996 resultados para dynamic threat avoid
Resumo:
The phenomenon of self-induced vibrations of prismatic beams in a cross-flow has been studied for decades, but it is still of great interest due to their important effects in many different industrial applications. This paper presents the experimental study developed on a prismatic beam with H-section.The aim of this analysis is to add some additional insight into the behaviour of the flow around this type of bodies, in order to reduce galloping and even to avoid it. The influence of some relevant geometrical parameters that define the H-section on the translational galloping behaviour of these beams has been analysed. Wind loads coefficients have been measured through static wind tunnel tests and the Den Hartog criterion applied to elucidate the influence of geometrical parameters on the galloping properties of the bodies under consideration.These results have been completed with surface pressure distribution measurements and, besides, dynamic tests have been also performed to verify the static criterion. Finally, the morphology of the flow past the tested bodies has been visualised by using smoke visualization techniques. Since the rectangular section beam is a limiting case of the H-section configuration, the results here obtained are compared with the ones published in the literature concerning rectangular configurations; the agreement is satisfactory.
Resumo:
The city of Lorca (Spain) was hit on May 11th, 2011, by two consecutive earth-quakes of magnitudes 4.6 and 5.2 Mw, causing casualties and important damage in buildings. Many of the damaged structures were reinforced concrete frames with wide beams. This study quantifies the expected level of damage on this structural type in the case of the Lorca earth-quake by means of a seismic index Iv that compares the energy input by the earthquake with the energy absorption/dissipation capacity of the structure. The prototype frames investigated represent structures designed in two time periods (1994–2002 and 2003–2008), in which the applicable codes were different. The influence of the masonry infill walls and the proneness of the frames to concentrate damage in a given story were further investigated through nonlinear dynamic response analyses. It is found that (1) the seismic index method predicts levels of damage that range from moderate/severe to complete collapse; this prediction is consistent with the observed damage; (2) the presence of masonry infill walls makes the structure very prone to damage concentration and reduces the overall seismic capacity of the building; and (3) a proper hierarchy of strength between beams and columns that guarantees the formation of a strong column-weak beam mechanism (as prescribed by seismic codes), as well as the adoption of counter-measures to avoid the negative interaction between non-structural infill walls and the main frame, would have reduced the level of damage from Iv=1 (collapse) to about Iv=0.5 (moderate/severe damage)
Resumo:
El desarrollo da las nuevas tecnologías permite a los ingenieros llevar al límite el funcionamiento de los circuitos integrados (Integrated Circuits, IC). Las nuevas generaciones de procesadores, DSPs o FPGAs son capaces de procesar la información a una alta velocidad, con un alto consumo de energía, o esperar en modo de baja potencia con el mínimo consumo posible. Esta gran variación en el consumo de potencia y el corto tiempo necesario para cambiar de un nivel al otro, afecta a las especificaciones del Módulo de Regulador de Tensión (Voltage Regulated Module, VRM) que alimenta al IC. Además, las características adicionales obligatorias, tales como adaptación del nivel de tensión (Adaptive Voltage Positioning, AVP) y escalado dinámico de la tensión (Dynamic Voltage Scaling, DVS), imponen requisitos opuestas en el diseño de la etapa de potencia del VRM. Para poder soportar las altas variaciones de los escalones de carga, el condensador de filtro de salida del VRM se ha de sobredimensionar, penalizando la densidad de energía y el rendimiento durante la operación de DVS. Por tanto, las actuales tendencias de investigación se centran en mejorar la respuesta dinámica del VRM, mientras se reduce el tamaño del condensador de salida. La reducción del condensador de salida lleva a menor coste y una prolongación de la vida del sistema ya que se podría evitar el uso de condensadores voluminosos, normalmente implementados con condensadores OSCON. Una ventaja adicional es que reduciendo el condensador de salida, el DVS se puede realizar más rápido y con menor estrés de la etapa de potencia, ya que la cantidad de carga necesaria para cambiar la tensión de salida es menor. El comportamiento dinámico del sistema con un control lineal (Control Modo Tensión, VMC, o Control Corriente de Pico, Peak Current Mode Control, PCMC,…) está limitado por la frecuencia de conmutación del convertidor y por el tamaño del filtro de salida. La reducción del condensador de salida se puede lograr incrementando la frecuencia de conmutación, así como incrementando el ancho de banda del sistema, y/o aplicando controles avanzados no-lineales. Usando esos controles, las variables del estado se saturan para conseguir el nuevo régimen permanente en un tiempo mínimo, así como el filtro de salida, más específicamente la pendiente de la corriente de la bobina, define la respuesta de la tensión de salida. Por tanto, reduciendo la inductancia de la bobina de salida, la corriente de bobina llega más rápido al nuevo régimen permanente, por lo que una menor cantidad de carga es tomada del condensador de salida durante el tránsito. El inconveniente de esa propuesta es que el rendimiento del sistema es penalizado debido al incremento de pérdidas de conmutación y las corrientes RMS. Para conseguir tanto la reducción del condensador de salida como el alto rendimiento del sistema, mientras se satisfacen las estrictas especificaciones dinámicas, un convertidor multifase es adoptado como estándar para aplicaciones VRM. Para asegurar el reparto de las corrientes entre fases, el convertidor multifase se suele implementar con control de modo de corriente. Para superar la limitación impuesta por el filtro de salida, la segunda posibilidad para reducir el condensador de salida es aplicar alguna modificación topológica (Topologic modifications) de la etapa básica de potencia para incrementar la pendiente de la corriente de bobina y así reducir la duración de tránsito. Como el transitorio se ha reducido, una menor cantidad de carga es tomada del condensador de salida bajo el mismo escalón