De la morbilidad a la perdurabilidad empresarial Club Campestre de Bucaramanga S.A.

El presente documento de carácter informativo recoge una serie de entrevistas, análisis y elementos teóricos encaminados al desarrollo de un estudio de caso sobre morbilidad empresarial. El propósito del estudio aquí planteado es analizar las estrategias gerenciales trazadas y ejecutadas por la dirección del Club Campestre de Bucaramanga S.A. ante la crisis que experimentó esta organización a finales de los años noventa, en el contexto de los malogrados acercamientos de paz entre el gobierno y las FARC que lo único que dejaron fue un ambiente de desconfianza e incertidumbre entre empresarios, trabajadores y público consumidor en general. El análisis de las estrategias aplicadas por el Club contribuirán a la compilación de una serie de lecciones empresariales que estarán enriquecidas por la experiencia de los dirigentes que colaboraron en la misión de sacar a la empresa de esa profunda crisis, y por los análisis de tipo cuantitativo y cualitativo que se hagan de los instrumentos aplicados (entrevistas, estadísticas, análisis financieros, etc.). La meta es consolidar una serie de pautas que tanto empresarios como profesionales de la administración o emprendedores puedan consultar para ejecutar acciones que los lleven a un alto desempeño empresarial y puedan evitar la morbilidad de sus empresas, o en caso extremo, sepan como rescatarlas de la quiebra. Finalmente se verá cómo esta empresa se enfrenta a la toma desesperada e imprudente de decisiones que le generarán un exorbitante desfalco financiero además del ya generado por la crisis, y a su vez como con una gestión empresarial inteligente y hábil, la empresa resurge rápidamente apegada a auxilios gubernamentales (Ley 550 de 1999) y a una serie de jugadas que determinaron su reflotamiento, a través de la creación y el mejoramiento de productos y servicios, su diferenciación, la creación de divisiones especializadas dentro de la compañía, la disminución de gastos, etc., para convertirse en los últimos años, en una de las empresas más representativas del oriente colombiano tanto por su reflotamiento financiero y administrativo como por su responsabilidad social para con sus socios y trabajadores, que se ve reflejada en la inauguración de su propia fundación con miras a erradicar el analfabetismo, por lo pronto, entre su personal.

E-government / E-democracy

In what ways does the web change the ways we interact with government and change the ways we engage in politics?

What is Cybercrime and what do we do about?

A guest lecture by Professor David S.Wall from the University of Durham. This talk will explore the way that networked technology has transformed criminal behaviour. The first part will map out cybercrimes and identify the challenges they pose for both criminologists and also regulators. The second part will show that cybercrimes are informational, networked and global. In this section it will also be shown that cybercrimes are highly disorganised forms of offending when compared to the organisation of more 'traditional' crimes, but display some new organisational logics of their own. The third part of the talk will illustrate how the 'culture of fear' that has arisen around cybercrime has placed demands upon government and police - demands that, for reasons related to the distinct nature of cybercrimes, are hard to resolve. The fourth and final part will look at the new policing arrangements that are designed, it is argued here, to close the reassurance gap.

Land Restitution and Prevention of Forced Displacement in Colombia

The armed conflict in Colombia, which has generated over three million internally displaced persons, has dramatic humanitarian consequences and raises serious issues regarding the protection of displaced peoples’ rights. The underlying reasons for the displacement often lie in the dynamics associated with territorial control and land seizures undertaken for strategic, military or purely economic purposes. Domestic and international legal provisions have established the victims’ right to the restitution of their homes and property as the “preferred remedy” in cases of displacement. However, policies dealing with displacement, both those of the Colombian government and of several international institutions, fail to take this sufficiently into account. A comprehensive reparation policy for victims must necessarily entail the reversion of lands, territories and goods seized in Colombia under the pretext of the internal armed conflict.

