard and time dimensions. To test the curve shape similarity of two time-dependent hazards, h1(t) and h2(t), we apply the proposed hazard relationship, h12(tKt)/ h1(t) = Kh, to h1. This relationship doubly scales h1 by the constant hazard and time scale factors, Kh and Kt, producing a transformed hazard, h12, with the same underlying curve shape as h1. We optimize the match of h12 to h2 by adjusting Kh and Kt. The corresponding survival relationship S12(tKt) = [S1(t)]KtKh transforms S1 into a new curve S12 of the same underlying shape that can be matched to the original S2. We apply this model to the curves for regional and local breast cancer contained in the National Cancer Institute's End Results Registry (1950-1973). Scaling the original regional curves, h1 and S1 with Kt = 1.769 and Kh = 0.263 produces transformed curves h12 and S12 that display congruence with the respective local curves, h2 and S2. This similarity of curve shapes suggests the application of the more complete curve shapes for regional disease as templates to predict the long-term survival pattern for local disease. By extension, this similarity raises the possibility of scaling early data for clinical trial curves according to templates of registry or previous trial curves, projecting long-term outcomes and reducing costs. The proposed model includes as special cases the widely used proportional hazards (Kt = 1) and accelerated life (KtKh = 1) models.

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The costs of the crisis in Southern European countries have not been only economic but political. Economic crises tend to lead to government instability and termination while political challengers are expected to exploit this contingent window of opportunity to gain an advantage over incumbents in national elections. The current crisis seems to make no exception, looking at the results of the general elections recently held in Southern Europe. However, this did not always lead to a clear victory of the main opposition parties. In most of the elections, in fact, the incumbent parties’ loss did not coincide with the official opposition’s gain. The extreme case is represented by Italy, where both the outgoing government coalition led by Silvio Berlusconi – setting aside for the moment the technocratic phase – and its main challenger, the centre left coalition, ended up losing millions of voters and a new political force, the Five Star Movement, obtained about 25 per cent of votes. On the opposite side there is Portugal. Only in Portugal did the vote increase for the centre right PSD, in fact, exceed the incumbent socialists’ loss. The present work aims at exploring the factors which might account for this significant divergence between the two cases.

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The research work presented in the thesis describes a new methodology for the automated near real-time detection of pipe bursts in Water Distribution Systems (WDSs). The methodology analyses the pressure/flow data gathered by means of SCADA systems in order to extract useful informations that go beyond the simple and usual monitoring type activities and/or regulatory reporting , enabling the water company to proactively manage the WDSs sections. The work has an interdisciplinary nature covering AI techniques and WDSs management processes such as data collection, manipulation and analysis for event detection. Indeed, the methodology makes use of (i) Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the short-term forecasting of future pressure/flow signal values and (ii) Rule-based Model for bursts detection at sensor and district level. The results of applying the new methodology to a District Metered Area in Emilia- Romagna’s region, Italy have also been reported in the thesis. The results gathered illustrate how the methodology is capable to detect the aforementioned failure events in fast and reliable manner. The methodology guarantees the water companies to save water, energy, money and therefore enhance them to achieve higher levels of operational efficiency, a compliance with the current regulations and, last but not least, an improvement of customer service.

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The Southern Hemisphere Westerly Winds (SWW) constitute an important zonal circulation that influences large-scale precipitation patterns and ocean circulation. Variations in their intensity and latitudinal position have been suggested to exert a strong influence on the CO2 budget in the Southern Ocean, thus making them a potential factor affecting the global climate. The possible influence of solar forcing on SWW variability during the Holocene is addressed. Solar sensitivity experiments with a comprehensive global climate model (CCSM3) are carried out to study the response of SWW to solar variability. In addition, It is shown that a high-resolution iron record from the Chilean continental slope (41° S), which is interpreted to reflect changes in the position of the SWW, is significantly correlated with reconstructed solar activity during the past 3000 years. Taken together, the proxy and model results suggest that centennial-scale periods of lower (higher) solar activity caused equatorward (southward) shifts of the annual mean SWW.

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Mode of access: Internet.

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Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Washington, 2016-06

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Statistical tests of Load-Unload Response Ratio (LURR) signals are carried in order to verify statistical robustness of the previous studies using the Lattice Solid Model (MORA et al., 2002b). In each case 24 groups of samples with the same macroscopic parameters (tidal perturbation amplitude A, period T and tectonic loading rate k) but different particle arrangements are employed. Results of uni-axial compression experiments show that before the normalized time of catastrophic failure, the ensemble average LURR value rises significantly, in agreement with the observations of high LURR prior to the large earthquakes. In shearing tests, two parameters are found to control the correlation between earthquake occurrence and tidal stress. One is, A/(kT) controlling the phase shift between the peak seismicity rate and the peak amplitude of the perturbation stress. With an increase of this parameter, the phase shift is found to decrease. Another parameter, AT/k, controls the height of the probability density function (Pdf) of modeled seismicity. As this parameter increases, the Pdf becomes sharper and narrower, indicating a strong triggering. Statistical studies of LURR signals in shearing tests also suggest that except in strong triggering cases, where LURR cannot be calculated due to poor data in unloading cycles, the larger events are more likely to occur in higher LURR periods than the smaller ones, supporting the LURR hypothesis.

