Ajuste e balanceamento do portfólio de projetos: o caso de uma empresa do setor químico

O objetivo deste trabalho é compreender a etapa de ajuste no contexto da gestão do portfólio de projetos, destacando sua relação com os processos de categorização e balanceamento. A pesquisa realizada tem caráter qualitativo, sendo a abordagem adotada o estudo de caso longitudinal. A pesquisa foi desenvolvida em uma empresa do setor químico brasileiro. As evidências, de várias fontes, foram coletadas através de entrevistas, documentos e dados dos sistemas corporativos. Para a compreensão do portfólio de projetos da empresa foram coletados e analisados dados de mil projetos realizados entre 2001 e 2005. Os resultados indicam que maior atenção é dada à etapa de seleção, negligenciando a etapa de ajuste. A adoção de ferramentas de balanceamento permitiu evidenciar lacunas e fontes de desbalanceamento no portfólio de projetos, promovendo o debate entre os tomadores de decisão no que concerne ao viés introduzido pelos critérios adotados na etapa de seleção e levantando a necessidade de introdução de uma sistemática de ajuste e balanceamento. Observou-se que sem uma adequada categorização dos projetos da empresa seria difícil promover a análise de balanceamento.

Modeling and simulations of some anisotropic soft-matter systems: from biaxial to chiral materials

We have modeled various soft-matter systems with molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. The first topic concerns liquid crystal (LC) biaxial nematic (Nb) phases, that can be possibly used in fast displays. We have investigated the phase organization of biaxial Gay-Berne (GB) mesogens, considering the effects of the orientation, strength and position of a molecular dipole. We have observed that for systems with a central dipole, nematic biaxial phases disappear when increasing dipole strength, while for systems characterized by an offset dipole, the Nb phase is stabilized at very low temperatures. In a second project, in view of their increasing importance as nanomaterials in LC phases, we are developing a DNA coarse-grained (CG) model, in which sugar and phosphate groups are represented with Lennard-Jones spheres, while bases with GB ellipsoids. We have obtained shape, position and orientation parameters for each bead, to best reproduce the atomistic structure of a B-DNA helix. Starting from atomistic simulations results, we have completed a first parametrization of the force field terms, accounting for bonded (bonds, angles and dihedrals) and non-bonded interactions (H-bond and stacking). We are currently validating the model, by investigating stability and melting temperature of various sequences. Finally, in a third project, we aim to explain the mechanism of enantiomeric discrimination due to the presence of a chiral helix of poly(gamma-benzyl L-glutamate) (PBLG), in solution of dimethylformamide (DMF), interacting with chiral or pro-chiral molecules (in our case heptyl butyrate, HEP), after tuning properly an atomistic force field (AMBER). We have observed that DMF and HEP molecules solvate uniformly the PBLG helix, but the pro-chiral solute is on average found closer to the helix with respect to the DMF. The solvent presents a faster isotropic diffusion, twice as HEP, also indicating a stronger interaction of the solute with the helix.

Kreditrisiken - Modellierung und Management: Ein Überblick

Zusammenfassung Die Messung und Bewertung von Kreditrisiken stellt sich aktuell als ein sehr bedeutsames (Stichworte : Basel II, Solvency II, Kreditderivate) Gebiet dar. Allerdings hat sich hierbei keine einheitliche Vorgehensweise herausgebildet, sondern es existieren eine Vielzahl unterschiedlicher Ansatzpunkte und Modelle. Aus diesem Grund wird in dem vorliegenden Überblicksaufsatz versucht, einen systematischen Überblick über Problemfelder, Modellierungsansätze und Methoden des Risikomanagements im Kontext von Kreditrisiken zu geben. Nach einer einführenden Charakterisierung von Kreditrisiken und einem Abriss über Ratingsysteme werden zunächst die vier grundlegenden Kategorien von Kreditrisikomodellen (statische Modellierung der Ausfallverteilung, Unternehmenswertmodelle, Intensitätsmodelle und ratingbasierte Modelle) erörtert. Sodann erfolgt eine Darstellung der wichtigsten Industriemodelle (Credit Risk+, KMV, Credit Metrics, Credit Portfolio View). Behandelt werden ferner die Grundzüge von Basel II und die hierbei zugrunde liegende modelltheoretische Fundierung in Form von Einfaktormodellen sowie die Bewertung von ausfallbedrohten Zinstiteln. Abschließend wird auf Kreditderivate eingegangen.

