Rethinking economy-wide rebound measures: an unbiased proposal

In spite of having been first introduced in the last half of the ninetieth century, the debate about the possible rebound effects from energy efficiency improvements is still an open question in the economic literature. This paper contributes to the existing research on this issue proposing an unbiased measure for economy-wide rebound effects. The novelty of this economy-wide rebound measure stems from the fact that not only actual energy savings but also potential energy savings are quantified under general equilibrium conditions. Our findings indicate that the use of engineering savings instead of general equilibrium potential savings downward biases economy-wide rebound effects and upward-biases backfire effects. The discrepancies between the traditional indicator and our proposed measure are analysed in the context of the Spanish economy.

A novel tool for the assessment of pain: validation in low back pain.

BACKGROUND: Adequate pain assessment is critical for evaluating the efficacy of analgesic treatment in clinical practice and during the development of new therapies. Yet the currently used scores of global pain intensity fail to reflect the diversity of pain manifestations and the complexity of underlying biological mechanisms. We have developed a tool for a standardized assessment of pain-related symptoms and signs that differentiates pain phenotypes independent of etiology. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Using a structured interview (16 questions) and a standardized bedside examination (23 tests), we prospectively assessed symptoms and signs in 130 patients with peripheral neuropathic pain caused by diabetic polyneuropathy, postherpetic neuralgia, or radicular low back pain (LBP), and in 57 patients with non-neuropathic (axial) LBP. A hierarchical cluster analysis revealed distinct association patterns of symptoms and signs (pain subtypes) that characterized six subgroups of patients with neuropathic pain and two subgroups of patients with non-neuropathic pain. Using a classification tree analysis, we identified the most discriminatory assessment items for the identification of pain subtypes. We combined these six interview questions and ten physical tests in a pain assessment tool that we named Standardized Evaluation of Pain (StEP). We validated StEP for the distinction between radicular and axial LBP in an independent group of 137 patients. StEP identified patients with radicular pain with high sensitivity (92%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 83%-97%) and specificity (97%; 95% CI 89%-100%). The diagnostic accuracy of StEP exceeded that of a dedicated screening tool for neuropathic pain and spinal magnetic resonance imaging. In addition, we were able to reproduce subtypes of radicular and axial LBP, underscoring the utility of StEP for discerning distinct constellations of symptoms and signs. CONCLUSIONS: We present a novel method of identifying pain subtypes that we believe reflect underlying pain mechanisms. We demonstrate that this new approach to pain assessment helps separate radicular from axial back pain. Beyond diagnostic utility, a standardized differentiation of pain subtypes that is independent of disease etiology may offer a unique opportunity to improve targeted analgesic treatment.

Quasiconformal distortion of Riesz capacities and Hausdorff measures in the plane

In this paper we prove the sharp distortion estimates for the quasiconformal mappings in the plane, both in terms of the Riesz capacities from non linear potential theory and in terms of the Hausdorff measures.

Energy expenditure by doubly labeled water: validation in humans and proposed calculation.

To further validate the doubly labeled water method for measurement of CO2 production and energy expenditure in humans, we compared it with near-continuous respiratory gas exchange in nine healthy young adult males. Subjects were housed in a respiratory chamber for 4 days. Each received 2H2(18)O at either a low (n = 6) or a moderate (n = 3) isotope dose. Low and moderate doses produced initial 2H enrichments of 5 and 10 X 10(-3) atom percent excess, respectively, and initial 18O enrichments of 2 and 2.5 X 10(-2) atom percent excess, respectively. Total body water was calculated from isotope dilution in saliva collected at 4 and 5 h after the dose. CO2 production was calculated by the two-point method using the isotopic enrichments of urines collected just before each subject entered and left the chamber. Isotope enrichments relative to predose samples were measured by isotope ratio mass spectrometry. At low isotope dose, doubly labeled water overestimated average daily energy expenditure by 8 +/- 9% (SD) (range -7 to 22%). At moderate dose the difference was reduced to +4 +/- 5% (range 0-9%). The isotope elimination curves for 2H and 18O from serial urines collected from one of the subjects showed expected diurnal variations but were otherwise quite smooth. The overestimate may be due to approximations in the corrections for isotope fractionation and isotope dilution. An alternative approach to the corrections is presented that reduces the overestimate to 1%.

