Freshwater runoff for Taylor Slough to Florida Bay for 1965 to 2000 for the FATHOM model

The Florida Bay ecosystem supports a number of economically important ecosystem services, including several recreational fisheries, which may be affected by changing salinity and temperature due to climate change. In this paper, we use a combination of physical models and habitat suitability index models to quantify the effects of potential climate change scenarios on a variety of juvenile fish and lobster species in Florida Bay. The climate scenarios include alterations in sea level, evaporation and precipitation rates, coastal runoff, and water temperature. We find that the changes in habitat suitability vary in both magnitude and direction across the scenarios and species, but are on average small. Only one of the seven species we investigate (Lagodon rhomboides, i.e., pinfish) sees a sizable decrease in optimal habitat under any of the scenarios. This suggests that the estuarine fauna of Florida Bay may not be as vulnerable to climate change as other components of the ecosystem, such as those in the marine/terrestrial ecotone. However, these models are relatively simplistic, looking only at single species effects of physical drivers without considering the many interspecific interactions that may play a key role in the adjustment of the ecosystem as a whole. More complex models that capture the mechanistic links between physics and biology, as well as the complex dynamics of the estuarine food web, may be necessary to further understand the potential effects of climate change on the Florida Bay ecosystem.

Geochemistry of ODP Leg 135 basalts

Cr-spinels in cores drilled during Ocean Drilling Program Leg 135 exhibit wide variations in composition and morphology that reflect complex petrogenetic histories. These Cr-spinels are found within basaltic lava flows that erupted in north-trending sub-basins within the Lau Basin backarc. Cr-spinels from Sites 834 and 836 occur as euhedral groundmass grains and inclusions in plagioclase, and range up to 300 ?m in size. These Cr-spinels are similar in composition, morphology, and mode of occurrence to Cr-spinels found within depleted, N-type mid-ocean-ridge basalts (N-MORB), reflecting similar crystallization conditions and host lava composition to N-MORB. Their compositional range is relatively narrow, with Cr/(Cr + Al + Fe3+) (Cr#) and Mg/(Mg + Fe2+) (Mg#) varying from 0.38 to 0.48 and 0.56 to 0.72, respectively; like Cr-spinels from N-MORB, they contain low amounts of TiO2 (0.37%-1.05%) and Fe3+/(Cr + Al + Fe3+) (Fe3+#; <0.11). In contrast, Cr-spinels from Site 839 have much higher Cr# at a given Mg#, with Cr# varying from 0.52 to 0.76 and Mg# varying from 0.27 to 0.75. These Cr-spinels are similar in composition to those from primitive, boninitic or low-Al2O3 arc basalts, sharing their low TiO2 and Fe3+# (typically below 0.35% and 0.1, respectively for spinel grain interiors). Site 839 Cr-spinels occur as small (to 50 µm) euhedra within strongly zoned olivine or as unusually large (to 3 mm), euhedral to subhedral megacrysts. These megacrysts are strongly zoned in Mg#, but they display little zoning in Cr#, providing evidence of strong compositional disequilibria with the host melt. The magnesian cores of the megacrysts crystallized from primitive, near-primary melts derived from harzburgitic or highly depleted lherzolitic sources, and they provide evidence that the Site 839 spinel-bearing lavas were derived by the mixing of melt with a Mg# of 0.75-0.80 and evolved, Cr-spinel barren melt with a Mg# < 0.6 shortly before eruption.