Evaluación, instalación y configuración de herramientas de gestión de proyectos de desarrollo de software

Actualmente existen multitud de aplicaciones creadas para la gestión de proyectos software; cada una de ellas pretende dar solución y facilitar las tareas propias de los gestores y los desarrolladores pertenecientes a los equipos de desarrollo. Los equipos de desarrollo software suelen estar integrados por gran variedad de recursos, tanto humanos como materiales. Cada uno desempeña una función concreta en el proyecto, pudiendo no tener una dedicación plena al proyecto. Por eso, es necesario que dichos recursos sean compartidos entre la cartera proyectos existentes. Para resolver este planteamiento en las aplicaciones de gestión de proyectos, ha sido requisito fundamental que se puedan gestionar varios proyectos de forma simultánea (gestión multiproyecto), pudiendo repartir la dedicación de los recursos entre los proyectos existentes en la cartera. En la actualidad, existe un gran número de metodologías de gestión de proyectos, por lo que, en parte, el éxito del proyecto radica en la elección de la más adecuada. Entre todas las metodologías existentes, este estudio se ha centrado en las cada vez más utilizadas metodologías de gestión de proyectos ágiles; se describe en qué consisten, qué beneficios aportan frente a las metodologías clásicas y cuáles son las más utilizadas por sus ya contrastados beneficios y el valor que aportan a la gestión de proyectos. Por lo descrito anteriormente, otro requisito fundamental a la hora de valorar las aplicaciones de gestión de proyectos ha sido la capacidad de soportar y aplicar metodologías ágiles de gestión de proyectos. En este estudio también se ha tenido en cuenta el tipo de aplicación atendiendo a su instalación y acceso, y se ha realizado la diferenciación entre aplicaciones web- las cuales precisan ser instaladas en un servidor web y son accesibles desde cualquier dispositivo con navegador -, y aplicaciones de escritorio - las cuales precisan estar instaladas en un equipo de forma local y sólo pueden ser accedidas a ellas desde dicho equipo. En este estudio se han evaluado varias aplicaciones, intentando analizar el cumplimiento de las características comentadas anteriormente, dando como resultado tres aplicaciones seleccionadas siendo éstas las que pueden aportar más valor a la hora de gestionar una cartera de proyectos. ABSTRACT. At present, there are many applications aimed at managing software projects. Every application intends to solve and facilitate tasks to managers and developers belonging to the development teams. Software development teams are usually made up of many different human and material resources, each of them developing a specific task in the project and sometimes without a full dedication to the project. Therefore, these resources have to be shared within the existing project portfolio. To meet this need in project management applications, the main requirement is to be able to manage several projects simultaneously (multi-project management), thus allowing resources to be shared within the existing project portfolio. At present, there are a large number of project management methodologies and the success of the project lies in choosing the most appropriate one. Among all the existing methodologies, this study has focused on the increasingly used agile project management methodologies. The study describes the way they work, their added value in comparison traditional methodologies, and which ones are more often used due to their already verified benefits and value in managing projects. Taking into account the above-mention characteristics, another key requirement when assessing the project management applications has been their capacity to support and implement project management agile methodologies. This study has also taken into account the type of application according to its installation and access. A difference is established between web applications – which require to be installed in a web server and are accessible from any device with a web browser – and desktop applications, which must be installed in the equipment to be used and are only accessible from this equipment. The study has assessed several applications by analyzing the compliance with the above-mentioned characteristics and has chosen three applications that provide the management of the project portfolio with an added value.

