Interceptive skills in children aged 9-11 years, diagnosed with Autism Spectrum Disorder

Growing evidence suggests that significant motor problems are associated with a diagnosis of Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASD), particularly in catching tasks. Catching is a complex, dynamic skill that involves the ability to synchronise one's own movement to that of a moving target. To successfully complete the task, the participant must pick up and use perceptual information about the moving target to arrive at the catching place at the right time. This study looks at catching ability in children diagnosed with ASD (mean age 10.16 ± 0.9 years) and age-matched non-verbal (9.72 ± 0.79 years) and receptive language (9.51 ± 0.46) control groups. Participants were asked to "catch" a ball as it rolled down a fixed ramp. Two ramp heights provided two levels of task difficulty, whilst the sensory information (audio and visual) specifying ball arrival time was varied. Results showed children with ASD performed significantly worse than both the receptive language (p =.02) and non-verbal (p =.02) control groups in terms of total number of balls caught. A detailed analysis of the movement kinematics showed that difficulties with picking up and using the sensory information to guide the action may be the source of the problem. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd.

Ultrasensitive non-resonant detection of ultrasound with plasmonic metamaterials

Optical sensors for ultrasound detection provide high sensitivity and bandwidth, essential for photoacoustic imaging in clinical diagnostics and biomedical research. Implementing plasmonic metamaterials in a non-resonant regime facilitates sub-nanosecond, highly sensitive detectors while eliminating cumbersome optical alignment necessary for resonant sensors.

Non-equilibrium modeling of the FE XVII 3C/3D Line Ratio in an Intense X-ray Free-electron Laser Excited Plasma

Recent measurements using an X-ray Free Electron Laser (XFEL) and an Electron Beam Ion Trap at the Linac Coherent Light Source facility highlighted large discrepancies between the observed and theoretical values for the Fe XVII 3C/3D line intensity ratio. This result raised the question of whether the theoretical oscillator strengths may be significantly in error, due to insufficiencies in the atomic structure calculations. We present time-dependent spectral modeling of this experiment and show that non-equilibrium effects can dramatically reduce the predicted 3C/3D line intensity ratio, compared with that obtained by simply taking the ratio of oscillator strengths. Once these non-equilibrium effects are accounted for, the measured line intensity ratio can be used to determine a revised value for the 3C/3D oscillator strength ratio, giving a range from 3.0 to 3.5. We also provide a framework to narrow this range further, if more precise information about the pulse parameters can be determined. We discuss the implications of the new results for the use of Fe XVII spectral features as astrophysical diagnostics and investigate the importance of time-dependent effects in interpreting XFEL-excited plasmas.

The application of atomic physics within impurity diagnostics for fusion plasmas

With the focus of ITER on the transport and emission properties of tungsten, generating atomic data for complex species has received much interest. Focusing on impurity influx diagnostics, we discuss recent work on heavy species. Perturbative approaches do not work well for near neutral systems so non-perturbative data are required, presenting a particular challenge for these influx diagnostics. Recent results on Mo+ are given as an illustration of how the diagnostic applications can guide the theoretical calculations for such systems.

On-line diagnostics of transformer winding insulation failures, by Park`s vector approach

This paper presents a non-invasive approach for diagnosing winding insulation failures in three-phase transformers, which is based on the on-line monitoring of the primary and secondary current Park's Vector. Experimental and simulated results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed technique, for detecting winding inter-turn insulation faults in operating three-phase transformers.