Women, rights and the city: notes for the construction of a state of art from the feminist thought and theory

The modern citieshave been born of the processes of industrialization, urbanization, which have been characterized by violence, resulting in social inequality, spatial segregation, the struggle for survival, the authoritarianism of the government and the establishment of exclusive orders genre, which has  prevented the enjoyment of the rights differential. In order to understand these complexities and  transform power relations that develop and reproduce it, this article analyzes the main theoretical  contributions and methodological approaches that feminist and gender studies have been conducted on the city, urban space and the right to city, which are valuable contributions to the definition of  the right to the city of women as a collective right to universal construction

Conflicto armado colombiano

El conflicto armado colombiano está lleno de enseñanzas para la resolución negociada de conflictos. En la medida en que ha sido una confrontación compleja y prolongada, los grupos armados se han convertido en protagonistas. Tanto sus objetivos como el uso de la violencia han generado controversias alrededor de cuáles deben ser las acciones o respuestas que se implementan para hacer frente a dichas situaciones. Al igual que en otros países, los actores involucrados han participado en numerosos acercamientos, diálogos políticos o procesos de paz, aportando experiencias de negociaciones que involucran a diferentes sectores de la sociedad civil, actores estatales, comunidad internacional y organizaciones multilaterales.En este sentido, resulta pertinente no sólo retomar el surgimiento, caracterización y posibles motivaciones de tres de los más grandes grupos al margen de la ley —paramilitares, ELN, FARC— que han participado en el conflicto, sino también explorar las formas de acercamiento a estos por parte del gobierno colombiano y sus diferentes administraciones, para así comprender la complejidad y las múltiples dimensiones desde las cuales se representan diversas visiones sobre la evolución del conflicto y los hechos de corta, mediana y larga duración, en tanto esto permite dilucidar las continuidades y discontinuidades que han dado paso a ver el fenómeno a través de causas culturales, complejos políticos o perspectivas económicas.-----The armed conflict in Colombia is full of lessons for negotiated conflict resolution. Insofar as this has been a complex and long-lasting confrontation, the armed groups have now become protagonists. Their objectives as much as their use of violence has generated controversy about which actions or responses should be implemented to face such situations. Similarly to other countries, the players concerned have participated in several rapprochements, political dialogues or peace processes by contributing experience in negotiations that involve different sectors of the civil society, state players, the international community, and multilateral organizations. To that effect, it is relevant not only to retake the emergence, characterization and possible motivations of three of the biggest groups outside the law –paramilitary, ELN, FARC– which have participated in the conflict, but also to explore the rapprochement methods the Colombian government and its different administrations have employed with these groups. This way, we can fully understand the complexity and the multiple dimensions in the representation of various views of the conflict evolution and the short, medium, and long-term events in as much as this allows clarification of the continuity and discontinuity that have resulted in seeing the phenomenon from the standpoint of cultural causes, political complexities or economic perspectives.

Análisis del problema de comunicación entre el gobierno de Juan Manuel Santos y la juventud, en el marco de los espacios y estrategias de participación y representación para los jóvenes (14-28 años) en Colombia

A lo largo de la historia reciente de Colombia se han establecido distintos mecanismos de participación y representación para los jóvenes en las diferentes esferas de la sociedad. Dichas dinámicas de participación juvenil requieren de la aplicación de distintas herramientas y estrategias de comunicación, que permitan el acceso de los jóvenes en los distintos programas, estrategias y espacios de participación y representación. Sin embargo dado el marco normativo en materia de juventud, esta investigación diagnostica la existencia de un problema de comunicación, sustentado en la falta de conocimiento por parte de los jóvenes de los diversos espacios de participación y representación. Por tal motivo se presentan distintas estrategias y medidas como alternativas de solución, con el objetivo de garantizar que los jóvenes en Colombia ejerzan sus derechos y deberes en materia de participación y representación.

Análisis de la política exterior de Irán y su influencia sobre la política de Seguridad y defensa de Israel. Período 2005-2011

En la presente monografía se analizarán los factores de la política exterior iraní que han incidido en la política de seguridad y defensa de Israel. Se examina y explica bajo la teoría del Realismo Ofensivo, cuyo máximo representante es John Mearsheimer, el cual expone acerca las dinámicas de los países desarrollados con respecto al ámbito de seguridad, en donde los Estados están interesados principalmente en aumentar su seguridad con el objetivo de sobrevivir, lo cual resulta incompatible con otros Estados. Por último, se identifica de forma documentada cuales son los aspectos afectados en la seguridad de Israel a partir de la política exterior del gobierno de Mahmoud Ahmadinejad y cómo el Estado judío ha utilizado otras estrategias que anteriormente no había recurrido.