Towards the validation of "in silico" models and physicochemical filters to identify and characterize new chemical entities

Summary: Lipophilicity plays an important role in the determination and the comprehension of the pharmacokinetic behavior of drugs. It is usually expressed by the partition coefficient (log P) in the n-octanol/water system. The use of an additional solvent system (1,2-dichlorethane/water) is necessary to obtain complementary information, as the log Poct values alone are not sufficient to explain ail biological properties. The aim of this thesis is to develop tools allowing to predict lipophilicity of new drugs and to analyze the information yielded by those log P values. Part I presents the development of theoretical models used to predict lipophilicity. Chapter 2 shows the necessity to extend the existing solvatochromic analyses in order to predict correctly the lipophilicity of new and complex neutral compounds. In Chapter 3, solvatochromic analyses are used to develop a model for the prediction of the lipophilicity of ions. A global model was obtained allowing to estimate the lipophilicity of neutral, anionic and cationic solutes. Part II presents the detailed study of two physicochemical filters. Chapter 4 shows that the Discovery RP Amide C16 stationary phase allows to estimate lipophilicity of the neutral form of basic and acidic solutes, except of lipophilic acidic solutes. Those solutes present additional interactions with this particular stationary phase. In Chapter 5, 4 different IANI stationary phases are investigated. For neutral solutes, linear data are obtained whatever the IANI column used. For the ionized solutes, their retention is due to a balance of electrostatic and hydrophobie interactions. Thus no discrimination is observed between different series of solutes bearing the same charge, from one column to an other. Part III presents two examples illustrating the information obtained thanks to Structure-Properties Relationships (SPR). Comparing graphically lipophilicity values obtained in two different solvent systems allows to reveal the presence of intramolecular effects .such as internai H-bond (Chapter 6). SPR is used to study the partitioning of ionizable groups encountered in Medicinal Chemistry (Chapter7). Résumé La lipophilie joue un .rôle important dans la détermination et la compréhension du comportement pharmacocinétique des médicaments. Elle est généralement exprimée par le coefficient de partage (log P) d'un composé dans le système de solvants n-octanol/eau. L'utilisation d'un deuxième système de solvants (1,2-dichloroéthane/eau) s'est avérée nécessaire afin d'obtenir des informations complémentaires, les valeurs de log Poct seules n'étant pas suffisantes pour expliquer toutes les propriétés biologiques. Le but de cette thèse est de développer des outils permettant de prédire la lipophilie de nouveaux candidats médicaments et d'analyser l'information fournie par les valeurs de log P. La Partie I présente le développement de modèles théoriques utilisés pour prédire la lipophilie. Le chapitre 2 montre la nécessité de mettre à jour les analyses solvatochromiques existantes mais inadaptées à la prédiction de la lipophilie de nouveaux composés neutres. Dans le chapitre 3, la même méthodologie des analyses solvatochromiques est utilisée pour développer un modèle permettant de prédire la lipophilie des ions. Le modèle