Testing Mean-Variance Efficiency in CAPM with Possibly Non-Gaussian Errors : An Exact Simulation-Based Approach

In this paper we propose exact likelihood-based mean-variance efficiency tests of the market portfolio in the context of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a special case. These tests are developed in the frame-work of multivariate linear regressions (MLR). It is well known however that despite their simple statistical structure, standard asymptotically justified MLR-based tests are unreliable. In financial econometrics, exact tests have been proposed for a few specific hypotheses [Jobson and Korkie (Journal of Financial Economics, 1982), MacKinlay (Journal of Financial Economics, 1987), Gib-bons, Ross and Shanken (Econometrica, 1989), Zhou (Journal of Finance 1993)], most of which depend on normality. For the gaussian model, our tests correspond to Gibbons, Ross and Shanken’s mean-variance efficiency tests. In non-gaussian contexts, we reconsider mean-variance efficiency tests allowing for multivariate Student-t and gaussian mixture errors. Our framework allows to cast more evidence on whether the normality assumption is too restrictive when testing the CAPM. We also propose exact multivariate diagnostic checks (including tests for multivariate GARCH and mul-tivariate generalization of the well known variance ratio tests) and goodness of fit tests as well as a set estimate for the intervening nuisance parameters. Our results [over five-year subperiods] show the following: (i) multivariate normality is rejected in most subperiods, (ii) residual checks reveal no significant departures from the multivariate i.i.d. assumption, and (iii) mean-variance efficiency tests of the market portfolio is not rejected as frequently once it is allowed for the possibility of non-normal errors.

Finite-Sample Diagnostics for Multivariate Regressions with Applications to Linear Asset Pricing Models

In this paper, we propose several finite-sample specification tests for multivariate linear regressions (MLR) with applications to asset pricing models. We focus on departures from the assumption of i.i.d. errors assumption, at univariate and multivariate levels, with Gaussian and non-Gaussian (including Student t) errors. The univariate tests studied extend existing exact procedures by allowing for unspecified parameters in the error distributions (e.g., the degrees of freedom in the case of the Student t distribution). The multivariate tests are based on properly standardized multivariate residuals to ensure invariance to MLR coefficients and error covariances. We consider tests for serial correlation, tests for multivariate GARCH and sign-type tests against general dependencies and asymmetries. The procedures proposed provide exact versions of those applied in Shanken (1990) which consist in combining univariate specification tests. Specifically, we combine tests across equations using the MC test procedure to avoid Bonferroni-type bounds. Since non-Gaussian based tests are not pivotal, we apply the “maximized MC” (MMC) test method [Dufour (2002)], where the MC p-value for the tested hypothesis (which depends on nuisance parameters) is maximized (with respect to these nuisance parameters) to control the test’s significance level. The tests proposed are applied to an asset pricing model with observable risk-free rates, using monthly returns on New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) portfolios over five-year subperiods from 1926-1995. Our empirical results reveal the following. Whereas univariate exact tests indicate significant serial correlation, asymmetries and GARCH in some equations, such effects are much less prevalent once error cross-equation covariances are accounted for. In addition, significant departures from the i.i.d. hypothesis are less evident once we allow for non-Gaussian errors.

Développement et validation d’un index de prédiction des risques d’institutionnalisation et de décès pour le contrôle des variables confondantes non-mesurées dans la population âgée

