930 resultados para Bayesian Analuysis, Ross River Virus, Spatio-Temporal Modelling
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When the food supply flnishes, or when the larvae of blowflies complete their development and migrate prior to the total removal of the larval substrate, they disperse to find adequate places for pupation, a process known as post-feeding larval dispersal. Based on experimental data of the Initial and final configuration of the dispersion, the reproduction of such spatio-temporal behavior is achieved here by means of the evolutionary search for cellular automata with a distinct transition rule associated with each cell, also known as a nonuniform cellular automata, and with two states per cell in the lattice. Two-dimensional regular lattices and multivalued states will be considered and a practical question is the necessity of discovering a proper set of transition rules. Given that the number of rules is related to the number of cells in the lattice, the search space is very large and an evolution strategy is then considered to optimize the parameters of the transition rules, with two transition rules per cell. As the parameters to be optimized admit a physical interpretation, the obtained computational model can be analyzed to raise some hypothetical explanation of the observed spatiotemporal behavior. © 2006 IEEE.
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When dealing with spatio-temporal simulations of load growth inside a service zone, one of the most important problems faced by a Distribution Utility is how to represent the different relationships among different areas. A new load in a certain part of the city could modify the load growth in other parts of the city, even outside of its radius of influence. These interactions are called Urban Dynamics. This work aims to discuss how to implement Urban Dynamics considerations into the spatial electric load forecasting simulations using multi-agent simulations. To explain the approach, three examples are introduced, including the effect of an attraction load, the effect of a repulsive load, and the effect of several attraction/repulsive loads at the same time when considering the natural load growth. © 2012 IEEE.
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Aims: To evaluate the spatio-temporal variables of gait and the isometric muscle strength component of the ankle in patients with peripheral diabetic neuropathy. Also, verify the relationship between these variables and gait parameters. Methods: This study involved 25 diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) participants (62.4 ± 8.36 years) and 27 age-matched healthy control individuals (64.48 ± 6.21 years). The assessment of the spatio-temporal parameters of gait was performed using an electronic baropodometry treadmill. Prior to the collection data, each participant was instructed to walk on the treadmill in her/his habitual self-selected speed. Results: Diabetic neuropathy group showed impairment of gait, with a smaller stride and length speed of the cycle, and increased duration of support time. Restricted dorsiflexion mobility and increased plantarflexion mobility were found, with a decrease in muscle strength of the dorsiflexors and plantiflexors. There was a significant relationship between plantiflexor muscle strength and the length and speed of the gait cycle. Also the muscle strengths of the plantiflexors and dorsiflexors, and the range of motion of dorsiflexion were predictors of gait performance. Conclusions: The ankle, muscle strength and ankle mobility variables could explain changes in gait speed and range of motion in patients with DPN, allowing for the application of preventive strategies. © 2012 Elsevier Ltd.
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We construct exact solutions for a system of two coupled nonlinear partial differential equations describing the spatio-temporal dynamics of a predator-prey system where the prey per capita growth rate is subject to the Allee effect. Using the G'/G expansion method, we derive exact solutions to this model for two different wave speeds. For each wave velocity we report three different forms of solutions. We also discuss the biological relevance of the solutions obtained. © 2012 Elsevier B.V.
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The abundance and ecological distribution of Acetes americanus and Peisos petrunkevitchi were investigated from July 2006 to June 2007, in Ubatuba, Brazil. Eight transects were identified and sampled monthly: six of these transects were located in Ubatuba bay, with depths reaching 21 m, and the other two transects were in estuarine environments. A total of 33,888 A. americanus shrimp were captured, with the majority coming from the shallower transects (up to 10 m). Conversely, 6,173 of the P. petrunkevitchi shrimps were captured in deeper areas (from 9 to 21 m). No individuals from either species were found in the estuary. The highest abundances obtained for both species were sampled during the summer. Canonical correlation analysis resulted in a coefficient value of 0.68 (P = 0.00). The abundance of both species was strongly correlated with depth. Variations in temperature and salinity values were also informative in predicting the seasonal presence of P. petrunkevitchi in deeper areas and A. americanus in the shallower areas of the bay. It is conceivable that the shrimp adjust their ecological distribution according to their intrinsic physiological limitations. © 2012 Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom.
