Estimation of infection rate in epidemic models with multiple populations

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Matemática e Aplicações Especialização em Actuariado, Estatística e Investigação Operacional

Solução de navegação inercial para o sistema plasys

Neste trabalho faz-se uma pesquisa e análise dos conceitos associados à navegação inercial para estimar a distância percorrida por uma pessoa. Foi desenvolvida uma plataforma de hardware para implementar os algoritmos de navegação inercial e estudar a marcha humana. Os testes efetuados permitiram adaptar os algoritmos de navegação inercial para humanos e testar várias técnicas para reduzir o erro na estimativa da distância percorrida. O sistema desenvolvido é um sistema modular que permite estudar o efeito da inserção de novos sensores. Desta forma foram adaptados os algoritmos de navegação para permitir a utilização da informação dos sensores de força colocados na planta do pé do utilizador. A partir desta arquitetura foram efetuadas duas abordagens para o cálculo da distância percorrida por uma pessoa. A primeira abordagem estima a distância percorrida considerando o número de passos. A segunda abordagem faz uma estimação da distância percorrida com base nos algoritmos de navegação inercial. Foram realizados um conjunto de testes para comparar os erros na estimativa da distância percorrida pelas abordagens efetuadas. A primeira abordagem obteve um erro médio de 4,103% em várias cadências de passo. Este erro foi obtido após sintonia para o utilizador em questão. A segunda abordagem obteve um erro de 9,423%. De forma a reduzir o erro recorreu-se ao filtro de Kalman o que levou a uma redução do erro para 9,192%. Por fim, recorreu-se aos sensores de força que permitiram uma redução para 8,172%. A segunda abordagem apesar de ter um erro maior não depende do utilizador pois não necessita de sintonia dos parâmetros para estimar a distância para cada pessoa. Os testes efetuados permitiram, através dos sensores de força, testar a importância da força sentida pela planta do pé para aferir a fase do ciclo de marcha. Esta capacidade permite reduzir os erros na estimativa da distância percorrida e obter uma maior robustez neste tipo de sistemas.

Estimation Models for the adoption and use of information technology: internet-related technologies at firm level in the Portuguese and European context

Dissertação apresentada como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Doutor em Gestão de Informação

Reliable link quality estimation in low-power wireless networks and its impact on tree-routing

Radio link quality estimation is essential for protocols and mechanisms such as routing, mobility management and localization, particularly for low-power wireless networks such as wireless sensor networks. Commodity Link Quality Estimators (LQEs), e.g. PRR, RNP, ETX, four-bit and RSSI, can only provide a partial characterization of links as they ignore several link properties such as channel quality and stability. In this paper, we propose F-LQE (Fuzzy Link Quality Estimator, a holistic metric that estimates link quality on the basis of four link quality properties—packet delivery, asymmetry, stability, and channel quality—that are expressed and combined using Fuzzy Logic. We demonstrate through an extensive experimental analysis that F-LQE is more reliable than existing estimators (e.g., PRR, WMEWMA, ETX, RNP, and four-bit) as it provides a finer grain link classification. It is also more stable as it has lower coefficient of variation of link estimates. Importantly, we evaluate the impact of F-LQE on the performance of tree routing, specifically the CTP (Collection Tree Protocol). For this purpose, we adapted F-LQE to build a new routing metric for CTP, which we dubbed as F-LQE/RM. Extensive experimental results obtained with state-of-the-art widely used test-beds show that F-LQE/RM improves significantly CTP routing performance over four-bit (the default LQE of CTP) and ETX (another popular LQE). F-LQE/RM improves the end-to-end packet delivery by up to 16%, reduces the number of packet retransmissions by up to 32%, reduces the Hop count by up to 4%, and improves the topology stability by up to 47%.

An Extension of Estimation of Domain of Attraction for Fractional Order Linear System Subject to Saturation Control

This paper employs the Lyapunov direct method for the stability analysis of fractional order linear systems subject to input saturation. A new stability condition based on saturation function is adopted for estimating the domain of attraction via ellipsoid approach. To further improve this estimation, the auxiliary feedback is also supported by the concept of stability region. The advantages of the proposed method are twofold: (1) it is straightforward to handle the problem both in analysis and design because of using Lyapunov method, (2) the estimation leads to less conservative results. A numerical example illustrates the feasibility of the proposed method.

Single step polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for the diagnosis of the Leishmania (Viannia) subgenus

In Brazil, the main etiologic agent of Leishmaniasis that frequently presents with mucosal involvement belongs to the Viannia subgenus. The therapeutic conduct in this disease depends on the parasitological diagnosis, and classical methods are restricted in identifying the agent. In this paper we describe a polymerase chain reaction (PCR), which uses primers designed from mini-exons repetitive sequences. The PCR amplifies a 177bp fragment that can distinguish (Viannia) from (Leishmania) subgenus. This test could be a useful diagnostic tool.