Le biais de confusion est un défi majeur des études observationnelles, surtout s'ils sont induits par des caractéristiques difficiles, voire impossibles, à mesurer dans les banques de données administratives de soins de santé. Un des biais de confusion souvent présents dans les études pharmacoépidémiologiques est la prescription sélective (en anglais « prescription channeling »), qui se manifeste lorsque le choix du traitement dépend de l'état de santé du patient et/ou de son expérience antérieure avec diverses options thérapeutiques. Parmi les méthodes de contrôle de ce biais, on retrouve le score de comorbidité, qui caractérise l'état de santé d'un patient à partir de médicaments délivrés ou de diagnostics médicaux rapportés dans les données de facturations des médecins. La performance des scores de comorbidité fait cependant l'objet de controverses car elle semble varier de façon importante selon la population d'intérêt. Les objectifs de cette thèse étaient de développer, valider, et comparer les performances de deux scores de comorbidité (un qui prédit le décès et l’autre qui prédit l’institutionnalisation), développés à partir des banques de services pharmaceutiques de la Régie de l'assurance-maladie du Québec (RAMQ) pour leur utilisation dans la population âgée. Cette thèse vise également à déterminer si l'inclusion de caractéristiques non rapportées ou peu valides dans les banques de données administratives (caractéristiques socio-démographiques, troubles mentaux ou du sommeil), améliore la performance des scores de comorbidité dans la population âgée. Une étude cas-témoins intra-cohorte fut réalisée. La cohorte source consistait en un échantillon aléatoire de 87 389 personnes âgées vivant à domicile, répartie en une cohorte de développement (n=61 172; 70%) et une cohorte de validation (n=26 217; 30%). Les données ont été obtenues à partir des banques de données de la RAMQ. Pour être inclus dans l’étude, les sujets devaient être âgés de 66 ans et plus, et être membres du régime public d'assurance-médicaments du Québec entre le 1er janvier 2000 et le 31 décembre 2009. Les scores ont été développés à partir de la méthode du Framingham Heart Study, et leur performance évaluée par la c-statistique et l’aire sous les courbes « Receiver Operating Curves ». Pour le dernier objectif qui est de documenter l’impact de l’ajout de variables non-mesurées ou peu valides dans les banques de données au score de comorbidité développé, une étude de cohorte prospective (2005-2008) a été réalisée. La population à l'étude, de même que les données, sont issues de l'Étude sur la Santé des Aînés (n=1 494). Les variables d'intérêt incluaient statut marital, soutien social, présence de troubles de santé mentale ainsi que troubles du sommeil. Tel que décrit dans l'article 1, le Geriatric Comorbidity Score (GCS) basé sur le décès, a été développé et a présenté une bonne performance (c-statistique=0.75; IC95% 0.73-0.78). Cette performance s'est avérée supérieure à celle du Chronic Disease Score (CDS) lorsqu'appliqué dans la population à l'étude (c-statistique du CDS : 0.47; IC 95%: 0.45-0.49). Une revue de littérature exhaustive a montré que les facteurs associés au décès étaient très différents de ceux associés à l’institutionnalisation, justifiant ainsi le développement d'un score spécifique pour prédire le risque d'institutionnalisation. La performance de ce dernier s'est avérée non statistiquement différente de celle du score de décès (c-statistique institutionnalisation : 0.79 IC95% 0.77-0.81). L'inclusion de variables non rapportées dans les banques de données administratives n'a amélioré que de 11% la performance du score de décès; le statut marital et le soutien social ayant le plus contribué à l'amélioration observée. En conclusion, de cette thèse, sont issues trois contributions majeures. D'une part, il a été démontré que la performance des scores de comorbidité basés sur le décès dépend de la population cible, d'où l'intérêt du Geriatric Comorbidity Score, qui fut développé pour la population âgée vivant à domicile. D'autre part, les médicaments associés au risque d'institutionnalisation diffèrent de ceux associés au risque de décès dans la population âgé, justifiant ainsi le développement de deux scores distincts. Cependant, les performances des deux scores sont semblables. Enfin, les résultats indiquent que, dans la population âgée, l'absence de certaines caractéristiques ne compromet pas de façon importante la performance des scores de comorbidité déterminés à partir de banques de données d'ordonnances. Par conséquent, les scores de comorbidité demeurent un outil de recherche important pour les études observationnelles.

How is the balance of a forecast ensemble affected by adaptive and non-adaptive localization schemes?