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In flowering plants, alternative oxidase (Aox) is encoded by 3-5 genes distributed in 2 subfamilies (Aox1 and Aox2). In several species only Aox1 is reported as a stress-responsive gene, but in the leguminous Vigna unguiculata Aox2b is also induced by stress. In this work we investigated the Aox genes from two leguminous species of the Medicago genus (Medicago sativa and Medicago truncatula) which present one Aox1, one Aox2a and an Aox2b duplication (named here Aox2b1 and Aox2b2). Expression analyses by semi-quantitative RT-PCR in M. sativa revealed that Aox1, Aox2b1 and Aox2b2 transcripts increased during seed germination. Similar analyses in leaves and roots under different treatments (SA, PEG, H2O2 and cysteine) revealed that these genes are also induced by stress, but with peculiar spatio-temporal differences. Aox1 and Aox2b1 showed basal levels of expression under control conditions and were induced by stress in leaves and roots. Aox2b2 presented a dual behavior, i.e., it was expressed only under stress conditions in leaves, and showed basal expression levels in roots that were induced by stress. Moreover, Aox2a was expressed at higher levels in leaves and during seed germination than in roots and appeared to be not responsive to stress. The Aox expression profiles obtained from a M. truncatula microarray dataset also revealed a stress-induced co-expression of Aox1, Aox2b1 and Aox2b2 in leaves and roots. These results reinforce the stress-inducible co-expression of Aox1/Aox2b in some leguminous plants. Comparative genomic analysis indicates that this regulation is linked to Aox1/Aox2b proximity in the genome as a result of the gene rearrangement that occurred in some leguminous plants during evolution. The differential expression of Aox2b1/2b2 suggests that a second gene has been originated by recent gene duplication with neofunctionalization. © 2013 Elsevier GmbH. All rights reserved.
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Pós-graduação em Engenharia Elétrica - FEIS
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Pós-graduação em Ciências da Motricidade - IBRC
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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
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Food webs have been used in order to understand the trophic relationship among organisms within an ecosystem, however the extension by which sampling efficiency could affect food web responses remain poorly understood. Still, there is a lack of long-term sampling data for many insect groups, mainly related to the interactions between herbivores and their host plants. In the first chapter, I describe a source food web based on the Senegalia tenuifolia plant by identifying the associated insect species and the interactions among them and with this host plant. Furthermore, I check for the data robustness from each trophic level and propose a cost-efficiently methodology. The results from this chapter show that the collected dataset and the methodology presented are a good tool for sample most insect richness of a source food web. In total the food web comprises 27 species belonging to four trophic levels. In the second chapter, I demonstrate the temporal variation in the species richness and abundance from each trophic level, as well as the relationship among distinct trophic levels. Moreover, I investigate the diversity patterns of the second and third trophic level by assessing the contribution of alfa and beta-diversity components along the years. This chapter shows that in our system the parasitoid abundance is regulated by the herbivore abundances. Besides, the species richness and abundances of the trophic levels vary temporally. It also shows that alfa-diversity was the diversity component that most contribute to the herbivore species diversity (2nd trophic level), while the contribution of alfa- and beta-diversity changed along the years for parasitoid diversity (3rd level). Overall, this dissertation describes a source food web and bring insights into some food web challenges related to the sampling effort to gather enough species from all trophic levels. It also discuss the relation among communities associated with distinct trophic levels and their temporal variation and diversity patterns. Finally, this dissertation contributes for the world food web database and in understanding the interactions among its trophic levels and each trophic level pattern along time and space
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
