Teachers’ Constructs Of Effective Classroom Practice: Variations Across Career Phases.

This paper outlines a theoretical framework which offers an explanation of the complexity of how teachers define their effectiveness in relation to their classroom practice. The research from which this framework emerged was a two-year, mixed method study of 81 primary and secondary school teachers. The use of repertory grid interviews combined with a number of other methods is unique in a study of teachers’ practice and, from the elicited constructs, seven key themes emerged. These themes, analysed in relation to three broad career phases, indicate a number of issues important for teachers as they transfer from early-to-late career.

Price forecasting in the day-ahead Iberian electricity market using a conjectural variations Arima model

Price forecast is a matter of concern for all participants in electricity markets, from suppliers to consumers through policy makers, which are interested in the accurate forecast of day-ahead electricity prices either for better decisions making or for an improved evaluation of the effectiveness of market rules and structure. This paper describes a methodology to forecast market prices in an electricity market using an ARIMA model applied to the conjectural variations of the firms acting in an electricity market. This methodology is applied to the Iberian electricity market to forecast market prices in the 24 hours of a working day. The methodology was then compared with two other methodologies, one called naive and the other a direct forecast of market prices using also an ARIMA model. Results show that the conjectural variations price forecast performs better than the naive and that it performs slightly better than the direct price forecast.

Real-Time Simulation of Real-Time Pricing Demand Response to Meet Wind Variations

Recent changes of paradigm in power systems opened the opportunity to the active participation of new players. The small and medium players gain new opportunities while participating in demand response programs. This paper explores the optimal resources scheduling in two distinct levels. First, the network operator facing large wind power variations makes use of real time pricing to induce consumers to meet wind power variations. Then, at the consumer level, each load is managed according to the consumer preferences. The two-level resources schedule has been implemented in a real-time simulation platform, which uses hardware for consumer’ loads control. The illustrative example includes a situation of large lack of wind power and focuses on a consumer with 18 loads.

Analysis of temporal and spatial variations of forest. A case of study in notheastern Armenia

The forest has a crucial ecological role and the continuous forest loss can cause colossal effects on the environment. As Armenia is one of the low forest covered countries in the world, this problem is more critical. Continuous forest disturbances mainly caused by illegal logging started from the early 1990s had a huge damage on the forest ecosystem by decreasing the forest productivity and making more areas vulnerable to erosion. Another aspect of the Armenian forest is the lack of continuous monitoring and absence of accurate estimation of the level of cuts in some years. In order to have insight about the forest and the disturbances in the long period of time we used Landsat TM/ETM + images. Google Earth Engine JavaScript API was used, which is an online tool enabling the access and analysis of a great amount of satellite imagery. To overcome the data availability problem caused by the gap in the Landsat series in 1988- 1998, extensive cloud cover in the study area and the missing scan lines, we used pixel based compositing for the temporal window of leaf on vegetation (June-late September). Subsequently, pixel based linear regression analyses were performed. Vegetation indices derived from the 10 biannual composites for the years 1984-2014 were used for trend analysis. In order to derive the disturbances only in forests, forest cover layer was aggregated and the original composites were masked. It has been found, that around 23% of forests were disturbed during the study period.

Practice variations in the production of health

This study investigates three questions related to medical practice variation. First, it tests whether average length of stay across Portuguese National Health Service hospitals varies when controlling for differences in patients’ characteristics. Second, it looks at hospital-level characteristics in order to find out whether these are able to explain differences in average length of stay across hospitals. Finally, it proposes a best practice average length of stay for each of the six episodes of care analyzed. To perform the analysis, administrative data from the Diagnosis-Related groups’ data set for the year of 2012 was used. A replication of a hierarchical two-stage model with hospital fixed effects was carried out. The results show that after taking patients’ characteristics into account, variation in average length of stay across hospitals exists. This variation cannot be explained by hospital-level characteristics.