global obtenu permet la prédiction de la lipophilie de composés neutres, anioniques et cationiques. La Partie II présente l'étude approfondie de deux filtres physicochimiques. Le Chapitre 4 montre que la phase stationnaire Discovery RP Amide C16 permet la détermination de la lipophilie de la forme neutre de composés basiques et acides, à l'exception des acides très lipophiles. Ces derniers présentent des interactions supplémentaires avec cette phase stationnaire. Dans le Chapitre 5, 4 phases stationnaires IAM sont étudiées. Pour les composés neutres étudiés, des valeurs de rétention linéaires sont obtenues, quelque que soit la colonne IAM utilisée. Pour les composés ionisables, leur rétention est due à une balance entre des interactions électrostatiques et hydrophobes. Donc aucune discrimination n'est observée entre les différentes séries de composés portant la même charge d'une colonne à l'autre. La Partie III présente deux exemples illustrant les informations obtenues par l'utilisation des relations structures-propriétés. Comparer graphiquement la lipophilie mesurée dans deux différents systèmes de solvants permet de mettre en évidence la présence d'effets intramoléculaires tels que les liaisons hydrogène intramoléculaires (Chapitre 6). Cette approche des relations structures-propriétés est aussi appliquée à l'étude du partage de fonctions ionisables rencontrées en Chimie Thérapeutique (Chapitre 7) Résumé large public Pour exercer son effet thérapeutique, un médicament doit atteindre son site d'action en quantité suffisante. La quantité effective de médicament atteignant le site d'action dépend du nombre d'interactions entre le médicament et de nombreux constituants de l'organisme comme, par exemple, les enzymes du métabolisme ou les membranes biologiques. Le passage du médicament à travers ces membranes, appelé perméation, est un paramètre important à optimiser pour développer des médicaments plus puissants. La lipophilie joue un rôle clé dans la compréhension de la perméation passive des médicaments. La lipophilie est généralement exprimée par le coefficient de partage (log P) dans le système de solvants (non miscibles) n-octanol/eau. Les valeurs de log Poct seules se sont avérées insuffisantes pour expliquer la perméation à travers toutes les différentes membranes biologiques du corps humain. L'utilisation d'un système de solvants additionnel (le système 1,2-dichloroéthane/eau) a permis d'obtenir les informations complémentaires indispensables à une bonne compréhension du processus de perméation. Un grand nombre d'outils expérimentaux et théoriques sont à disposition pour étudier la lipophilie. Ce travail de thèse se focalise principalement sur le développement ou l'amélioration de certains de ces outils pour permettre leur application à un champ plus large de composés. Voici une brève description de deux de ces outils: 1)La factorisation de la lipophilie en fonction de certaines propriétés structurelles (telle que le volume) propres aux composés permet de développer des modèles théoriques utilisables pour la prédiction de la lipophilie de nouveaux composés ou médicaments. Cette approche est appliquée à l'analyse de la lipophilie de composés neutres ainsi qu'à la lipophilie de composés chargés. 2)La chromatographie liquide à haute pression sur phase inverse (RP-HPLC) est une méthode couramment utilisée pour la détermination expérimentale des valeurs de log Poct.