Conflict and negotiation: a game theoretical approach

We study economic conflicts using a game theoretical approach. We model a conflict between two agents where each one has two possible strategies: cease-fire or neglect the truce. Under this setting, we use the concept of pre-donations, namely, a redefinition of the game where agents commit to transfer a share of their output to the other agent (Sertel, 1992), and explain under which conditions a system of pre-donations can facilitate a truce. We find that for conflicts involving high costs there is a distributive mechanism, acceptable for both parties, such that, the best strategy for both parties is Cease-Fire. However, in many cases there are no sufficient conditions for the scheme or pre-donations to be effective. We also analyze some limitations of this framework and extend the model in order to deal with some of these flaws. Finally, in order to illustrate the relevance of the theoretical results we briefly describe some of the circumstances that characterized the negotiation processes between the Colombian government and different illegal groups.

La instrumentalización de procedimientos democráticos en Irak tras la caída de Sadam Husein: tensión entre legalidad y legitimidad (2003-2010)

Esta investigación tiene como objetivo evidenciar la tensión entre legalidad y legitimidad, a raíz de la intervención de Estados Unidos en Irak en el año 2003. Dicha tensión es el resultado de la implementación de procedimientos democráticos que promovieron cambios legales en el gobierno iraquí. Sin embargo, fue la instrumentalización de tales procedimientos lo que generó una falta de legitimidad del gobierno iraquí por parte de algunos sectores sociales, debido a los intereses económicos, políticos y sociales que tenían aquellos grupos que detentaban el poder. La investigación ofrece un análisis sobre Irak bajo los conceptos de democracia formal, democracia sustancial, legalidad y legitimidad, con el propósito de comprender de manera detallada el tipo de democracia que se estableció en Irak y las tensiones generadas en la sociedad iraquí.

Visiones del desarrollo: un estudio del bajo Atrato 2006-2014

La región del Pacífico colombiano se ha identificado de varias maneras, dentro de las cuales el subdesarrollo ha sido la más representativa, para ello, el crecimiento económico se caracterizó como la respuesta, pero con el tiempo las poblaciones afrodescendientes han comenzado a ver grandes ventajas en el desarrollo comunitario para su economía. El presente trabajo de investigación busca exponer las visiones de desarrollo económico ejecutadas por el gobierno y el de las poblaciones afrodescendientes en el bajo Atrato. Planteado a través de un enfoque cualitativo y del análisis de fuentes secundarias, esta investigación se presenta como una posibilidad para la academia, al dar un paso más en el análisis de las visiones económicas de la población afrodescendiente ubicada en el bajo Atrato.

State Policies, Territories and Rights of Indigenous Peoples in Ecuador (1983-2012)

This work seeks to reconstruct the dynamics of the agreements and disagreements between the State and the indigenous peoples in Ecuador, emphasising particularly on two key elements: first, the indigenous peoples participation and exercise of their political rights, in particular the right to self-government and autonomy within their jurisdictions; and secondly, indigenous peoples’ degree of direct influence on public policies’ formulation and implementation, specially those directly affecting their territories, including the exploitation of natural resources. In Ecuador, during this historical period, the state has gone through three major moments in its relationship with indigenous peoples: neo - indigenism associated to developmentalism (1980-1984); multiculturalism associated to neoliberalism (1984- 2006) as one of the dominant trends over the period; and the crisis of neoliberalism and the search for national diversity and interculturalism associated to post- neoliberalism (2007-2013). Each has had a particular connotation, as to the scope and methods to respond to indigenous demands. In this context, this research aims to answer the central question: how has the Ecuadorian State met the demands of the indigenous movement in the last three decades, and how has it ensured the validity of their gradually recognized rights? And how and to what extent by doing so, it contradicts and alters the existing economic model based on the extraction of primary resources?