de la corriente de salida, con lo cual, el condensador de salida se puede reducir para lograr la misma desviación de la tensión de salida. La tercera posibilidad para reducir el condensador de salida del convertidor es introducir un camino auxiliar de energía (additional energy path, AEP) para compensar el desequilibrio de la carga del condensador de salida reduciendo consecuentemente la duración del transitorio y la desviación de la tensión de salida. De esta manera, durante el régimen permanente, el sistema tiene un alto rendimiento debido a que el convertidor principal con bajo ancho de banda es diseñado para trabajar con una frecuencia de conmutación moderada para conseguir requisitos estáticos. Por otro lado, el comportamiento dinámico durante los transitorios es determinado por el AEP con un alto ancho de banda. El AEP puede ser implementado como un camino resistivo, como regulador lineal (Linear regulator, LR) o como un convertidor conmutado. Las dos primeras implementaciones proveen un mayor ancho de banda, acosta del incremento de pérdidas durante el transitorio. Por otro lado, la implementación del convertidor computado presenta menor ancho de banda, limitado por la frecuencia de conmutación, aunque produce menores pérdidas comparado con las dos anteriores implementaciones. Dependiendo de la aplicación, la implementación y la estrategia de control del sistema, hay una variedad de soluciones propuestas en el Estado del Arte (State-of-the-Art, SoA), teniendo diferentes propiedades donde una solución ofrece más ventajas que las otras, pero también unas desventajas. En general, un sistema con AEP ideal debería tener las siguientes propiedades: 1. El impacto del AEP a las pérdidas del sistema debería ser mínimo. A lo largo de la operación, el AEP genera pérdidas adicionales, con lo cual, en el caso ideal, el AEP debería trabajar por un pequeño intervalo de tiempo, solo durante los tránsitos; la otra opción es tener el AEP constantemente activo pero, por la compensación del rizado de la corriente de bobina, se generan pérdidas innecesarias. 2. El AEP debería ser activado inmediatamente para minimizar la desviación de la tensión de salida. Para conseguir una activación casi instantánea, el sistema puede ser informado por la carga antes del escalón o el sistema puede observar la corriente del condensador de salida, debido a que es la primera variable del estado que actúa a la perturbación de la corriente de salida. De esa manera, el AEP es activado con casi cero error de la tensión de salida, logrando una menor desviación de la tensión de salida. 3. El AEP debería ser desactivado una vez que el nuevo régimen permanente es detectado para evitar los transitorios adicionales de establecimiento. La mayoría de las soluciones de SoA estiman la duración del transitorio, que puede provocar un transitorio adicional si la estimación no se ha hecho correctamente (por ejemplo, si la corriente de bobina del convertidor principal tiene un nivel superior o inferior al necesitado, el regulador lento del convertidor principal tiene que compensar esa diferencia una vez que el AEP es desactivado). Otras soluciones de SoA observan las variables de estado, asegurando que el sistema llegue al nuevo régimen permanente, o pueden ser informadas por la carga. 4. Durante el transitorio, como mínimo un subsistema, o bien el convertidor principal o el AEP, debería operar en el lazo cerrado. Implementando un sistema en el lazo cerrado, preferiblemente el subsistema AEP por su ancho de banda elevado, se incrementa la robustez del sistema a los parásitos. Además, el AEP puede operar con cualquier tipo de corriente de carga. Las soluciones que funcionan en el lazo abierto suelen preformar el control de balance de carga con mínimo tiempo, así reducen la duración del transitorio y tienen un impacto menor a las pérdidas del sistema. Por otro lado, esas soluciones demuestran una alta sensibilidad a las tolerancias y parásitos de los componentes. 5. El AEP debería inyectar la corriente a la salida en una manera controlada, así se reduce el riesgo de unas corrientes elevadas y potencialmente peligrosas y se incrementa la robustez del sistema bajo las perturbaciones de la tensión de entrada. Ese problema suele ser relacionado con los sistemas donde el AEP es implementado como un convertidor auxiliar. El convertidor auxiliar es diseñado para una potencia baja, con lo cual, los dispositivos elegidos son de baja corriente/potencia. Si la corriente no es controlada, bajo un pico de tensión de entrada provocada por otro parte del sistema (por ejemplo, otro convertidor conectado al mismo bus), se puede llegar a un pico en la corriente auxiliar que puede causar la perturbación de tensión de salida e incluso el fallo de los dispositivos del convertidor auxiliar. Sin embargo, cuando la corriente es controlada, usando control del pico de corriente o control con histéresis, la corriente auxiliar tiene el control con prealimentación (feed-forward) de tensión de entrada y la corriente es definida y limitada. Por otro lado, si la solución utiliza el control de balance de carga, el sistema puede actuar de forma deficiente si la tensión de entrada tiene un valor diferente del nominal, provocando que el AEP inyecta/toma más/menos carga que necesitada. 6. Escalabilidad del sistema a convertidores multifase. Como ya ha sido comentado anteriormente, para las aplicaciones VRM por la corriente de carga elevada, el convertidor principal suele ser implementado como multifase para distribuir las perdidas entre las fases y bajar el estrés térmico de los dispositivos. Para asegurar el reparto de las corrientes, normalmente un control de modo corriente es usado. Las soluciones de SoA que usan VMC son limitadas a la implementación con solo una fase. Esta tesis propone un nuevo método de control del flujo de energía por el AEP y el convertidor principal. El concepto propuesto se basa en la inyección controlada de la corriente auxiliar al nodo de salida donde la amplitud de la corriente es n-1 veces mayor que la corriente del condensador de salida con las direcciones apropiadas. De esta manera, el AEP genera un condensador virtual cuya capacidad es n veces mayor que el condensador físico y reduce la impedancia de salida. Como el concepto propuesto reduce la impedancia de salida usando el AEP, el concepto es llamado Output Impedance Correction Circuit (OICC) concept. El concepto se desarrolla para un convertidor tipo reductor síncrono multifase con control modo de corriente CMC (incluyendo e implementación con una fase) y puede operar con la tensión de salida