On the Estimation of the Short-Circuit Impedance of Power Transformers Using Fractional Order Calculus

This paper reports investigation on the estimation of the short circuit impedance of power transformers, using fractional order calculus to analytically study the influence of the diffusion phenomena in the windings. The aim is to better characterize the medium frequency range behavior of leakage inductances of power transformer models, which include terms to represent the magnetic field diffusion process in the windings. Comparisons between calculated and measured values are shown and discussed.

6D Visual Odometry with Dense Probabilistic Egomotion Estimation

Proceedings of the International Conference on Computer Vision Theory and Applications, 361-365, 2013, Barcelona, Spain

Determinação da tenacidade à fratura de adesivos estruturais em modo misto pelo ensaio Single-Leg Bending

A utilização de juntas adesivas em aplicações industriais tem vindo a aumentar, em detrimento dos métodos tradicionais tais como a soldadura, brasagem e ligações aparafusadas e rebitadas. Este facto deve-se às vantagens que estas oferecem, como o facto de serem mais leves, comportarem-se bem sob cargas cíclicas ou de fadiga, a ligação de materiais diferentes e menores concentrações de tensões. Para aumentar a confiança no projeto de estruturas adesivas, é importante conseguir prever com precisão a sua resistência mecânica e respetivas propriedades de fratura (taxa crítica de libertação de energia de deformação à tração, GIC, e corte, GIIC). Estas propriedades estão diretamente relacionadas com a Mecânica da Fratura e são estimadas através de uma análise energética. Para este efeito, distinguem-se três tipos de modelos: modelos que necessitam da medição do comprimento de fenda durante a propagação do dano, modelos que utilizam um comprimento de fenda equivalente e métodos baseados no integral J. Como na maioria dos casos as solicitações ocorrem em modo misto (combinação de tração com corte), é de grande importância a perceção da fratura nesta condições, nomeadamente das taxas de libertação de energia relativamente a diferentes critérios ou envelopes de fratura. Esta comparação permite, por exemplo, averiguar qual o melhor critério energético de rotura a utilizar em modelos numéricos baseados em Modelos de Dano Coesivo. Neste trabalho é realizado um estudo experimental utilizando o ensaio Single-Leg Bending (SLB) em provetes colados com três tipos de adesivos, de forma a estudar e comparar as suas propriedades de fratura. Para tal, são aplicados alguns modelos de redução da taxa de libertação de energia de deformação à tração, GI, e corte, GII, enquadrados nos modelos que necessitam da medição do comprimento de fenda e nos modelos que utilizam um comprimento de fenda equivalente. Numa fase posterior, procedeu-se à análise e comparação dos resultados adquiridos durante a fase experimental de GI e GII de cada adesivo. A discussão de resultados foi também feita através da análise dos valores obtidos em diversos envelopes de fratura, no sentido de averiguar qual o critério de rotura mais adequado a considerar para cada adesivo. Foi obtida uma concordância bastante boa entre métodos de determinação de GI e GII, com exceção do adesivo mais dúctil, para o qual o método baseado no comprimento de fenda equivalente apresentou resultados ligeiramente superiores.

Water jet based autonomous surface vehicle for coastal waters operations

This paper presents the design of low cost, small autonomous surface vehicle for missions in the coastal waters and specifically for the challenging surf zone. The main objective of the vehicle design described in this paper is to address both the capability of operation at sea in relative challenging conditions and maintain a very low set of operational requirements (ease of deployment). This vehicle provides a first step towards being able to perform general purpose missions (such as data gathering or patrolling) and to at least in a relatively short distances to be able to be used in rescue operations (with very low handling requirements) such as carrying support to humans on the water. The USV is based on a commercially available fiber glass hull, it uses a directional waterjet powered by an electrical brushless motor for propulsion, thus without any protruding propeller reducing danger in rescue operations. Its small dimensions (1.5 m length) and weight allow versatility and ease of deployment. The vehicle design is described in this paper both from a hardware and software point of view. A characterization of the vehicle in terms of energy consumption and performance is provided both from test tank and operational scenario tests. An example application in search and rescue is also presented and discussed with the integration of this vehicle in the European ICARUS (7th framework) research project addressing the development and integration of robotic tools for large scale search and rescue operations.

A Clinical Support System Based on Quality of Life Estimation

Quality of life is a concept influenced by social, economic, psychological, spiritual or medical state factors. More specifically, the perceived quality of an individual's daily life is an assessment of their well-being or lack of it. In this context, information technologies may help on the management of services for healthcare of chronic patients such as estimating the patient quality of life and helping the medical staff to take appropriate measures to increase each patient quality of life. This paper describes a Quality of Life estimation system developed using information technologies and the application of data mining algorithms to access the information of clinical data of patients with cancer from Otorhinolaryngology and Head and Neck services of an oncology institution. The system was evaluated with a sample composed of 3013 patients. The results achieved show that there are variables that may be significant predictors for the Quality of Life of the patient: years of smoking (p value 0.049) and size of the tumor (p value < 0.001). In order to assign the variables to the classification of the quality of life the best accuracy was obtained by applying the John Platt's sequential minimal optimization algorithm for training a support vector classifier. In conclusion data mining techniques allow having access to patients additional information helping the physicians to be able to know the quality of life and produce a well-informed clinical decision.