Developing the next-generation climate system models: challenges and achievements

Although climate models have been improving in accuracy and efficiency over the past few decades, it now seems that these incremental improvements may be slowing. As tera/petascale computing becomes massively parallel, our legacy codes are less suitable, and even with the increased resolution that we are now beginning to use, these models cannot represent the multiscale nature of the climate system. This paper argues that it may be time to reconsider the use of adaptive mesh refinement for weather and climate forecasting in order to achieve good scaling and representation of the wide range of spatial scales in the atmosphere and ocean. Furthermore, the challenge of introducing living organisms and human responses into climate system models is only just beginning to be tackled. We do not yet have a clear framework in which to approach the problem, but it is likely to cover such a huge number of different scales and processes that radically different methods may have to be considered. The challenges of multiscale modelling and petascale computing provide an opportunity to consider a fresh approach to numerical modelling of the climate (or Earth) system, which takes advantage of the computational fluid dynamics developments in other fields and brings new perspectives on how to incorporate Earth system processes. This paper reviews some of the current issues in climate (and, by implication, Earth) system modelling, and asks the question whether a new generation of models is needed to tackle these problems.

Annual textural banding in Holocene estuarine silts, Severn Estuary Levels (SW Britain): patterns, cause and implications

A high-resolution textural study has been made of laminated and banded estuarine silts exposed intertidally at representative localities and horizons in the Holocene deposits of the Severn Estuary Levels. The laminae, on a submillimetre to millimetre scale, are sharp-based, graded couplets formed of a lower silty part overlain by a finer-textured clayey element. The centimetre- to decimetre-scale banding is formed of laminae in alternating, gradually intergrading sets of relatively coarse and relative fine-grained examples. At outcrop in the field, the banding is recognizable because the coarse sets prove to be recessive to varying degrees under the influence of weathering and current action. Independent evidence at two localities points toward an annual origin for the banding; at a third it arose during part of what appears to have been a relatively short period. Quantified physical arguments suggest that the textural banding is a response of suspended fine sediment to marked seasonal changes in sea temperature and windiness. The banded silts occur in four distinct stratigraphical contexts and record high deposition rates (order 0.01-0.1 m/yr). Because physical factors determine their textures, the silts potentially afford insights in all contexts into aspects of changing Holocene climatic conditions. In one context, the thickness of the bands points to high (order 0.01-0.1 m/yr) but comparatively short-lived (order 10s-100s yrs) rates of relative water-level rise. In the others, however, the banding has no implications for sea-level behaviour, and simply records gross environmental disequilibrium, for example, the recovery of mudflats/marshes after an erosional episode. Similarly, because on account of their rapid accumulation the banded silts preserve animal and human tracks and trackways especially well, they provide an archive of animal and human behaviour in the area during the Holocene.

Uncertainties in annual riverine phosphorus load estimation: Impact of load estimation methodology, sampling frequency, baseflow index and catchment population density

Models developed to identify the rates and origins of nutrient export from land to stream require an accurate assessment of the nutrient load present in the water body in order to calibrate model parameters and structure. These data are rarely available at a representative scale and in an appropriate chemical form except in research catchments. Observational errors associated with nutrient load estimates based on these data lead to a high degree of uncertainty in modelling and nutrient budgeting studies. Here, daily paired instantaneous P and flow data for 17 UK research catchments covering a total of 39 water years (WY) have been used to explore the nature and extent of the observational error associated with nutrient flux estimates based on partial fractions and infrequent sampling. The daily records were artificially decimated to create 7 stratified sampling records, 7 weekly records, and 30 monthly records from each WY and catchment. These were used to evaluate the impact of sampling frequency on load estimate uncertainty. The analysis underlines the high uncertainty of load estimates based on monthly data and individual P fractions rather than total P. Catchments with a high baseflow index and/or low population density were found to return a lower RMSE on load estimates when sampled infrequently than those with a tow baseflow index and high population density. Catchment size was not shown to be important, though a limitation of this study is that daily records may fail to capture the full range of P export behaviour in smaller catchments with flashy hydrographs, leading to an underestimate of uncertainty in Load estimates for such catchments. Further analysis of sub-daily records is needed to investigate this fully. Here, recommendations are given on load estimation methodologies for different catchment types sampled at different frequencies, and the ways in which this analysis can be used to identify observational error and uncertainty for model calibration and nutrient budgeting studies. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.