constante o con AVP. Además, el concepto es extendido a un convertidor de una fase con control modo de tensión VMC. Durante la operación, el control de tensión de salida de convertidor principal y control de corriente del subsistema OICC están siempre cerrados, incrementando la robustez a las tolerancias de componentes y a los parásitos del cirquito y permitiendo que el sistema se pueda enfrentar a cualquier tipo de la corriente de carga. Según el método de control propuesto, el sistema se puede encontrar en dos estados: durante el régimen permanente, el sistema se encuentra en el estado Idle y el subsistema OICC esta desactivado. Por otro lado, durante el transitorio, el sistema se encuentra en estado Activo y el subsistema OICC está activado para reducir la impedancia de salida. El cambio entre los estados se hace de forma autónoma: el sistema entra en el estado Activo observando la corriente de condensador de salida y vuelve al estado Idle cunado el nuevo régimen permanente es detectado, observando las variables del estado. La validación del concepto OICC es hecha aplicándolo a un convertidor tipo reductor síncrono con dos fases y de 30W cuyo condensador de salida tiene capacidad de 140μF, mientras el factor de multiplicación n es 15, generando en el estado Activo el condensador virtual de 2.1mF. El subsistema OICC es implementado como un convertidor tipo reductor síncrono con PCMC. Comparando el funcionamiento del convertidor con y sin el OICC, los resultados demuestran que se ha logrado una reducción de la desviación de tensión de salida con factor 12, tanto con funcionamiento básico como con funcionamiento AVP. Además, los resultados son comparados con un prototipo de referencia que tiene la misma etapa de potencia y un condensador de salida físico de 2.1mF. Los resultados demuestran que los dos sistemas tienen el mismo comportamiento dinámico. Más aun, se ha cuantificado el impacto en las pérdidas del sistema operando bajo una corriente de carga pulsante y bajo DVS. Se demuestra que el sistema con OICC mejora el rendimiento del sistema, considerando las pérdidas cuando el sistema trabaja con la carga pulsante y con DVS. Por lo último, el condensador de salida de sistema con OICC es mucho más pequeño que el condensador de salida del convertidor de referencia, con lo cual, por usar el concepto OICC, la densidad de energía se incrementa. En resumen, las contribuciones principales de la tesis son: • El concepto propuesto de Output Impedance Correction Circuit (OICC), • El control a nivel de sistema basado en el método usado para cambiar los estados de operación, • La implementación del subsistema OICC en lazo cerrado conjunto con la implementación del convertidor principal, • La cuantificación de las perdidas dinámicas bajo la carga pulsante y bajo la operación DVS, y • La robustez del sistema bajo la variación del condensador de salida y bajo los escalones de carga consecutiva. ABSTRACT Development of new technologies allows engineers to push the performance of the integrated circuits to its limits. New generations of processors, DSPs or FPGAs are able to process information with high speed and high consumption or to wait in low power mode with minimum possible consumption. This huge variation in power consumption and the short time needed to change from one level to another, affect the specifications of the Voltage Regulated Module (VRM) that supplies the IC. Furthermore, additional mandatory features, such as Adaptive Voltage Positioning (AVP) and Dynamic Voltage Scaling (DVS), impose opposite trends on the design of the VRM power stage. In order to cope with high load-step amplitudes, the output capacitor of the VRM power stage output filter is drastically oversized, penalizing power density and the efficiency during the DVS operation. Therefore, the ongoing research trend is directed to improve the dynamic response of the VRM while reducing the size of the output capacitor. The output capacitor reduction leads to a smaller cost and longer life-time of the system since the big bulk capacitors, usually implemented with OSCON capacitors, may not be needed to achieve the desired dynamic behavior. An additional advantage is that, by reducing the output capacitance, dynamic voltage scaling (DVS) can be performed faster and with smaller stress on the power stage, since the needed amount of charge to change the output voltage is smaller. The dynamic behavior of the system with a linear control (Voltage mode control, VMC, Peak Current Mode Control, PCMC,…) is limited by the converter switching frequency and filter size. The reduction of the output capacitor can be achieved by increasing the switching frequency of the converter, thus increasing the bandwidth of the system, and/or by applying advanced non-linear controls. Applying nonlinear control, the system variables get saturated in order to reach the new steady-state in a minimum time, thus the output filter, more specifically the output inductor current slew-rate, determines the output voltage response. Therefore, by reducing the output inductor value, the inductor current reaches faster the new steady state, so a smaller amount of charge is taken from the output capacitor during the transient. The drawback of this approach is that the system efficiency is penalized due to increased switching losses and RMS currents. In order to achieve both the output capacitor reduction and high system efficiency, while satisfying strict dynamic specifications, a Multiphase converter system is adopted as a standard for VRM applications. In order to ensure the current sharing among the phases, the multiphase converter is usually implemented with current mode control. In order to overcome the limitation imposed by the output filter, the second possibility to reduce the output capacitor is to apply Topologic modifications of the basic power stage topology in order to increase the slew-rate of the inductor current and, therefore, reduce the transient duration. Since the transient is reduced, smaller amount of charge is taken from the output capacitor under the same load current, thus, the output capacitor can be reduced to achieve the same output voltage deviation. The third possibility to reduce the output capacitor of the converter is to introduce an additional energy path (AEP) to compensate the charge unbalance of the output capacitor, consequently reducing the transient time and output voltage deviation. Doing so, during the steady-state operation the system has high efficiency because the main low-bandwidth converter is designed to operate at moderate switching