998 resultados para stochastic methods
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In Nonlinear Optimization Penalty and Barrier Methods are normally used to solve Constrained Problems. There are several Penalty/Barrier Methods and they are used in several areas from Engineering to Economy, through Biology, Chemistry, Physics among others. In these areas it often appears Optimization Problems in which the involved functions (objective and constraints) are non-smooth and/or their derivatives are not know. In this work some Penalty/Barrier functions are tested and compared, using in the internal process, Derivative-free, namely Direct Search, methods. This work is a part of a bigger project involving the development of an Application Programming Interface, that implements several Optimization Methods, to be used in applications that need to solve constrained and/or unconstrained Nonlinear Optimization Problems. Besides the use of it in applied mathematics research it is also to be used in engineering software packages.
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Epidemiological studies have shown the effect of diet on the incidence of chronic diseases; however, proper planning, designing, and statistical modeling are necessary to obtain precise and accurate food consumption data. Evaluation methods used for short-term assessment of food consumption of a population, such as tracking of food intake over 24h or food diaries, can be affected by random errors or biases inherent to the method. Statistical modeling is used to handle random errors, whereas proper designing and sampling are essential for controlling biases. The present study aimed to analyze potential biases and random errors and determine how they affect the results. We also aimed to identify ways to prevent them and/or to use statistical approaches in epidemiological studies involving dietary assessments.
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This paper proposes a stochastic mixed-integer linear approach to deal with a short-term unit commitment problem with uncertainty on a deregulated electricity market that includes day-ahead bidding and bilateral contracts. The proposed approach considers the typically operation constraints on the thermal units and a spinning reserve. The uncertainty is due to the electricity prices, which are modeled by a scenario set, allowing an acceptable computation. Moreover, emission allowances are considered in a manner to allow for the consideration of environmental constraints. A case study to illustrate the usefulness of the proposed approach is presented and an assessment of the cost for the spinning reserve is obtained by a comparison between the situation with and without spinning reserve.
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On-chip debug (OCD) features are frequently available in modern microprocessors. Their contribution to shorten the time-to-market justifies the industry investment in this area, where a number of competing or complementary proposals are available or under development, e.g. NEXUS, CJTAG, IJTAG. The controllability and observability features provided by OCD infrastructures provide a valuable toolbox that can be used well beyond the debugging arena, improving the return on investment rate by diluting its cost across a wider spectrum of application areas. This paper discusses the use of OCD features for validating fault tolerant architectures, and in particular the efficiency of various fault injection methods provided by enhanced OCD infrastructures. The reference data for our comparative study was captured on a workbench comprising the 32-bit Freescale MPC-565 microprocessor, an iSYSTEM IC3000 debugger (iTracePro version) and the Winidea 2005 debugging package. All enhanced OCD infrastructures were implemented in VHDL and the results were obtained by simulation within the same fault injection environment. The focus of this paper is on the comparative analysis of the experimental results obtained for various OCD configurations and debugging scenarios.
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ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To describe methods and challenges faced in the health impact assessment of vaccination programs, focusing on the pneumococcal conjugate and rotavirus vaccines in Latin America and the Caribbean. METHODS For this narrative review, we searched for the terms "rotavirus", "pneumococcal", "conjugate vaccine", "vaccination", "program", and "impact" in the databases Medline and LILACS. The search was extended to the grey literature in Google Scholar. No limits were defined for publication year. Original articles on the health impact assessment of pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccination programs in Latin America and the Caribbean in English, Spanish or Portuguese were included. RESULTS We identified 207 articles. After removing duplicates and assessing eligibility, we reviewed 33 studies, 25 focusing on rotavirus and eight on pneumococcal vaccination programs. The most frequent studies were ecological, with time series analysis or comparing pre- and post-vaccination periods. The main data sources were: health information systems; population-, sentinel- or laboratory-based surveillance systems; statistics reports; and medical records from one or few health care services. Few studies used primary data. Hospitalization and death were the main outcomes assessed. CONCLUSIONS Over the last years, a significant number of health impact assessments of pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccination programs have been conducted in Latin America and the Caribbean. These studies were carried out few years after the programs were implemented, meet the basic methodological requirements and suggest positive health impact. Future assessments should consider methodological issues and challenges arisen in these first studies conducted in the region.
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Applied Mathematical Modelling, Vol.33
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Trabalho apresentado no âmbito do Mestrado em Engenharia Informática, como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Informática
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A stochastic programming approach is proposed in this paper for the development of offering strategies for a wind power producer. The optimization model is characterized by making the analysis of several scenarios and treating simultaneously two kinds of uncertainty: wind power and electricity market prices. The approach developed allows evaluating alternative production and offers strategies to submit to the electricity market with the ultimate goal of maximizing profits. An innovative comparative study is provided, where the imbalances are treated differently. Also, an application to two new realistic case studies is presented. Finally, conclusions are duly drawn.