Integrated control measures against Culex quinquefasciatus, the vector of filariasis in Recife

Integrated control measures against Culex quinquefasciastus have been implemented in a pilot urban area in Recife, Brazil. About 3,000 breeding sites found within the operational area were responsible for very high mosquito densities recorded during the pretrial period. Physical control measures have been applied to cess pits before starting a series of 37 treatments of the other sites with Bacillus sphaericus strain 2362, over 27 months. In spite of the difficulties due to environmental conditions, very significant reductions in preimaginal population of C. quinquefasciatus were achieved and, as a consequence, low adult mosquito densities were maintained for a relatively long period of time. Entomological and environmental data gathered in this pilot project can contribute to design an integrated mosquito control program in Recife city.

Validation of a score for predicting fatal bleeding in patients receiving anticoagulation for venous thromboembolism.

BACKGROUND: The only available score to assess the risk for fatal bleeding in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) has not been validated yet. METHODS: We used the RIETE database to validate the risk-score for fatal bleeding within the first 3 months of anticoagulation in a new cohort of patients recruited after the end of the former study. Accuracy was measured using the ROC curve analysis. RESULTS: As of December 2011, 39,284 patients were recruited in RIETE. Of these, 15,206 had not been included in the former study, and were considered to validate the score. Within the first 3 months of anticoagulation, 52 patients (0.34%; 95% CI: 0.27-0.45) died of bleeding. Patients with a risk score of <1.5 points (64.1% of the cohort) had a 0.10% rate of fatal bleeding, those with a score of 1.5-4.0 (33.6%) a rate of 0.72%, and those with a score of >4 points had a rate of 1.44%. The c-statistic for fatal bleeding was 0.775 (95% CI 0.720-0.830). The score performed better for predicting gastrointestinal (c-statistic, 0.869; 95% CI: 0.810-0.928) than intracranial (c-statistic, 0.687; 95% CI: 0.568-0.806) fatal bleeding. The score value with highest combined sensitivity and specificity was 1.75. The risk for fatal bleeding was significantly increased (odds ratio: 7.6; 95% CI 3.7-16.2) above this cut-off value. CONCLUSIONS: The accuracy of the score in this validation cohort was similar to the accuracy found in the index study. Interestingly, it performed better for predicting gastrointestinal than intracranial fatal bleeding.

Validation of two echocardiographic indexes to improve the diagnosis of complex coarctations

Rapport de synthèse: Enjeux et contexte de recherche : la coarctation de l'aorte, rétrécissement de l'aorte thoracique descendante, est une des malformations cardiaques congénitales les plus fréquentes. Son diagnostic reste cependant difficile surtout lorsqu'elle est associée à la présence d'un canal artériel ou à une malformation cardiaque plus complexe. Dans ces contextes, les signes échographiques classiques qui posent habituellement le diagnostic (visualisation d'un rétrécissement juxtaductal et accélération au Doppler au niveau de l'isthme aortique) peuvent faire défaut ou être difficile à imager. La validation d'index basé sur des mesures anatomiques faciles à acquérir par échographie cardiaque, indépendantes de l'âge, de la situation hémodynamique et des malformations cardiaques associées représente une aide significative dans le diagnostic de la coarctation de l'aorte. Nous avons donc voulu valider par une étude rétrospective la fiabilité de deux index dans cette indication : l'index des artères carotido-sous-clavière (index CSA; rapport du diamètre de l'arc aortique transverse distal sur la distance entre les artères carotide et sous-clavière gauches) et l'index de l'aorte isthmique-descendante (index I/D; rapport des diamètres de l'aorte isthmique sur celui de l'aorte descendante). Notre article : nous avons rétrospectivement calculé la valeur des deux index (CSA et I/D) chez un groupe de 68 enfants avec coarctation et un groupe 24 cas contrôles apparenté pour l'âge et le sexe. Les enfants avec coarctation ont un index CSA et I/D significativement plus bas que le groupe contrôle (Index CSA : 0.84 ± 0.39 vs. 2.65 ± 0.82, p<0.0001 - Index I/D : 0.58 ± 0.18 vs. 0.98 ± 0.19, p<0.0001). Pour les deux index, ni la présence d'une autre malformation cardiaque, ni l'âge n'ont un impact sur la différence significative entre les deux groupes. Conclusions: notre recherche à permis de valider qu'un index CSA de moins de 1,5 est fortement suggestif d'une coarctation, indépendamment de l'âge du patient et de la présence d'une autre malformation cardiaque. L'index I/D (valeur limite 0,64) est moins spécifique que l'index CSA. L'association des deux index augmente la sensibilité et permet rétrospectivement le diagnostic de tous les cas de coarctation seulement sur la base d'une échographie cardiaque standard faite au lit du patient. Perspectives : cette étude rétrospective mérite d'être vérifiée par une étude prospective afin de confirmer la contribution de ces index à la prise en charge des patients suspects d'une coarctation de l'aorte. Cependant, la situation dans laquelle ces index pourraient avoir le plus grand impact reste encore à explorer. En effet, si le diagnostic postnatal de la coarctation est parfois difficile, son diagnostic prénatal l'est nettement plus. La présence obligatoire du canal artériel et l'existence d'une hypoplasie isthmique physiologique chez le foetus obligent le cardiologue foetale à observer des signes indirects, peu sensibles, d'une possible coarctation (prépondérance des cavités droites). La validation de l'index CSA et/ou de l'index I/D chez le foetus constituerait donc une avancée majeure dans le diagnostic prénatal de la coarctation de l'aorte.