frequency, to meet the static requirements, whereas the dynamic behavior during the transients is determined by the high-bandwidth auxiliary energy path. The auxiliary energy path can be implemented as a resistive path, as a Linear regulator, LR, or as a switching converter. The first two implementations provide higher bandwidth, at the expense of increasing losses during the transient. On the other hand, the switching converter implementation presents lower bandwidth, limited by the auxiliary converter switching frequency, though it produces smaller losses compared to the two previous implementations. Depending on the application, the implementation and the control strategy of the system, there is a variety of proposed solutions in the State-of-the-Art (SoA), having different features where one solution offers some advantages over the others, but also some disadvantages. In general, an ideal additional energy path system should have the following features: 1. The impact on the system losses should be minimal. During its operation, the AEP generates additional losses, thus ideally, the AEP should operate for a short period of time, only when the transient is occurring; the other option is to have the AEP constantly on, but due to the inductor current ripple compensation at the output, unnecessary losses are generated. 2. The AEP should be activated nearly instantaneously to prevent bigger output voltage deviation. To achieve near instantaneous activation, the converter system can be informed by the load prior to the load-step or the system can observe the output capacitor current, which is the first system state variable that reacts on the load current perturbation. In this manner, the AEP is turned on with near zero output voltage error, providing smaller output voltage deviation. 3. The AEP should be deactivated once the new steady state is reached to avoid additional settling transients. Most of the SoA solutions estimate duration of the transient which may cause additional transient if the estimation is not performed correctly (e.g. if the main converter inductor current has higher or lower value than needed, the slow regulator of the main converter needs to compensate the difference after the AEP is deactivated). Other SoA solutions are observing state variables, ensuring that the system reaches the new steady state or they are informed by the load. 4. During the transient, at least one subsystem, either the main converter or the AEP, should be in closed-loop. Implementing a closed loop system, preferably the AEP subsystem, due its higher bandwidth, increases the robustness under system tolerances and circuit parasitic. In addition, the AEP can operate with any type of load. The solutions that operate in open loop usually perform minimum time charge balance control, thus reducing the transient length and minimizing the impact on the losses, however they are very sensitive to tolerances and parasitics. 5. The AEP should inject current at the output in a controlled manner, thus reducing the risk of high and potentially damaging currents and increasing robustness on the input voltage deviation. This issue is mainly related to the systems where AEP is implemented as auxiliary converter. The auxiliary converter is designed for small power and, as such, the MOSFETs are rated for small power/currents. If the current is not controlled, due to the some unpredicted spike in input voltage caused by some other part of the system (e.g. different converter), it may lead to a current spike in auxiliary current which will cause the perturbation of the output voltage and even failure of the switching components of auxiliary converter. In the case when the current is controlled, using peak CMC or Hysteretic Window CMC, the auxiliary converter has inherent feed-forwarding of the input voltage in current control and the current is defined and limited. Furthermore, if the solution employs charge balance control, the system may perform poorly if the input voltage has different value than the nominal, causing that AEP injects/extracts more/less charge than needed. 6. Scalability of the system to multiphase converters. As commented previously, in VRM applications, due to the high load currents, the main converters are implemented as multiphase to redistribute losses among the modules, lowering temperature stress of the components. To ensure the current sharing, usually a Current Mode Control (CMC) is employed. The SoA solutions that are implemented with VMC are limited to a single stage implementation. This thesis proposes a novel control method of the energy flow through the AEP and the main converter system. The proposed concept relays on a controlled injection of the auxiliary current at the output node where the instantaneous current value is n-1 times bigger than the output capacitor current with appropriate directions. Doing so, the AEP creates an equivalent n times bigger virtual capacitor at the output, thus reducing the output impedance. Due to the fact that the proposed concept reduces the output impedance using the AEP, it has been named the Output Impedance Correction Circuit (OICC) concept. The concept is developed for a multiphase CMC synchronous buck converter (including a single phase implementation), operating with a constant output voltage and with AVP feature. Further, it is extended to a single phase VMC synchronous buck converter. During the operation, the main converter voltage loop and the OICC subsystem capacitor current loop is constantly closed, increasing the robustness under system tolerances and circuit parasitic and allowing the system to operate with any load-current shape or pattern. According to the proposed control method, the system operates in two states: during the steady-state the system is in the Idle state and the OICC subsystem is deactivated, while during the load-step transient the system is in the Active state and the OICC subsystem is activated in order to reduce the output impedance. The state changes are performed autonomously: the system enters in the Active state by observing the output capacitor current and it returns back to the Idle state when the steady-state operation is detected by observing the state variables. The validation of the OICC concept has been done by applying it to a 30W two phase synchronous buck converter with 140μF output capacitor and with the multiplication factor n equal to 15, generating during the Active state equivalent output capacitor of 2.1mF. The OICC subsystem is implemented as single phase PCMC synchronous buck converter. Comparing