Molecular characterization of two rocio flavivirus strains isolated during the encephalitis epidemic in são paulo state, brazil and the development of a one-step rt-pcr assay for diagnosis

Rocio virus (ROCV) was responsible for an explosive encephalitis epidemic in the 1970s affecting about 1,000 residents of 20 coastland counties in São Paulo State, Brazil. ROCV was first isolated in 1975 from the cerebellum of a fatal human case of encephalitis. Clinical manifestations of the illness are similar to those described for St. Louis encephalitis. ROCV shows intense antigenic cross-reactivity with Japanese encephalitis complex (JEC) viruses, particularly with Ilheus (ILHV), St. Louis encephalitis, Murray Valley and West Nile viruses. In this study, we report a specific RT-PCR assay for ROCV diagnosis and the molecular characterization of the SPAn37630 and SPH37623 strains. Partial nucleotide sequences of NS5 and E genes determined from both strains were used in phylogenetic analysis. The results indicated that these strains are closely related to JEC viruses, but forming a distinct subclade together with ILHV, in accordance with results recently reported by Medeiros et al. (2007).

Cohesive law estimation of adhesive joints in mode II condition

The adhesive bonding technique enables both weight and complexity reduction in structures that require some joining technique to be used on account of fabrication/component shape issues. Because of this, adhesive bonding is also one of the main repair methods for metal and composite structures by the strap and scarf configurations. The availability of strength prediction techniques for adhesive joints is essential for their generalized application and it can rely on different approaches, such as mechanics of materials, conventional fracture mechanics or damage mechanics. These two last techniques depend on the measurement of the fracture toughness (GC) of materials. Within the framework of damage mechanics, a valid option is the use of Cohesive Zone Modelling (CZM) coupled with Finite Element (FE) analyses. In this work, CZM laws for adhesive joints considering three adhesives with varying ductility were estimated. The End-Notched Flexure (ENF) test geometry was selected based on overall test simplicity and results accuracy. The adhesives Araldite® AV138, Araldite® 2015 and Sikaforce® 7752 were studied between high-strength aluminium adherends. Estimation of the CZM laws was carried out by an inverse methodology based on a curve fitting procedure, which enabled a precise estimation of the adhesive joints’ behaviour. The work allowed to conclude that a unique set of shear fracture toughness (GIIC) and shear cohesive strength (ts0) exists for each specimen that accurately reproduces the adhesive layer’ behaviour. With this information, the accurate strength prediction of adhesive joints in shear is made possible by CZM.

Interlimb Coordination During Step-to-Step Transition and Gait Performance

Most energy spent in walking is due to step-to-step transitions. During this phase, the interlimb coordination assumes a crucial role to meet the demands of postural and movement control. The authors review studies that have been carried out regarding the interlimb coordination during gait, as well as the basic biomechanical and neurophysiological principles of interlimb coordination. The knowledge gathered from these studies is useful for understanding step-to-step transition during gait from a motor control perspective and for interpreting walking impairments and inefficiency related to pathologies, such as stroke. This review shows that unimpaired walking is characterized by a consistent and reciprocal interlimb influence that is supported by biomechanical models, and spinal and supraspinal mechanisms. This interlimb coordination is perturbed in subjects with stroke.

Longshore Transport Estimation on Ofir Beach in Northwest Portugal: Sand-Tracer Experiment

This work aims to shed some light on longshore sediment transport (LST) in the highly energetic northwest coast of Portugal. Data achieved through a sand-tracer experiment are compared with data obtained from the original and the new re-evaluated longshore sediment transport formulas (USACE Waterways Experiment Station’s Coastal Engineering and Research Center, Kamphuis, and Bayram bulk formulas) to assess their performance. The field experiment with dyed sand was held at Ofir Beach during one tidal cycle under medium wave-energy conditions. Local hydrodynamic conditions and beach topography were recorded. The tracer was driven southward in response to the local swell and wind- and wave-induced currents (Hsb=0.75mHsb=0.75m, Tp=11.5sTp=11.5s, θb=8−12°θb=8−12°). The LST was estimated by using a linear sediment transport flux approach. The obtained value (2.3×10−3m3⋅s−12.3×10−3m3⋅s−1) approached the estimation provided by the original Bayram formula (2.5×10−3m3⋅s−12.5×10−3m3⋅s−1). The other formulas overestimated the transport, but the estimations resulting from the new re-evaluated formulas also yield approximate results. Therefore, the results of this work indicated that the Bayram formula may give satisfactory results for predicting the longshore sediment transport on Ofir Beach.