Circadian Variations of Ischemic Burden Among Patients with Myocardial Infarction Undergoing Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Introduction Le rythmes circadiens influencent différents paramètres de la physiologie et de la physiopathologie cardiovasculaire. Récemment, une relation entre la taille d'un infarctus et l'heure du jour à laquelle il se produit a été suggérée dans des modèles expérimentaux d'infarctus du myocarde. Le but de cette étude a été de déterminer si les rythmes circadiens pouvaient influencer la gravité d'un infarctus en terme de taille et de mortalité chez les patients hospitalisés pour un infarctus du myocarde avec sus-décalage du segment ST (STEMI) ayant bénéficié d'une intervention coronarienne percutanée primaire (ICPP). Méthode Chez 353 patients consécutifs admis avec un STEMI et traités par ICPP, l'heure à la survenue des symptômes, le pic de créatine kinase (reflet de la taille d'un infarctus) et le suivi à 30 jours ont été collectés. Les patients ont été répartis en 4 groupes en fonction de l'heure de survenue de leurs symptômes (00 :00 - 05h59, 06:00 - 11 59 12 00-17h59 et 18h00-23h59). Résultats Aucune différence statistiquement significative n'a été retrouvée entre les différents groupes en ce qui concerne les caractéristiques des patients ou de leur prise en charge. Après analyse multivariée, nous avons mis en évidence une différence statistiquement significative entre les pics de créatine kinase chez les patients avec survenue des symptômes entre 00 :00 et 05:59, qui étaient plus élevés que les pics de créatine kinase chez les patients avec survenue des symptômes à tout autre moment de la journée (augmentation moyenne de 38,4%, ρ <0.05). A 30 jours, la mortalité des patients avec survenue des symptômes entre 00 :00 et 05:59 était également significativement plus élevé que celle des patients avec survenue à tout autre moment de la journée (p <0.05). Conclusion Notre étude démontre une corrélation indépendante entre la taille d'un infarctus STEMI traité par ICPP et le moment de la journée où les symptômes apparaissent. Ces résultats suggèrent que ce moment devrait être un paramètre important à prendre en compte pour évaluer le pronostic des patients.

Sex- and melanism-specific variations in the oxidative status of adult tawny owls in response to manipulated reproductive effort.

Oxidative stress, determined by the balance between the production of damaging reactive oxygen species (ROS) and antioxidant defences, is hypothesized to play an important role in shaping the cost of reproduction and life history trade-offs. To test this hypothesis, we manipulated reproductive effort in 94 breeding pairs of tawny owls (Strix aluco) to investigate the sex- and melanism-specific effects on markers of oxidative stress in red blood cells (RBCs). This colour polymorphic bird species shows sex-specific division of labour and melanism-specific history strategies. Brood sizes at hatching were experimentally enlarged or reduced to increase or decrease reproductive effort, respectively. We obtained an integrative measure of the oxidative balance by measuring ROS production by RBCs, intracellular antioxidant glutathione levels and membrane resistance to ROS. We found that light melanic males (the sex undertaking offspring food provisioning) produced more ROS than darker conspecifics, but only when rearing an enlarged brood. In both sexes, light melanic individuals had also a larger pool of intracellular antioxidant glutathione than darker owls under relaxed reproductive conditions (i.e. reduced brood), but not when investing substantial effort in current reproduction (enlarged brood). Finally, resistance to oxidative stress was differently affected by the brood size manipulation experiment in males and females independently of their plumage coloration. Altogether, our results support the hypothesis that reproductive effort can alter the oxidative balance in a sex- and colour-specific way. This further emphasizes the close link between melanin-based coloration and life history strategies.

Traité de l'orthographe franc̜oise, en forme de dictionaire. Tome 1 / , enrichi de notes critiques et de remarques sur l'étymologie et la prononciation des mots, le genre des noms, la conjugaison des verbes irréguliers et les variations, avec une préface grammaticale, un Traité de versification franc̜oise et un Dictionnaire géographique. Par P. Restaut. Nouvelle édition revue, corrigée, augmentée et prosodiée d'après les principes d'Olivet... Par Claude-Félix Roger... Tome I. A-K [-II. L-Z]

Comprend : Abrégé du traité de l'orthographe géographique ; Abrégé des regles de la versification franc̜oise

Traité de l'orthographe franc̜oise, en forme de dictionaire. Tome 2 / , enrichi de notes critiques et de remarques sur l'étymologie et la prononciation des mots, le genre des noms, la conjugaison des verbes irréguliers et les variations, avec une préface grammaticale, un Traité de versification franc̜oise et un Dictionnaire géographique. Par P. Restaut. Nouvelle édition revue, corrigée, augmentée et prosodiée d'après les principes d'Olivet... Par Claude-Félix Roger... Tome I. A-K [-II. L-Z]

Comprend : Abrégé du traité de l'orthographe géographique ; Abrégé des regles de la versification franc̜oise