the converter operation with and without the OICC the results demonstrate that the 12 times reduction of the output voltage deviation is achieved, for both basic operation and for the AVP operation. Furthermore, the results have been compared to a reference prototype which has the same power stage and a fiscal output capacitor of 2.1mF. The results show that the two systems have the same dynamic behavior. Moreover, an impact on the system losses under the pulsating load and DVS operation has been quantified and it has been demonstrated that the OICC system has improved the system efficiency, considering the losses when the system operates with the pulsating load and the DVS operation. Lastly, the output capacitor of the OICC system is much smaller than the reference design output capacitor, therefore, by applying the OICC concept the power density can be increased. In summary, the main contributions of the thesis are: • The proposed Output Impedance Correction Circuit (OICC) concept, • The system level control based on the used approach to change the states of operation, • The OICC subsystem closed-loop implementation, together with the main converter implementation, • The dynamic losses under the pulsating load and the DVS operation quantification, and • The system robustness on the capacitor impedance variation and consecutive load-steps.
Resumo:
Tropical deforestation is the major contemporary threat to global biodiversity, because a diminishing extent of tropical forests supports the majority of the Earth's biodiversity. Forest clearing is often spatially concentrated in regions where human land use pressures, either planned or unplanned, increase the likelihood of deforestation. However, it is not a random process, but often moves in waves originating from settled areas. We investigate the spatial dynamics of land cover change in a tropical deforestation hotspot in the Colombian Amazon. We apply a forest cover zoning approach which permitted: calculation of colonization speed; comparative spatial analysis of patterns of deforestation and regeneration; analysis of spatial patterns of mature and recently regenerated forests; and the identification of local-level hotspots experiencing the fastest deforestation or regeneration. The colonization frontline moved at an average of 0.84 km yr(-1) from 1989 to 2002, resulting in the clearing of 3400 ha yr(-1) of forests beyond the 90% forest cover line. The dynamics of forest clearing varied across the colonization front according to the amount of forest in the landscape, but was spatially concentrated in well-defined 'local hotspots' of deforestation and forest regeneration. Behind the deforestation front, the transformed landscape mosaic is composed of cropping and grazing lands interspersed with mature forest fragments and patches of recently regenerated forests. We discuss the implications of the patterns of forest loss and fragmentation for biodiversity conservation within a framework of dynamic conservation planning.
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Increasingly, lab evaluations of mobile applications are incorporating mobility. The inclusion of mobility alone, however, is insufficient to generate a realistic evaluation context since real-life users will typically be required to monitor their environment while moving through it. While field evaluations represent a more realistic evaluation context, such evaluations pose difficulties, including data capture and environmental control, which mean that a lab-based evaluation is often a more practical choice. This paper describes a novel evaluation technique that mimics a realistic mobile usage context in a lab setting. The technique requires that participants monitor their environment and change the route they are walking to avoid dynamically changing hazards (much as reallife users would be required to do). Two studies that employed this technique are described, and the results (which indicate the technique is useful) are discussed.
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Human use of the oceans is increasingly in conflict with conservation of endangered species. Methods for managing the spatial and temporal placement of industries such as military, fishing, transportation and offshore energy, have historically been post hoc; i.e. the time and place of human activity is often already determined before assessment of environmental impacts. In this dissertation, I build robust species distribution models in two case study areas, US Atlantic (Best et al. 2012) and British Columbia (Best et al. 2015), predicting presence and abundance respectively, from scientific surveys. These models are then applied to novel decision frameworks for preemptively suggesting optimal placement of human activities in space and time to minimize ecological impacts: siting for offshore wind energy development, and routing ships to minimize risk of striking whales. Both decision frameworks relate the tradeoff between conservation risk and industry profit with synchronized variable and map views as online spatial decision support systems.
For siting offshore wind energy development (OWED) in the U.S. Atlantic (chapter 4), bird density maps are combined across species with weights of OWED sensitivity to collision and displacement and 10 km2 sites are compared against OWED profitability based on average annual wind speed at 90m hub heights and distance to transmission grid. A spatial decision support system enables toggling between the map and tradeoff plot views by site. A selected site can be inspected for sensitivity to a cetaceans throughout the year, so as to capture months of the year which minimize episodic impacts of pre-operational activities such as seismic airgun surveying and pile driving.
Routing ships to avoid whale strikes (chapter 5) can be similarly viewed as a tradeoff, but is a different problem spatially. A cumulative cost surface is generated from density surface maps and conservation status of cetaceans, before applying as a resistance surface to calculate least-cost routes between start and end locations, i.e. ports and entrance locations to study areas. Varying a multiplier to the cost surface enables calculation of multiple routes with different costs to conservation of cetaceans versus cost to transportation industry, measured as distance. Similar to the siting chapter, a spatial decisions support system enables toggling between the map and tradeoff plot view of proposed routes. The user can also input arbitrary start and end locations to calculate the tradeoff on the fly.