Early termination of R&D projects

Early project termination is one of the most difficult decisions to be made by Research and Development managers. While there is the risk of terminating good projects, there is also the opposite risk of not terminating bad projects and overspend resources in unproductive research. Criteria used for identifying these projects are common subject of research in Business Administration. In addition, companies might take important lessons from its interrupted projects that could improve their overall portfolio technical and commercial success. Finally, the set and weight of criteria, as well as the procedures companies use for achieve learning from cancelled projects may vary depending on the project type. This research intends to contribute to the understanding of policies applied to projects that were once considered attractive, but by some reason is not appreciated anymore. The research addressed the question: How companies deal with projects that become unattractive? More specifically, this research tried to answer the following questions: (1) Are projects killed or (otherwise) they die naturally by lack of resources? (2) What criteria are used to terminate projects during development? (3) How companies learn from the terminated projects to improve the overall portfolio performance? (4) Are the criteria and learning procedures different for different types of projects? In order to answer these questions, we performed a multiple case study with four companies that are reference in business administration and innovation: (1) Oxiteno, considered the base case, (2) Natura, the literal replication, (3) Mahle and (4) AES, the theoretical replications. The case studies were performed using a semi-structured protocol for interviews, which were recorded and analyzed for comparison. We found that the criteria companies use for selecting projects for termination are very similar to those anticipated by the literature, except for a criteria related to compliance. We have evidences to confirm that the set of criteria is not altered when dealing with different project types, however the weight they are applied indeed varies. We also found that learning with cancelled projects is yet very incipient, with very few structured formal procedures being described for capturing learning with early-terminated projects. However, we could observe that these procedures are more common when dealing with projects labeled as innovative, risky, big and costly, while those smaller and cheaper derivative projects aren\'t subject of a complete investigation on the learning they brought to the company. For these, the most common learning route is the informal, where the project team learns and passes the knowledge though interpersonal information exchange. We explain that as a matter of cost versus benefit of spending time to deeply investigate projects with little potential to bring new knowledge to the project team and the organization

Development of Imatra`s logistics hub as a part of Nordic region

This thesis is dedicated to enhancement and development of Imatra`s logistics potential in order to increase its key parameters and improve the efficiency of the region. To find out the most promising logistics projects was proposed a tool “integral-matrix analysis” which enables to make the priority among the list of proposed projects. Description and functionality of the tool are explained in detail. As a result of analysis, the list of priority projects for the development of the region is presented. Project with the greatest potential is implemented in the thesis work. In conclusion, recommendations for the further development of economic potential of the region are given. The thesis is basically focused on literature review, overlook of secondary and primary data (including the results of the interviews, which were carried out among companies that represent the logistics market). Primary data was collected in interviews with the representatives of the companies, who regularly use logistics services. Total effects that make various Russian regions and companies on the Finnish logistics is summed up and discussed.

And then came Complex Project Management

The subject of management is renowned for its addiction to fads and fashions. Project Management is no exception. The issue of interest for this paper is the establishment of the 'College of Complex Project Managers' and their 'competency standard for complex project managers.' Both have generated significant interest in the Project Management community, and like any other human endeavour they should be subject to critical evaluation. The results of this evaluation show significant flaws in the definition of complex in this case, the process by which the College and its standard have emerged, and the content of the standard. However, there is a significant case for a portfolio of research that extends the existing bodies of knowledge into large-scale complicated (or major) projects that would be owned by the relevant practitioner communities, rather than focused on one organization. Research questions are proposed that would commence this stream of activity towards an intelligent synthesis of what is required to manage in both complicated and truly complex environments.

Population versus clinical view of case fatality from acute coronary heart disease - Results from the WHO MONICA Project 1985-1990

Background The clinical view of case fatality (CF) from acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in those reaching the hospital alive is different from the population view. Registration of both hospitalized AMI cases and out-of-hospital coronary heart disease (CHD) deaths in the WHO MONICA Project allows both views to be reconciled. The WHO MONICA Project provides the largest data set worldwide to explore the relationship between CHD CF and age, sex, coronary event rate, and first versus recurrent event. Methods and Results All 79 669 events of definite AMI or possible coronary death, occurring from 1985 to 90 among 5 725 762 people, 35 to 64 years of age, in 29 MONICA populations are the basis for CF calculations. Age-adjusted CF (percentage of CHD events that were fatal) was calculated across populations, stratified for different time periods, and related to age, sex, and CHD event rate. Median 28-day population CF was 49% (range, 35% to 60%) in men and 51% (range, 34% to 70%) in women and was particularly higher in women than men in populations in which CHD event rates were low. Median 28-day CF for hospitalized events was much lower: in men 22% (range, 15% to 36%) and in women 27% (range, 19% to 46%). Among hospitalized events CF was twice as high for recurrent as for first events. Conclusions Overall 28-day CF is halved for hospitalized events compared with all events and again nearly halved for hospitalized 24-hour survivors. Because approximately two thirds of 28-day CHD deaths in men and women occurred before reaching the hospital, opportunities for reducing CF through improved care in the acute event are limited. Major emphasis should be on primary and secondary prevention.