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The aim of this study was to ascertain the most suitable dosing schedule for gentamicin in patients receiving hemodialysis. We developed a model to describe the concentrationtime course of gentamicin in patients receiving hemodialysis. Using the model, an optimal dosing schedule was evaluated. Various dosing regimens were compared in their ability to achieve maximum concentration (C-max, >= 8 mg/L) and area under the concentration time-curve (AUC >= 70 mg(.)h/L and <= 120 mg(.)h/L per 24 hours). The model was evaluated by comparing model predictions against real data collected retrospectively. Simulations from the model confirmed the benefits of predialysis dosing. The mean optimal dose was 230 mg administered immediately before dialysis. The model was found to have good predictive performance when simulated data were compared to data observed in real patients. In summary, a model was developed that describes gentamicin pharmacokinetics in patients receiving hemodialysis. Predialysis dosing provided a superior pharmacokinetic profile than did postdialysis dosing.

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Administration of human recombinant erythropoietin ( EPO) at time of acute ischemic renal injury ( IRI) inhibits apoptosis, enhances tubular epithelial regeneration, and promotes renal functional recovery. The present study aimed to determine whether darbepoetin-alfa ( DPO) exhibits comparable renoprotection to that afforded by EPO, whether pro or antiapoptotic Bcl-2 proteins are involved, and whether delayed administration of EPO or DPO 6 h following IRI ameliorates renal dysfunction. The model of IRI involved bilateral renal artery occlusion for 45 min in rats ( N = 4 per group), followed by reperfusion for 1-7 days. Controls were sham-operated. Rats were treated at time of ischemia or sham operation ( T0), or post-treated ( 6 h after the onset of reperfusion, T6) with EPO ( 5000 IU/kg), DPO ( 25 mu g/kg), or appropriate vehicle by intraperitoneal injection. Renal function, structure, and immunohistochemistry for Bcl-2, Bcl-XL, and Bax were analyzed. DPO or EPO at T0 significantly abrogated renal dysfunction in IRI animals ( serum creatinine for IRI 0.17 +/- 0.05mmol/l vs DPO-IRI 0.08 +/- 0.03mmol/l vs EPO-IRI 0.04 +/- 0.01mmol/l, P = 0.01). Delayed administration of DPO or EPO ( T6) also significantly abrogated subsequent renal dysfunction ( serum creatinine for IRI 0.17 +/- 0.05mmol/l vs DPO-IRI 0.06 +/- 0.01mmol/l vs EPO-IRI 0.03 +/- 0.03mmol/l, P = 0.01). There was also significantly decreased tissue injury ( apoptosis, P < 0.05), decreased proapoptotic Bax, and increased regenerative capacity, especially in the outer stripe of the outer medulla, with DPO or EPO at T0 or T6. These results reaffirm the potential clinical application of DPO and EPO as novel renoprotective agents for patients at risk of ischemic acute renal failure or after having sustained an ischemic renal insult.

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Despite the insight gained from 2-D particle models, and given that the dynamics of crustal faults occur in 3-D space, the question remains, how do the 3-D fault gouge dynamics differ from those in 2-D? Traditionally, 2-D modeling has been preferred over 3-D simulations because of the computational cost of solving 3-D problems. However, modern high performance computing architectures, combined with a parallel implementation of the Lattice Solid Model (LSM), provide the opportunity to explore 3-D fault micro-mechanics and to advance understanding of effective constitutive relations of fault gouge layers. In this paper, macroscopic friction values from 2-D and 3-D LSM simulations, performed on an SGI Altix 3700 super-cluster, are compared. Two rectangular elastic blocks of bonded particles, with a rough fault plane and separated by a region of randomly sized non-bonded gouge particles, are sheared in opposite directions by normally-loaded driving plates. The results demonstrate that the gouge particles in the 3-D models undergo significant out-of-plane motion during shear. The 3-D models also exhibit a higher mean macroscopic friction than the 2-D models for varying values of interparticle friction. 2-D LSM gouge models have previously been shown to exhibit accelerating energy release in simulated earthquake cycles, supporting the Critical Point hypothesis. The 3-D models are shown to also display accelerating energy release, and good fits of power law time-to-failure functions to the cumulative energy release are obtained.