Essential to the input of these decision frameworks are distributions of the species. The two preceding chapters comprise species distribution models from two case study areas, U.S. Atlantic (chapter 2) and British Columbia (chapter 3), predicting presence and density, respectively. Although density is preferred to estimate potential biological removal, per Marine Mammal Protection Act requirements in the U.S., all the necessary parameters, especially distance and angle of observation, are less readily available across publicly mined datasets.
In the case of predicting cetacean presence in the U.S. Atlantic (chapter 2), I extracted datasets from the online OBIS-SEAMAP geo-database, and integrated scientific surveys conducted by ship (n=36) and aircraft (n=16), weighting a Generalized Additive Model by minutes surveyed within space-time grid cells to harmonize effort between the two survey platforms. For each of 16 cetacean species guilds, I predicted the probability of occurrence from static environmental variables (water depth, distance to shore, distance to continental shelf break) and time-varying conditions (monthly sea-surface temperature). To generate maps of presence vs. absence, Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curves were used to define the optimal threshold that minimizes false positive and false negative error rates. I integrated model outputs, including tables (species in guilds, input surveys) and plots (fit of environmental variables, ROC curve), into an online spatial decision support system, allowing for easy navigation of models by taxon, region, season, and data provider.
For predicting cetacean density within the inner waters of British Columbia (chapter 3), I calculated density from systematic, line-transect marine mammal surveys over multiple years and seasons (summer 2004, 2005, 2008, and spring/autumn 2007) conducted by Raincoast Conservation Foundation. Abundance estimates were calculated using two different methods: Conventional Distance Sampling (CDS) and Density Surface Modelling (DSM). CDS generates a single density estimate for each stratum, whereas DSM explicitly models spatial variation and offers potential for greater precision by incorporating environmental predictors. Although DSM yields a more relevant product for the purposes of marine spatial planning, CDS has proven to be useful in cases where there are fewer observations available for seasonal and inter-annual comparison, particularly for the scarcely observed elephant seal. Abundance estimates are provided on a stratum-specific basis. Steller sea lions and harbour seals are further differentiated by ‘hauled out’ and ‘in water’. This analysis updates previous estimates (Williams & Thomas 2007) by including additional years of effort, providing greater spatial precision with the DSM method over CDS, novel reporting for spring and autumn seasons (rather than summer alone), and providing new abundance estimates for Steller sea lion and northern elephant seal. In addition to providing a baseline of marine mammal abundance and distribution, against which future changes can be compared, this information offers the opportunity to assess the risks posed to marine mammals by existing and emerging threats, such as fisheries bycatch, ship strikes, and increased oil spill and ocean noise issues associated with increases of container ship and oil tanker traffic in British Columbia’s continental shelf waters.
Starting with marine animal observations at specific coordinates and times, I combine these data with environmental data, often satellite derived, to produce seascape predictions generalizable in space and time. These habitat-based models enable prediction of encounter rates and, in the case of density surface models, abundance that can then be applied to management scenarios. Specific human activities, OWED and shipping, are then compared within a tradeoff decision support framework, enabling interchangeable map and tradeoff plot views. These products make complex processes transparent for gaming conservation, industry and stakeholders towards optimal marine spatial management, fundamental to the tenets of marine spatial planning, ecosystem-based management and dynamic ocean management.
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Urban problems have several features that make them inherently dynamic. Large transaction costs all but guarantee that homeowners will do their best to consider how a neighborhood might change before buying a house. Similarly, stores face large sunk costs when opening, and want to be sure that their investment will pay off in the long run. In line with those concerns, different areas of Economics have made recent advances in modeling those questions within a dynamic framework. This dissertation contributes to those efforts.
Chapter 2 discusses how to model an agent’s location decision when the agent must learn about an exogenous amenity that may be changing over time. The model is applied to estimating the marginal willingness to pay to avoid crime, in which agents are learning about the crime rate in a neighborhood, and the crime rate can change in predictable (Markovian) ways.
Chapters 3 and 4 concentrate on location decision problems when there are externalities between decision makers. Chapter 3 focuses on the decision of business owners to open a store, when its demand is a function of other nearby stores, either through competition, or through spillovers on foot traffic. It uses a dynamic model in continuous time to model agents’ decisions. A particular challenge is isolating the contribution of spillovers from the contribution of other unobserved neighborhood attributes that could also lead to agglomeration. A key contribution of this chapter is showing how we can use information on storefront ownership to help separately identify spillovers.
Finally, chapter 4 focuses on a class of models in which families prefer to live
close to similar neighbors. This chapter provides the first simulation of such a model in which agents are forward looking, and shows that this leads to more segregation than it would have been observed with myopic agents, which is the standard in this literature. The chapter also discusses several extensions of the model that can be used to investigate relevant questions such as the arrival of a large contingent high skilled tech workers in San Francisco, the immigration of hispanic families to several southern American cities, large changes in local amenities, such as the construction of magnet schools or metro stations, and the flight of wealthy residents from cities in the Rust belt, such as Detroit.