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A alta e crescente participação da energia eólica na matriz da produção traz grandes desafios aos operadores do sistema na gestão da rede e planeamento da produção. A incerteza associada à produção eólica condiciona os processos de escalonamento e despacho económico dos geradores térmicos, uma vez que a produção eólica efetiva pode ser muito diferente da produção prevista. O presente trabalho propõe duas metodologias de otimização do escalonamento de geradores térmicos baseadas em Programação Inteira Mista. Pretende-se encontrar soluções de escalonamento que minimizem as influências negativas da integração de energia eólica no sistema elétrico. Inicialmente o problema de escalonamento de geradores é formulado sem considerar a integração da energia eólica. Posteriormente foi considerada a penetração da energia eólica no sistema elétrico. No primeiro modelo proposto, o problema é formulado como um problema de otimização estocástico. Nesta formulação todos os cenários de produção eólica são levados em consideração no processo de otimização. No segundo modelo, o problema é formulado como um problema de otimização determinística. Nesta formulação, o escalonamento é feito para cada cenário de produção eólica e no fim determina-se a melhor solução por meio de indicadores de avaliação. Foram feitas simulações para diferentes níveis de reserva girante e os resultados obtidos mostraram que a alta participação da energia eólica na matriz da produção põe em causa a segurança e garantia de produção devido às características volátil e intermitente da produção eólica e para manter os mesmos níveis de segurança é preciso dispor no sistema de capacidade reserva girante suficiente capaz de compensar os erros de previsão.
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Dissertação apresentada na Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Conservação e Restauro
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No presente trabalho procura-se evidenciar algumas soluções para aplicação de simulação estocástica num contexto de gestão dos ativos, aplicado a um sistema de abastecimento de água, tirando partido da informação disponível sobre a manutenção que vem realizando, ao longo dos anos. Procura-se também descrever como estas metodologias podem ser aplicadas noutros casos, futuramente, beneficiando ainda da recolha de informação de colaboradores da empresa, com experiência no cargo e com elevado conhecimento do funcionamento das infraestruturas. A simulação estocástica é uma área cujas ferramentas podem dar uma preciosa ajuda no processo de tomada de decisão. Por outro lado, as organizações preocupam-se, cada vez mais, com o tema da gestão de ativos e com os custos a si associados, começando a investir mais tempo e dinheiro nessa matéria com o objetivo de delinearem estratégias para aumentar o período de vida útil dos seus ativos e otimizarem os seus investimentos de renovação. Nesse contexto, evidencia-se que um adequado plano de intervenções de manutenção e operação é uma boa metodologia, para garantir a redução de falhas no sistema de abastecimento de uma empresa desse setor, bem como garantir que as infraestruturas se encontram em condições de funcionamento. Contudo, esta abordagem tradicional não será suficiente para garantir as melhores práticas e os objetivos que se pretendem alcançar com uma gestão de ativos atual. O trabalho inclui, ainda, um estudo de caso com que se aplicaram as ferramentas estudadas a um caso real de um grupo de bombagem, de uma das Estações Elevatórias da empresa.
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Proceedings of the Information Technology Applications in Biomedicine, Ioannina - Epirus, Greece, October 26-28, 2006
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A survey of the prevalence of Trypanosoma cruzi infection was carried out in Oitis, a small community in the State of Piaui, Brazil. Two hundred and sixty five individuals were screened by microscopic examination, hémoculture, indirect immunofluorescence (IFA), enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and competitive enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (C-ELISA) using the monoclonal antibody TCF87 against to a 25kd T. cruzi antigen. Seropositivity was 14.3% by the IFA test, 14.7% by ELISA, and 13.2% by C-ELISA. The C-ELISA using the TCF87 monoclonal antibody seems to be applicable in serodiagnosis of Chagas' disease.
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This paper is on the self-scheduling problem for a thermal power producer taking part in a pool-based electricity market as a price-taker, having bilateral contracts and emission-constrained. An approach based on stochastic mixed-integer linear programming approach is proposed for solving the self-scheduling problem. Uncertainty regarding electricity price is considered through a set of scenarios computed by simulation and scenario-reduction. Thermal units are modelled by variable costs, start-up costs and technical operating constraints, such as: forbidden operating zones, ramp up/down limits and minimum up/down time limits. A requirement on emission allowances to mitigate carbon footprint is modelled by a stochastic constraint. Supply functions for different emission allowance levels are accessed in order to establish the optimal bidding strategy. A case study is presented to illustrate the usefulness and the proficiency of the proposed approach in supporting biding strategies. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.