This paper investigates the effect on balance of a number of Schur product-type localization schemes which have been designed with the primary function of reducing spurious far-field correlations in forecast error statistics. The localization schemes studied comprise a non-adaptive scheme (where the moderation matrix is decomposed in a spectral basis), and two adaptive schemes, namely a simplified version of SENCORP (Smoothed ENsemble COrrelations Raised to a Power) and ECO-RAP (Ensemble COrrelations Raised to A Power). The paper shows, we believe for the first time, how the degree of balance (geostrophic and hydrostatic) implied by the error covariance matrices localized by these schemes can be diagnosed. Here it is considered that an effective localization scheme is one that reduces spurious correlations adequately but also minimizes disruption of balance (where the 'correct' degree of balance or imbalance is assumed to be possessed by the unlocalized ensemble). By varying free parameters that describe each scheme (e.g. the degree of truncation in the schemes that use the spectral basis, the 'order' of each scheme, and the degree of ensemble smoothing), it is found that a particular configuration of the ECO-RAP scheme is best suited to the convective-scale system studied. According to our diagnostics this ECO-RAP configuration still weakens geostrophic and hydrostatic balance, but overall this is less so than for other schemes.

lmmittance electroanalysis in diagnostics

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Influence diagnostics in heteroscedastic and/or autoregressive nonlinear elliptical models for correlated data

In this paper, we propose nonlinear elliptical models for correlated data with heteroscedastic and/or autoregressive structures. Our aim is to extend the models proposed by Russo et al. [22] by considering a more sophisticated scale structure to deal with variations in data dispersion and/or a possible autocorrelation among measurements taken throughout the same experimental unit. Moreover, to avoid the possible influence of outlying observations or to take into account the non-normal symmetric tails of the data, we assume elliptical contours for the joint distribution of random effects and errors, which allows us to attribute different weights to the observations. We propose an iterative algorithm to obtain the maximum-likelihood estimates for the parameters and derive the local influence curvatures for some specific perturbation schemes. The motivation for this work comes from a pharmacokinetic indomethacin data set, which was analysed previously by Bocheng and Xuping [1] under normality.

The future of medical diagnostics: review paper

While histopathology of excised tissue remains the gold standard for diagnosis, several new, non-invasive diagnostic techniques are being developed. They rely on physical and biochemical changes that precede and mirror malignant change within tissue. The basic principle involves simple optical techniques of tissue interrogation. Their accuracy, expressed as sensitivity and specificity, are reported in a number of studies suggests that they have a potential for cost effective, real-time, in situ diagnosis.

Efficient ultrasonic signal processing techniques for aided medical diagnostics

Ultrasound imaging is widely used in medical diagnostics as it is the fastest, least invasive, and least expensive imaging modality. However, ultrasound images are intrinsically difficult to be interpreted. In this scenario, Computer Aided Detection (CAD) systems can be used to support physicians during diagnosis providing them a second opinion. This thesis discusses efficient ultrasound processing techniques for computer aided medical diagnostics, focusing on two major topics: (i) Ultrasound Tissue Characterization (UTC), aimed at characterizing and differentiating between healthy and diseased tissue; (ii) Ultrasound Image Segmentation (UIS), aimed at detecting the boundaries of anatomical structures to automatically measure organ dimensions and compute clinically relevant functional indices. Research on UTC produced a CAD tool for Prostate Cancer detection to improve the biopsy protocol. In particular, this thesis contributes with: (i) the development of a robust classification system; (ii) the exploitation of parallel computing on GPU for real-time performance; (iii) the introduction of both an innovative Semi-Supervised Learning algorithm and a novel supervised/semi-supervised learning scheme for CAD system training that improve system performance reducing data collection effort and avoiding collected data wasting. The tool provides physicians a risk map highlighting suspect tissue areas, allowing them to perform a lesion-directed biopsy. Clinical validation demonstrated the system validity as a diagnostic support tool and its effectiveness at reducing the number of biopsy cores requested for an accurate diagnosis. For UIS the research developed a heart disease diagnostic tool based on Real-Time 3D Echocardiography. Thesis contributions to this application are: (i) the development of an automated GPU based level-set segmentation framework for 3D images; (ii) the application of this framework to the myocardium segmentation. Experimental results showed the high efficiency and flexibility of the proposed framework. Its effectiveness as a tool for quantitative analysis of 3D cardiac morphology and function was demonstrated through clinical validation.