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Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are typically caused by bacteria that colonize different regions of the urinary tract, mainly the bladder and the kidney. Approximately 25% of women that suffer from UTIs experience a recurrent infection within 6 months of the initial bout, making UTIs a serious economic burden resulting in more than 10 million hospital visits and $3.5 billion in healthcare costs in the United States alone. Type-1 fimbriated Uropathogenic E. coli (UPEC) is the major causative agent of UTIs, accounting for almost 90 % of bacterial UTIs. The unique ability of UPEC to bind and invade the superficial bladder epithelium allows the bacteria to persist inside epithelial niches and survive antibiotic treatment. Persistent, intracellular UPEC are retained in the bladder epithelium for long periods, making them a source of recurrent UTIs. Hence, the ability of UPEC to persist in the bladder is a matter of major health and economic concern, making studies exploring the underlying mechanism of UPEC persistence highly relevant.
In my thesis, I will describe how intracellular Uropathogenic E.coli (UPEC) evade host defense mechanisms in the superficial bladder epithelium. I will also describe some of the unique traits of persistent UPEC and explore strategies to induce their clearance from the bladder. I have discovered that the UPEC virulence factor Alpha-hemolysin (HlyA) plays a key role in the survival and persistence of UPEC in the superficial bladder epithelium. In-vitro and in-vivo studies comparing intracellular survival of wild type (WT) and hemolysin deficient UPEC suggested that HlyA is vital for UPEC persistence in the superficial bladder epithelium. Further in-vitro studies revealed that hemolysin helped UPEC persist intracellularly by evading the bacterial expulsion actions of the bladder cells and remarkably, this virulence factor also helped bacteria avoid t degradation in lysosomes.
To elucidate the mechanistic basis for how hemolysin promotes UPEC persistence in the urothelium, we initially focused on how hemolysin facilitates the evasion of UPEC expulsion from bladder cells. We found that upon entry, UPEC were encased in “exocytic vesicles” but as a result of HlyA expression these bacteria escaped these vesicles and entered the cytosol. Consequently, these bacteria were able to avoid expulsion by the cellular export machinery.
Since bacteria found in the cytosol of host cells are typically recognized by the cellular autophagy pathway and transported to the lysosomes where they are degraded, we explored why this was not the case here. We observed that although cytosolic HlyA expressing UPEC were recognized and encased by the autophagy system and transported to lysosomes, the bacteria appeared to avoid degradation in these normally degradative compartments. A closer examination of the bacteria containing lysosomes revealed that they lacked V-ATPase. V-ATPase is a well-known proton pump essential for the acidification of mammalian intracellular degradative compartments, allowing for the proper functioning of degradative proteases. The absence of V-ATPase appeared to be due to hemolysin mediated alteration of the bladder cell F-actin network. From these studies, it is clear that UPEC hemolysin facilitates UPEC persistence in the superficial bladder epithelium by helping bacteria avoid expulsion by the exocytic machinery of the cell and at the same time enabling the bacteria avoid degradation when the bacteria are shuttled into the lysosomes.
Interestingly even though UPEC appear to avoid elimination from the bladder cell their ability to multiple in bladder cells seem limited.. Indeed, our in-vitro and in-vivo experiments reveal that UPEC survive in superficial bladder epithelium for extended periods of time without a significantly change in CFU numbers. Indeed, we observed these bacteria appeared quiescent in nature. This observation was supported by the observation that UPEC genetically unable to enter a quiescence phase exhibited limited ability to persist in bladder cells in vitro and in vivo, in the mouse bladder.
The studies elucidated in this thesis reveal how UPEC toxin, Alpha-hemolysin plays a significant role in promoting UPEC persistence via the modulation of the vesicular compartmentalization of UPEC at two different stages of the infection in the superficial bladder epithelium. These results highlight the importance of UPEC Alpha-hemolysin as an essential determinant of UPEC persistence in the urinary bladder.
Resumo:
Android is becoming ubiquitous and currently has the largest share of the mobile OS market with billions of application downloads from the official app market. It has also become the platform most targeted by mobile malware that are becoming more sophisticated to evade state-of-the-art detection approaches. Many Android malware families employ obfuscation techniques in order to avoid detection and this may defeat static analysis based approaches. Dynamic analysis on the other hand may be used to overcome this limitation. Hence in this paper we propose DynaLog, a dynamic analysis based framework for characterizing Android applications. The framework provides the capability to analyse the behaviour of applications based on an extensive number of dynamic features. It provides an automated platform for mass analysis and characterization of apps that is useful for quickly identifying and isolating malicious applications. The DynaLog framework leverages existing open source tools to extract and log high level behaviours, API calls, and critical events that can be used to explore the characteristics of an application, thus providing an extensible dynamic analysis platform for detecting Android malware. DynaLog is evaluated using real malware samples and clean applications demonstrating its capabilities for effective analysis and detection of malicious applications.
Resumo:
Shipping noise is a threat to marine wildlife. Grey seals are benthic foragers, and thus experience acoustic noise throughout the water column, which makes them a good model species for a case study of the potential impacts of shipping noise. We used ship track data from the Celtic Sea, seal track data and a coupled ocean-acoustic modelling system to assess the noise exposure of grey seals along their tracks. It was found that the animals experience step changes in sound levels up to ~20dB at a frequency of 125Hz, and ~10dB on average over 10-1000Hz when they dive through the thermocline, particularly during summer. Our results showed large seasonal differences in the noise level experienced by the seals. These results reveal the actual noise exposure by the animals and could help in marine spatial planning.