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A doença de Chagas aguda (DCA) é endêmica na Amazônia Brasileira sendo a via oral a principal forma de transmissão com surtos familiares ou multifamiliares. Esta via independe da colonização de triatomíneos no domicílio e a ocorrência é regular com média de 100 casos/ano e 5% de óbitos. Apresenta distribuição espaço-temporal bem definida, colocando a enfermidade como emergência de importância em saúde pública nos estados do Pará, Amapá e Amazonas. A presença de mamíferos e triatomíneos silvestres, infectados naturalmente com o c e habitando distintos ecótopos terrestres e arbóreos, mantém um intenso ciclo enzoótico em toda a Amazônia. Perfis moleculares de linhagens de T. cruzi na região estão associados a hospedeiros mamíferos (incluindo o homem), triatomíneos, ecótopos e manifestações clínicas. Foram estudados quatro surtos de DCA ocorridos nos Municípios de Barcarena, Belém e Cachoeira do Arari no Estado do Pará e em Santana, no Estado do Amapá e abordados os aspectos epidemiológicos (parasitológico e sorológico manifestações clínicas, reservatórios e triatomíneos silvestres associados aos surtos). Foi investigado também em São Luís, Estado do Maranhão, o ciclo domiciliar e silvestre do T. cruzi, porém sem a ocorrência de casos de DCA. O estudo incluiu também a genotipagem molecular de T. cruzi pelo gene de mini-exon dos isolados (homem, mamíferos e triatomíneos silvestres) associados aos diferentes ciclos de transmissão. O diagnóstico parasitológico foi confirmado em 63 pacientes com a seguinte sensibilidade nos testes aplicados: 41,3% (26/63) pela gota espessa; 58,7% (37/63) no QBC; 79,4% (50/63) no xenodiagnóstico e 61,9% (39/63) na hemocultura. A sorologia de 2648 pessoas por hemaglutinação indireta (HAI) foi de 3,05% (81/2648) e imunofluorescência indireta IFI apresentaram respectivamente resultados de e 2,49% (66/2648) para IgG e 2,37 (63/2648) para IgM. Os resultados em São Luís foram todos negativos. Foram capturados 24 mamíferos, 13 Didelphis marsupialis, 1 Marmosa cinerea, 5 Philander opossum, 3 Metachirus nudicaudatus, 1 Oryzomys macconnelli, 1 Oecomys bicolor e 433 R. rattus. A taxa de infecção para T. cruzi foi de 7,14% (29/404). Um total de 3279 triatomíneos foi capturado sendo: Triatoma rubrofasciata (n=3008), com taxa de infecção (TI) de 30.46%, (39/128), Rhodnius robustus (n=137), com TI de 76% (79/104), R. pictipes (n=94), TI de 56,9% (49/86%), E. mucronatus (n=6) e P. geniculatus (n=12) com TI de 50% e as demais espécies sem infecção R. neglectus (n=5) e P. lignarius (n=6). As palmeiras foram os principais ecótopos dos triatomíneos silvestres. O urucurizeiro (S. martiana) apresentava infestação de 47,41% (101/213) dos triatomíneos; o “inajazeiro” (Maximiliana regia) 35,21% (75/213); o “babaçueiro” (Orbgnya. speciosa) 5,16% (11/213); o “dendezeiro” (Eleas melanoccoca) 1,87% (4/213) e a “bacabeira” (Oenocarpus bacaba) 10,32% (22/213). Para a genotipagem foram obtidos 46 isolados de tripanossomas de origem humana, 31 isolamentos de mamíferos silvestres e 74 amostras de triatomíneos. Todos os isolados foram caracterizados como da linhagem TcI de T. cruzi. Todos os casos humanos no Pará foram caracterizados como positivos por exame parasitológico. Nem todos os casos de Santana, Amapá, apresentaram casos parasitológicos positivos, pela demora do diagnóstico, mesmo assim estes foram definidos como DCA. Exames como xenodiagnóstico, hemocultura e o QBC® foram mais sensíveis do que a gota espessa. A sorologia por HAI e IFI (IgG e IgM) tiveram excelente sensibilidade para detectar os casos agudos em tempos distintos de infecção. O achado de mamíferos (D. marsupilais) e triatomíneos silvestres (R. pictipes e P. geniculatus) infectados com consideráveis taxas de infecção para T. cruzi no entorno das residências dos pacientes sustentam a importância destes hospedeiros associados à transmissão da DCA. Apesar de na Amazônia circularem vários genótipos de T. cruzi nos diferentes hospedeiros, neste trabalho foi identificada somente a linhagem TCI de T. cruzi, a mais predominante na Região. Em São Luís, Maranhão, embora sem registro de casos de DCA apresenta um ciclo domiciliar associados ao rato doméstico e o triatomíneo da espécie T. rubrofasciata, e um ciclo silvestre mantido por didelfídeos. Nos dois ciclos circulam a linhagem TCI de T. cruzi. Estudos com marcadores de maior resolução com isolados de T. cruzi regionais podem ajudar a esclarecer os ciclos de transmissão, as rotas de contaminação e os hospedeiros envolvidos em casos de DCA na Amazônia.
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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
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Introduction: Biomechanical analysis of gait can be used effectively to identify changes in movement patterns and functional decline. Objective: To analyze the effect of dual task on gait spatio-temporal variables. Methods: The sample was made up of 32 subjects of both genders aged between 18 and 25 years. The test Timed Up and Go was performed under two conditions: original form and associated with a cognitive task (verbalize backwards the months of the year). We evaluated the total execution time, number of steps, cadence, time spent to lift, average speed and variability of the step time. Results: Significant changes were observed with the addition of the cognitive task in many gait spatio-temporal variables analyzed. Conclusion: The tests showed that the increase of cognitive tasks during walking may lead to changes in the performance of this task.