Computing hypergraph width measures exactly

Hypergraph width measures are a class of hypergraph invariants important in studying the complexity of constraint satisfaction problems (CSPs). We present a general exact exponential algorithm for a large variety of these measures. A connection between these and tree decompositions is established. This enables us to almost seamlessly adapt the combinatorial and algorithmic results known for tree decompositions of graphs to the case of hypergraphs and obtain fast exact algorithms. As a consequence, we provide algorithms which, given a hypergraph H on n vertices and m hyperedges, compute the generalized hypertree-width of H in time O*(2n) and compute the fractional hypertree-width of H in time O(1.734601n.m).1

Socioeconomic status, structural and functional measures of social support, and mortality: The British Whitehall II Cohort Study, 1985-2009.

The authors examined the associations of social support with socioeconomic status (SES) and with mortality, as well as how SES differences in social support might account for SES differences in mortality. Analyses were based on 9,333 participants from the British Whitehall II Study cohort, a longitudinal cohort established in 1985 among London-based civil servants who were 35-55 years of age at baseline. SES was assessed using participant's employment grades at baseline. Social support was assessed 3 times in the 24.4-year period during which participants were monitored for death. In men, marital status, and to a lesser extent network score (but not low perceived support or high negative aspects of close relationships), predicted both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Measures of social support were not associated with cancer mortality. Men in the lowest SES category had an increased risk of death compared with those in the highest category (for all-cause mortality, hazard ratio = 1.59, 95% confidence interval: 1.21, 2.08; for cardiovascular mortality, hazard ratio = 2.48, 95% confidence interval: 1.55, 3.92). Network score and marital status combined explained 27% (95% confidence interval: 14, 43) and 29% (95% confidence interval: 17, 52) of the associations between SES and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. In women, there was no consistent association between social support indicators and mortality. The present study suggests that in men, social isolation is not only an important risk factor for mortality but is also likely to contribute to differences in mortality by SES.

Food allergy: Validation of the French version of the FAQLQ-PF Quality of Life Questionnaire

Background: It has been previously shown with English speaking children that food allergy clearly affects their quality of life. The first allergy quality of life questionnaire has been validated in English in 2008, however to date no questionnaire was available in French. Objectives: To validate the French version of the Food Allergy Quality of Life Questionnaire- Parent Form (FAQLQ-PF) already existing version developed and validated in English by DunnGalvin et al. Methods: The questionnaire was translated from English to French by two independent French-speaking translators and retranslated by an independent English-speaking translator. We then recruited 30 patients between 0 and 12 years with a food allergy. Parents of these children answered the questionnaire during a clinic visit. The results obtained were then analysed and compared with the results provided by DunnGalvin's study and the Food Allergy independent Measure (FAIM). Results: 27 questionnaires were fully completed and available for analysis. Median age was 6 years with a range from 18 months to 12 years. We had a girl/boy ratio of 1:1.14. A Cronbach's a correlation index of 0.748 was found. Validity was demonstrated by significant correlations between FAQLQ-PF and the FAIM. Conclusion: The French version of the FAQLQ was validated and will permit to assess degree of Quality of Life for French-speaking children with food allergy. It will be an important tool for clinical research and will allow research collaboration between French and English speaking research teams.

Solvency Capital estimation and Risk Measures

This paper examines why a financial entity’s solvency capital estimation might be underestimated if the total amount required is obtained directly from a risk measurement. Using Monte Carlo simulation we show that, in some instances, a common risk measure such as Value-at-Risk is not subadditive when certain dependence structures are considered. Higher risk evaluations are obtained for independence between random variables than those obtained in the case of comonotonicity. The paper stresses, therefore, the relationship between dependence structures and capital estimation.