TRAILER – e-Portfolio for collecting and recognizing informal learning process and outcomes

Informal learning is becoming more and more important: Nowadays people learn more this way, through the Internet, than in schools or normal trainings. But they don’t get any certificateswhich attest this fact. So they can't show the employer or teacher etc. that they have learned something. TRAILER project aim is to solve this problem by developing a special tool for managing of all competences and skills acquired through informal learning experiences. Both from the perspective of the user and the perspective of an institution or a company. We’ll present the IT tool to show how people can make their informal learning outcomes visible. TRAILER helps users to gather all information about process and outcomes of their informal learning. Users can share this with friends, colleagues or their employees, teachers and so on. They can create an interactive e-portfolio which can be attached to their CV, cover letter or Knowledge Management system etc. After the presentation of the tool we will discuss possible areas and fields to use this tool. Also we would like to discuss all possible use of the tool by the participants and another needs in this area. Moreover we want to discuss other problems in informal learning process, ways to solve the problems and discuss other ideas of different IT tools which could help in informal learning process. During the discussion we’ll use an interactive respond system which can be used on mobile devices: it makes possible for participants to share their opinions individually before knowing another persons' opinion.

Architettura Prefabbricata –L’obra Colombo a Lisbona Project Management’s Point of View

L'Edilizia Ingegneria Materiali Tecnologia

Multiple-project discount rates for cost-benefit analysis in construction projects: A formal risk model for microgeneration renewable energy technologies

The traditional economic approach for appraising the costs and benefits of construction project Net Present Values involves the calculation of net returns for each investment option under different discount rates. An alternative approach consists of multiple-project discount rates based on risk modelling. The example of a portfolio of microgeneration renewable energy technology (MRET) is presented to demonstrate that risks and future available budget for re-investment can be taken into account when setting discount rates for construction project specifications in presence of uncertainty. A formal demonstration is carried out through a reversed intertemporal approach of applied general equilibrium. It is demonstrated that risk and the estimated available budget for future re-investment can be included in the simultaneous assessment of the costs and benefits of multiple projects.

Competence Monitoring in Project Teams by using Web based portfolio management systems

This paper reports a learning experience related to the acquisition of project management competences. Students from three different universities and backgrounds, cooperate in a common project that drives the learning-teaching process. Previous related works on this initiative have already evaluated the goodness of this multidisciplinary, project-based learning approach in the context of a new educative paradigm. Yet the innovative experience has allowed the authors to define a rubric in order to measure specific competences in project management. The study shows the rubric’s main aspects as well as competence acquisition evaluation alternatives, based in the metrics defined. Key indicators and specific reports obtained from data base fields in the web tool will support this work. As a result, new competences can be assessed, such ones like teamwork, problem solving, communication and leadership. Final goal is to provide an overall competence map to the students at the same time they improve their skills.

The Southern Gas Corridor. The Azerbaijani-Turkish project becomes part of the game between Russia and the EU. OSW POINT OF VIEW 53, 2015-08-20

The Southern Gas Corridor is a system of three complementary gas pipeline projects controlled by Azerbaijan and Turkey, each at a different stage of implementation. The crisis in EU-Russia relations over Ukraine has made the two players interested in the Southern Gas Corridor once again. Brussels views it as an opportunity for a genuine diversification of gas supplies and a way to reinforce its position against Russia. In turn, Moscow’s proposal for Turkey and Greece to join the Turkish Stream gas pipeline project changes the energy map of the regional projects, which indirectly affects the Southern Gas Corridor. This has raised concern in Azerbaijan, which has been making efforts to manoeuvre between the interests of Moscow and Brussels.