Resumo:
Aspergillus fumigatus is one of the major ubiquitous saprophytic fungi and it is considered one of the fungal species with higher clinical relevance. This study aimed at characterising the prevalence of A. fumigatus complex in one waste-sorting plant and also in one incineration plant. Conventional and molecular methodologies were applied in order to detect its presence. Aspergillus fumigatus complex was the second most frequently found in the air from the waste-sorting plant (16.0%) and from the incineration plant (18.0%). Regarding surfaces, it ranked the third species most frequently found in the waste-sorting plant (13.8%) and the second in the incineration plant (22.3%). In the waste-sorting plant, it was possible to amplify by qPCR DNA from the A. fumigatus complex in all culture-positive sampling sites plus one other sampling site that was negative by culture analysis. Considering the observed fungal load, it is recommended to apply preventive and protective measures in order to avoid or minimise worker's exposure.
Resumo:
The share of variable renewable energy in electricity generation has seen exponential growth during the recent decades, and due to the heightened pursuit of environmental targets, the trend is to continue with increased pace. The two most important resources, wind and insolation both bear the burden of intermittency, creating a need for regulation and posing a threat to grid stability. One possibility to deal with the imbalance between demand and generation is to store electricity temporarily, which was addressed in this thesis by implementing a dynamic model of adiabatic compressed air energy storage (CAES) with Apros dynamic simulation software. Based on literature review, the existing models due to their simplifications were found insufficient for studying transient situations, and despite of its importance, the investigation of part load operation has not yet been possible with satisfactory precision. As a key result of the thesis, the cycle efficiency at design point was simulated to be 58.7%, which correlated well with literature information, and was validated through analytical calculations. The performance at part load was validated against models shown in literature, showing good correlation. By introducing wind resource and electricity demand data to the model, grid operation of CAES was studied. In order to enable the dynamic operation, start-up and shutdown sequences were approximated in dynamic environment, as far as is known, the first time, and a user component for compressor variable guide vanes (VGV) was implemented. Even in the current state, the modularly designed model offers a framework for numerous studies. The validity of the model is limited by the accuracy of VGV correlations at part load, and in addition the implementation of heat losses to the thermal energy storage is necessary to enable longer simulations. More extended use of forecasts is one of the important targets of development, if the system operation is to be optimised in future.
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Random Walk with Restart (RWR) is an appealing measure of proximity between nodes based on graph structures. Since real graphs are often large and subject to minor changes, it is prohibitively expensive to recompute proximities from scratch. Previous methods use LU decomposition and degree reordering heuristics, entailing O(|V|^3) time and O(|V|^2) memory to compute all (|V|^2) pairs of node proximities in a static graph. In this paper, a dynamic scheme to assess RWR proximities is proposed: (1) For unit update, we characterize the changes to all-pairs proximities as the outer product of two vectors. We notice that the multiplication of an RWR matrix and its transition matrix, unlike traditional matrix multiplications, is commutative. This can greatly reduce the computation of all-pairs proximities from O(|V|^3) to O(|delta|) time for each update without loss of accuracy, where |delta| (<<|V|^2) is the number of affected proximities. (2) To avoid O(|V|^2) memory for all pairs of outputs, we also devise efficient partitioning techniques for our dynamic model, which can compute all pairs of proximities segment-wisely within O(l|V|) memory and O(|V|/l) I/O costs, where 1<=l<=|V| is a user-controlled trade-off between memory and I/O costs. (3) For bulk updates, we also devise aggregation and hashing methods, which can discard many unnecessary updates further and handle chunks of unit updates simultaneously. Our experimental results on various datasets demonstrate that our methods can be 1–2 orders of magnitude faster than other competitors while securing scalability and exactness.
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Current data indicate that the size of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) may be considered an important marker for cardiovascular disease risk. We established reference values of mean HDL size and volume in an asymptomatic representative Brazilian population sample (n=590) and their associations with metabolic parameters by gender. Size and volume were determined in HDL isolated from plasma by polyethyleneglycol precipitation of apoB-containing lipoproteins and measured using the dynamic light scattering (DLS) technique. Although the gender and age distributions agreed with other studies, the mean HDL size reference value was slightly lower than in some other populations. Both HDL size and volume were influenced by gender and varied according to age. HDL size was associated with age and HDL-C (total population); non- white ethnicity and CETP inversely (females); HDL-C and PLTP mass (males). On the other hand, HDL volume was determined only by HDL-C (total population and in both genders) and by PLTP mass (males). The reference values for mean HDL size and volume using the DLS technique were established in an asymptomatic and representative Brazilian population sample, as well as their related metabolic factors. HDL-C was a major determinant of HDL size and volume, which were differently modulated in females and in males.
Resumo:
The objective of this study is to verify the dynamics between fiscal policy, measured by public debt, and monetary policy, measured by a reaction function of a central bank. Changes in monetary policies due to deviations from their targets always generate fiscal impacts. We examine two policy reaction functions: the first related to inflation targets and the second related to economic growth targets. We find that the condition for stable equilibrium is more restrictive in the first case than in the second. We then apply our simulation model to Brazil and United Kingdom and find that the equilibrium is unstable in the Brazilian case but stable in the UK case.